Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
135 High Point 26.3%   15   9 - 2 0 - 0 21 - 8 11 - 5 +1.4      +4.2 72 -2.8 258 65.4 269 +4.7 103 0.0 1
166 UNC Asheville 17.9%   5 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 11 10 - 6 -0.5      +1.0 143 -1.5 216 69.1 178 +0.4 163 0.0 1
172 Longwood 16.3%   8 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 10 10 - 6 -0.7      -1.3 206 +0.6 150 69.4 163 +2.6 127 0.0 1
187 Winthrop 14.5%   6 - 4 0 - 0 16 - 12 9 - 7 -1.3      -0.8 190 -0.5 186 78.4 16 -0.2 171 0.0 1
204 Radford 11.7%   8 - 4 0 - 0 17 - 12 9 - 7 -2.0      +0.3 157 -2.4 247 61.7 346 +5.3 100 0.0 1
238 Gardner-Webb 5.9%   4 - 8 0 - 0 12 - 17 7 - 9 -4.3      -1.5 213 -2.7 255 72.5 87 -5.1 253 0.0 1
250 Presbyterian 5.1%   4 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -4.9      -2.0 233 -3.0 267 66.3 253 -3.2 223 0.0 1
301 Charleston Southern 1.9%   2 - 10 0 - 0 8 - 21 5 - 11 -7.7      -3.7 281 -4.0 297 69.7 157 -10.3 322 0.0 1
338 South Carolina Upstate 0.4%   1 - 10 0 - 0 5 - 23 4 - 12 -11.2      -5.9 334 -5.4 332 78.5 15 -12.8 337 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 2.5 38.8 21.9 14.8 10.1 6.8 4.3 2.2 0.9 0.3
UNC Asheville 3.3 23.9 19.2 16.4 13.5 10.8 7.9 5.1 2.6 0.7
Longwood 3.4 21.4 19.1 16.7 14.2 11.2 8.5 5.6 2.6 0.7
Winthrop 3.6 18.3 17.6 16.4 14.3 12.7 9.5 6.7 3.4 1.1
Radford 4.0 13.6 15.4 15.8 15.5 13.8 11.4 8.5 4.7 1.5
Gardner-Webb 5.1 5.5 8.2 11.0 13.2 15.4 16.5 15.3 10.5 4.4
Presbyterian 5.5 4.6 7.0 9.5 11.8 14.2 16.4 16.7 13.5 6.3
Charleston Southern 6.7 1.1 2.3 3.9 6.3 9.3 13.9 19.9 26.9 16.4
South Carolina Upstate 8.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.8 3.3 6.2 12.1 24.4 50.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.6 7.6 11.9 14.7 17.0 16.1 12.6 7.6 3.4 0.8
UNC Asheville 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 5.3 8.5 11.9 14.5 15.6 14.6 11.6 7.6 4.1 1.4 0.3
Longwood 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.7 9.1 12.4 15.3 16.0 13.9 11.1 7.0 3.4 1.1 0.2
Winthrop 9 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.8 6.8 10.2 13.8 15.2 15.1 13.3 9.7 5.7 2.8 0.9 0.1
Radford 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 5.1 8.5 12.0 14.6 16.0 14.8 11.5 7.6 4.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
Gardner-Webb 7 - 9 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.1 6.1 10.4 13.8 16.0 15.4 13.2 9.6 5.9 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.5 8.1 11.8 14.7 15.3 14.3 11.7 8.2 4.8 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 5 - 11 0.5 2.2 6.0 11.0 15.4 17.2 16.0 12.9 8.8 5.2 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 4 - 12 3.8 10.7 17.3 19.3 17.8 13.5 8.7 4.9 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 38.8% 26.3 9.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 23.9% 14.7 6.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0
Longwood 21.4% 12.9 6.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
Winthrop 18.3% 10.9 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0
Radford 13.6% 7.5 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb 5.5% 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Presbyterian 4.6% 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 1.1% 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 26.3% 26.3% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.1 8.7 9.3 4.4 0.6 73.7 0.0%
UNC Asheville 17.9% 17.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.5 6.0 5.4 2.0 82.1 0.0%
Longwood 16.3% 16.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.4 6.1 4.9 1.2 83.7 0.0%
Winthrop 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.7 5.2 2.0 85.5 0.0%
Radford 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.3 4.2 1.0 88.3 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.6 94.1 0.0%
Presbyterian 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.8 94.9 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.8 98.1 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 26.3% 0.1% 26.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 17.9% 0.7% 17.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 16.3% 0.3% 16.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 14.5% 0.7% 14.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 11.7% 0.3% 11.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 5.9% 2.6% 4.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 5.1% 1.8% 4.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.9% 1.7% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.2% 1.0 3.8 96.2
2nd Round 5.4% 0.1 94.6 5.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0