Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
97 High Point 52.4%   13   18 - 4 9 - 1 +5.5      +5.8 58 -0.3 173 71.2 117 +4.3 98 +8.4 1
124 Winthrop 28.7%   14 - 8 9 - 1 +2.2      +2.5 105 -0.3 178 71.2 116 +2.1 128 +8.2 2
213 UNC Asheville 6.3%   8 - 13 5 - 5 -3.0      -1.7 215 -1.2 218 65.2 274 -5.5 253 -3.9 4
232 Radford 4.6%   10 - 12 6 - 4 -4.1      -0.5 175 -3.6 281 75.7 32 -5.7 256 -1.5 3
252 Charleston Southern 2.5%   8 - 13 2 - 7 -5.1      -4.1 281 -1.0 206 76.6 24 -7.1 278 -12.2 8
260 Longwood 2.6%   10 - 12 5 - 5 -5.7      -3.7 271 -2.0 242 70.0 143 -7.0 277 -4.5 5
265 Presbyterian 2.1%   8 - 13 4 - 5 -5.8      -3.2 255 -2.6 257 62.6 334 -6.4 268 -6.6 6
301 South Carolina Upstate 0.8%   7 - 14 2 - 7 -8.2      -6.8 340 -1.4 221 69.9 147 -8.4 300 -12.1 7
363 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   1 - 20 1 - 8 -18.9      -9.7 357 -9.2 362 73.6 61 -19.5 359 -16.9 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 4 232 Radford 78 124 Winthrop 80   
Wed, Feb 4 213 UNC Asheville 76 301 South Carolina Upstate 67   
Wed, Feb 4 252 Charleston Southern 55 97 High Point 80   
Wed, Feb 4 363 Gardner-Webb 66 260 Longwood 86   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 7 97 High Point 90 232 Radford 78 88%   
Sat, Feb 7 260 Longwood 71 124 Winthrop 82 85%   
Sat, Feb 7 252 Charleston Southern 75 301 South Carolina Upstate 74 50%   
Sat, Feb 7 363 Gardner-Webb 64 265 Presbyterian 80 92%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.2 77.1 22.8 0.1
Winthrop 1.6 43.0 56.9 0.1
UNC Asheville 3.9 0.1 40.9 33.9 16.5 6.8 1.6 0.1
Radford 3.4 0.0 0.6 66.3 24.3 7.1 1.4 0.2 0.0
Charleston Southern 6.5 1.8 5.5 12.5 23.2 38.6 18.4 0.1
Longwood 4.7 0.2 18.9 24.5 29.9 19.1 6.5 0.9
Presbyterian 5.3 0.0 7.9 16.8 27.6 31.2 14.0 2.4 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 7.3 0.1 1.2 4.1 11.3 28.7 53.8 0.8
Gardner-Webb 9.0 0.0 0.3 3.6 96.1

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 14 - 2 23 - 5 0.0 0.5 4.6 17.8 39.7 37.3
Winthrop 13 - 3 18 - 10 0.3 2.1 11.7 33.4 39.8 12.7
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 12 - 15 0.4 3.3 13.4 28.9 33.9 17.4 2.8
Radford 9 - 7 13 - 15 0.2 4.6 18.8 34.7 29.5 11.1 1.1
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 12 - 16 0.2 3.1 13.4 26.4 29.0 19.5 7.2 1.3
Longwood 8 - 8 13 - 15 2.9 14.4 28.2 29.4 18.6 5.8 0.6
Presbyterian 7 - 9 11 - 17 0.7 9.0 24.4 31.9 22.4 9.3 2.1 0.2
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 10 - 18 1.5 13.0 29.5 31.8 17.5 5.6 1.2 0.1
Gardner-Webb 1 - 15 1 - 27 65.3 27.4 6.3 0.9 0.1 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 77.1% 57.0 20.1 0.0
Winthrop 43.0% 22.9 20.1 0.0
UNC Asheville
Radford 0.0% 0.0
Charleston Southern
Longwood
Presbyterian
South Carolina Upstate
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 52.4% 52.4% 0.0% 13   1.6 23.4 23.2 4.1 0.0 47.7 0.0%
Winthrop 28.7% 28.7% 0.0% 0.1 4.0 13.6 9.8 1.3 0.0 71.3 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 1.5 4.4 93.7 0.0%
Radford 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.1 1.3 3.2 95.4 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 2.1 97.5 0.0%
Longwood 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 2.2 97.4 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.9 97.9 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8 99.2 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.7% 1.0 4.3 95.7
2nd Round 7.4% 0.1 92.6 7.4
Sweet Sixteen 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 52.4% 0.0% 52.4% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 28.7% 0.0% 28.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.3% 2.9% 5.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 4.6% 1.8% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.5% 1.6% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.6% 1.4% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.1% 1.6% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%