Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
144 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   19 - 11 14 - 6 19 - 11 14 - 6 +1.0      +0.3 163 +0.7 156 71.0 98 +1.0 150 +1.2 3
146 Robert Morris 60.9%   15   24 - 8 15 - 5 25 - 8 15 - 5 +0.9      -0.3 191 +1.3 131 69.3 136 +2.9 121 +2.7 1
164 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 8 17 - 13 12 - 8 -0.3      +0.8 151 -1.1 207 74.4 45 -1.1 177 -1.4 5
171 Cleveland St. 0.0%   18 - 12 14 - 6 18 - 12 14 - 6 -0.6      -2.2 227 +1.5 121 64.5 282 -0.4 168 +1.4 2
185 Oakland 0.0%   15 - 18 11 - 9 15 - 18 11 - 9 -1.4      +0.5 157 -1.9 227 61.0 346 -2.2 197 -2.6 7
200 Youngstown St. 39.1%   19 - 12 13 - 7 19 - 13 13 - 7 -2.0      -3.0 250 +1.1 139 71.9 72 -0.8 172 +0.2 4
222 Northern Kentucky 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 9 15 - 16 11 - 9 -3.4      -2.4 236 -0.9 199 65.4 253 -2.8 209 -2.4 6
229 Wright St. 0.0%   13 - 18 8 - 12 13 - 18 8 - 12 -3.7      +1.8 125 -5.5 327 68.5 170 -4.8 247 -6.3 8
318 IU Indianapolis 0.0%   7 - 22 6 - 14 7 - 22 6 - 14 -9.4      +1.4 136 -10.8 363 63.4 305 -10.6 327 -8.4 9
334 Green Bay 0.0%   4 - 27 2 - 18 4 - 27 2 - 18 -11.2      -4.4 291 -6.9 348 71.5 85 -13.6 347 -16.3 11
337 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   7 - 24 4 - 16 7 - 24 4 - 16 -11.5      -7.9 345 -3.7 279 67.4 199 -9.8 319 -11.5 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 2.0 100.0
Robert Morris 1.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 2.0 100.0
Oakland 6.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 4.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 6.0 100.0
Wright St. 8.0 100.0
IU Indianapolis 9.0 100.0
Green Bay 11.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 14 - 6 100.0
Robert Morris 15 - 5 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 12 - 8 100.0
Cleveland St. 14 - 6 100.0
Oakland 11 - 9 100.0
Youngstown St. 13 - 7 100.0
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 100.0
Wright St. 8 - 12 100.0
IU Indianapolis 6 - 14 100.0
Green Bay 2 - 18 100.0
Detroit Mercy 4 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Robert Morris 100.0% 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne
Cleveland St.
Oakland
Youngstown St.
Northern Kentucky
Wright St.
IU Indianapolis
Green Bay
Detroit Mercy


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 60.9% 60.9% 0.0% 15   0.1 4.8 41.7 14.3 0.1 39.1 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 39.1% 39.1% 0.0% 0.0 3.5 23.6 12.0 60.9 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 60.9% 0.0% 60.9% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 39.1% 1.1% 38.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.5% 1.0 0.5 99.5
2nd Round 3.1% 0.0 96.9 3.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0