Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.0 #253
Expected Predictive Rating -7.5 #285
Pace 75.6 #37
Improvement +3.2 #47

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #171 C- D+ C B+ B-
Defense #308 D F C+ D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #216 1.11 #240 -1.8 #248
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #291 0.70 #259 -2.3 #297
Three Pointers 48% #53 1.00 #210 +2.9 #90
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #219 -1.2 #219
Freethrows 20.7 #28 73% #176 15.1 #39
Second Chance 27.6% #267 1.02 #204 0.28 #259
Turnovers 16.7% #194
Total Offense -0.3 #171

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #93 1.16 #182 -2.0 #248
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #284 0.79 #242 +0.9 #121
Three Pointers 41% #184 1.15 #333 -2.7 #296
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #295 -3.8 #296
Freethrows 19.7 #304 71% #87 13.9 #283
Second Chance 33.8% #305 1.17 #322 0.40 #333
Turnovers 17.2% #132
Total Defense -4.7 #308

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.1% #112 1.3% #296
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.6% #230 5.9% #287
Possession Length 16.3 #77 17.0 #121
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #78 0.19 #239
Improvement +2.9 #44 +0.3 #169

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.2% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 19.0% 37.0% 13.1%
.500 or above in Conference 71.6% 89.9% 65.6%
Conference Champion 1.0% 3.2% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.9% 1.7% 2.0%
First Round3.0% 4.5% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 24.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 412 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 356 Western Illinois W 80 - 75 87% +5  1 - 0 -12 +11 B A+ B+ -23 F F C+
 Tue, Nov 11 31 @North Carolina L 74 - 89 3% -11  1 - 1 +2 -3 F C- C +7 A+ B C
 Sat, Nov 15 154 Wright St. L 59 - 92 30% -13  1 - 2 -33 -17 F F F -15 F D- C
 Sun, Nov 16 316 Cleveland St. L 82 - 87 67% +9  1 - 3 -14 -11 F D F -3 D- B- C+
 Tue, Nov 18 69 @South Carolina L 58 - 87 8% -15  1 - 4 -18 -10 F D F -8 D- F B-
 Fri, Nov 21 125 UNC Wilmington L 73 - 81 34% -8  1 - 5 -9 +0 B D- F -9 F F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 29 @SMU L 72 - 89 3% -11  1 - 6 +0 -2 F B- A+ +4 A+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 244 Southern Miss L 75 - 82 60% -6  1 - 7 -15 -5 F D+ B+ -9 B- C C
 Sun, Dec 7 358 St. Francis (PA) W 89 - 56 88% +17  2 - 7 +15 +9 C- A+ C+ +7 C+ A B
 Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107 - 77 94% +12  3 - 7 +7 +13 A+ C F -8 F C- A+
 Thu, Dec 18 138 @William & Mary L 83 - 96 19% -3  3 - 8 -9 +3 D B- B- -9 B F F
 Sun, Dec 21 349 VMI W 97 - 90 84% +2  4 - 8 -8 +12 A+ A+ D -20 F F B+
 Wed, Dec 31 303 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 69 50% +4  5 - 8 1 - 0 +2 -1 D+ C F +2 A- F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 266 Presbyterian W 80 - 61 64% +6  6 - 8 2 - 0 +10 +14 A+ F A+ -1 B+ C F
 Sat, Jan 10 205 UNC Asheville L 72 - 91 53% -9  6 - 9 2 - 1 -25 -7 F F A+ -17 F A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 14 363 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 80 85% +5  7 - 9 3 - 1 -7 +7 D- F A- -14 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 262 Longwood W 85 - 83 64% +11  8 - 9 4 - 1 -7 +8 A- F B- -14 F F B
 Wed, Jan 21 130 @Winthrop L 75 - 76 18% +2  8 - 10 4 - 2 +4 +5 A+ F F -1 F A- B
 Fri, Jan 23 98 High Point L 81 - 88 25%
 Thu, Jan 29 234 @Charleston Southern L 82 - 86 36%
 Sat, Jan 31 266 @Presbyterian L 74 - 76 42%
 Wed, Feb 4 130 Winthrop L 80 - 84 36%
 Sat, Feb 7 98 @High Point L 78 - 91 10%
 Sat, Feb 14 234 Charleston Southern W 85 - 83 57%
 Thu, Feb 19 363 Gardner-Webb W 92 - 75 94%
 Sat, Feb 21 205 @UNC Asheville L 75 - 80 31%
 Thu, Feb 26 303 South Carolina Upstate W 82 - 76 71%
 Sat, Feb 28 262 @Longwood L 80 - 82 41%
Totals 12 - 16 8 - 8 -5 +0 C- D+ C -5 D F C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.6 1.4 0.1 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.7 11.6 12.4 4.1 0.4 31.1 3rd
4th 1.4 11.4 9.4 1.5 0.0 23.7 4th
5th 0.3 7.4 9.0 1.4 0.0 18.1 5th
6th 0.1 3.4 7.9 1.4 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.1 6.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.2 2.1 8.3 17.8 24.4 22.5 15.2 6.9 2.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-3 79.5% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 20.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
11-5 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.4% 14.8% 14.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-4 2.2% 10.4% 10.4% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.9
11-5 6.9% 6.0% 6.0% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 6.5
10-6 15.2% 5.3% 5.3% 15.7 0.3 0.5 14.4
9-7 22.5% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.1 0.8 21.6
8-8 24.4% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.7 23.6
7-9 17.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.4 17.5
6-10 8.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 8.2
5-11 2.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-12 0.2% 0.2
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.8 96.3 0.0%