Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
91 High Point 59.4%   14   11 - 3 2 - 0 23 - 5 14 - 2 +6.0      +6.7 50 -0.6 194 71.2 127 +2.8 123 +10.8 2
151 Winthrop 18.0%   6 - 8 1 - 1 15 - 13 10 - 6 +0.2      +3.5 92 -3.3 278 71.2 129 -4.6 237 -10.9 6
228 Charleston Southern 5.8%   8 - 6 2 - 0 14 - 13 8 - 7 -3.8      -2.0 218 -1.8 227 75.3 43 -2.6 208 +5.6 3
240 UNC Asheville 4.5%   3 - 10 0 - 2 10 - 17 7 - 9 -4.7      -1.9 214 -2.9 262 66.7 252 -7.5 279 -14.4 7
243 Radford 4.9%   5 - 8 1 - 0 12 - 16 8 - 8 -4.8      -1.1 196 -3.7 293 78.4 20 -8.7 299 +11.2 1
273 Longwood 2.6%   6 - 8 1 - 1 13 - 15 8 - 8 -6.4      -2.9 247 -3.5 289 71.4 121 -7.3 275 +3.1 5
274 Presbyterian 2.8%   5 - 8 1 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6.4      -4.5 295 -1.9 233 62.1 348 -6.2 259 +5.2 4
287 South Carolina Upstate 2.0%   5 - 9 0 - 2 11 - 17 6 - 10 -7.0      -4.6 297 -2.4 246 71.7 111 -7.8 285 -21.2 9
360 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   0 - 14 0 - 2 2 - 25 2 - 13 -15.5      -7.5 342 -8.0 357 74.6 50 -18.3 354 -19.0 8




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 31 243 Radford 76 287 South Carolina Upstate 69   
Wed, Dec 31 273 Longwood 82 151 Winthrop 70   
Wed, Dec 31 91 High Point 87 240 UNC Asheville 69   
Wed, Dec 31 228 Charleston Southern 89 360 Gardner-Webb 79   
Sat, Jan 3 91 High Point 80 273 Longwood 67   
Sat, Jan 3 274 Presbyterian 86 287 South Carolina Upstate 77   
Sat, Jan 3 228 Charleston Southern 86 240 UNC Asheville 83   
Sat, Jan 3 360 Gardner-Webb 77 151 Winthrop 88   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Jan 7 228 Charleston Southern 78 151 Winthrop 85 75%   
Wed, Jan 7 274 Presbyterian 72 243 Radford 76 67%   
Wed, Jan 7 273 Longwood 72 240 UNC Asheville 77 67%   
Wed, Jan 7 360 Gardner-Webb 70 91 High Point 94 98%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.1 89.7 8.0 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Winthrop 2.8 11.3 43.2 20.3 11.7 6.7 4.0 2.0 0.8 0.0
Charleston Southern 4.3 2.5 15.8 19.4 18.6 16.2 12.8 9.5 5.1 0.2
UNC Asheville 5.0 0.7 9.8 14.8 15.9 16.5 16.1 14.2 10.5 1.5
Radford 4.1 3.6 19.0 20.3 17.5 14.5 11.7 8.4 4.5 0.5
Longwood 4.9 1.1 10.6 15.7 16.8 16.5 15.8 12.9 9.3 1.2
Presbyterian 5.0 1.6 10.5 13.8 15.1 15.9 15.7 15.5 10.5 1.3
South Carolina Upstate 6.4 0.2 2.3 5.0 8.4 11.9 16.1 21.8 28.9 5.5
Gardner-Webb 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 4.2 14.1 79.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 14 - 2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.7 10.5 19.0 26.2 24.8 11.9
Winthrop 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.6 5.6 10.5 15.3 18.9 19.0 14.9 8.3 3.1 0.5
Charleston Southern 8 - 8 0.1 0.6 2.3 6.0 11.2 16.3 18.7 18.0 13.4 8.0 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.0
UNC Asheville 7 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 5.5 10.3 14.8 17.8 17.9 14.5 9.3 4.6 1.8 0.3 0.0
Radford 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 5.3 10.0 14.2 17.2 17.6 14.4 9.5 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.0
Longwood 8 - 8 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.6 9.2 14.6 17.7 18.0 14.9 9.8 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.1 0.6 2.3 6.1 11.0 14.8 17.2 16.9 13.4 9.0 5.1 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
South Carolina Upstate 6 - 10 0.1 1.0 3.3 8.6 14.6 18.5 18.8 16.0 10.3 5.6 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
Gardner-Webb 2 - 14 13.1 25.0 25.7 19.3 10.1 4.8 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 89.7% 80.8 7.8 0.9 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 11.3% 5.6 4.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 2.5% 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
UNC Asheville 0.7% 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Radford 3.6% 1.6 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Longwood 1.1% 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Presbyterian 1.6% 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.2% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 59.4% 59.4% 0.0% 14   0.0 3.4 15.7 25.7 12.8 1.6 0.1 40.6 0.0%
Winthrop 18.0% 18.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.3 6.2 6.4 2.9 82.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.5 1.9 94.2 0.0%
UNC Asheville 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.3 95.5 0.0%
Radford 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.6 95.1 0.0%
Longwood 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 97.4 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 97.2 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.7 98.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 59.4% 0.0% 59.4% 8.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 18.0% 1.1% 17.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 5.8% 0.7% 5.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 4.5% 2.6% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 4.9% 2.3% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.6% 1.4% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.8% 1.4% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 2.0% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.2% 1.0 4.8 95.2
2nd Round 8.7% 0.1 91.3 8.7
Sweet Sixteen 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0