Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
107 High Point 43.6%   14   17 - 5 7 - 2 22 - 7 12 - 4 +4.0      +7.3 33 -3.3 270 66.4 230 +3.5 120 +2.9 2
172 UNC Asheville 18.5%   12 - 6 7 - 1 17 - 9 12 - 4 -0.4      +2.4 111 -2.8 254 69.2 157 +2.4 131 +7.4 1
190 Longwood 11.8%   13 - 8 5 - 4 17 - 11 9 - 7 -1.4      +0.6 165 -1.9 229 70.4 124 +0.7 160 -2.1 3
204 Radford 9.1%   13 - 9 5 - 4 17 - 12 9 - 7 -2.1      +1.3 143 -3.4 274 61.1 346 +1.0 154 -3.0 5
205 Winthrop 9.2%   12 - 9 5 - 4 16 - 12 9 - 7 -2.2      +0.5 170 -2.7 253 78.2 12 -1.0 186 -2.6 4
236 Gardner-Webb 4.3%   9 - 13 4 - 5 12 - 17 7 - 9 -4.4      -2.0 228 -2.5 245 72.7 73 -4.2 233 -5.0 7
283 Presbyterian 1.3%   6 - 15 2 - 7 9 - 19 5 - 11 -6.7      -1.9 226 -4.8 311 62.3 335 -7.7 290 -10.4 8
285 Charleston Southern 2.1%   6 - 16 4 - 5 9 - 20 7 - 9 -6.8      -4.5 294 -2.3 241 69.6 141 -7.1 284 -4.6 6
346 South Carolina Upstate 0.1%   2 - 19 1 - 8 4 - 24 3 - 13 -12.0      -5.6 322 -6.3 344 77.2 16 -14.6 350 -14.5 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.4 67.8 27.8 3.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
UNC Asheville 1.6 50.0 41.4 6.2 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
Longwood 3.6 2.7 11.7 38.0 25.4 14.5 6.1 1.4 0.1
Radford 4.1 1.5 7.9 28.6 25.9 20.3 11.1 4.3 0.5
Winthrop 4.0 1.9 9.0 30.0 25.9 20.3 8.9 3.7 0.4
Gardner-Webb 5.5 0.1 1.6 7.8 15.0 21.9 28.9 19.8 4.8 0.1
Presbyterian 7.5 0.3 1.0 3.6 8.7 20.9 58.6 6.9
Charleston Southern 6.1 0.0 0.4 3.3 9.2 17.0 26.5 34.4 9.0 0.3
South Carolina Upstate 8.8 0.0 0.5 2.1 15.4 82.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 12 - 4 0.1 0.9 5.6 16.0 28.9 32.3 16.2
UNC Asheville 12 - 4 0.0 0.7 3.6 9.8 21.0 28.6 24.0 10.3 2.0
Longwood 9 - 7 0.2 1.9 8.0 20.7 30.3 25.6 11.4 1.9
Radford 9 - 7 0.4 4.6 14.5 26.0 26.9 19.0 7.5 1.1
Winthrop 9 - 7 0.7 4.5 13.5 24.2 27.4 19.5 8.7 1.6
Gardner-Webb 7 - 9 1.6 8.6 20.3 27.7 24.6 12.9 3.8 0.5
Presbyterian 5 - 11 2.4 14.0 25.8 29.2 19.2 7.6 1.7 0.1
Charleston Southern 7 - 9 2.6 14.5 29.0 30.1 17.2 5.6 1.0 0.1
South Carolina Upstate 3 - 13 19.5 34.4 27.5 13.3 4.4 0.9 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 67.8% 47.0 19.0 1.7 0.2 0.0
UNC Asheville 50.0% 29.9 18.3 1.6 0.2 0.0
Longwood 2.7% 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
Radford 1.5% 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 1.9% 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Gardner-Webb 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Presbyterian
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 43.6% 43.6% 0.0% 14   0.4 10.6 19.9 11.2 1.5 0.0 56.4 0.0%
UNC Asheville 18.5% 18.5% 0.0% 0.2 1.9 7.3 7.5 1.5 81.5 0.0%
Longwood 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 3.0 6.5 1.6 88.2 0.0%
Radford 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.2 1.8 90.9 0.0%
Winthrop 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 0.2 1.4 5.2 2.3 90.8 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.4 95.7 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 1.3 98.7 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 2.1 97.9 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 43.6% 0.0% 43.6% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 18.5% 0.2% 18.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 11.8% 0.2% 11.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 9.1% 0.3% 9.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 9.2% 0.5% 9.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 4.3% 2.6% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.1% 2.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.0% 1.0 3.0 97.0
2nd Round 6.5% 0.1 93.5 6.5
Sweet Sixteen 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0