Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
224 Bucknell 0.0%   18 - 15 13 - 5 18 - 15 13 - 5 -3.4      -2.3 233 -1.1 205 68.6 163 -4.3 235 -1.8 2
249 American 54.0%   16   19 - 12 13 - 5 20 - 12 13 - 5 -4.8      -3.4 258 -1.4 217 60.7 348 -1.9 189 -1.7 1
256 Colgate 0.0%   13 - 19 10 - 8 13 - 19 10 - 8 -5.1      -1.1 207 -4.0 294 67.2 207 -6.7 280 -5.8 6
265 Navy 46.0%   14 - 18 10 - 8 14 - 19 10 - 8 -5.7      -2.9 248 -2.8 261 67.3 202 -7.4 286 -5.7 5
280 Lehigh 0.0%   9 - 19 6 - 12 9 - 19 6 - 12 -6.7      -4.1 280 -2.7 255 67.8 190 -9.7 317 -10.9 9
286 Lafayette 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 11 12 - 20 7 - 11 -7.2      -5.9 322 -1.4 216 65.7 244 -9.4 313 -9.5 7
297 Boston University 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 8 15 - 16 10 - 8 -7.7      -5.2 310 -2.6 250 60.6 350 -6.5 276 -5.5 4
309 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   11 - 19 6 - 12 11 - 19 6 - 12 -8.9      -4.6 296 -4.3 302 66.3 224 -9.4 314 -10.6 8
319 Holy Cross 0.0%   11 - 19 5 - 13 11 - 19 5 - 13 -9.5      -3.7 271 -5.8 334 65.0 266 -8.1 301 -12.1 10
323 Army 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 8 14 - 15 10 - 8 -9.7      -5.0 302 -4.7 310 68.5 171 -6.1 266 -5.3 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Bucknell 1.0 100.0
American 1.0 100.0
Colgate 3.0 100.0
Navy 3.0 100.0
Lehigh 8.0 100.0
Lafayette 7.0 100.0
Boston University 3.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 8.0 100.0
Holy Cross 10.0 100.0
Army 3.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bucknell 13 - 5 100.0
American 13 - 5 100.0
Colgate 10 - 8 100.0
Navy 10 - 8 100.0
Lehigh 6 - 12 100.0
Lafayette 7 - 11 100.0
Boston University 10 - 8 100.0
Loyola Maryland 6 - 12 100.0
Holy Cross 5 - 13 100.0
Army 10 - 8 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0
American 100.0% 100.0
Colgate
Navy
Lehigh
Lafayette
Boston University
Loyola Maryland
Holy Cross
Army


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 54.0% 54.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 1.6 52.4 46.0 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 46.0% 46.0% 0.0% 46.0 54.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 54.0% 39.0% 33.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 46.0% 46.0% 24.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 58.2% 0.6 41.8 58.2
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0