Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
92 High Point 52.2%   13   19 - 4 10 - 1 +5.4      +5.3 68 +0.1 165 71.9 89 +4.5 98 +8.6 1
130 Winthrop 27.6%   15 - 8 10 - 1 +1.9      +2.1 115 -0.2 175 71.9 90 +2.2 128 +8.4 2
211 UNC Asheville 6.4%   8 - 13 5 - 5 -2.9      -1.7 212 -1.2 213 65.1 276 -5.3 249 -4.0 4
233 Radford 5.4%   10 - 13 6 - 5 -4.0      -0.9 185 -3.1 275 76.2 24 -5.9 260 -2.0 3
256 Charleston Southern 2.2%   8 - 14 2 - 8 -5.5      -3.4 261 -2.0 240 76.1 25 -7.7 297 -12.9 8
261 Longwood 2.8%   10 - 13 5 - 6 -5.6      -4.2 284 -1.5 223 70.7 125 -7.3 285 -5.0 5
272 Presbyterian 2.2%   9 - 13 5 - 5 -6.3      -3.6 267 -2.7 259 62.5 334 -6.3 264 -6.4 6
297 South Carolina Upstate 1.1%   8 - 14 3 - 7 -7.8      -5.8 320 -2.0 239 69.5 160 -7.6 293 -9.9 7
363 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   1 - 21 1 - 9 -18.5      -9.8 358 -8.8 361 73.2 64 -19.7 362 -17.3 9


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 12 256 Charleston Southern 75 272 Presbyterian 71 64%   
Thu, Feb 12 261 Longwood 72 211 UNC Asheville 71 51%   
Thu, Feb 12 92 High Point 82 297 South Carolina Upstate 72 83%   
Thu, Feb 12 363 Gardner-Webb 70 130 Winthrop 88 94%   
Sat, Feb 14 256 Charleston Southern 80 233 Radford 85 67%   
Sat, Feb 14 272 Presbyterian 65 211 UNC Asheville 71 73%   
Sat, Feb 14 261 Longwood 75 297 South Carolina Upstate 70 69%   
Sat, Feb 14 363 Gardner-Webb 67 92 High Point 94 99%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.2 77.5 22.5
Winthrop 1.6 42.8 57.2
UNC Asheville 3.8 0.1 45.5 32.5 15.3 5.7 0.8 0.2
Radford 3.4 0.1 65.9 25.4 7.3 1.3 0.1
Charleston Southern 6.9 0.5 2.3 7.6 17.7 37.4 34.4 0.2
Longwood 4.7 17.3 25.0 31.6 19.7 5.3 1.1
Presbyterian 5.3 0.0 7.8 17.0 28.6 33.4 10.2 3.0
South Carolina Upstate 6.9 0.3 2.1 8.1 19.4 40.6 29.5 0.1
Gardner-Webb 9.0 0.2 1.7 98.1

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 14 - 2 23 - 5 0.3 2.8 15.5 39.8 41.6
Winthrop 14 - 2 19 - 9 0.0 0.9 8.6 31.6 44.4 14.5
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 12 - 15 0.3 3.0 12.8 28.8 33.2 19.2 2.6
Radford 9 - 7 13 - 15 0.3 4.9 20.3 36.9 29.0 8.7
Charleston Southern 5 - 11 11 - 17 0.5 6.1 21.8 33.1 25.5 11.1 2.0
Longwood 8 - 8 13 - 15 3.1 15.7 29.2 31.1 16.9 4.1
Presbyterian 7 - 9 11 - 17 9.0 26.8 32.5 21.4 8.3 1.8 0.2
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 10 - 18 2.2 20.0 36.9 28.3 10.3 2.0 0.2
Gardner-Webb 1 - 15 1 - 27 68.0 26.7 4.8 0.5 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 77.5% 57.2 20.4
Winthrop 42.8% 22.5 20.4
UNC Asheville
Radford
Charleston Southern
Longwood
Presbyterian
South Carolina Upstate
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 52.2% 52.2% 0.0% 13   1.4 21.6 24.4 4.7 0.2 47.8 0.0%
Winthrop 27.6% 27.6% 0.0% 0.0 2.7 11.8 11.2 1.9 0.0 72.4 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.3 93.6 0.0%
Radford 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.9 94.6 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.1 97.8 0.0%
Longwood 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 2.4 97.2 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.1 97.8 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0 1.1 98.9 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.2% 1.0 4.8 95.2
2nd Round 6.7% 0.1 93.3 6.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 52.2% 0.0% 52.2% 5.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 27.6% 0.0% 27.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.4% 3.0% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 5.4% 2.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.2% 1.7% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.8% 1.7% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.2% 1.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%