Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
146 Navy 50.9%   15   22 - 6 16 - 1 +0.9      -2.1 228 +3.0 92 64.2 298 +1.7 135 +7.1 1
250 Colgate 17.2%   15 - 13 11 - 6 -4.9      -1.5 208 -3.4 276 67.4 214 -4.3 239 -5.1 2
251 American 10.0%   14 - 14 9 - 8 -5.0      -2.7 246 -2.3 241 67.0 226 -5.8 253 -7.4 4
258 Boston University 8.9%   13 - 16 9 - 8 -5.4      +1.6 124 -7.0 348 60.4 355 -7.9 290 -7.8 5
295 Lehigh 7.1%   12 - 16 10 - 7 -8.0      -4.7 295 -3.3 274 67.5 213 -7.2 277 -5.1 3
319 Loyola Maryland 1.7%   9 - 19 7 - 10 -10.1      -4.1 280 -6.0 329 70.1 135 -11.8 336 -9.7 7
323 Lafayette 2.1%   9 - 20 7 - 10 -10.3      -6.2 327 -4.1 295 66.3 245 -10.4 324 -9.2 6
327 Holy Cross 1.0%   8 - 20 5 - 12 -10.6      -5.1 303 -5.4 323 65.0 276 -10.8 330 -12.4 9
334 Bucknell 0.6%   9 - 21 6 - 11 -11.6      -8.0 347 -3.6 281 68.0 195 -10.4 325 -11.2 8
341 Army 0.6%   9 - 19 5 - 12 -12.0      -5.3 308 -6.7 341 67.7 207 -10.8 329 -12.7 10


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 25 250 Colgate 69 323 Lafayette 70   
Wed, Feb 25 251 American 73 295 Lehigh 78   
Wed, Feb 25 258 Boston University 78 327 Holy Cross 63   
Wed, Feb 25 341 Army 73 334 Bucknell 75   
Wed, Feb 25 319 Loyola Maryland 51 146 Navy 78   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 28 251 American 74 258 Boston University 71 63%   
Sat, Feb 28 250 Colgate 65 146 Navy 74 80%   
Sat, Feb 28 327 Holy Cross 75 319 Loyola Maryland 73 60%   
Sat, Feb 28 341 Army 70 323 Lafayette 75 68%   
Sat, Feb 28 334 Bucknell 67 295 Lehigh 74 74%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Navy 1.0 100.0
Colgate 2.0 100.0
American 4.2 16.7 46.2 37.0
Boston University 4.5 9.3 27.7 63.0
Lehigh 2.4 58.5 41.5
Loyola Maryland 6.4 59.8 40.2
Lafayette 6.1 86.8 13.2
Holy Cross 8.7 44.5 42.3 13.2
Bucknell 7.8 5.0 14.0 81.0
Army 9.2 24.4 35.4 40.2

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Navy 17 - 1 23 - 6 20.8 79.2
Colgate 11 - 7 15 - 14 79.2 20.8
American 10 - 8 15 - 14 37.0 63.0
Boston University 9 - 9 13 - 17 63.0 37.0
Lehigh 11 - 7 13 - 16 26.0 74.0
Loyola Maryland 7 - 11 9 - 20 59.9 40.1
Lafayette 8 - 10 10 - 20 32.9 67.1
Holy Cross 6 - 12 9 - 20 40.1 59.9
Bucknell 6 - 12 9 - 22 74.0 26.0
Army 5 - 13 9 - 20 67.1 32.9

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Navy 100.0% 100.0
Colgate
American
Boston University
Lehigh
Loyola Maryland
Lafayette
Holy Cross
Bucknell
Army


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Navy 50.9% 50.9% 0.0% 15   0.3 10.0 30.1 10.3 0.2 49.1 0.0%
Colgate 17.2% 17.2% 0.0% 0.2 4.7 12.3 82.8 0.0%
American 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 1.2 8.8 90.0 0.0%
Boston University 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 0.1 8.8 91.1 0.0%
Lehigh 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0 7.1 92.9 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7 98.3 0.0%
Lafayette 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 2.1 97.9 0.0%
Holy Cross 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0 99.0 0.0%
Bucknell 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6 99.4 0.0%
Army 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6 99.4 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 84.5% 0.8 15.5 84.5
2nd Round 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Navy 50.9% 0.0% 50.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 17.2% 5.1% 14.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 10.0% 5.3% 7.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 8.9% 7.9% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 7.1% 6.7% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%