Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
94 High Point 61.3%   13   24 - 4 15 - 1 +5.9      +5.7 59 +0.2 163 73.3 57 +5.6 94 +9.9 1
143 Winthrop 21.6%   18 - 10 13 - 3 +1.1      +1.5 128 -0.4 186 72.9 64 +1.0 144 +4.0 2
244 Radford 4.1%   13 - 15 9 - 7 -4.6      -1.6 211 -2.9 261 75.0 30 -6.0 257 -3.2 3
247 UNC Asheville 3.7%   11 - 16 8 - 8 -4.8      -2.8 249 -2.0 231 63.6 312 -5.4 249 -4.9 5
251 Charleston Southern 3.1%   12 - 16 6 - 10 -5.0      -2.7 243 -2.3 245 76.7 20 -6.6 271 -8.4 7
253 Longwood 3.1%   13 - 15 8 - 8 -5.2      -3.7 269 -1.4 218 70.6 119 -6.7 272 -4.8 4
270 Presbyterian 2.4%   11 - 17 7 - 9 -6.1      -3.9 276 -2.1 239 62.5 333 -6.4 266 -6.4 6
302 South Carolina Upstate 0.6%   10 - 18 5 - 11 -8.3      -7.1 339 -1.2 212 69.3 155 -7.8 291 -9.8 8
362 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   1 - 27 1 - 15 -18.2      -9.3 355 -8.8 361 73.2 59 -21.1 362 -19.2 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 270 Presbyterian 70 143 Winthrop 74   
Sat, Feb 28 251 Charleston Southern 92 247 UNC Asheville 75   
Sat, Feb 28 253 Longwood 90 244 Radford 74   
Sat, Feb 28 362 Gardner-Webb 61 302 South Carolina Upstate 71   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 4 362 Gardner-Webb 69 302 South Carolina Upstate 79 82%   
Fri, Mar 6 253 Longwood 70 247 UNC Asheville 71 52%   
Fri, Mar 6 270 Presbyterian 73 244 Radford 74 56%   
Fri, Mar 6 251 Charleston Southern 79 143 Winthrop 85 72%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.0 100.0
Winthrop 2.0 100.0
Radford 3.0 100.0
UNC Asheville 4.0 100.0
Longwood 4.0 100.0
Presbyterian 6.0 100.0
Charleston Southern 7.0 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 8.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 9.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 15 - 1 24 - 4 100.0
Winthrop 13 - 3 19 - 10 100.0
Radford 9 - 7 14 - 15 100.0
UNC Asheville 8 - 8 12 - 16 100.0
Longwood 8 - 8 13 - 16 100.0
Presbyterian 7 - 9 11 - 18 100.0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 12 - 17 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 11 - 18 100.0
Gardner-Webb 1 - 15 1 - 28 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 100.0% 100.0
Winthrop
Radford
UNC Asheville
Longwood
Presbyterian
Charleston Southern
South Carolina Upstate
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 61.3% 61.3% 0.0% 13   1.2 29.5 28.1 2.5 38.7 0.0%
Winthrop 21.6% 21.6% 0.0% 0.8 10.3 9.8 0.7 78.4 0.0%
Radford 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 0.4 3.7 95.9 0.0%
UNC Asheville 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0 3.7 96.3 0.0%
Charleston Southern 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0 3.1 96.9 0.0%
Longwood 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.1 3.1 96.9 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 2.4 97.6 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6 99.4 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 93.7% 0.9 6.3 93.7
2nd Round 7.4% 0.1 92.6 7.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 1.0
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 61.3% 0.0% 61.3% 6.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 21.6% 0.0% 21.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 4.1% 2.2% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 3.7% 3.2% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 3.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 3.1% 2.2% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%