Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.7 248
Expected Predictive Rating -5.0 244
Pace 64.5 295
Improvement +3.2 57

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #291 D- C D+ B D-
Defense C #176 C- C+ C D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 298 53% 296 -4.1 314
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 35 34% 303 +2.2 68
Three Pointers 36% 273 31% 278 -3.7 306
1st FG Attempt 0.91 331 -5.6 331
Second Chance 33.7% 88 0.93 309 0.31 176
Turnovers 18.2% 270
Freethrows 0.35 56 73% 162 0.25 66
Total Offense -4.4 291

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 88 66% 343 -5.6 346
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 162 36% 104 +0.2 170
Three Pointers 37% 300 32% 89 +3.3 54
1st FG Attempt 1.06 246 -2.1 246
Second Chance 29.2% 118 1.00 136 0.29 117
Turnovers 17.0% 178
Freethrows 0.39 356 67% 14 0.26 321
Total Defense -0.2 176

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.4 333 +0.2 207
Shot Type Accuracy -4.2 317 +1.8 247
Possession Length 18.7 323 16.9 129
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 174 0.21 301
Improvement -1.1 #251 +4.3 #18

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 7% 10% 1%
.500 or above in Conference 46% 62% 22%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round1% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Neutral) - 59.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 411 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 268 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86 - 90 44% -6  17% 0 - 1 D+ -7 C- -2 C- D+ F D+ -4 C- D+ F+
 Tue, Nov 11 23 @Virginia L 53 - 91 2% -24  0% 0 - 2 F -19 F -11 F B C+ F+ -10 D- F A-
 Fri, Nov 14 278 @Brown W 72 - 63 47% +4  68% 1 - 2 B- +5 B +6 F+ A+ D+ C -0 F D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 321 Holy Cross L 61 - 67 70% -0  39% 1 - 3 F+ -16 F+ -8 F+ C+ F F+ -9 F+ F B+
 Tue, Nov 18 129 @Boston College L 52 - 63 18% -12  0% 1 - 4 D+ -6 F -12 F+ B F B +5 A C- C
 Fri, Nov 21 307 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 62 54% -2  13% 1 - 5 D+ -8 F+ -8 C- D D C +0 D+ B F
 Tue, Nov 25 348 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74 - 68 68% +10  90% 2 - 5 C- -3 B +7 C C- B+ F+ -10 C F+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 312 Loyola Maryland W 93 - 71 76% +15  98% 3 - 5 B +10 B +7 A+ F D+ C+ +2 A+ F A
 Sat, Dec 13 237 Howard L 57 - 61 48% -3  11% 3 - 6 D -8 F -15 F F+ B- B+ +7 C A+ D+
 Thu, Dec 18 343 Jackson St. W 84 - 77 76% +5  86% 4 - 6 D+ -5 C- -0 D A F D+ -5 F B- D
 Fri, Dec 19 285 Grambling St. L 72 - 81 59% -7  3% 4 - 7 F+ -16 C +1 B F D- F -17 F F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 213 Stony Brook W 62 - 59 55% -2  20% 5 - 7 1 - 0 C- -3 F -10 D- B D+ B+ +7 F+ A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 172 Towson W 63 - 62 47% +1  52% 6 - 7 2 - 0 C- -3 C- -2 D+ B- F+ C -1 B+ C- D
 Sat, Jan 3 113 @UNC Wilmington L 45 - 49 15% -4  12% 6 - 8 2 - 1 C+ +2 F -20 F F C+ A+ +22 A- A B+
 Thu, Jan 8 192 @Campbell L 72 - 86 29% -13  6% 6 - 9 2 - 2 D- -13 F+ -9 D C+ F C- -3 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 156 @College of Charleston L 70 - 74 24% -5  0% 6 - 10 2 - 3 C -1 B- +4 D- B+ C+ D -6 D- D+ F+
 Mon, Jan 19 286 N.C. A&T W 82 - 61 70% +5  64% 7 - 10 3 - 3 B +11 B+ +9 D A A+ B- +4 C A+ F+
 Thu, Jan 22 208 Monmouth W 65 - 63 54% +3  80% 8 - 10 4 - 3 C- -4 D -6 F B C+ C+ +2 D D A+
 Sat, Jan 24 113 UNC Wilmington L 67 - 75 32% -3  19% 8 - 11 4 - 4 D+ -8 C+ +2 C+ B+ C+ F -11 D F+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 217 @Drexel L 51 - 58 32% -3  21% 8 - 12 4 - 5 D+ -7 F -15 F+ F F B+ +7 A D C
 Sat, Jan 31 172 @Towson L 50 - 82 25% -18  0% 8 - 13 4 - 6 F -30 F -19 F F B F -13 F A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 215 Elon W 87 - 79 2OT 55% +0  35% 9 - 13 5 - 6 C+ +2 D -5 F A B+ B +6 B A- C
 Sat, Feb 7 145 William & Mary W 77 - 74 39% -1  36% 10 - 13 6 - 6 C +1 C- -2 D A- B B- +3 B B C-
 Fri, Feb 13 286 N.C. A&T W 73 - 70 60%
 Thu, Feb 19 117 @Hofstra L 63 - 74 16%
 Sat, Feb 21 213 @Stony Brook L 64 - 69 33%
 Thu, Feb 26 156 College of Charleston L 69 - 71 44%
 Sat, Feb 28 269 Northeastern W 76 - 72 66%
 Tue, Mar 3 145 @William & Mary L 72 - 81 21%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -5 D+ -4 D- C D+ C +0 C- C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ D+ D+ D 34% 29% 36% D- D- B- D C D+ B C+ B C F+ B- B- D+ 42% 21% 37% C- C- C+ C+ C+ C F+ A- D
1.02 53% 34% 31% -4 -1 0.91 34% 0.9 .31 18% .35 73% .25 1.09 66% 36% 32% +2 0 1.06 29% 1.0 .29 17% .39 67% .23
Nov
3		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C- F A- A- C- 40% 21% 38% D+ C- B+ F D+ F A+ C A+ D+ D- A+ B- C 40% 18% 42% D- C- F A- D+ F+ F A+ F
1.08 48% 45% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.8 .30 23% .55 74% .41 1.13 64% 20% 30% -3 0 0.96 41% 0.9 .37 11% .60 55% .33
Nov
11		 Virginia F F D- F F 38% 19% 43% B+ F C- A+ B C+ F F F F+ C- B- F D 53% 10% 37% F+ D- F C F A- C- F D-
0.79 35% 30% 22% -18 0 0.66 24% 1.2 .29 16% .20 64% .12 1.36 62% 40% 44% +8 +2 1.22 52% 1.1 .59 19% .31 82% .26
Nov
14		 Brown B F A+ F D- 43% 32% 25% D F+ A+ D+ A+ D+ A+ B A+ C F A- F+ F 50% 10% 40% F F D- B- D+ A+ F A+ D+
1.13 37% 64% 18% -7 -1 0.86 53% 0.9 .47 19% .54 79% .43 0.99 70% 25% 38% +7 +2 1.20 33% 1.0 .33 30% .34 60% .20
Nov
16		 Holy Cross F+ D D+ D- F+ 44% 18% 38% C+ F+ A+ F C+ F A A+ A+ F+ F B+ B- D- 39% 22% 39% F+ F+ B- F F B+ D- F F
1.03 55% 38% 29% -4 +1 0.96 43% 0.8 .34 19% .35 94% .33 1.13 75% 33% 31% +4 0 1.10 19% 1.8 .33 20% .32 100% .32
Nov
18		 Boston College F B F+ F D- 27% 29% 44% F+ F+ A- C- B F C- F F B B- F A+ A 31% 20% 49% C- A C- C- C- C D- F F+
0.80 62% 29% 19% -12 -2 0.75 36% 0.9 .31 22% .28 43% .12 0.97 53% 60% 17% -10 -1 0.82 31% 1.0 .31 15% .35 74% .26
Nov
21		 Norfolk St. F+ A+ D- B C+ 21% 28% 51% F C- D+ D D D D- F F C B C F D+ 43% 30% 27% C D+ B- A- B F F A+ C+
0.97 78% 33% 36% +5 -2 1.07 29% 0.9 .26 19% .30 53% .16 1.00 47% 38% 42% -1 -1 0.98 28% 0.8 .22 15% .42 50% .21
Nov
25		 Maryland Eastern Shore B C C B+ B- 38% 28% 33% D- C F+ A+ C- B+ A+ C+ A+ F+ B A- D- C 40% 29% 31% C+ C B- F F+ F F C- F
1.21 60% 36% 38% +3 -1 1.05 24% 1.4 .34 13% .62 76% .47 1.11 50% 31% 36% -4 -1 0.91 26% 1.3 .35 11% .42 74% .31
Dec
3		 Loyola Maryland B A+ F A+ A+ 35% 33% 33% F+ A+ C- F F D+ A+ D A+ C+ F A+ A+ A+ 25% 20% 55% A A+ F F F A F A+ F
1.27 81% 27% 67% +20 -2 1.39 31% 0.6 .19 16% .59 69% .41 0.97 91% 11% 17% -11 -1 0.77 37% 1.3 .47 23% .59 61% .35
Dec
13		 Howard F D- F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F C F F+ B- A+ C- A+ B+ D A+ A+ B- 66% 7% 27% F C A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ F
0.84 50% 14% 6% -24 +1 0.55 33% 0.7 .24 18% .77 70% .54 0.90 59% 0% 17% -9 +4 0.91 23% 0.1 .03 19% .60 64% .38
Dec
18		 Jackson St. C- F D A+ D+ 30% 30% 41% F D C- A+ A F A+ A+ A+ D+ F F B F 33% 22% 44% D F A F+ B- D C D- C-
1.17 38% 31% 50% +2 -2 1.02 34% 1.5 .52 21% .55 84% .46 1.07 67% 58% 29% +4 -1 1.09 19% 1.2 .22 17% .27 81% .22
Dec
19		 Grambling St. C A D- A A- 39% 28% 33% F+ B A- F F D- A+ B+ A+ F F F A+ F 61% 15% 24% F F F F F B- F D F
1.08 72% 31% 40% +7 -1 1.13 42% 0.4 .16 23% .45 78% .35 1.22 72% 50% 20% +5 +2 1.17 36% 1.3 .48 23% .58 77% .45
Dec
29		 Stony Brook F A A+ F D- 31% 27% 42% D- D- D A+ B D+ B+ F C- B+ C+ B+ F D 50% 7% 43% F F+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C
0.96 71% 50% 16% -4 -1 0.91 26% 1.4 .35 17% .36 58% .21 0.92 52% 33% 44% +4 +3 1.14 23% 0.3 .06 25% .41 45% .19
Dec
31		 Towson C- A+ F F C- 33% 30% 37% D- D+ A- D B- F+ A+ B A+ C D- C A+ B+ 32% 34% 34% B B+ D+ C C- D F B F
1.04 79% 23% 25% -3 -2 0.93 34% 0.9 .31 20% .41 75% .31 1.03 64% 40% 13% -8 -2 0.82 38% 0.8 .31 15% .51 65% .33
Jan
3		 UNC Wilmington F F+ D F F 33% 35% 33% D F D F F C+ F+ B D- A+ F+ C A+ B+ 29% 33% 38% A A- A- A- A B+ F+ A+ A+
0.75 50% 35% 13% -14 -2 0.69 22% 0.7 .15 13% .17 78% .14 0.82 67% 36% 19% -7 -2 0.83 28% 0.9 .26 18% .43 38% .16
Jan
8		 Campbell F+ B- F+ D- D 47% 30% 23% D+ D B D+ C+ F A+ B A+ C- A+ B- F D+ 42% 13% 46% C D+ C A+ A+ C- F F F
0.97 65% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.00 35% 1.1 .39 28% .49 77% .38 1.16 40% 33% 45% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.4 .14 18% .62 84% .52
Jan
10		 College of Charleston B- C+ B+ F D 25% 37% 37% F D- A+ D- B+ C+ B- C+ B- D F D+ B+ F+ 32% 24% 44% B- D- A+ F D+ F+ F C+ F
1.11 62% 42% 21% -5 -3 0.86 45% 0.9 .39 13% .25 71% .18 1.18 85% 40% 28% +5 -1 1.10 17% 2.0 .35 13% .55 73% .40
Jan
19		 N.C. A&T B+ A+ D+ F C 19% 42% 40% F D A- A A A+ D- A+ C+ B- A- A- F C 41% 33% 25% C+ C A- A+ A+ F+ A+ B+ A+
1.27 90% 36% 29% +2 -4 0.98 34% 1.2 .42 6% .26 88% .23 0.95 48% 29% 46% -2 -1 0.94 24% 0.6 .13 16% .24 69% .17
Jan
22		 Monmouth D F F A+ F 35% 28% 37% F+ F D+ A+ B C+ A+ B A+ C+ F+ A D D- 33% 26% 41% C+ D D D+ D A+ B+ A+ A+
1.01 40% 17% 44% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.3 .38 19% .42 77% .32 0.98 67% 25% 37% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 25% .25 42% .10
Jan
24		 UNC Wilmington C+ B+ C C- B- 24% 31% 45% D- C+ B- A B+ C+ F F F F F B- A D 44% 29% 27% C D C+ F F+ D+ F C F
1.12 67% 40% 32% +1 -2 1.00 30% 1.3 .39 13% .15 63% .10 1.25 72% 33% 27% +2 -1 1.05 33% 1.4 .47 13% .52 70% .37
Jan
29		 Drexel F F A+ F D- 39% 37% 24% F+ F+ B F F F F+ A D+ B+ B- C+ A+ A 45% 33% 21% B+ A C+ F D C F F+ F
0.82 37% 50% 25% -7 -2 0.84 37% 0.1 .05 21% .24 83% .20 0.93 53% 36% 22% -7 -1 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 19% .44 73% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Towson F F F B- F 40% 25% 35% C- F C- F F B B F D F F D- F F 40% 30% 30% C- F A+ A+ A+ D- F A+ F
0.76 32% 25% 35% -13 0 0.75 24% 0.5 .11 14% .32 50% .16 1.25 75% 47% 47% +15 -1 1.30 26% 0.5 .13 14% .44 60% .26
Feb
5		 Elon D F F+ F F 33% 30% 37% D- F B- A+ A B+ A+ C- A+ B F A+ C+ C+ 31% 31% 38% A+ B B- A+ A- C F A+ D-
1.10 42% 29% 29% -11 -2 0.77 36% 1.5 .53 13% .54 70% .38 1.00 76% 24% 33% +1 -2 1.00 30% 0.8 .23 16% .46 60% .27
Feb
7		 William & Mary C- D+ F A+ C- 35% 28% 37% F D C+ A+ A- B A+ C+ A+ B- F+ F A+ B+ 55% 13% 32% D B A+ F B C- F B F
1.08 56% 23% 41% -1 -1 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 17% .52 71% .37 1.04 69% 67% 7% -3 +2 1.00 17% 1.6 .27 17% .54 72% .39



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 0.2 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 1.9 0.1 3.1 3rd
4th 0.2 5.0 0.6 5.7 4th
5th 2.2 5.3 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.1 8.2 2.0 10.4 6th
7th 2.9 11.9 0.3 15.0 7th
8th 0.4 11.0 5.0 0.0 16.4 8th
9th 0.1 4.3 13.3 0.6 18.3 9th
10th 1.4 10.0 4.1 0.0 15.6 10th
11th 2.8 3.4 0.1 6.4 11th
12th 0.3 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 4.7 18.2 31.6 28.1 13.9 3.3 0.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 14.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.4% 14.3% 14.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 3.3% 5.7% 5.7% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 3.1
10-8 13.9% 2.7% 2.7% 15.3 0.3 0.1 13.5
9-9 28.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.5 0.2 0.2 27.7
8-10 31.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.3 31.3
7-11 18.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 18.1
6-12 4.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 4.6
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.5 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.0%