Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
93 High Point 58.9%   14   10 - 3 1 - 0 23 - 5 14 - 2 +6.0      +6.8 51 -0.7 191 72.2 98 +2.5 130 +13.3 1
150 Winthrop 18.0%   5 - 8 0 - 1 15 - 13 10 - 6 +0.4      +3.5 90 -3.1 279 71.7 116 -4.6 238 -18.7 7
222 Charleston Southern 6.7%   7 - 6 1 - 0 14 - 13 8 - 7 -3.7      -2.2 228 -1.4 210 74.7 52 -3.1 219 +2.3 4
243 Radford 4.8%   5 - 8 1 - 0 13 - 15 9 - 7 -4.7      -1.1 195 -3.6 295 78.2 21 -8.6 297 +11.5 3
249 UNC Asheville 4.8%   3 - 9 0 - 1 11 - 16 8 - 8 -4.9      -2.4 235 -2.5 257 66.2 269 -7.1 269 -12.2 6
282 Longwood 2.2%   6 - 7 1 - 0 13 - 15 8 - 8 -6.5      -3.1 251 -3.5 287 71.4 124 -7.3 272 +12.6 2
283 South Carolina Upstate 2.2%   5 - 8 0 - 1 11 - 17 6 - 10 -6.7      -5.2 307 -1.5 215 71.0 135 -7.1 268 -22.9 9
287 Presbyterian 2.3%   4 - 8 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6.9      -5.2 306 -1.8 224 61.4 353 -7.2 271 0.0 5
362 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   0 - 13 0 - 1 2 - 25 2 - 13 -15.9      -7.9 349 -8.0 355 75.9 37 -18.2 355 -21.9 8




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 31 243 Radford 76 283 South Carolina Upstate 69   
Wed, Dec 31 282 Longwood 82 150 Winthrop 70   
Wed, Dec 31 93 High Point 87 249 UNC Asheville 69   
Wed, Dec 31 222 Charleston Southern 89 362 Gardner-Webb 79   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 3 222 Charleston Southern 77 249 UNC Asheville 72 66%   
Sat, Jan 3 287 Presbyterian 68 283 South Carolina Upstate 65 61%   
Sat, Jan 3 93 High Point 88 282 Longwood 73 92%   
Sat, Jan 3 362 Gardner-Webb 72 150 Winthrop 92 95%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.2 88.1 9.1 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 2.8 13.1 41.8 20.5 11.2 6.5 3.9 1.9 0.9 0.1
Charleston Southern 4.6 2.3 13.5 16.1 17.4 16.2 14.4 11.5 8.4 0.3
Radford 4.1 4.0 19.6 20.8 17.6 14.0 11.3 7.8 4.3 0.5
UNC Asheville 4.8 1.6 12.7 15.9 16.7 16.2 14.3 12.2 9.2 1.2
Longwood 4.9 1.4 10.5 15.2 17.2 16.9 15.9 12.8 9.0 1.1
South Carolina Upstate 5.9 0.6 4.4 7.8 11.8 13.8 17.3 19.3 21.5 3.5
Presbyterian 5.5 1.1 7.4 10.4 13.6 14.9 15.3 17.2 17.1 3.2
Gardner-Webb 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 4.3 14.1 79.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 14 - 2 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 5.5 11.0 18.8 25.6 24.3 11.6
Winthrop 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.4 5.7 9.5 14.8 19.4 18.7 15.1 8.8 3.5 0.7
Charleston Southern 8 - 8 0.1 0.3 1.4 4.1 8.1 12.9 16.6 18.2 15.2 11.9 7.0 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.0
Radford 9 - 7 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.2 5.1 9.7 13.6 16.7 17.4 15.1 10.6 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
UNC Asheville 8 - 8 0.2 0.7 2.2 4.5 8.6 13.5 16.5 16.9 15.5 11.4 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0
Longwood 8 - 8 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.8 9.2 13.9 17.9 17.7 14.5 10.5 5.7 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 6 - 10 0.1 0.5 2.6 5.7 10.9 16.1 17.6 17.0 13.2 8.8 4.7 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.6 9.1 12.9 16.2 16.2 15.1 11.1 6.5 3.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
Gardner-Webb 2 - 14 14.0 25.7 26.3 17.9 9.6 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 88.1% 78.4 8.5 1.1 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 13.1% 6.6 5.6 0.9 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 2.3% 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Radford 4.0% 1.8 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 1.6% 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Longwood 1.4% 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.6% 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Presbyterian 1.1% 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 58.9% 58.9% 0.0% 14   0.0 0.1 3.8 14.6 24.2 14.1 2.1 0.0 41.1 0.0%
Winthrop 18.0% 18.0% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 2.2 6.1 6.6 2.6 82.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.8 2.3 93.3 0.0%
Radford 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.2 95.2 0.0%
UNC Asheville 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.3 95.3 0.0%
Longwood 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.8 97.8 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.7 97.8 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.9 97.7 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 58.9% 0.0% 58.9% 8.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 18.0% 1.0% 17.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 6.7% 1.0% 6.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 4.8% 2.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 4.8% 2.4% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.2% 1.0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 2.2% 1.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.3% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.3% 1.0 4.7 95.3
2nd Round 8.7% 0.1 91.3 8.7
Sweet Sixteen 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0