Radford
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#204
Expected Predictive Rating+5.3#100
Pace61.7#346
Improvement-1.0#252

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#157
First Shot+0.1#173
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#170
Layup/Dunks-2.5#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#225
Freethrows+4.2#12
Improvement-2.2#330

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#247
First Shot-4.0#307
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#60
Layups/Dunks+3.7#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#299
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#315
Freethrows-2.7#331
Improvement+1.3#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 15.4% 11.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 84.7% 95.2% 83.5%
.500 or above in Conference 70.7% 78.2% 69.8%
Conference Champion 13.6% 19.8% 12.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.8% 3.4%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round11.6% 15.4% 11.1%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 10.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 34 - 44 - 10
Quad 414 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 33   @ Pittsburgh L 56-96 6%     0 - 1 -24.6 -10.1 -14.1
  Nov 08, 2024 222   William & Mary W 89-77 65%     1 - 1 +6.0 +8.9 -2.9
  Nov 12, 2024 315   Old Dominion W 87-75 82%     2 - 1 +0.3 +8.6 -8.2
  Nov 16, 2024 290   @ Evansville W 92-81 57%     3 - 1 +7.2 +28.1 -19.7
  Nov 21, 2024 35   @ Clemson L 51-79 6%     3 - 2 -12.7 -9.7 -5.5
  Nov 25, 2024 360   Chicago St. W 63-48 87%     4 - 2 +0.8 -6.7 +9.3
  Nov 26, 2024 144   Purdue Fort Wayne W 69-56 40%     5 - 2 +13.5 -1.7 +16.2
  Dec 01, 2024 336   @ St. Francis (PA) W 79-70 72%     6 - 2 +0.9 +10.5 -8.7
  Dec 05, 2024 276   @ NC Central W 70-67 55%     7 - 2 -0.2 -6.3 +6.0
  Dec 08, 2024 264   Bucknell W 74-70 OT 74%     8 - 2 -4.6 -3.3 -1.5
  Dec 14, 2024 66   @ Utah L 63-81 11%     8 - 3 -6.5 -2.7 -4.1
  Dec 17, 2024 104   @ Colorado St. L 68-78 19%     8 - 4 -2.6 +8.2 -12.0
  Dec 22, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 61-74 11%    
  Jan 02, 2025 135   @ High Point L 68-74 28%    
  Jan 04, 2025 187   Winthrop W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 338   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-71 72%    
  Jan 15, 2025 238   Gardner-Webb W 74-69 69%    
  Jan 18, 2025 301   @ Charleston Southern W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 22, 2025 172   Longwood W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 25, 2025 250   @ Presbyterian L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 166   @ UNC Asheville L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 01, 2025 338   South Carolina Upstate W 80-68 87%    
  Feb 05, 2025 135   High Point L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 08, 2025 172   @ Longwood L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 12, 2025 187   @ Winthrop L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 19, 2025 166   UNC Asheville W 71-70 56%    
  Feb 22, 2025 250   Presbyterian W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 26, 2025 238   @ Gardner-Webb L 71-72 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 301   Charleston Southern W 75-66 78%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.5 3.5 1.7 0.4 0.1 13.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 5.0 6.1 2.9 0.5 0.0 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.3 7.1 2.4 0.2 0.0 15.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 5.0 7.6 2.1 0.1 15.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.2 6.7 2.2 0.1 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.6 2.0 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.8 1.6 0.1 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.9 0.8 0.1 4.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 5.1 8.5 12.0 14.6 16.0 14.8 11.5 7.6 4.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 97.7% 1.7    1.6 0.1 0.0
13-3 86.8% 3.5    2.6 0.8 0.0
12-4 59.2% 4.5    2.2 2.0 0.4 0.0
11-5 24.9% 2.8    0.6 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0
10-6 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.6% 13.6 7.5 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 42.1% 42.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 33.8% 33.8% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.7% 30.4% 30.4% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.2
13-3 4.0% 28.9% 28.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 2.8
12-4 7.6% 23.1% 23.1% 13.8 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.9
11-5 11.5% 18.0% 18.0% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.0 9.4
10-6 14.8% 13.4% 13.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.0 12.8
9-7 16.0% 10.7% 10.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.1 14.3
8-8 14.6% 7.6% 7.6% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 13.5
7-9 12.0% 5.7% 5.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 11.3
6-10 8.5% 3.9% 3.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.1
5-11 5.1% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 5.0
4-12 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 2.3
3-13 1.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.3 4.2 1.0 88.3 0.0%