Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#285
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#284
Pace69.6#141
Improvement+3.7#45

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#294
First Shot-5.0#314
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#144
Layup/Dunks-0.7#211
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#209
Freethrows-1.1#257
Improvement+1.0#129

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#241
First Shot-5.1#327
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#12
Layups/Dunks-5.2#340
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#29
Freethrows+0.6#134
Improvement+2.7#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.6% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 23.9% 40.9% 9.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.3% 2.7%
First Four2.1% 2.5% 1.7%
First Round1.2% 1.5% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 45.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 15
Quad 47 - 79 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 32   @ Clemson L 64-91 3%     0 - 1 -10.6 -1.4 -9.2
  Nov 07, 2024 245   @ North Florida L 66-90 34%     0 - 2 -26.6 -18.0 -6.8
  Nov 15, 2024 264   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-86 46%     0 - 3 -15.8 -8.7 -6.0
  Nov 16, 2024 304   VMI L 69-80 55%     0 - 4 -19.0 -10.0 -8.7
  Nov 19, 2024 71   @ LSU L 68-77 7%     0 - 5 +1.3 +3.9 -3.0
  Nov 23, 2024 165   Furman L 46-67 33%     0 - 6 -23.3 -25.9 +1.2
  Nov 27, 2024 99   @ Georgia Tech L 67-91 10%     0 - 7 -16.7 -4.9 -10.3
  Nov 30, 2024 169   @ Miami (FL) W 83-79 19%     1 - 7 +6.3 +8.8 -2.3
  Dec 03, 2024 307   Tennessee Martin W 83-68 66%     2 - 7 +4.1 +8.5 -3.6
  Dec 06, 2024 126   @ Davidson L 72-73 15%     2 - 8 +3.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Dec 09, 2024 229   @ South Carolina St. L 63-82 30%     2 - 9 -20.2 -8.2 -12.1
  Dec 19, 2024 155   @ North Alabama L 69-86 18%     2 - 10 -13.9 -1.4 -13.2
  Dec 22, 2024 37   @ Georgia L 65-81 3%     2 - 11 -1.5 +4.5 -6.6
  Jan 02, 2025 236   Gardner-Webb W 72-63 51%     3 - 11 1 - 0 +2.1 -7.7 +9.4
  Jan 04, 2025 190   @ Longwood L 78-83 23%     3 - 12 1 - 1 -3.9 +5.9 -9.9
  Jan 08, 2025 107   High Point L 79-93 21%     3 - 13 1 - 2 -12.5 +2.5 -15.0
  Jan 15, 2025 205   @ Winthrop L 97-102 3OT 25%     3 - 14 1 - 3 -4.7 -4.5 +1.2
  Jan 18, 2025 204   Radford W 58-54 42%     4 - 14 2 - 3 -0.6 -13.4 +13.2
  Jan 22, 2025 283   @ Presbyterian L 61-71 40%     4 - 15 2 - 4 -14.2 -10.0 -5.1
  Jan 25, 2025 172   UNC Asheville L 61-69 35%     4 - 16 2 - 5 -10.9 -17.1 +6.5
  Jan 29, 2025 346   @ South Carolina Upstate W 82-75 60%     5 - 16 3 - 5 -2.5 +1.8 -4.5
  Feb 01, 2025 190   Longwood W 89-85 39%     6 - 16 4 - 5 +0.1 +12.4 -12.2
  Feb 05, 2025 205   Winthrop L 77-79 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 236   @ Gardner-Webb L 72-77 30%    
  Feb 12, 2025 283   Presbyterian W 71-69 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 172   @ UNC Asheville L 70-79 19%    
  Feb 19, 2025 107   @ High Point L 69-82 9%    
  Feb 22, 2025 346   South Carolina Upstate W 81-73 78%    
  Mar 01, 2025 204   @ Radford L 66-73 24%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.6 2.1 0.6 3.3 3rd
4th 0.6 5.6 2.9 0.1 9.2 4th
5th 0.3 7.7 8.4 0.6 17.0 5th
6th 0.3 8.1 15.6 2.5 26.5 6th
7th 0.4 8.6 19.1 6.2 0.1 34.4 7th
8th 1.9 5.6 1.5 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.3 0.1 0.3 9th
Total 2.6 14.5 29.0 30.1 17.2 5.6 1.0 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 20.0% 0.0    0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.1% 0.1
10-6 1.0% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.1 0.9
9-7 5.6% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.2 5.4
8-8 17.2% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.6 16.6
7-9 30.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.7 29.4
6-10 29.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.3 28.7
5-11 14.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.3
4-12 2.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.5
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 16.0 2.1 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%