Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
89 High Point 59.9%   13   22 - 4 13 - 1 +6.4      +5.7 60 +0.7 150 72.7 73 +5.0 96 +9.1 1
136 Winthrop 23.6%   17 - 8 12 - 1 +1.5      +2.0 115 -0.6 188 71.8 95 +2.2 125 +8.5 2
226 UNC Asheville 5.2%   9 - 15 6 - 7 -3.6      -2.8 249 -0.8 195 64.5 295 -5.5 253 -4.7 4
234 Radford 4.6%   12 - 13 8 - 5 -4.0      -0.8 184 -3.2 270 75.8 26 -5.4 250 -1.5 3
258 Charleston Southern 2.0%   10 - 15 4 - 9 -5.5      -3.6 263 -1.9 234 76.3 23 -7.5 285 -10.9 7
270 Longwood 2.0%   11 - 15 6 - 8 -6.2      -4.6 292 -1.6 225 71.0 115 -8.1 295 -6.7 6
272 Presbyterian 1.8%   11 - 14 7 - 6 -6.4      -4.2 282 -2.2 242 62.2 339 -5.5 251 -4.9 5
302 South Carolina Upstate 0.8%   8 - 17 3 - 10 -8.0      -6.5 335 -1.5 221 69.8 138 -8.3 300 -11.0 8
363 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   1 - 25 1 - 13 -18.4      -9.4 357 -9.0 360 73.6 54 -20.4 361 -18.3 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Feb 17 258 Charleston Southern 75 363 Gardner-Webb 66   
Thu, Feb 19 302 South Carolina Upstate 64 136 Winthrop 68   
Thu, Feb 19 270 Longwood 65 272 Presbyterian 72   
Thu, Feb 19 89 High Point 74 226 UNC Asheville 48   
Thu, Feb 19 363 Gardner-Webb 70 234 Radford 82   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 21 89 High Point 86 136 Winthrop 78 77%   
Sat, Feb 21 234 Radford 74 226 UNC Asheville 77 63%   
Sat, Feb 21 258 Charleston Southern 79 270 Longwood 75 64%   
Sat, Feb 21 272 Presbyterian 67 302 South Carolina Upstate 69 55%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.1 85.3 14.7
Winthrop 1.7 29.2 70.8
UNC Asheville 4.0 27.6 52.5 16.5 3.0 0.3
Radford 3.1 93.1 5.9 1.0
Charleston Southern 6.9 1.4 4.4 16.3 61.9 16.0
Longwood 5.4 1.1 14.3 28.8 52.3 3.5
Presbyterian 4.4 9.8 42.4 41.3 6.5
South Carolina Upstate 7.5 0.0 3.6 43.2 53.3
Gardner-Webb 9.0 0.6 99.4

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 15 - 1 24 - 4 4.6 32.0 63.5
Winthrop 14 - 2 19 - 9 4.8 32.0 50.2 12.9
UNC Asheville 8 - 8 11 - 16 1.9 16.3 43.5 38.3
Radford 10 - 6 14 - 14 9.4 36.8 40.0 13.7
Charleston Southern 5 - 11 11 - 17 17.0 42.5 32.6 7.9
Longwood 7 - 9 12 - 16 30.2 49.8 19.9
Presbyterian 8 - 8 12 - 16 39.1 44.5 14.8 1.6
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 10 - 18 3.9 35.7 47.0 13.4
Gardner-Webb 1 - 15 1 - 27 78.1 20.2 1.7

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 85.3% 70.8 14.6
Winthrop 29.2% 14.7 14.6
UNC Asheville
Radford
Charleston Southern
Longwood
Presbyterian
South Carolina Upstate
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 59.9% 59.9% 0.0% 13   1.6 29.6 26.6 2.0 0.0 40.1 0.0%
Winthrop 23.6% 23.6% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 11.4 9.4 1.3 0.0 76.4 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.8 4.4 94.9 0.0%
Radford 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.2 1.4 3.0 95.4 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.1 2.0 98.0 0.0%
Longwood 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.7 98.2 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8 99.2 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.5% 1.0 4.5 95.5
2nd Round 8.3% 0.1 91.8 8.3
Sweet Sixteen 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 59.9% 0.0% 59.9% 7.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 23.6% 0.0% 23.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.2% 3.2% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 4.6% 1.5% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.8% 1.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%