Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.3 256
Results Rating -7.4 288
Consistency 0.15 168
Pace 60.4 356
Improvement +4.0 51

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 135 B D+ D+ D+ C+
Defense D- 341 D C F C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 284 C+ 59% 132 -1.4 236
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 301 B- 41% 72 -1.1 244
Three Pointers 48% 38 A- 39% 17 +7.2 16
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 143 B +4.2 60
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 57
Second Chance D 25.8% 304 C- 1.01 215 D+ 0.26 290
Opponents' Steals D- 11.3% 322
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 147
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 279
Freethrows D+ 0.28 258 C 72% 207 D+ 0.20 244
Total Offense C+ +1.2 135

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 169 D+ 12.8% 293
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 73 D 7.6% 319
Three Pointers D+ 79% 285 D+ 1.2% 280
Total C+ 59% 109 D+ 6.4% 273


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 144 C+ 56% 114 +0.0 176
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 195 F 48% 361 +1.7 312
Three Pointers 40% 211 F 40% 361 +3.0 317
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 202 D- +4.4 338
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 330
Second Chance C 30.5% 192 C 1.04 186 C 0.32 207
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.5% 349
Other Turnovers D- 5.9% 344
Turnovers F 12.4% 359
Freethrows B- 0.28 112 C- 73% 248 C+ 0.21 123
Total Defense D- -6.5 341

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 59 C 11.2% 164
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 52 F+ 0.9% 355
Three Pointers C 83% 155 C 0.8% 168
Total B- 51% 89 C- 5.0% 221

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.3 345 17.4 212
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 357 0.15 115
Consistency 0.17 363 0.13 259
Improvement +0.1 181 +3.9 29

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 264 253 233
Results Rating Rank 302 283 233
Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 18% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 9% 18% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four7% 15% 0%
First Round6% 11% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 414 - 915 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 296 @Northeastern W 76 - 75 OT 49% -2  31% 1 - 0 C- -4 F+ -9 D- C- F B +5 A- C+ C
 Fri, Nov 7 69 @Northwestern L 52 - 76 7% -18  0% 1 - 1 D- -12 F+ -10 C+ F F D- -7 F+ A- F
 Wed, Nov 12 282 Brown W 90 - 77 67% +14  99% 2 - 1 C+ +3 A+ +22 A+ A+ D F -18 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 15 173 Merrimack L 79 - 91 45% -10  1% 2 - 2 F+ -16 B+ +9 A+ C- A- F -26 F F B-
 Tue, Nov 18 190 @Columbia L 49 - 54 27% -12  0% 2 - 3 C- -4 F -17 F D- A+ A+ +12 B A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 22 153 Harvard W 75 - 74 29% -2  16% 3 - 3 C +1 B+ +9 A+ C F D- -7 F D D+
 Tue, Nov 25 110 @Penn St. L 87 - 96 14% -12  3% 3 - 4 C- -2 A+ +21 A+ B A F -24 F F F
 Sat, Nov 29 188 @Northern Kentucky L 65 - 74 27% +2  73% 3 - 5 D+ -8 C- -1 B+ D+ F D- -8 A F C+
 Sat, Dec 6 352 @New Hampshire L 82 - 88 OT 70% +6  61% 3 - 6 F+ -17 D+ -4 D- B+ D F -13 F D+ F
 Wed, Dec 10 346 Maine L 59 - 69 84% -7  0% 3 - 7 F -26 F -12 F B F F -15 F A- B
 Sat, Dec 13 267 @Dartmouth L 64 - 77 41% -9  4% 3 - 8 F+ -16 F+ -8 F+ D D- F+ -8 F+ B+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 311 Umass Lowell W 88 - 76 75% +9  97% 4 - 8 C -0 A +13 A+ A+ F+ F -12 F D+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 140 @Navy L 77 - 82 19% -5  7% 4 - 9 0 - 1 C -1 B+ +9 B+ F+ A+ F -10 F A- F
 Sat, Jan 3 255 American L 62 - 64 61% -5  19% 4 - 10 0 - 2 D -10 D -5 F B A D -5 F+ A D-
 Wed, Jan 7 324 @Lafayette W 83 - 67 59% +10  97% 5 - 10 1 - 2 B +8 A- +10 A D+ C+ C -0 C- A- F
 Sat, Jan 10 340 Army W 100 - 91 83% +8  88% 6 - 10 2 - 2 D+ -6 A+ +19 A+ C- D+ F -25 F F+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 294 Lehigh L 91 - 93 OT 70% -6  6% 6 - 11 2 - 3 D- -13 C+ +2 A- F B- F -14 D C F
 Sat, Jan 17 314 @Loyola Maryland L 57 - 74 55% -1  50% 6 - 12 2 - 4 F -24 F -23 F F F C -1 B- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 324 Lafayette W 77 - 73 OT 78% -2  27% 7 - 12 3 - 4 D -10 D -6 B- F+ F D+ -4 C- A F
 Sat, Jan 24 252 @Colgate L 79 - 80 OT 38% +3  80% 7 - 13 3 - 5 C- -3 C- -2 A- F D- C- -2 D F B+
 Wed, Jan 28 140 Navy L 50 - 58 37% +2  64% 7 - 14 3 - 6 D -10 F -12 D+ C- F C -0 F+ A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 31 330 @Bucknell L 97 - 103 2OT 62% -3  22% 7 - 15 3 - 7 D- -14 A- +11 D+ B- A+ F -25 F F F
 Mon, Feb 2 328 @Holy Cross W 72 - 64 60% +3  85% 8 - 15 4 - 7 C +0 B +7 A+ F B- D -5 C+ F F
 Sat, Feb 7 314 Loyola Maryland W 78 - 69 76% +6  85% 9 - 15 5 - 7 C- -4 D+ -4 B C F C+ +1 D- A+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 340 @Army W 85 - 68 66% +10  92% 10 - 15 6 - 7 B- +8 A+ +15 A+ F C D -5 B F F
 Sat, Feb 14 330 Bucknell W 82 - 69 81% +10  93% 11 - 15 7 - 7 C -1 B +7 A- C- D D- -8 F B+ F
 Mon, Feb 16 252 Colgate W 85 - 58 61% +14  99% 12 - 15 8 - 7 A +19 A+ +23 A A+ B C+ +2 A+ F F
 Sun, Feb 22 294 @Lehigh L 67 - 70 48% +3  72% 12 - 16 8 - 8 D+ -8 C+ +2 B+ F B F -10 F B D+
 Wed, Feb 25 328 Holy Cross W 78 - 63 80% +8  97% 13 - 16 9 - 8 C +1 C+ +3 B+ B- C- C -1 C- A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 28 255 @American W 68 - 65 38% +10  99% 14 - 16 10 - 8 C +1 C- -2 A F F B- +3 B+ B+ F
 Thu, Mar 5 255 American W 73 - 70 61%
Totals 15 - 16 10 - 8 -5 C+ +1 F B C+ D- -6 A- C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C+ B- A- B 35% 27% 48% C+ B D C- D+ D+ D+ C D+ D- C+ F F D- 40% 20% 40% C- D C C C F B- C- C+
1.10 59% 41% 39% +4 0 1.12 26% 1.0 .26 18% .28 72% .20 1.18 56% 48% 40% +4 0 1.11 30% 1.0 .32 12% .28 73% .20
Nov
3		 Northeastern F+ B+ A+ F D- 38% 14% 48% C D- C+ D C- F C D+ C- B B+ C A+ A 54% 15% 31% F+ A- D A C+ C F C F
1.02 68% 57% 25% 0 +1 1.04 31% 0.9 .29 21% .34 70% .24 1.01 52% 38% 24% -8 +2 0.89 30% 0.9 .27 17% .42 69% .29
Nov
7		 Northwestern F+ D F A+ B- 30% 30% 40% D- C+ B+ F F F F C F D- F F+ C- F 35% 33% 33% A F+ D A+ A- F A+ A+ A+
0.86 50% 14% 47% -1 -2 0.96 38% 0.1 .05 23% .15 71% .11 1.26 78% 47% 35% +10 -2 1.19 33% 0.9 .30 8% .24 54% .13
Nov
12		 Brown A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 36% 13% 51% B- A+ A A+ A+ D B A+ A+ F F A+ C- F 31% 19% 50% B+ D- C- F F F F F F
1.41 75% 33% 48% +16 +1 1.36 41% 1.8 .73 20% .37 89% .33 1.20 73% 22% 33% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.6 .45 14% .42 83% .35
Nov
15		 Merrimack B+ A B A+ A+ 27% 20% 53% D+ A+ F A+ C- A- C F D F D+ A+ F F 33% 13% 53% B- F F C F B- B F C+
1.23 67% 44% 42% +10 -1 1.20 25% 1.6 .41 16% .35 63% .22 1.41 60% 17% 67% +24 +1 1.51 35% 1.0 .35 17% .30 88% .26
Nov
18		 Columbia F F F F F 59% 8% 33% A+ F D+ F D- A+ C- D- D+ A+ A F B- A- 51% 7% 42% F B A A+ A+ C+ A F+ B+
0.82 47% 0% 12% -21 +3 0.67 25% 0.7 .18 8% .29 69% .20 0.91 45% 67% 33% -5 +3 0.98 27% 0.7 .18 22% .19 78% .15
Nov
22		 Harvard B+ A A+ A+ A+ 38% 16% 47% C A+ F A+ C F F F F D- F B D F 40% 18% 42% C- F A+ F D D+ A B A
1.17 71% 71% 52% +23 +1 1.49 18% 1.7 .29 23% .16 50% .08 1.16 80% 33% 38% +10 0 1.24 17% 1.8 .30 17% .17 78% .13
Nov
25		 Penn St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 13% 65% C A+ D+ A+ B A C+ F+ C F C- F F F 48% 16% 36% D F D- F F F F B+ F
1.37 82% 67% 45% +20 0 1.42 25% 1.7 .42 14% .24 69% .16 1.51 62% 71% 44% +12 +1 1.30 33% 1.4 .47 5% .66 70% .46
Nov
29		 Northern Kentucky C- A+ C- B+ A 37% 29% 34% F+ B+ D C D+ F A- B A D- B A+ A A 29% 20% 51% A A F F F C+ F F F
1.04 79% 36% 38% +9 -1 1.18 29% 1.2 .33 26% .41 74% .30 1.19 54% 22% 26% -10 -1 0.80 50% 1.4 .69 18% .47 83% .39
Dec
6		 New Hampshire D+ F F A+ F+ 44% 13% 44% B D- D- A+ B+ D A+ F C F D+ F D+ F 60% 5% 35% F F F B D+ F F A+ D-
1.07 38% 29% 42% -5 +1 0.95 23% 1.7 .40 17% .42 56% .24 1.15 59% 67% 35% +2 +3 1.14 33% 0.8 .25 13% .43 52% .22
Dec
10		 Maine F F A+ F F 27% 4% 69% B F A- D+ B F B- F+ C F D+ F F F 43% 29% 29% B- F F+ A+ A- B C+ F D-
0.95 42% 50% 23% -16 +1 0.73 44% 1.0 .44 24% .34 63% .21 1.11 61% 50% 58% +15 -1 1.31 24% 0.4 .10 22% .31 80% .25
Dec
13		 Dartmouth F+ F+ D D- F+ 35% 12% 53% C+ F+ B+ F D D- B- F D+ F+ C B+ F F 29% 15% 56% C F+ D+ A+ B+ F F C+ F
0.97 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.7 .23 15% .31 59% .18 1.17 57% 29% 44% +7 0 1.17 26% 0.8 .19 14% .46 73% .34
Dec
21		 Umass Lowell A A+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 20% 33% C A+ C- A+ A+ F+ A+ D+ A F D+ F D- F 47% 19% 34% D+ F C+ F D+ D F A+ C-
1.35 76% 67% 47% +20 +1 1.44 30% 1.8 .55 17% .37 70% .26 1.16 59% 67% 38% +8 +1 1.19 30% 1.3 .37 17% .39 52% .20
Dec
31		 Navy B+ C A+ C- A 27% 34% 39% F+ B+ F A+ F+ A+ D- A+ D+ F D+ D- F F 30% 20% 50% C F C+ A+ A- F F C F
1.14 60% 58% 32% +6 -3 1.09 13% 1.5 .19 12% .20 83% .17 1.22 62% 44% 45% +11 -1 1.23 29% 0.8 .24 13% .51 73% .38
Jan
3		 American D C- F C- F 27% 18% 55% D+ F D+ A+ B A D C- D D A F F F 39% 20% 41% B- F+ A+ A- A D- B- F C
1.05 58% 0% 33% -7 0 0.86 29% 1.3 .37 14% .33 71% .24 1.09 44% 67% 42% +5 0 1.13 14% 0.8 .11 14% .24 83% .20
Jan
7		 Lafayette A- D A+ A+ A+ 38% 29% 33% D+ A C- D- D+ C+ C- C- C- C D F A+ C 52% 16% 32% D C- A A A- F B- A+ A
1.26 55% 53% 53% +12 -1 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 14% .26 73% .19 1.02 62% 56% 17% -3 +2 0.98 18% 0.7 .13 8% .26 50% .13
Jan
10		 Army A+ B A+ A+ A+ 44% 8% 48% A- A+ F A+ C- D+ C A B F B F F F 31% 16% 53% B F C- F F+ F C F D
1.46 67% 50% 65% +27 +2 1.60 22% 1.5 .33 16% .36 81% .30 1.33 50% 44% 45% +7 0 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 10% .24 87% .21
Jan
14		 Lehigh C+ C A+ A- B+ 58% 16% 26% A- A- F F F B- A A A+ F A- F F D 35% 27% 38% C+ D A+ F C F D- F F
1.18 58% 67% 40% +7 +2 1.19 18% 0.7 .12 14% .39 81% .32 1.21 48% 50% 43% +5 -1 1.10 9% 2.3 .21 8% .32 87% .28
Jan
17		 Loyola Maryland F F F F F 33% 14% 53% C+ F F F F F C+ A+ A- C C+ F+ A+ B 42% 13% 45% C- B- C+ F F F F A+ D+
0.81 44% 29% 23% -15 0 0.73 22% 0.8 .17 23% .31 88% .28 1.05 55% 43% 25% -7 +1 0.91 26% 1.9 .49 11% .34 62% .21
Jan
21		 Lafayette D C A+ C+ C 44% 8% 48% A B- F C F+ F C F D D+ C+ A C C- 44% 13% 44% D+ C- C- A+ A F A+ F A+
1.08 61% 50% 36% +4 +2 1.13 22% 1.1 .25 20% .28 63% .17 1.02 56% 25% 33% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.5 .12 11% .14 78% .11
Jan
24		 Colgate C- A- A+ F A- 46% 15% 40% B A- F F F D- A+ B- A+ C- A D+ F D- 41% 30% 30% C+ D F C- F B+ A- A+ A
1.09 68% 86% 26% +7 +1 1.19 18% 0.6 .11 18% .45 74% .33 1.10 45% 44% 56% +6 -1 1.13 36% 1.0 .36 19% .20 58% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Navy F F C+ D F+ 44% 13% 44% A D+ B+ F C- F D F D- C C+ F C F+ 44% 22% 33% D F+ B A+ A+ B- A+ F A+
0.89 47% 40% 29% -8 +1 0.90 36% 0.8 .27 25% .21 67% .14 1.03 55% 70% 33% +5 0 1.13 27% 0.7 .19 20% .04 100% .04
Jan
31		 Bucknell A- B- F C- D 37% 17% 46% B- D+ D+ A+ B- A+ A+ A A+ F A F F F 39% 24% 37% B F D+ F F F F F F
1.26 64% 30% 33% 0 0 1.03 30% 1.3 .40 9% .42 83% .34 1.34 43% 62% 55% +11 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .38 10% .48 85% .41
Feb
2		 Holy Cross B A+ F+ A+ A+ 29% 36% 36% F A+ F F+ F B- A+ F B D A+ D- F C+ 38% 29% 33% D+ C+ D F F F A+ C+ A+
1.24 75% 33% 60% +17 -3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 12% .43 55% .23 1.10 35% 47% 41% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.2 .31 5% .15 75% .11
Feb
7		 Loyola Maryland D+ F A+ A+ B 30% 9% 62% B B B F C F B+ B A- C+ F A A+ F+ 37% 7% 56% D D- A+ A+ A+ F A- A+ A
1.12 50% 75% 41% +8 +1 1.19 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 78% .27 0.99 86% 25% 25% +2 +2 1.09 12% 0.0 .00 11% .19 58% .11
Feb
11		 Army A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 19% 40% C A+ F F F C A+ C A+ D A+ F B B+ 27% 6% 67% C B C+ F F F D D D-
1.36 82% 75% 47% +25 0 1.52 15% 0.7 .10 14% .49 73% .36 1.09 23% 100% 30% -9 +1 0.86 27% 1.5 .41 11% .29 75% .22
Feb
14		 Bucknell B C- F A+ A 28% 16% 56% C A- A+ F C- D A+ A+ A+ D- C+ F D+ F+ 45% 11% 43% F+ F A D B+ F A A+ A+
1.26 58% 29% 50% +12 0 1.26 48% 0.7 .33 20% .44 91% .40 1.06 54% 50% 35% 0 +2 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 12% .17 60% .10
Feb
16		 Colgate A+ F+ F A+ A 33% 14% 53% C A A- A+ A+ B F F F C+ A+ B F A+ 34% 30% 36% B A+ D- F F F A- F B-
1.48 50% 14% 54% +10 0 1.22 39% 1.8 .71 12% .16 63% .10 1.01 19% 36% 41% -10 -1 0.79 31% 1.2 .36 10% .20 90% .18
Feb
22		 Lehigh C+ B+ B- B+ B+ 45% 18% 37% B- B+ F+ F+ F B F A F F C+ D- F F 44% 20% 36% F+ F F A+ B D+ C F D-
1.14 64% 44% 39% +6 +1 1.16 26% 0.9 .22 14% .10 80% .08 1.19 55% 44% 50% +8 +1 1.20 31% 0.5 .15 17% .27 92% .25
Feb
25		 Holy Cross C+ A+ A+ D- B+ 42% 17% 42% C+ B+ D- A+ B- C- B- A B+ C A+ F C- D+ 25% 31% 44% B C- C+ A+ A+ F+ B+ C+ B+
1.23 75% 63% 30% +9 +1 1.21 22% 1.8 .39 14% .29 81% .24 0.99 15% 75% 35% +1 -2 1.00 20% 0.3 .06 13% .22 75% .16
Feb
28		 American C- A+ A B+ A 39% 14% 48% B- A F F F F F+ A D+ B- A+ F B- A 40% 4% 56% F+ B+ C A+ B+ F D- D+ D-
1.06 76% 50% 38% +12 +1 1.27 13% 0.3 .04 23% .30 80% .24 1.01 40% 50% 32% -8 +2 0.90 26% 0.6 .15 11% .31 78% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.1 9.0 91.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 16.0 91.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.0% 100.0% 16.0 1.1 98.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 34.8%
Lose Out 49.7%