Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
141 Oakland 26.0%   15   3 - 5 1 - 0 17 - 13 14 - 6 +1.5      +5.0 67 -3.5 288 74.8 57 +2.7 138 +7.7 3
160 Wright St. 17.4%   2 - 5 0 - 1 16 - 13 12 - 8 -0.3      -1.1 195 +0.8 142 67.3 247 -5.9 257 -13.6 8
178 Youngstown St. 13.1%   4 - 4 1 - 0 16 - 12 12 - 8 -1.4      -1.9 221 +0.6 151 72.0 120 -0.2 178 +11.9 2
181 Northern Kentucky 12.9%   5 - 2 1 - 0 17 - 11 12 - 8 -1.5      -0.4 177 -1.2 205 68.7 209 +4.5 110 +4.1 4
183 Robert Morris 12.7%   5 - 3 1 - 0 18 - 11 12 - 8 -1.7      -0.7 183 -1.0 199 66.2 267 +3.4 128 +12.4 1
221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6.9%   2 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 17 10 - 10 -3.6      -0.7 182 -3.0 269 73.3 93 -3.2 213 0.0 5
236 Purdue Fort Wayne 5.3%   1 - 6 0 - 1 11 - 17 10 - 10 -4.5      0.0 165 -4.4 321 74.1 74 -10.6 314 -10.7 7
264 Green Bay 3.2%   2 - 6 0 - 1 11 - 18 8 - 12 -5.8      -1.3 202 -4.4 322 64.3 313 -4.1 233 -19.9 10
308 Cleveland St. 1.2%   1 - 7 0 - 1 8 - 20 7 - 13 -8.1      -1.4 205 -6.7 354 76.0 39 -10.7 315 -13.7 9
313 Detroit Mercy 1.2%   2 - 6 1 - 0 8 - 19 7 - 13 -8.4      -3.7 271 -4.7 328 70.1 168 -8.6 295 -0.9 6
354 IU Indianapolis 0.1%   2 - 7 0 - 1 6 - 23 4 - 16 -13.1      -4.5 296 -8.5 362 96.4 1 -11.2 319 -20.6 11




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 3 160 Wright St. 68 178 Youngstown St. 69   
Wed, Dec 3 141 Oakland 101 236 Purdue Fort Wayne 92   
Wed, Dec 3 308 Cleveland St. 80 181 Northern Kentucky 95   
Wed, Dec 3 313 Detroit Mercy 92 354 IU Indianapolis 78   
Thu, Dec 4 264 Green Bay 78 183 Robert Morris 80   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 6 141 Oakland 87 173 Toledo 82 70%   
Sat, Dec 6 221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 76 183 Robert Morris 75 54%   
Sat, Dec 6 181 Northern Kentucky 77 236 Purdue Fort Wayne 78 50%   
Sat, Dec 6 308 Cleveland St. 82 313 Detroit Mercy 79 63%   
Sat, Dec 6 354 IU Indianapolis 84 178 Youngstown St. 93 80%   
Sun, Dec 7 264 Green Bay 66 160 Wright St. 75 79%   
Wed, Dec 10 203 Eastern Michigan 75 236 Purdue Fort Wayne 76 54%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Oakland 2.6 39.9 21.1 14.4 9.4 6.6 3.9 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.0
Wright St. 3.8 17.8 17.9 16.1 13.8 11.4 8.9 6.3 4.1 2.3 1.1 0.3
Youngstown St. 3.8 18.6 17.4 16.1 14.1 11.7 8.4 6.7 3.5 2.4 0.9 0.2
Northern Kentucky 4.0 16.8 15.9 15.2 13.8 11.7 9.6 7.3 5.2 2.9 1.3 0.3
Robert Morris 3.9 17.8 17.1 15.2 13.7 12.0 9.4 6.8 4.1 2.4 1.1 0.3
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5.4 7.0 9.3 10.9 11.6 12.5 12.6 12.3 9.9 7.8 4.5 1.6
Purdue Fort Wayne 6.0 4.0 6.9 8.4 10.1 11.8 13.6 14.4 12.5 9.8 6.2 2.3
Green Bay 7.1 1.5 2.8 4.8 7.1 9.4 12.2 14.7 16.0 15.0 11.8 4.7
Cleveland St. 8.1 0.5 1.3 2.5 3.7 5.3 8.4 12.2 16.0 18.8 20.6 10.8
Detroit Mercy 7.9 0.6 1.5 2.6 4.1 6.4 8.7 13.2 15.8 19.7 19.9 7.7
IU Indianapolis 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.6 5.2 10.4 23.4 55.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Oakland 14 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.7 4.2 7.0 10.1 12.4 14.5 14.7 13.3 9.9 5.9 2.3 0.7
Wright St. 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.4 4.4 6.5 9.3 11.9 13.9 13.7 12.5 10.4 7.0 3.9 1.6 0.3
Youngstown St. 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.2 6.4 9.4 12.0 14.1 13.6 12.4 10.1 7.2 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
Northern Kentucky 12 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.8 3.0 5.3 7.7 10.1 12.3 13.1 13.3 11.5 9.0 6.3 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
Robert Morris 12 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.4 4.4 7.0 10.0 12.5 13.2 13.4 12.2 10.0 6.7 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10 - 10 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.9 5.1 7.0 9.5 11.7 12.5 12.7 11.4 9.0 7.1 4.3 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 10 - 10 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.1 4.1 6.5 9.1 11.8 13.3 13.0 11.7 9.5 7.3 4.9 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Green Bay 8 - 12 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 4.6 7.5 10.2 12.6 13.6 13.4 11.8 9.3 6.2 3.8 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Cleveland St. 7 - 13 0.2 1.0 2.6 5.5 8.9 11.7 13.9 14.1 13.0 10.5 7.8 4.8 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Detroit Mercy 7 - 13 0.4 2.0 4.7 8.3 11.1 13.9 14.1 13.3 11.3 8.3 6.0 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis 4 - 16 3.3 9.7 15.6 18.3 17.7 13.6 9.6 5.8 3.2 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Oakland 39.9% 29.0 8.4 2.0 0.4 0.1
Wright St. 17.8% 10.6 5.4 1.5 0.3 0.0
Youngstown St. 18.6% 11.6 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.0
Northern Kentucky 16.8% 10.1 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.0
Robert Morris 17.8% 11.2 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7.0% 4.0 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.0% 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Green Bay 1.5% 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Cleveland St. 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Detroit Mercy 0.6% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Oakland 26.0% 26.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.3 2.5 7.2 9.0 5.5 1.5 74.0 0.0%
Wright St. 17.4% 17.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.3 5.7 3.3 82.6 0.0%
Youngstown St. 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.3 4.6 1.7 86.9 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 2.4 4.5 4.3 1.2 87.1 0.0%
Robert Morris 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.5 4.6 1.3 87.3 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 2.5 93.1 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.9 94.7 0.0%
Green Bay 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.7 96.8 0.0%
Cleveland St. 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 98.8 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 98.8 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Oakland 26.0% 0.6% 25.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 17.4% 1.2% 16.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 13.1% 0.4% 12.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 12.9% 0.4% 12.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 12.7% 0.2% 12.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6.9% 1.3% 6.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.3% 1.8% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 3.2% 1.1% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 1.2% 0.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.1% 1.0 3.9 96.1
2nd Round 4.2% 0.0 95.8 4.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0