Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
101 High Point 50.3%   14   9 - 3 0 - 0 22 - 6 13 - 3 +5.3      +6.2 54 -1.0 201 72.4 99 +1.6 148 0.0 1
125 Winthrop 29.2%   5 - 6 0 - 0 17 - 11 12 - 4 +2.3      +5.0 67 -2.7 263 72.2 106 -2.9 212 0.0 1
232 UNC Asheville 5.2%   3 - 8 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 8 -4.4      -2.1 227 -2.2 240 66.5 261 -6.8 268 0.0 1
239 Charleston Southern 4.3%   5 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 14 6 - 8 -4.6      -2.9 247 -1.7 224 74.5 54 -6.1 254 0.0 1
261 Radford 3.5%   4 - 8 0 - 0 12 - 16 8 - 8 -5.5      -1.0 194 -4.5 322 78.4 17 -11.4 330 0.0 1
264 South Carolina Upstate 3.4%   5 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -5.7      -4.2 287 -1.4 212 71.3 133 -4.9 243 0.0 1
286 Presbyterian 2.4%   4 - 8 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6.6      -4.9 301 -1.7 226 61.4 354 -7.2 275 0.0 1
298 Longwood 1.8%   5 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 17 6 - 10 -7.5      -3.6 267 -4.0 309 71.9 113 -9.2 309 0.0 1
362 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   0 - 12 0 - 0 2 - 24 2 - 12 -15.5      -8.3 353 -7.2 350 76.5 34 -16.9 351 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 20 264 South Carolina Upstate 65 163 Youngstown St. 74   
Sat, Dec 20 298 Longwood 74 348 NC Central 72   
Sun, Dec 21 239 Charleston Southern 76 148 Furman 84   
Sun, Dec 21 107 UAB 72 232 UNC Asheville 47   
Sun, Dec 21 313 Manhattan 87 286 Presbyterian 81   
Sun, Dec 21 261 Radford 97 332 VMI 90   
Sun, Dec 21 362 Gardner-Webb 52 14 Tennessee 94   
Mon, Dec 22 311 Bryant 47 101 High Point 93   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 28 24 Texas Tech 89 125 Winthrop 73 92%   
Sun, Dec 28 239 Charleston Southern 70 104 Richmond 83 87%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.4 69.5 23.1 5.0 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 2.0 36.6 41.6 12.8 4.8 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0
UNC Asheville 4.3 3.8 11.8 24.1 19.1 15.2 11.4 8.3 5.4 1.0
Charleston Southern 5.7 0.6 3.6 10.7 14.3 16.2 17.1 18.3 17.0 2.3
Radford 4.8 2.1 8.1 18.3 18.4 16.5 15.0 11.9 8.1 1.6
South Carolina Upstate 4.9 2.0 7.5 17.9 18.3 16.9 14.9 12.1 8.7 1.7
Presbyterian 5.3 1.2 5.3 13.7 16.0 16.7 16.5 15.3 12.4 2.8
Longwood 5.7 0.8 3.9 10.1 13.5 15.9 17.3 17.7 16.9 4.0
Gardner-Webb 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.2 5.6 17.3 73.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 13 - 3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.6 9.2 15.5 21.3 22.2 17.3 6.7
Winthrop 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.8 7.0 11.3 15.9 18.9 18.6 13.4 6.7 1.7
UNC Asheville 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.5 7.0 10.8 14.6 16.4 16.2 12.8 8.8 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 0.1 0.7 2.5 6.1 10.5 14.9 17.1 17.0 13.8 9.4 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
Radford 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.8 10.2 14.2 15.9 16.3 14.1 9.8 5.7 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 7 - 9 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 5.6 10.5 14.1 16.6 16.5 13.6 9.3 5.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.0
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.3 8.4 12.8 16.1 16.8 15.1 11.0 7.1 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Longwood 6 - 10 0.1 0.8 2.7 6.3 11.0 15.2 17.0 16.3 13.3 8.6 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Gardner-Webb 2 - 14 13.0 25.1 25.2 18.5 10.8 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 69.5% 56.0 12.2 1.2 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 36.6% 24.5 10.9 1.1 0.1 0.0
UNC Asheville 3.8% 1.7 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 0.6% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Radford 2.1% 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 2.0% 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
Presbyterian 1.2% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Longwood 0.8% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 50.3% 50.3% 0.0% 14   0.0 0.1 2.2 10.1 20.1 14.6 3.0 0.2 49.7 0.0%
Winthrop 29.2% 29.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.6 7.5 11.7 6.7 1.5 70.8 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.2 94.8 0.0%
Charleston Southern 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.4 95.7 0.0%
Radford 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.8 96.5 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.2 96.6 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 97.6 0.0%
Longwood 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.5 98.2 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 50.3% 0.0% 50.3% 5.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 29.2% 0.4% 29.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.2% 2.2% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 4.3% 1.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 3.5% 2.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 3.4% 1.4% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.4% 1.4% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 1.8% 1.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.6% 1.0 4.4 95.6
2nd Round 7.8% 0.1 92.2 7.8
Sweet Sixteen 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0