Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#70
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#50
Pace71.7#132
Improvement-2.6#332

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#70
First Shot+1.6#132
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#35
Layup/Dunks+2.8#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#195
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement-2.4#351

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#87
First Shot+1.5#124
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#93
Layups/Dunks-3.6#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#37
Freethrows+1.9#77
Improvement-0.2#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 1.7% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.9% 23.0% 13.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 18.5% 22.6% 13.0%
Average Seed 9.3 9.2 9.6
.500 or above 79.9% 87.3% 69.6%
.500 or above in Conference 29.5% 33.2% 24.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 4.3% 6.4%
First Four5.7% 6.5% 4.6%
First Round15.7% 19.5% 10.4%
Second Round6.5% 8.2% 4.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.7% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Home) - 58.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 25 - 37 - 13
Quad 34 - 111 - 14
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 288 Charleston Southern W 98-67 94%     1 - 0 +21.1 +11.1 +6.8
  Sat, Nov 8 72 Providence W 107-101 OT 50%     2 - 0 +13.7 +12.7 -0.3
  Wed, Nov 12 184 Saint Joseph's W 94-59 88%     3 - 0 +30.3 +15.3 +13.1
  Sun, Nov 16 186 Charlotte W 84-76 88%     4 - 0 +3.1 +12.0 -8.4
  Wed, Nov 19 295 Bryant W 78-61 95%     5 - 0 +6.5 +3.2 +3.6
  Wed, Nov 26 74 Colorado St. W 66-64 51%     6 - 0 +9.6 +1.1 +8.8
  Thu, Nov 27 42 St. Mary's L 66-77 35%     6 - 1 +0.8 +2.2 -1.8
  Fri, Nov 28 43 Virginia Commonwealth L 68-86 36%     6 - 2 -6.4 +2.0 -8.2
  Tue, Dec 2 89 @South Carolina W 86-83 OT 46%     7 - 2 +11.8 +8.7 +2.8
  Sat, Dec 6 66 George Mason W 74-72 58%    
  Thu, Dec 11 281 Western Carolina W 86-69 95%    
  Sun, Dec 14 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-56 98%    
  Sat, Dec 20 223 Elon W 89-74 91%    
  Wed, Dec 31 26 Virginia L 73-77 37%    
  Sat, Jan 3 53 @Wake Forest L 76-81 32%    
  Wed, Jan 7 84 Stanford W 80-76 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 69 California W 79-76 60%    
  Wed, Jan 14 40 @SMU L 76-83 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 56 Notre Dame W 73-72 54%    
  Wed, Jan 21 61 @Syracuse L 73-77 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 14 @Louisville L 74-87 12%    
  Tue, Jan 27 134 Georgia Tech W 79-70 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 3 Duke L 69-80 16%    
  Sat, Feb 7 35 @North Carolina St. L 78-86 23%    
  Wed, Feb 11 33 @Clemson L 70-78 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 100 Florida St. W 84-78 70%    
  Tue, Feb 17 34 @Miami (FL) L 73-81 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 53 Wake Forest W 79-78 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 21 @North Carolina L 73-83 18%    
  Tue, Mar 3 132 Boston College W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Mar 7 26 @Virginia L 70-80 20%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.8 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 1.5 0.2 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 3.0 0.6 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.5 2.1 0.1 6.1 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 4.0 0.6 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.9 2.2 0.1 8.3 10th
11th 0.3 3.9 4.8 0.5 0.0 9.5 11th
12th 0.1 2.0 5.9 2.0 0.1 9.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 5.3 4.2 0.3 10.6 13th
14th 0.3 3.1 5.2 1.3 0.0 9.9 14th
15th 0.1 1.9 4.4 2.1 0.1 8.6 15th
16th 0.1 1.0 3.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 6.6 16th
17th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.6 17th
18th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.3 18th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.8 7.2 11.1 15.1 16.4 15.0 11.7 8.3 4.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 79.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 27.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 10.3% 89.7% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 98.6% 4.8% 93.8% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.6%
13-5 1.4% 97.6% 3.9% 93.7% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 97.5%
12-6 2.8% 93.6% 2.2% 91.4% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.2 93.5%
11-7 4.7% 80.2% 2.3% 77.9% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.9 79.7%
10-8 8.3% 56.8% 0.6% 56.2% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 1.3 0.0 3.6 56.5%
9-9 11.7% 32.0% 0.5% 31.5% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.8 0.1 8.0 31.6%
8-10 15.0% 11.3% 0.2% 11.2% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.1 13.3 11.2%
7-11 16.4% 1.9% 0.2% 1.7% 10.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 16.1 1.7%
6-12 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 15.1 0.0%
5-13 11.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 11.1
4-14 7.2% 7.2
3-15 3.8% 3.8
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.9% 0.5% 18.4% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.5 3.4 5.2 4.9 0.2 81.1 18.5%