Wright St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#160
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#257
Pace67.3#247
Improvement-1.0#257

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#195
First Shot-2.2#233
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#124
Layup/Dunks-1.6#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#94
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#187
Freethrows-1.9#282
Improvement-0.3#209

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#142
First Shot+2.8#88
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#301
Layups/Dunks-7.5#357
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.6#2
Freethrows+0.2#169
Improvement-0.7#250
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.4% 19.0% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 72.4% 77.6% 53.2%
.500 or above in Conference 84.5% 88.9% 68.6%
Conference Champion 17.8% 20.7% 7.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.4% 1.5%
First Four1.2% 1.2% 1.3%
First Round16.9% 18.5% 11.1%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 78.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 64 - 9
Quad 413 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 69 @California L 67-77 15%     0 - 1 +1.0 -1.0 +1.9
  Tue, Nov 11 173 Toledo L 71-81 64%     0 - 2 -14.1 -3.3 -11.3
  Sat, Nov 15 290 Radford W 92-59 74%     1 - 2 +26.0 +12.5 +12.4
  Sun, Nov 16 122 Kent St. L 72-76 OT 37%     1 - 3 -1.0 -5.7 +4.9
  Tue, Nov 25 348 @Stetson W 79-62 79%     2 - 3 +8.3 +8.6 +1.1
  Fri, Nov 28 44 @Butler L 69-94 9%     2 - 4 -10.7 -2.9 -6.1
  Wed, Dec 3 178 @Youngstown St. L 68-69 42%     2 - 5 0 - 1 +0.6 -1.6 +2.3
  Sun, Dec 7 264 Green Bay W 74-66 79%    
  Sat, Dec 13 170 @Marshall L 73-75 41%    
  Tue, Dec 16 127 Miami (OH) W 75-74 51%    
  Mon, Dec 22 203 Eastern Michigan W 71-66 70%    
  Mon, Dec 29 141 Oakland W 79-78 55%    
  Thu, Jan 1 221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-72 72%    
  Sun, Jan 4 354 @IU Indianapolis W 90-80 81%    
  Fri, Jan 9 313 @Detroit Mercy W 75-70 68%    
  Sun, Jan 11 141 @Oakland L 76-81 34%    
  Thu, Jan 15 178 Youngstown St. W 74-70 65%    
  Wed, Jan 21 308 Cleveland St. W 83-72 84%    
  Sat, Jan 24 181 Northern Kentucky W 74-70 65%    
  Fri, Jan 30 221 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-74 51%    
  Sun, Feb 1 264 @Green Bay W 71-69 59%    
  Wed, Feb 4 183 @Robert Morris L 69-71 45%    
  Sat, Feb 7 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 80-73 73%    
  Thu, Feb 12 313 Detroit Mercy W 78-67 84%    
  Sun, Feb 15 308 @Cleveland St. W 80-75 66%    
  Thu, Feb 19 354 IU Indianapolis W 93-77 92%    
  Sun, Feb 22 183 Robert Morris W 72-68 64%    
  Wed, Feb 25 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Feb 28 181 @Northern Kentucky L 71-73 44%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.6 5.3 3.6 1.6 0.3 17.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.7 6.3 5.0 1.7 0.3 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.1 6.7 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 16.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.7 6.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.0 2.0 0.3 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.7 1.5 0.2 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.0 0.1 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.4 4.4 6.5 9.3 11.9 13.9 13.7 12.5 10.4 7.0 3.9 1.6 0.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 100.0% 1.6    1.5 0.1
17-3 92.5% 3.6    3.1 0.6
16-4 75.3% 5.3    3.3 1.8 0.2 0.0
15-5 43.8% 4.6    1.9 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 15.9% 2.0    0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1
13-7 3.4% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.8% 17.8 10.6 5.4 1.5 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.3% 56.1% 56.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
18-2 1.6% 45.5% 45.5% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9
17-3 3.9% 40.6% 40.6% 13.4 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 2.3
16-4 7.0% 33.9% 33.9% 13.9 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 4.6
15-5 10.4% 28.3% 28.3% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.9 0.1 7.5
14-6 12.5% 21.5% 21.5% 14.5 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.2 9.8
13-7 13.7% 17.5% 17.5% 14.9 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.5 11.3
12-8 13.9% 14.7% 14.7% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.7 11.8
11-9 11.9% 10.9% 10.9% 15.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 10.6
10-10 9.3% 7.2% 7.2% 15.8 0.2 0.5 8.7
9-11 6.5% 5.1% 5.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 6.2
8-12 4.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 4.3
7-13 2.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 2.4
6-14 1.2% 1.2
5-15 0.6% 0.6
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 17.4% 17.4% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.3 5.7 3.3 82.6 0.0%