Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#288
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#282
Pace60.4#361
Improvement-3.2#343

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#140
First Shot+1.1#145
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#192
Layup/Dunks-3.9#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#24
Freethrows-1.6#281
Improvement-1.6#303

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#353
First Shot-7.5#360
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#189
Layups/Dunks-3.1#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#196
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#313
Freethrows-0.8#241
Improvement-1.6#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 12.5% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 32.3% 51.2% 25.8%
.500 or above in Conference 64.6% 81.7% 58.8%
Conference Champion 9.0% 19.2% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 2.1% 7.3%
First Four5.9% 7.1% 5.5%
First Round6.0% 8.9% 5.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Away) - 25.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 413 - 1114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 205 @Northeastern W 76-75 OT 26%     1 - 0 +1.1 -1.1 +2.2
  Fri, Nov 7 57 @Northwestern L 52-76 5%     1 - 1 -12.0 -7.3 -8.5
  Wed, Nov 12 226 Brown W 90-77 51%     2 - 1 +6.0 +26.2 -19.0
  Sat, Nov 15 263 Merrimack L 79-91 58%     2 - 2 -20.7 +10.2 -31.9
  Tue, Nov 18 142 @Columbia L 49-54 15%     2 - 3 -0.8 -12.6 +11.0
  Sat, Nov 22 192 Harvard W 75-74 33%     3 - 3 -1.1 +8.6 -9.6
  Tue, Nov 25 126 @Penn St. L 87-96 13%     3 - 4 -3.7 +23.6 -28.2
  Sat, Nov 29 208 @Northern Kentucky L 65-74 27%     3 - 5 -9.1 +0.7 -10.9
  Sat, Dec 6 335 @New Hampshire L 82-88 OT 54%     3 - 6 -13.6 +1.1 -14.2
  Wed, Dec 10 342 Maine L 59-69 77%     3 - 7 -24.5 -9.7 -16.1
  Sat, Dec 13 247 @Dartmouth L 64-77 32%     3 - 8 -14.9 -4.8 -11.0
  Sun, Dec 21 304 Umass Lowell W 88-76 66%     4 - 8 +1.0 +15.2 -13.3
  Wed, Dec 31 203 @Navy L 67-74 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 268 American W 74-72 58%    
  Wed, Jan 7 321 @Lafayette L 71-72 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 331 Army W 76-69 73%    
  Wed, Jan 14 315 Lehigh W 73-68 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 329 @Loyola Maryland W 75-74 52%    
  Wed, Jan 21 321 Lafayette W 75-69 71%    
  Sat, Jan 24 181 @Colgate L 68-76 23%    
  Wed, Jan 28 203 Navy L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 308 @Bucknell L 70-71 45%    
  Mon, Feb 2 326 @Holy Cross W 72-71 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 329 Loyola Maryland W 78-72 72%    
  Wed, Feb 11 331 @Army W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 308 Bucknell W 73-68 67%    
  Mon, Feb 16 181 Colgate L 71-73 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 315 @Lehigh L 70-71 48%    
  Wed, Feb 25 326 Holy Cross W 74-68 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 268 @American L 71-75 36%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.6 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.8 3.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.4 6.3 3.3 0.8 0.1 15.5 3rd
4th 0.4 4.3 6.6 2.8 0.4 0.0 14.6 4th
5th 0.2 3.3 6.4 2.7 0.2 12.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 5.9 2.7 0.2 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.1 2.8 0.3 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.8 6.5 9.3 12.7 14.3 14.5 12.5 9.9 6.9 4.1 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 98.0% 0.7    0.6 0.0
15-3 85.9% 1.4    1.2 0.3 0.0
14-4 64.7% 2.6    1.6 0.9 0.1
13-5 37.4% 2.6    1.0 1.2 0.4 0.0
12-6 13.2% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 5.0 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 24.6% 24.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 27.1% 27.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.7% 24.9% 24.9% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.3
14-4 4.1% 22.8% 22.8% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 3.1
13-5 6.9% 19.0% 19.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 5.6
12-6 9.9% 15.7% 15.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.4 8.3
11-7 12.5% 11.6% 11.6% 16.0 0.0 1.4 11.1
10-8 14.5% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2 13.3
9-9 14.3% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9 13.3
8-10 12.7% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.5 12.2
7-11 9.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 9.1
6-12 6.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 6.4
5-13 3.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-14 1.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-15 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 7.9 91.1 0.0%