Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#310
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#157
Pace64.3#299
Improvement-0.4#205

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#219
First Shot-1.1#203
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#215
Layup/Dunks-7.5#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#17
Freethrows-2.5#318
Improvement-1.4#291

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#350
First Shot-4.0#309
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#338
Layups/Dunks-8.4#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#153
Freethrows+2.4#47
Improvement+1.0#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.0% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 36.4% 45.3% 22.1%
.500 or above in Conference 34.0% 42.7% 20.0%
Conference Champion 3.8% 5.3% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 23.8% 15.7% 36.9%
First Four2.4% 2.9% 1.7%
First Round2.6% 3.2% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Home) - 61.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 412 - 1014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 36   @ Wisconsin L 61-85 2%     0 - 1 -8.7 -4.0 -5.8
  Nov 08, 2024 99   @ Rhode Island L 77-91 7%     0 - 2 -5.5 +4.7 -9.5
  Nov 15, 2024 284   Sacred Heart W 82-75 44%     1 - 2 +0.2 +15.5 -14.4
  Nov 16, 2024 156   @ Brown W 73-65 15%     2 - 2 +11.0 +6.5 +5.0
  Nov 17, 2024 356   New Hampshire W 74-72 67%     3 - 2 -10.9 +6.3 -16.9
  Nov 24, 2024 212   @ Maine L 55-80 20%     3 - 3 -24.5 -13.7 -11.5
  Nov 29, 2024 90   @ Virginia L 41-67 6%     3 - 4 -16.8 -14.6 -7.8
  Dec 04, 2024 231   Harvard W 68-67 44%     4 - 4 -5.7 -2.3 -3.3
  Dec 07, 2024 221   Central Connecticut St. L 56-69 41%     4 - 5 -19.0 -9.4 -11.3
  Dec 17, 2024 245   @ Quinnipiac W 70-69 27%     5 - 5 -0.8 -1.0 +0.2
  Dec 20, 2024 305   @ Siena W 78-70 37%     6 - 5 +3.2 +13.4 -9.2
  Jan 02, 2025 313   Loyola Maryland W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 05, 2025 242   @ American L 65-72 26%    
  Jan 08, 2025 302   Navy W 74-72 59%    
  Jan 11, 2025 246   @ Lafayette L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 15, 2025 264   @ Bucknell L 66-72 30%    
  Jan 18, 2025 242   American L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 22, 2025 299   Army W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 25, 2025 313   @ Loyola Maryland L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 27, 2025 256   @ Boston University L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 01, 2025 244   Lehigh L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 05, 2025 299   @ Army L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 256   Boston University L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 12, 2025 223   Colgate L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 244   @ Lehigh L 71-78 28%    
  Feb 19, 2025 246   Lafayette L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 23, 2025 302   @ Navy L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 26, 2025 223   @ Colgate L 66-74 23%    
  Mar 01, 2025 264   Bucknell W 69-68 51%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.7 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.0 3.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 5.4 1.5 0.1 9.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 6.0 2.7 0.2 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.7 4.2 0.4 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.8 5.1 0.8 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.6 5.4 4.9 1.1 0.0 14.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.8 4.7 3.4 0.9 0.0 15.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.4 7.5 10.6 13.3 13.8 13.7 11.9 8.7 6.3 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 98.1% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-4 82.7% 0.7    0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 59.4% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 28.1% 1.1    0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-7 5.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 44.7% 44.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 27.4% 27.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.9% 21.6% 21.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7
13-5 2.0% 17.9% 17.9% 15.5 0.2 0.2 1.7
12-6 3.8% 12.9% 12.9% 15.8 0.1 0.4 3.3
11-7 6.3% 11.2% 11.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 5.6
10-8 8.7% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 8.1
9-9 11.9% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 11.2
8-10 13.7% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.2
7-11 13.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.6
6-12 13.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.1
5-13 10.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.5
4-14 7.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.4
3-15 4.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.6 3.4 95.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%