Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
94 High Point 59.1%   13   24 - 4 15 - 1 +6.0      +5.7 60 +0.2 162 73.3 60 +5.7 92 +10.1 1
138 Winthrop 23.7%   17 - 10 12 - 3 +1.4      +1.9 119 -0.5 190 72.7 71 +0.9 144 +3.9 2
230 Radford 5.1%   13 - 14 9 - 6 -3.9      -1.3 205 -2.5 252 74.8 32 -5.6 251 -2.3 3
232 UNC Asheville 4.9%   11 - 15 8 - 7 -3.9      -2.8 248 -1.1 208 63.5 316 -4.8 243 -3.7 4
262 Longwood 2.5%   12 - 15 7 - 8 -5.7      -4.1 274 -1.6 225 70.5 122 -7.3 278 -5.4 5
264 Charleston Southern 1.9%   11 - 16 5 - 10 -5.8      -3.4 259 -2.4 245 76.5 20 -7.4 280 -9.9 7
271 Presbyterian 2.2%   11 - 16 7 - 8 -6.3      -3.8 271 -2.5 248 62.3 338 -6.3 261 -6.1 6
300 South Carolina Upstate 0.7%   9 - 18 4 - 11 -8.2      -6.6 332 -1.6 222 69.4 151 -8.0 292 -10.0 8
362 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   1 - 26 1 - 14 -18.2      -8.8 353 -9.4 361 73.3 59 -20.8 364 -18.9 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Feb 26 264 Charleston Southern 86 138 Winthrop 84   
Thu, Feb 26 230 Radford 71 300 South Carolina Upstate 59   
Thu, Feb 26 94 High Point 79 271 Presbyterian 73   
Thu, Feb 26 362 Gardner-Webb 71 232 UNC Asheville 77   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 28 262 Longwood 79 230 Radford 77 54%   
Sat, Feb 28 264 Charleston Southern 71 232 UNC Asheville 76 68%   
Sat, Feb 28 271 Presbyterian 68 138 Winthrop 79 84%   
Sat, Feb 28 362 Gardner-Webb 68 300 South Carolina Upstate 81 89%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.0 100.0
Winthrop 2.0 100.0
Radford 3.0 100.0
UNC Asheville 3.6 36.2 63.8
Longwood 4.9 17.4 75.0 7.6
Charleston Southern 7.0 100.0
Presbyterian 5.4 5.3 49.8 44.9
South Carolina Upstate 7.4 60.0 40.1
Gardner-Webb 9.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 15 - 1 24 - 4 100.0
Winthrop 13 - 3 18 - 10 16.4 83.6
Radford 9 - 7 13 - 15 53.6 46.4
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 12 - 15 32.6 67.4
Longwood 8 - 8 13 - 15 46.4 53.6
Charleston Southern 5 - 11 11 - 17 67.4 32.6
Presbyterian 7 - 9 11 - 17 83.6 16.4
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 10 - 18 10.9 89.1
Gardner-Webb 1 - 15 1 - 27 89.1 10.9

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 100.0% 100.0
Winthrop
Radford
UNC Asheville
Longwood
Charleston Southern
Presbyterian
South Carolina Upstate
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 59.1% 59.1% 0.0% 13   0.0 1.7 31.4 24.4 1.6 40.9 0.0%
Winthrop 23.7% 23.7% 0.0% 1.0 11.3 10.1 1.3 0.0 76.3 0.0%
Radford 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 1.7 3.3 94.9 0.0%
UNC Asheville 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.6 4.4 95.1 0.0%
Longwood 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.1 2.4 97.5 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9 98.2 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 2.2 97.8 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.2% 1.0 4.8 95.2
2nd Round 7.1% 0.1 92.9 7.1
Sweet Sixteen 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 59.1% 0.0% 59.1% 6.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 23.7% 0.0% 23.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 5.1% 1.8% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 4.9% 2.8% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.5% 1.9% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%