Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +17.4 21
Results Rating +20.9 10
Consistency 0.16 211
Pace 64.7 279
Improvement -0.6 210

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 37 B A B- C B
Defense A- 17 A A- C B- A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 157 B- 61% 93 +1.7 112
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 333 A 47% 14 -1.9 274
Three Pointers 48% 41 B- 36% 88 +5.3 31
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 47 B +3.9 67
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 54
Second Chance A 39.5% 8 B- 1.11 68 A 0.44 11
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 141
Other Turnovers B+ 5.9% 38
Turnovers B- 15.0% 73
Freethrows C 0.31 171 C 73% 184 C 0.22 160
Total Offense B+ +8.3 37

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 53% 97 B- 9.5% 99
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 43% 15 B- 3.6% 78
Three Pointers B- 88% 103 C 0.9% 184
Total B+ 65% 33 B- 4.6% 66


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 281 A 46% 7 -6.1 19
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 18 B- 36% 90 +2.2 335
Three Pointers 37% 299 A- 30% 25 -4.6 19
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.2 24 A -7.3 8
1st FG Attempt A 0.85 8
Second Chance B+ 25.7% 31 A- 0.88 16 A- 0.22 14
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.3% 118
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 267
Turnovers C 16.9% 165
Freethrows B- 0.27 79 D+ 74% 290 B- 0.20 103
Total Defense A- +9.1 17

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 97 A+ 23.5% 3
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 162 C+ 6.0% 99
Three Pointers B 79% 58 B+ 1.8% 44
Total B 49% 49 A+ 10.6% 6

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 73 19.5 363
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 53 0.16 134
Consistency 0.12 115 0.12 178
Improvement -3.5 331 +2.8 54

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 22 20 14
Results Rating Rank 15 11 6
Conference Record 14 - 4 15 - 3 15 - 3
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed 6 4 2
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Final 4

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 1% 1% 0%
Top 2 Seed 11% 12% 3%
Top 4 Seed 72% 76% 53%
Top 6 Seed 100% 100% 98%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 3.8 3.7 4.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round92% 92% 87%
Sweet Sixteen50% 51% 44%
Elite Eight16% 17% 13%
Final Four6% 6% 4%
Championship Game2% 2% 1%
National Champion0% 1% 0%
Next Game: Virginia Tech (Home) - 83.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 24 - 2
Quad 1b4 - 27 - 4
Quad 28 - 116 - 5
Quad 36 - 021 - 5
Quad 47 - 028 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 356 Rider W 87 - 53 100% +17  95% 1 - 0 A- +16 A +11 D+ A+ A A- +8 B- B A
 Fri, Nov 7 347 NC Central W 81 - 62 99% +19  100% 2 - 0 C+ +3 B +6 C- A C- C -1 A B- F+
 Tue, Nov 11 263 Hampton W 91 - 53 98% +24  98% 3 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +17 A- A+ D- A+ +14 A+ C D+
 Sat, Nov 15 189 Marshall W 104 - 78 97% +20  99% 4 - 0 A +21 A+ +15 A- A+ A B +4 A+ F B
 Fri, Nov 21 69 Northwestern W 83 - 78 80% -1  35% 5 - 0 B+ +14 A- +11 D A B+ B- +3 B- B D
 Sun, Nov 23 79 Butler L 73 - 80 82% -5  1% 5 - 1 C +1 C +1 D- A A C -0 D- A+ A
 Fri, Nov 28 202 Queens W 94 - 69 97% +18  99% 6 - 1 A +20 A+ +19 A+ B B B- +3 A+ F B-
 Wed, Dec 3 27 @Texas W 88 - 69 47% +16  91% 7 - 1 A+ +37 A+ +23 A+ A+ A A+ +15 A+ B+ F+
 Sat, Dec 6 75 Dayton W 86 - 73 82% +6  70% 8 - 1 A +21 A +12 A+ A+ F A- +8 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 9 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 84 - 60 99% +16  97% 9 - 1 B- +8 B +7 A- C- A+ C+ +1 C C+ C-
 Sat, Dec 20 107 Maryland W 80 - 72 93% +4  66% 10 - 1 B +9 B+ +9 B- C- A C+ +1 D- B- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 255 American W 95 - 51 98% +22  97% 11 - 1 A+ +36 A+ +26 A+ A+ A A+ +15 A+ C+ C-
 Wed, Dec 31 56 @Virginia Tech L 85 - 95 3OT 67% -2  22% 11 - 2 0 - 1 C+ +3 D- -7 D- D C+ A+ +13 A+ C- C
 Sat, Jan 3 34 @North Carolina St. W 76 - 61 51% +13  95% 12 - 2 1 - 1 A+ +32 A +13 A A+ D+ A+ +20 A+ A+ B+
 Wed, Jan 7 73 California W 84 - 60 87% +12  93% 13 - 2 2 - 1 A+ +29 A +14 A+ A+ C+ A+ +16 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 66 Stanford W 70 - 55 86% +9  89% 14 - 2 3 - 1 A +21 B- +5 C+ A- A A+ +18 A+ A+ A
 Tue, Jan 13 14 @Louisville W 79 - 70 34% +9  97% 15 - 2 4 - 1 A+ +31 A+ +18 A+ A+ D A+ +13 A+ A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 39 @SMU W 72 - 68 54% +1  54% 16 - 2 5 - 1 A +20 A- +10 C- A+ C A+ +11 A+ C D+
 Sat, Jan 24 26 North Carolina L 80 - 85 69% +4  74% 16 - 3 5 - 2 B- +7 A +12 B A+ D+ D+ -5 C A+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 85 @Notre Dame W 100 - 97 2OT 77% -5  19% 17 - 3 6 - 2 B+ +13 A+ +18 A B- B- D -5 D A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 137 @Boston College W 73 - 66 89% -1  36% 18 - 3 7 - 2 B +11 B+ +8 B- C- A B- +3 C B- C
 Tue, Feb 3 95 Pittsburgh W 67 - 47 91% +10  85% 19 - 3 8 - 2 A +23 C+ +3 B A- C+ A+ +22 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 76 Syracuse W 72 - 59 88% +6  85% 20 - 3 9 - 2 A- +18 B +7 B- B+ B+ A+ +12 B+ B+ A+
 Tue, Feb 10 77 @Florida St. W 61 - 58 74% -2  19% 21 - 3 10 - 2 B+ +14 F+ -8 F+ A C- A+ +22 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Feb 14 32 Ohio St. W 70 - 66 61% -2  29% 22 - 3 A +19 B- +4 C C D+ A+ +15 A A+ D
 Wed, Feb 18 148 @Georgia Tech W 94 - 68 89% +26  99% 23 - 3 11 - 2 A+ +30 A- +11 B+ A+ D+ A+ +16 A+ C B
 Sat, Feb 21 35 Miami (FL) W 86 - 83 73% -0  47% 24 - 3 12 - 2 B+ +14 A+ +22 A+ F A+ D- -8 B F D
 Tue, Feb 24 34 North Carolina St. W 90 - 61 73% +12  97% 25 - 3 13 - 2 A+ +40 A+ +17 A+ A+ B+ A+ +23 A+ A+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 1 @Duke L 51 - 77 12% -14  0% 25 - 4 13 - 3 C+ +4 C- -1 F B- A C+ +2 B A- D
 Tue, Mar 3 70 Wake Forest W 75 - 70 86% +6  94% 26 - 4 14 - 3 B +11 C+ +3 B- B- A A- +8 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Mar 7 56 Virginia Tech W 77 - 67 84%
Totals 27 - 4 15 - 3 +17 B+ +8 D+ B B A- +9 B- C C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B- A B- B 39% 23% 48% B B A B- A B- C C C A- A B- A- A 35% 28% 37% A- A B+ A- A- C B- D+ B-
1.21 61% 47% 36% +4 +1 1.12 39% 1.1 .44 15% .31 73% .22 0.96 46% 36% 30% -7 -1 0.85 26% 0.9 .22 17% .27 74% .23
Nov
3		 Rider A A- A F D+ 47% 9% 45% B- D+ A+ A- A+ A A+ F A+ A- B+ A C- C+ 33% 45% 23% A B- D+ A B A F A F
1.36 68% 50% 29% +2 +2 1.11 54% 1.2 .63 9% .59 56% .33 0.83 46% 28% 33% -9 -4 0.78 33% 0.7 .23 22% .58 62% .36
Nov
7		 NC Central B A+ F B C 22% 15% 63% D C- A+ C+ A C- A F C C A+ A+ F A 43% 29% 29% C+ A F A+ B- F+ F F F
1.29 80% 29% 38% +7 0 1.15 53% 1.0 .53 19% .37 58% .22 0.99 33% 21% 43% -12 -1 0.78 36% 0.7 .25 14% .41 82% .33
Nov
11		 Hampton A+ C B- A+ B+ 53% 10% 37% A A- A+ B A+ D- F+ A+ C A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 19% 43% F+ A+ A F C D+ A+ A+ A+
1.36 62% 40% 44% +8 +2 1.22 52% 1.1 .59 19% .31 82% .26 0.79 35% 30% 22% -18 0 0.66 24% 1.2 .29 16% .20 64% .12
Nov
15		 Marshall A+ D+ B+ A+ B+ 42% 13% 45% A- A- C A+ A+ A A+ C A+ B A+ F A+ A+ 28% 30% 42% B A+ C F F B F F+ F
1.37 57% 43% 44% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.5 .51 12% .54 72% .39 1.03 47% 50% 23% -7 -2 0.85 31% 1.8 .56 20% .40 79% .31
Nov
21		 Northwestern A- F+ A F D 40% 23% 36% C+ D A+ D+ A B+ A+ A+ A+ B- C A- F C+ 42% 30% 28% B B- A+ F B D D B D+
1.17 47% 45% 24% -8 0 0.85 53% 0.9 .45 16% .60 83% .50 1.10 59% 31% 40% +1 -1 1.02 18% 1.8 .32 10% .38 71% .27
Nov
23		 Butler C D- D F F 47% 11% 42% A D- A B- A A B- F D- C B- F F F+ 48% 22% 30% B- D- D- A+ A+ A F B- F
1.06 50% 33% 26% -9 +2 0.87 38% 1.0 .38 13% .25 47% .12 1.16 55% 60% 43% +7 +1 1.17 40% 0.6 .23 19% .52 69% .36
Nov
28		 Queens A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 33% 10% 57% C+ A+ A+ D- B B B D- C+ B- A+ C+ A A+ 34% 22% 44% B+ A+ F C- F B- D+ A+ C+
1.46 69% 60% 50% +19 +1 1.43 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 68% .27 1.07 47% 36% 27% -9 0 0.84 40% 1.1 .44 17% .34 67% .22
Dec
3		 Texas A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ 40% 15% 46% A- A+ C A+ A+ A A+ D A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 22% 34% C A+ A- C- B+ F+ D+ A C+
1.35 63% 29% 45% +8 +1 1.21 24% 1.7 .41 11% .50 69% .34 1.06 55% 27% 24% -9 0 0.84 33% 1.2 .40 11% .43 68% .29
Dec
6		 Dayton A B+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 19% 43% B A+ C- A+ A+ F A+ B A+ A- B A D B+ 43% 23% 34% A- B+ A A+ A+ F A- B A
1.17 63% 50% 56% +18 0 1.38 27% 1.7 .45 29% .51 74% .38 0.99 54% 23% 37% -4 0 0.95 20% 0.7 .14 12% .34 73% .25
Dec
9		 Maryland Eastern Shore B D+ D+ A+ B+ 49% 5% 45% A A- D B C- A+ F C F C+ A F A C+ 56% 21% 23% F C A+ F C+ C- A F B
1.25 56% 33% 44% +5 +3 1.18 28% 1.2 .34 10% .25 73% .18 0.90 45% 64% 25% -5 +1 0.94 21% 1.2 .24 22% .15 88% .13
Dec
20		 Maryland B+ C F+ A- C+ 53% 13% 34% A- B- A+ F C- A A- F C+ C+ C+ C+ F F 21% 26% 53% A+ D- F A+ B- A+ F C F
1.19 57% 29% 39% +1 +2 1.08 40% 0.6 .25 12% .35 62% .22 1.07 56% 36% 43% +7 -2 1.12 49% 0.7 .34 28% .46 73% .33
Dec
22		 American A+ A A+ B+ A+ 52% 4% 44% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A D F F A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 19% 23% 58% A+ A+ C+ C C+ C- A+ F A+
1.49 72% 100% 38% +12 +3 1.33 52% 1.5 .78 14% .33 56% .18 0.80 60% 25% 23% -12 -2 0.75 24% 0.9 .22 16% .11 83% .09
Dec
31		 Virginia Tech D- B F F F+ 32% 11% 57% B+ D- C F D C+ D C+ D A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 25% 38% 37% A+ A+ D+ C+ C- C F A- F
0.89 63% 13% 24% -10 +1 0.84 30% 0.8 .23 18% .19 73% .14 0.99 44% 25% 30% -11 -3 0.75 35% 1.1 .39 15% .50 68% .34
Jan
3		 North Carolina St. A C+ A+ B- A+ 27% 9% 64% C+ A A- A+ A+ D+ C- B+ C+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 32% 30% 39% A+ A+ A+ B A+ B+ F D F
1.18 58% 100% 36% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.4 .50 22% .30 73% .22 0.95 57% 23% 24% -11 -2 0.77 21% 1.1 .24 16% .46 80% .37
Jan
7		 California A A- A+ D- A+ 39% 12% 49% B A+ A A A+ C+ A+ C+ A A+ C- B A+ A+ 27% 37% 37% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ D F F
1.23 65% 83% 28% +4 +1 1.12 39% 1.2 .48 16% .40 65% .26 0.88 62% 33% 17% -10 -3 0.76 16% 0.7 .11 13% .37 86% .32
Jan
10		 Stanford B- A B+ F C+ 35% 20% 46% C+ C+ A C+ A- A D+ A C A+ D+ A A+ A+ 38% 17% 46% A- A+ B- A+ A+ A C F D
1.10 69% 44% 24% -2 0 0.98 36% 1.1 .39 14% .31 82% .26 0.87 61% 25% 23% -9 0 0.85 32% 0.2 .05 20% .34 82% .28
Jan
13		 Louisville A+ D D A+ A+ 14% 23% 63% D+ A+ A+ C A+ D A+ A A+ A+ A+ F C A+ 35% 12% 54% B+ A+ C- A+ A+ F+ C A+ B
1.19 50% 30% 44% +7 -2 1.12 42% 1.0 .42 20% .55 79% .43 1.06 33% 67% 36% -4 +1 0.96 36% 0.6 .21 12% .31 67% .21
Jan
17		 SMU A- F D- B C- 29% 22% 49% C C- A+ A+ A+ C D+ A+ C A+ A+ D D- A+ 40% 40% 19% A A+ B D- C D+ B D B-
1.16 46% 30% 36% -4 -1 0.93 44% 1.4 .61 18% .23 83% .20 1.09 38% 48% 40% -2 -2 0.92 33% 1.2 .39 13% .26 79% .20
Jan
24		 North Carolina A A+ D- F B- 37% 20% 43% B+ B A+ A A+ D+ A+ C- A+ D+ C+ C- F D 27% 35% 38% A+ C A+ A+ A+ F C+ C C+
1.18 68% 30% 27% -2 0 0.98 44% 1.1 .47 16% .35 70% .25 1.25 60% 42% 48% +10 -3 1.16 22% 0.9 .19 6% .34 68% .23
Jan
27		 Notre Dame A+ A A+ C+ A 36% 15% 49% B A A F+ B- B- A+ B+ A+ D B- D F F+ 31% 26% 43% B- D A A+ A+ D- F F F
1.28 68% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.15 35% 0.9 .30 14% .52 80% .42 1.24 59% 43% 48% +10 -1 1.20 26% 0.7 .17 13% .50 82% .41
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Boston College B+ A A+ F C+ 46% 15% 38% A- B- A- F C- A C+ A- B B- F+ D A+ D+ 33% 39% 28% A+ C A- D- B- C F A F
1.12 67% 50% 20% -2 +1 1.00 36% 0.6 .23 11% .31 72% .22 1.01 67% 44% 23% +1 -3 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 15% .47 58% .27
Feb
3		 Pittsburgh C+ C- F A- B- 38% 8% 54% B+ B A B- A- C+ F F F A+ D A+ A+ A+ 35% 23% 43% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B
1.11 56% 25% 38% +2 +2 1.08 36% 1.0 .36 17% .18 44% .08 0.78 64% 22% 24% -8 0 0.85 24% 0.8 .18 28% .28 58% .16
Feb
7		 Syracuse B F A+ B C+ 42% 13% 46% B+ B- A+ D- B+ B+ C- C- C- A+ A+ F A+ B- 40% 40% 20% A+ B+ A+ D B+ A+ A+ F A+
1.16 35% 67% 36% -4 +1 0.96 44% 1.0 .44 16% .27 71% .19 0.95 44% 67% 22% +2 -2 1.02 22% 1.2 .26 21% .14 86% .12
Feb
10		 Florida St. F+ F B+ F F 24% 18% 58% C F+ C+ A+ A C- F F F A+ A A+ A+ A+ 33% 17% 50% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D D- C+ D-
0.90 42% 44% 28% -8 -1 0.84 32% 1.3 .42 21% .15 63% .09 0.85 47% 22% 19% -17 0 0.67 24% 0.8 .20 12% .37 73% .27
Feb
14		 Ohio St. B- B F+ C- C+ 31% 31% 38% C- C A- F+ C D+ A+ D A+ A+ B B+ F B+ 27% 49% 24% A+ A A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+
1.06 62% 31% 31% -3 -2 0.93 35% 0.8 .29 18% .60 69% .41 1.00 60% 37% 46% +4 -4 1.02 17% 0.7 .11 12% .16 67% .10
Feb
18		 Georgia Tech A- C+ F+ A- B+ 38% 11% 51% A- B+ A+ C- A+ D+ F F F A+ A- B A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% A- A+ A F C B C F D-
1.19 57% 29% 39% +2 +1 1.08 45% 1.1 .48 18% .20 62% .12 0.86 50% 32% 18% -12 -2 0.74 24% 1.5 .37 20% .30 84% .25
Feb
21		 Miami (FL) A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 11% 47% A A+ D F F A+ A- A+ A+ D- B+ C+ F C+ 38% 31% 31% A+ B C F F D B- F F+
1.33 70% 60% 55% +22 +2 1.49 18% 0.5 .09 14% .32 89% .29 1.28 55% 38% 44% +3 -1 1.06 39% 1.5 .58 14% .30 94% .29
Feb
24		 North Carolina St. A+ B+ A+ A- A+ 42% 13% 44% B- A+ C A+ A+ B+ C A+ A A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 39% 9% 53% D+ A+ C- A+ A+ B A- D B+
1.28 64% 57% 39% +8 +1 1.21 26% 1.9 .48 17% .31 89% .27 0.87 45% 0% 30% -11 +2 0.82 33% 0.4 .12 14% .25 80% .20
Feb
28		 Duke C- D- F F F 19% 11% 70% B F C+ B B- A B A+ A+ C+ A D F B 50% 8% 42% C- B A+ F A- D A F C+
0.84 44% 20% 21% -18 0 0.66 23% 0.9 .21 15% .25 92% .23 1.26 50% 50% 45% +4 +2 1.15 26% 1.6 .41 13% .26 93% .25
Mar
3		 Wake Forest C+ D- A+ D+ C+ 38% 6% 55% A- B- B- B- B- A A+ F B A- A- B+ A- A+ 41% 15% 44% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D A- F C+
1.10 50% 100% 31% -2 +2 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 15% .40 65% .26 1.03 50% 38% 29% -7 +1 0.91 21% 0.9 .18 12% .25 93% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 16.2 83.8 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 16.2 83.8 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 83.8% 100.0% 8.9% 91.1% 3.7 0.9 9.5 24.5 28.5 16.6 3.6 0.2 100.0%
14-4 16.2% 100.0% 8.2% 91.7% 4.4 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.3 5.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 8.8% 91.2% 3.8 0.0 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.5% 100.0% 2.6 6.9 43.5 36.6 12.0 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 24.2% 100.0% 3.4 1.1 16.1 38.8 32.5 10.6 0.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 23.5% 100.0% 4.0 0.2 5.6 27.3 38.1 23.3 5.3 0.1
Lose Out 6.0% 99.9% 4.9 0.3 8.1 24.3 43.5 20.5 3.3