Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
89 High Point 55.5%   13   20 - 4 11 - 1 +5.8      +5.5 62 +0.4 158 72.4 78 +4.8 95 +9.0 1
132 Winthrop 26.0%   16 - 8 11 - 1 +1.9      +2.4 107 -0.5 186 72.1 87 +2.2 127 +8.5 2
206 UNC Asheville 6.9%   9 - 13 6 - 5 -2.7      -1.4 203 -1.3 214 64.9 278 -4.6 242 -2.8 4
235 Radford 4.8%   10 - 13 6 - 5 -4.1      -1.0 192 -3.1 271 76.2 24 -6.0 263 -2.0 3
250 Charleston Southern 2.7%   9 - 14 3 - 8 -4.9      -3.1 256 -1.9 235 76.0 26 -7.2 280 -11.0 8
266 Longwood 2.1%   10 - 14 5 - 7 -5.9      -4.1 280 -1.8 232 70.5 129 -8.0 297 -6.4 5
277 Presbyterian 1.5%   9 - 14 5 - 6 -6.8      -3.8 274 -3.0 266 62.3 335 -6.7 270 -7.2 6
303 South Carolina Upstate 0.7%   8 - 15 3 - 8 -8.2      -6.1 323 -2.2 242 69.8 142 -7.7 294 -10.1 7
363 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   1 - 22 1 - 10 -18.7      -9.5 356 -9.2 361 73.6 58 -20.0 362 -17.7 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Feb 12 266 Longwood 74 206 UNC Asheville 79   
Thu, Feb 12 250 Charleston Southern 84 277 Presbyterian 67   
Thu, Feb 12 89 High Point 95 303 South Carolina Upstate 70   
Thu, Feb 12 363 Gardner-Webb 85 132 Winthrop 103   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 14 250 Charleston Southern 81 235 Radford 85 64%   
Sat, Feb 14 277 Presbyterian 65 206 UNC Asheville 72 75%   
Sat, Feb 14 266 Longwood 75 303 South Carolina Upstate 70 70%   
Sat, Feb 14 363 Gardner-Webb 68 89 High Point 95 99%   
Tue, Feb 17 250 Charleston Southern 88 363 Gardner-Webb 72 93%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.2 82.3 17.7
Winthrop 1.6 35.3 64.7
UNC Asheville 3.4 0.0 62.8 31.8 4.6 0.7 0.1
Radford 3.5 0.0 59.4 34.6 5.4 0.5 0.1
Charleston Southern 6.5 0.5 3.5 14.7 27.7 36.6 17.0 0.0
Longwood 5.2 4.3 17.8 44.7 22.1 7.6 3.5
Presbyterian 5.5 3.0 10.9 35.3 34.5 12.5 3.8
South Carolina Upstate 7.0 0.0 1.2 9.2 18.9 30.1 40.5 0.1
Gardner-Webb 9.0 0.1 0.8 99.1

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 14 - 2 23 - 5 0.0 0.9 9.2 36.9 53.0
Winthrop 14 - 2 19 - 9 0.6 7.1 32.3 46.6 13.4
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 12 - 15 0.4 4.5 19.7 37.7 32.8 4.8
Radford 9 - 7 13 - 15 0.3 5.0 21.1 36.9 28.3 8.4
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 12 - 16 0.8 12.3 32.9 34.3 16.5 3.2
Longwood 7 - 9 12 - 16 6.6 25.3 36.6 24.6 6.9
Presbyterian 7 - 9 11 - 17 13.9 35.3 32.5 14.8 3.3 0.3
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 10 - 18 2.7 23.4 40.8 25.4 7.1 0.6
Gardner-Webb 1 - 15 1 - 27 71.6 24.4 3.7 0.2

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 82.3% 64.7 17.6
Winthrop 35.3% 17.7 17.6
UNC Asheville
Radford
Charleston Southern
Longwood
Presbyterian
South Carolina Upstate
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 55.5% 55.5% 0.0% 13   1.8 25.6 24.4 3.6 0.1 44.5 0.0%
Winthrop 26.0% 26.0% 0.0% 0.0 2.1 12.0 10.3 1.5 0.0 74.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.7 93.2 0.0%
Radford 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.4 95.2 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.4 97.3 0.0%
Longwood 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.8 97.9 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 1.5 98.5 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.8% 1.0 4.2 95.8
2nd Round 7.4% 0.1 92.6 7.4
Sweet Sixteen 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 55.5% 0.0% 55.5% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 26.0% 0.0% 26.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.9% 2.3% 6.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 4.8% 2.1% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.7% 2.0% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.1% 1.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%