Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
143 Oakland 29.6%   15   13 - 11 10 - 4 +1.1      +4.1 77 -2.9 264 74.5 44 +1.7 136 +1.5 2
150 Wright St. 26.6%   14 - 9 11 - 3 +0.5      +1.5 126 -1.0 207 67.1 228 +0.2 158 +3.3 1
201 Northern Kentucky 9.1%   12 - 11 7 - 8 -2.5      -1.3 203 -1.2 216 72.5 80 -3.3 220 -5.2 7
204 Robert Morris 9.8%   14 - 10 8 - 7 -2.7      -0.5 170 -2.2 242 64.3 299 -1.4 186 -3.4 5
205 Youngstown St. 6.3%   9 - 13 5 - 9 -2.7      -1.6 209 -1.2 212 68.0 203 -6.5 268 -8.4 10
242 Purdue Fort Wayne 6.1%   11 - 11 8 - 6 -4.6      -1.9 222 -2.6 257 70.0 141 -1.6 193 -2.1 4
244 Green Bay 6.5%   12 - 12 9 - 6 -4.6      +1.4 132 -6.0 331 61.4 349 -1.7 195 -2.0 3
268 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.8%   9 - 17 6 - 10 -6.1      -2.1 224 -4.0 294 69.6 154 -6.3 265 -7.3 9
271 Detroit Mercy 2.7%   8 - 13 7 - 7 -6.2      -1.9 221 -4.2 302 71.0 115 -5.6 252 -4.6 6
299 Cleveland St. 1.2%   7 - 15 6 - 8 -7.9      +0.2 156 -8.1 358 71.6 101 -6.7 270 -5.8 8
332 IU Indianapolis 0.3%   5 - 19 3 - 12 -10.9      -3.8 273 -7.2 347 82.4 3 -11.5 336 -12.0 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Feb 10 332 IU Indianapolis 88 268 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 92   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 12 244 Green Bay 76 242 Purdue Fort Wayne 73 61%   
Thu, Feb 12 143 Oakland 84 205 Youngstown St. 77 75%   
Thu, Feb 12 271 Detroit Mercy 72 150 Wright St. 82 82%   
Thu, Feb 12 299 Cleveland St. 77 204 Robert Morris 79 58%   
Thu, Feb 12 332 IU Indianapolis 82 201 Northern Kentucky 88 70%   
Sun, Feb 15 143 Oakland 79 204 Robert Morris 78 53%   
Sun, Feb 15 244 Green Bay 74 268 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 75 56%   
Sun, Feb 15 271 Detroit Mercy 75 205 Youngstown St. 76 52%   
Sun, Feb 15 299 Cleveland St. 77 150 Wright St. 83 70%   
Sun, Feb 15 332 IU Indianapolis 79 242 Purdue Fort Wayne 89 81%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Oakland 1.6 45.9 51.5 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Wright St. 1.2 77.4 21.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
Northern Kentucky 5.5 0.3 12.0 17.4 21.2 24.2 14.7 7.1 2.7 0.5
Robert Morris 4.2 0.3 2.8 31.1 30.5 18.9 9.5 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
Youngstown St. 7.8 0.9 3.0 6.0 11.9 17.3 23.4 19.2 18.1 0.3
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.0 0.5 4.4 40.8 23.0 16.4 9.5 4.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
Green Bay 3.8 0.5 5.3 45.0 23.8 15.5 6.7 2.9 0.4 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8.5 0.0 0.4 1.6 6.4 12.6 23.3 28.8 26.9 0.2
Detroit Mercy 6.3 0.0 0.4 6.5 10.6 14.3 20.5 23.6 14.7 6.9 2.5
Cleveland St. 7.8 0.0 1.4 3.8 5.6 9.7 14.8 23.7 24.7 16.4 0.1
IU Indianapolis 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.8 96.5

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Oakland 15 - 5 18 - 12 0.0 0.7 3.2 12.4 28.0 36.0 19.7
Wright St. 15 - 5 18 - 11 0.1 1.0 5.8 18.6 31.6 30.5 12.4
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 15 - 13 1.7 10.3 25.2 33.1 22.9 6.8
Robert Morris 11 - 9 17 - 12 1.5 9.5 25.8 34.8 23.4 5.1
Youngstown St. 8 - 12 12 - 16 1.4 8.6 21.3 31.5 24.4 10.9 2.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 14 - 14 1.4 8.9 21.8 30.8 24.7 10.5 1.9
Green Bay 11 - 9 14 - 15 5.6 20.6 33.5 27.5 11.2 1.7
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8 - 12 11 - 19 11.8 34.4 35.4 16.2 2.2
Detroit Mercy 9 - 11 10 - 17 5.7 21.1 31.9 26.0 12.0 3.0 0.3
Cleveland St. 8 - 12 9 - 19 9.2 24.9 31.3 22.3 9.4 2.6 0.3
IU Indianapolis 4 - 16 6 - 23 27.1 39.8 24.2 7.6 1.2 0.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Oakland 45.9% 22.3 23.1 0.5 0.1
Wright St. 77.4% 53.7 23.1 0.5 0.1
Northern Kentucky
Robert Morris 0.3% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
Youngstown St.
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.5% 0.3 0.2 0.0
Green Bay 0.5% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Cleveland St.
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Oakland 29.6% 29.6% 0.0% 15   0.0 1.5 9.0 13.6 5.3 0.2 70.4 0.0%
Wright St. 26.6% 26.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.9 6.5 12.6 6.2 0.3 73.4 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.6 2.2 90.9 0.0%
Robert Morris 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.1 1.4 90.2 0.0%
Youngstown St. 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.7 93.7 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 2.8 2.7 94.0 0.0%
Green Bay 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.1 93.5 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.1 1.7 98.2 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.5 97.3 0.0%
Cleveland St. 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1 1.2 98.8 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.3% 1.0 4.7 95.3
2nd Round 2.1% 0.0 97.9 2.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Oakland 29.6% 0.0% 29.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 26.6% 0.0% 26.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.1% 0.5% 8.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 9.8% 0.3% 9.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 6.3% 2.5% 5.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 6.1% 1.0% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 6.5% 1.1% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 2.7% 2.1% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%