Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
140 Navy 53.1%   15   23 - 6 17 - 1 +1.2      -1.7 215 +2.9 92 64.2 295 +1.9 129 +7.3 1
252 Colgate 15.4%   15 - 14 11 - 7 -5.1      -1.5 203 -3.7 283 67.4 209 -4.5 240 -5.3 3
253 American 8.9%   14 - 15 9 - 9 -5.2      -3.3 255 -1.9 228 67.1 221 -6.4 265 -8.1 5
256 Boston University 8.7%   14 - 16 10 - 8 -5.2      +1.2 135 -6.4 341 60.4 355 -7.3 286 -6.7 4
290 Lehigh 7.2%   13 - 16 11 - 7 -7.7      -3.9 276 -3.8 286 67.5 208 -7.0 278 -5.0 2
313 Loyola Maryland 3.4%   10 - 19 8 - 10 -9.5      -4.0 277 -5.5 323 69.8 138 -11.2 334 -9.0 7
322 Lafayette 1.6%   10 - 20 8 - 10 -10.2      -6.1 323 -4.1 291 66.7 232 -10.0 319 -8.9 6
329 Holy Cross 1.0%   8 - 21 5 - 13 -11.2      -5.6 314 -5.6 325 64.6 282 -11.4 336 -13.2 10
334 Bucknell 0.4%   9 - 22 6 - 12 -11.7      -7.5 343 -4.3 298 68.0 193 -10.5 327 -11.6 8
339 Army 0.3%   9 - 20 5 - 13 -12.1      -5.3 307 -6.8 345 68.1 191 -11.1 333 -13.1 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 334 Bucknell 79 290 Lehigh 89   
Sat, Feb 28 252 Colgate 69 140 Navy 85   
Sat, Feb 28 339 Army 77 322 Lafayette 83   
Sat, Feb 28 253 American 65 256 Boston University 68   
Sat, Feb 28 329 Holy Cross 62 313 Loyola Maryland 76   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Mar 3 329 Holy Cross 68 322 Lafayette 72 65%   
Tue, Mar 3 339 Army 71 334 Bucknell 75 63%   
Thu, Mar 5 253 American 70 256 Boston University 73 61%   
Thu, Mar 5 252 Colgate 80 313 Loyola Maryland 73 76%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Navy 1.0 100.0
Colgate 2.0 100.0
American 5.0 100.0
Boston University 4.0 100.0
Lehigh 2.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 6.6 35.4 64.6
Lafayette 5.4 64.6 35.4
Holy Cross 9.1 13.0 62.7 24.3
Bucknell 8.0 100.0
Army 8.9 37.3 40.3 22.4

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Navy 17 - 1 23 - 6 100.0
Colgate 11 - 7 16 - 14 100.0
American 9 - 9 14 - 16 100.0
Boston University 10 - 8 15 - 16 100.0
Lehigh 11 - 7 13 - 16 100.0
Loyola Maryland 8 - 10 10 - 20 100.0
Lafayette 9 - 10 11 - 20 35.4 64.6
Holy Cross 5 - 14 8 - 22 64.6 35.4
Bucknell 7 - 12 10 - 22 37.3 62.7
Army 5 - 14 9 - 21 62.7 37.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Navy 100.0% 100.0
Colgate
American
Boston University
Lehigh
Loyola Maryland
Lafayette
Holy Cross
Bucknell
Army


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Navy 53.1% 53.1% 0.0% 15   0.3 10.0 33.6 9.2 0.1 46.9 0.0%
Colgate 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 0.0 4.7 10.7 84.6 0.0%
American 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 0.5 8.4 91.1 0.0%
Boston University 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 0.1 8.6 91.3 0.0%
Lehigh 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 7.2 92.8 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4 96.6 0.0%
Lafayette 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 1.6 98.4 0.0%
Holy Cross 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0 99.0 0.0%
Bucknell 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%
Army 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 84.2% 0.8 15.8 84.2
2nd Round 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Navy 53.1% 0.0% 53.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 15.4% 4.0% 13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 8.9% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 8.7% 7.3% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 7.2% 6.8% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 3.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 1.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%