Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
94 High Point 54.2%   13   19 - 4 10 - 1 +5.5      +4.9 69 +0.6 150 71.7 96 +4.4 97 +8.6 1
138 Winthrop 24.0%   15 - 8 10 - 1 +1.4      +2.3 112 -0.9 204 71.6 100 +2.2 129 +8.4 2
213 UNC Asheville 6.5%   8 - 13 5 - 5 -3.0      -1.6 214 -1.4 229 65.0 282 -5.5 253 -4.0 4
230 Radford 4.9%   10 - 13 6 - 5 -3.9      -1.2 198 -2.8 257 76.2 26 -5.9 260 -2.0 3
240 Charleston Southern 3.3%   8 - 14 2 - 8 -4.7      -4.7 295 0.0 168 76.9 20 -7.7 290 -12.9 8
243 Longwood 3.6%   10 - 13 5 - 6 -4.8      -3.2 258 -1.5 231 70.6 126 -7.3 279 -5.0 5
269 Presbyterian 2.6%   9 - 13 5 - 5 -5.9      -2.7 244 -3.2 272 62.5 333 -6.2 265 -6.4 6
301 South Carolina Upstate 1.1%   8 - 14 3 - 7 -8.3      -7.8 349 -0.5 187 70.2 136 -7.7 291 -9.9 7
363 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   1 - 21 1 - 9 -18.6      -8.8 357 -9.8 363 73.1 65 -19.7 361 -17.3 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 4 230 Radford 78 138 Winthrop 80   
Wed, Feb 4 213 UNC Asheville 76 301 South Carolina Upstate 67   
Wed, Feb 4 240 Charleston Southern 55 94 High Point 80   
Wed, Feb 4 363 Gardner-Webb 66 243 Longwood 86   
Sat, Feb 7 94 High Point 86 230 Radford 77   
Sat, Feb 7 243 Longwood 74 138 Winthrop 79   
Sat, Feb 7 240 Charleston Southern 94 301 South Carolina Upstate 100   
Sat, Feb 7 363 Gardner-Webb 62 269 Presbyterian 68   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 12 243 Longwood 73 213 UNC Asheville 71 55%   
Thu, Feb 12 240 Charleston Southern 74 269 Presbyterian 70 66%   
Thu, Feb 12 94 High Point 80 301 South Carolina Upstate 70 84%   
Thu, Feb 12 363 Gardner-Webb 72 138 Winthrop 89 93%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.2 80.3 19.7
Winthrop 1.6 39.2 60.8
UNC Asheville 3.9 0.1 43.3 31.8 16.8 6.8 1.1 0.1
Radford 3.5 0.1 65.4 24.9 8.1 1.4 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 6.8 0.7 2.8 8.1 18.5 39.7 30.1 0.2
Longwood 4.6 20.4 25.5 30.8 17.8 4.2 1.3
Presbyterian 5.3 0.0 8.9 17.3 27.9 33.0 10.2 2.8
South Carolina Upstate 7.0 0.3 1.5 6.2 17.4 40.4 34.2 0.1
Gardner-Webb 9.0 0.2 1.7 98.1

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 14 - 2 23 - 5 0.2 3.0 14.3 38.7 43.8
Winthrop 14 - 2 19 - 9 0.1 1.2 10.5 34.5 41.6 12.1
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 12 - 15 0.4 3.4 14.5 29.6 32.9 17.0 2.2
Radford 9 - 7 13 - 15 0.2 5.3 21.5 37.8 27.4 7.8
Charleston Southern 5 - 11 11 - 17 0.4 5.2 19.2 32.6 27.2 12.9 2.7
Longwood 8 - 8 13 - 15 2.4 13.0 28.3 32.5 18.9 4.9
Presbyterian 7 - 9 11 - 17 8.6 25.2 32.5 21.7 9.4 2.3 0.2
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 10 - 18 2.7 22.7 38.0 26.4 8.7 1.5 0.1
Gardner-Webb 1 - 15 1 - 27 67.0 27.8 4.6 0.5 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 80.3% 60.8 19.6
Winthrop 39.2% 19.7 19.6
UNC Asheville
Radford
Charleston Southern
Longwood
Presbyterian
South Carolina Upstate
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 54.2% 54.2% 0.0% 13   1.5 23.4 25.3 3.9 0.1 45.9 0.0%
Winthrop 24.0% 24.0% 0.0% 0.1 2.2 11.1 9.3 1.3 0.0 76.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 1.7 4.4 93.5 0.0%
Radford 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.1 0.2 1.6 3.0 95.1 0.0%
Charleston Southern 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.9 96.8 0.0%
Longwood 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.7 2.7 96.4 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.3 97.4 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 1.1 98.9 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.3% 1.0 4.7 95.3
2nd Round 7.4% 0.1 92.6 7.4
Sweet Sixteen 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 54.2% 0.0% 54.2% 6.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 24.0% 0.0% 24.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.5% 2.9% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 4.9% 1.5% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 3.3% 2.3% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 3.6% 1.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.6% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%