Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#294
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#275
Pace60.2#353
Improvement-1.5#257

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#321
First Shot-5.5#323
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#187
Layup/Dunks-4.9#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#117
Freethrows-3.0#339
Improvement-2.3#303

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#222
First Shot-2.0#244
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#154
Layups/Dunks+0.7#144
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#266
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement+0.8#148
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 9.2% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 24.4% 33.9% 12.3%
.500 or above in Conference 57.2% 71.8% 38.5%
Conference Champion 3.1% 4.7% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.1% 2.6% 10.5%
First Four6.8% 7.9% 5.3%
First Round4.2% 5.3% 2.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Home) - 56.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 32 - 4
Quad 413 - 1315 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 206   Northeastern L 72-80 40%     0 - 1 -12.7 +2.7 -16.0
  Nov 08, 2024 311   @ San Diego L 60-74 45%     0 - 2 -20.1 -6.7 -15.0
  Nov 11, 2024 29   @ UCLA L 40-71 2%     0 - 3 -14.2 -24.9 +11.9
  Nov 16, 2024 257   Dartmouth W 78-50 53%     1 - 3 +20.0 +5.0 +15.9
  Nov 19, 2024 335   Wagner L 58-60 74%     1 - 4 -15.8 -10.2 -5.9
  Nov 23, 2024 261   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-71 35%     2 - 4 +0.8 -4.6 +5.3
  Nov 24, 2024 310   Howard W 69-62 55%     3 - 4 -1.6 -6.4 +5.4
  Dec 01, 2024 288   Sacred Heart L 65-73 58%     3 - 5 -17.4 -12.8 -4.7
  Dec 07, 2024 280   Albany W 80-74 OT 57%     4 - 5 -3.1 +3.0 -6.0
  Dec 13, 2024 198   @ Merrimack L 61-64 22%     4 - 6 -2.2 +5.9 -8.8
  Dec 21, 2024 203   @ Umass Lowell L 71-83 23%     4 - 7 -11.6 +3.1 -16.0
  Dec 29, 2024 199   @ Maine W 59-56 22%     5 - 7 +3.8 -2.2 +6.3
  Jan 02, 2025 281   @ Lafayette L 46-60 38%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -18.2 -18.9 -1.8
  Jan 05, 2025 297   Army W 71-63 60%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -1.9 -0.9 -0.4
  Jan 08, 2025 233   American W 60-54 48%     7 - 8 2 - 1 -0.6 -5.6 +6.1
  Jan 11, 2025 239   @ Colgate L 50-87 31%     7 - 9 2 - 2 -39.1 -22.5 -18.8
  Jan 15, 2025 267   Lehigh W 63-58 55%     8 - 9 3 - 2 -3.4 -2.4 -0.2
  Jan 18, 2025 297   @ Army L 62-68 41%     8 - 10 3 - 3 -11.0 -1.6 -10.5
  Jan 22, 2025 263   @ Navy L 47-62 35%     8 - 11 3 - 4 -18.2 -19.7 -1.0
  Jan 25, 2025 251   Bucknell W 85-82 OT 52%     9 - 11 4 - 4 -4.7 +13.5 -18.1
  Jan 27, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 69-59 67%     10 - 11 5 - 4 -1.8 -5.7 +4.7
  Feb 01, 2025 325   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-69 51%     10 - 12 5 - 5 -9.5 -8.5 -1.0
  Feb 05, 2025 263   Navy W 66-65 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 12, 2025 251   @ Bucknell L 62-66 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 239   Colgate L 66-67 51%    
  Feb 19, 2025 325   Loyola Maryland W 68-63 70%    
  Feb 22, 2025 233   @ American L 60-66 28%    
  Feb 26, 2025 267   @ Lehigh L 63-67 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 281   Lafayette W 64-62 58%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 1.4 0.4 3.1 1st
2nd 0.1 2.4 4.3 1.3 0.1 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 8.1 3.0 0.1 12.5 3rd
4th 0.2 7.9 6.9 0.3 15.3 4th
5th 0.0 3.3 11.4 1.8 16.5 5th
6th 0.9 10.4 5.0 0.1 16.4 6th
7th 0.2 4.7 7.7 0.3 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 6.2 1.2 9.0 8th
9th 0.2 2.4 2.0 0.1 4.7 9th
10th 0.6 1.1 0.1 1.7 10th
Total 0.8 5.2 13.9 22.8 25.9 19.3 8.8 2.7 0.4 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 88.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 50.9% 1.4    0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0
11-7 13.7% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
10-8 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.4% 20.9% 20.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
12-6 2.7% 14.7% 14.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 2.3
11-7 8.8% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2 7.6
10-8 19.3% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 2.3 17.0
9-9 25.9% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.0 2.1 23.8
8-10 22.8% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 1.1 21.8
7-11 13.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 13.5
6-12 5.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.2
5-13 0.8% 0.8
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.6 92.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%