Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
89 High Point 55.1%   13   21 - 4 12 - 1 +5.8      +5.9 58 0.0 168 72.8 69 +4.8 96 +9.0 1
129 Winthrop 26.7%   16 - 8 11 - 1 +1.9      +2.5 106 -0.6 192 72.1 85 +2.2 126 +8.4 2
215 UNC Asheville 5.9%   9 - 14 6 - 6 -3.1      -2.1 231 -0.9 204 64.8 282 -5.5 250 -4.5 4
228 Radford 5.1%   11 - 13 7 - 5 -3.8      -0.8 187 -3.0 267 76.2 23 -5.5 249 -1.5 3
254 Charleston Southern 2.1%   9 - 15 3 - 9 -5.3      -3.1 256 -2.1 241 76.1 24 -7.6 286 -11.3 8
265 Longwood 2.3%   11 - 14 6 - 7 -5.9      -4.4 288 -1.5 221 70.9 115 -7.6 287 -5.8 6
276 Presbyterian 2.0%   10 - 14 6 - 6 -6.6      -4.3 283 -2.3 245 62.2 337 -5.8 259 -5.4 5
303 South Carolina Upstate 0.7%   8 - 16 3 - 9 -8.4      -6.5 334 -1.9 232 70.1 135 -8.2 301 -10.7 7
363 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   1 - 23 1 - 11 -18.8      -9.1 354 -9.7 362 74.1 48 -20.0 361 -17.8 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Feb 12 265 Longwood 74 215 UNC Asheville 79   
Thu, Feb 12 254 Charleston Southern 84 276 Presbyterian 67   
Thu, Feb 12 89 High Point 95 303 South Carolina Upstate 70   
Thu, Feb 12 363 Gardner-Webb 85 129 Winthrop 103   
Sat, Feb 14 276 Presbyterian 58 215 UNC Asheville 57   
Sat, Feb 14 265 Longwood 82 303 South Carolina Upstate 75   
Sat, Feb 14 254 Charleston Southern 80 228 Radford 90   
Sat, Feb 14 363 Gardner-Webb 87 89 High Point 112   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Feb 17 254 Charleston Southern 89 363 Gardner-Webb 73 93%   
Thu, Feb 19 265 Longwood 68 276 Presbyterian 70 59%   
Thu, Feb 19 89 High Point 82 215 UNC Asheville 70 87%   
Thu, Feb 19 303 South Carolina Upstate 69 129 Winthrop 83 89%   
Thu, Feb 19 363 Gardner-Webb 74 228 Radford 92 94%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.2 81.6 18.4
Winthrop 1.6 35.8 64.3
UNC Asheville 3.9 32.9 48.7 15.7 2.5 0.2
Radford 3.1 0.1 89.0 8.8 2.0 0.1
Charleston Southern 6.9 1.3 3.8 15.1 59.7 20.1 0.0
Longwood 5.0 7.6 24.1 32.5 33.4 2.3 0.0
Presbyterian 4.9 6.2 27.2 35.2 29.8 1.6 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 7.4 0.1 0.8 7.3 43.8 48.0 0.1
Gardner-Webb 9.0 0.1 1.2 98.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 14 - 2 23 - 5 0.9 9.4 37.0 52.8
Winthrop 14 - 2 19 - 9 0.5 6.7 32.2 46.2 14.3
UNC Asheville 8 - 8 11 - 16 1.4 14.5 39.0 39.2 5.9
Radford 10 - 6 14 - 14 0.5 10.1 37.3 39.4 12.8
Charleston Southern 5 - 11 11 - 17 1.4 19.0 41.6 30.3 7.7
Longwood 7 - 9 12 - 16 18.3 40.9 32.0 8.8
Presbyterian 7 - 9 11 - 17 16.5 40.0 32.9 9.5 1.0
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 10 - 18 3.9 33.9 45.2 15.5 1.5
Gardner-Webb 1 - 15 1 - 27 71.1 24.9 3.7 0.3 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 81.6% 64.3 17.3
Winthrop 35.8% 18.4 17.3
UNC Asheville
Radford
Charleston Southern
Longwood
Presbyterian
South Carolina Upstate
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 55.1% 55.1% 0.0% 13   1.7 27.2 23.8 2.3 0.0 44.9 0.0%
Winthrop 26.7% 26.7% 0.0% 0.0 2.7 13.5 9.3 1.2 0.0 73.3 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.7 5.0 94.1 0.0%
Radford 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.1 94.9 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.2 1.9 97.9 0.0%
Longwood 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.1 97.7 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.2% 1.0 4.8 95.2
2nd Round 7.4% 0.1 92.7 7.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 55.1% 0.0% 55.1% 6.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 26.7% 0.0% 26.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.9% 3.7% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 5.1% 1.6% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.3% 1.7% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%