Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
98 High Point 50.3%   13   17 - 4 8 - 1 +5.2      +5.9 59 -0.8 196 71.6 104 +4.2 99 +8.2 1
124 Winthrop 29.4%   13 - 8 8 - 1 +2.3      +2.6 105 -0.3 173 71.5 111 +1.6 140 +7.1 2
211 UNC Asheville 6.6%   7 - 13 4 - 5 -3.0      -1.8 215 -1.2 217 65.1 275 -5.8 257 -4.5 4
234 Radford 5.0%   10 - 11 6 - 3 -4.1      -0.4 177 -3.7 285 75.8 30 -5.3 248 0.0 3
246 Charleston Southern 3.0%   8 - 12 2 - 6 -4.8      -3.7 266 -1.1 212 76.9 22 -7.0 278 -12.1 8
263 Presbyterian 2.3%   8 - 13 4 - 5 -5.8      -3.2 259 -2.6 255 62.6 332 -6.4 266 -6.6 6
266 Longwood 2.5%   9 - 12 4 - 5 -5.9      -3.9 274 -2.1 248 70.0 145 -7.1 281 -4.8 5
299 South Carolina Upstate 0.9%   7 - 13 2 - 6 -8.2      -6.9 339 -1.3 222 69.9 152 -8.1 292 -11.6 7
363 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   1 - 19 1 - 7 -18.3      -9.5 357 -8.8 361 73.6 62 -18.7 359 -15.6 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 31 263 Presbyterian 84 234 Radford 93   
Sat, Jan 31 98 High Point 71 266 Longwood 59   
Sat, Jan 31 211 UNC Asheville 71 124 Winthrop 84   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Feb 4 234 Radford 81 124 Winthrop 84 63%   
Wed, Feb 4 246 Charleston Southern 76 98 High Point 89 88%   
Wed, Feb 4 211 UNC Asheville 74 299 South Carolina Upstate 66 78%   
Wed, Feb 4 363 Gardner-Webb 71 266 Longwood 81 81%   
Sat, Feb 7 98 High Point 91 234 Radford 78 87%   
Sat, Feb 7 246 Charleston Southern 75 299 South Carolina Upstate 74 52%   
Sat, Feb 7 266 Longwood 71 124 Winthrop 82 85%   
Sat, Feb 7 363 Gardner-Webb 64 263 Presbyterian 80 92%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.2 78.9 20.7 0.4
Winthrop 1.6 40.0 58.6 1.4 0.1
UNC Asheville 4.2 0.4 30.1 37.9 18.8 9.2 2.9 0.7
Radford 3.2 0.6 6.2 70.5 17.4 4.3 0.9 0.2
Charleston Southern 6.3 2.5 7.6 15.3 22.6 32.4 19.4 0.2
Presbyterian 5.3 0.2 6.2 19.8 29.1 27.6 14.0 3.3
Longwood 4.9 0.2 13.8 24.9 28.6 20.5 9.7 2.4
South Carolina Upstate 7.1 0.6 2.5 6.9 13.5 26.7 48.8 1.1
Gardner-Webb 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.9 94.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 14 - 2 23 - 5 0.0 0.2 1.3 7.0 21.5 38.1 31.9
Winthrop 13 - 3 18 - 10 0.1 1.2 6.1 19.5 35.0 29.2 8.9
UNC Asheville 8 - 8 11 - 16 0.1 1.3 6.2 17.2 29.2 28.9 15.0 2.2
Radford 10 - 6 14 - 14 0.2 3.0 13.7 28.9 30.1 17.9 5.7 0.6
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 12 - 16 0.3 3.1 11.7 23.9 28.7 20.2 9.6 2.2 0.3
Presbyterian 7 - 9 11 - 17 0.7 8.5 24.4 32.1 22.3 9.4 2.4 0.3
Longwood 7 - 9 12 - 16 0.6 6.0 17.3 28.0 27.2 15.4 5.0 0.5
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 10 - 18 1.2 10.8 26.1 30.0 20.2 8.8 2.6 0.3 0.0
Gardner-Webb 2 - 14 2 - 26 51.7 34.4 11.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 78.9% 59.7 19.0 0.2
Winthrop 40.0% 21.0 18.9 0.2
UNC Asheville
Radford 0.6% 0.1 0.3 0.2
Charleston Southern
Presbyterian
Longwood
South Carolina Upstate
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 50.3% 50.3% 0.0% 13   1.8 20.2 22.8 5.2 0.2 49.7 0.0%
Winthrop 29.4% 29.4% 0.0% 0.1 3.3 13.0 11.0 2.0 0.1 70.6 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.7 93.4 0.0%
Radford 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.9 95.1 0.0%
Charleston Southern 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.3 97.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.1 97.7 0.0%
Longwood 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.0 97.5 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.7% 1.0 4.4 95.7
2nd Round 7.3% 0.1 92.7 7.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 50.3% 0.0% 50.3% 5.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 29.4% 0.0% 29.4% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.6% 3.3% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 5.0% 1.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 3.0% 1.7% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.3% 1.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.5% 1.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%