Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
133 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 24.0%   15   13 - 8 8 - 4 18 - 11 13 - 7 +1.6      +1.1 152 +0.5 154 72.6 75 +1.6 146 0.0 3
149 Purdue Fort Wayne 20.2%   14 - 8 9 - 4 19 - 10 14 - 6 +0.9      +3.4 85 -2.5 247 73.7 54 +0.8 157 +0.6 2
157 Cleveland St. 21.1%   14 - 6 11 - 1 19 - 9 16 - 4 +0.5      -1.4 216 +1.8 120 65.9 242 +3.1 125 +10.0 1
188 Oakland 8.5%   9 - 14 7 - 6 13 - 17 11 - 9 -1.3      +0.4 174 -1.7 221 58.5 359 -2.7 212 -2.8 6
194 Robert Morris 10.0%   15 - 8 8 - 5 19 - 11 12 - 8 -1.6      -1.5 218 -0.1 171 70.5 120 +0.3 163 -0.4 4
196 Wright St. 7.5%   10 - 12 6 - 7 14 - 15 10 - 10 -1.6      +1.9 123 -3.5 277 69.3 153 -3.1 216 -4.5 7
219 Youngstown St. 6.0%   12 - 10 8 - 5 15 - 14 11 - 9 -3.2      -3.9 279 +0.7 151 71.9 85 -3.1 217 -1.2 5
244 Northern Kentucky 2.4%   8 - 13 5 - 7 12 - 17 9 - 11 -4.9      -5.2 313 +0.2 159 64.6 280 -5.4 250 -6.0 8
323 Detroit Mercy 0.2%   7 - 16 4 - 9 9 - 21 6 - 14 -10.0      -7.8 350 -2.1 236 66.9 220 -7.0 282 -8.0 9
330 IU Indianapolis 0.1%   5 - 16 4 - 9 7 - 21 6 - 14 -10.6      -1.3 214 -9.3 361 64.5 284 -11.4 332 -8.5 10
347 Green Bay 0.0%   2 - 21 0 - 13 4 - 26 2 - 18 -12.0      -4.7 299 -7.4 350 69.2 159 -15.9 354 -21.6 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 2.7 15.4 38.9 24.9 11.2 5.8 2.6 1.0 0.1 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 2.6 15.1 41.0 25.1 10.7 5.2 2.0 0.7 0.1
Cleveland St. 1.2 85.2 9.4 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
Oakland 5.0 0.5 5.3 11.0 20.4 24.2 23.0 13.3 2.1 0.2
Robert Morris 3.7 4.4 18.5 22.6 28.8 16.1 6.9 2.5 0.3 0.0
Wright St. 6.1 0.0 1.0 3.0 8.9 15.4 27.5 31.9 11.4 0.8 0.1
Youngstown St. 4.7 1.3 8.1 13.5 21.9 23.2 19.8 10.2 1.9 0.1
Northern Kentucky 7.5 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.1 9.4 19.5 55.7 7.7 1.2
Detroit Mercy 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 12.4 55.5 30.4 0.1
IU Indianapolis 9.3 0.1 0.3 2.0 10.2 40.4 47.0 0.1
Green Bay 11.0 0.2 1.8 98.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 13 - 7 0.0 0.2 1.4 6.2 15.4 25.9 28.0 17.8 5.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 14 - 6 0.0 0.7 4.9 15.5 26.6 29.1 17.9 5.3
Cleveland St. 16 - 4 0.1 1.1 4.6 11.8 20.8 26.1 22.0 11.0 2.5
Oakland 11 - 9 0.1 1.7 8.1 19.9 29.2 26.9 11.9 2.3
Robert Morris 12 - 8 0.1 1.1 6.4 17.7 29.7 27.4 14.3 3.3
Wright St. 10 - 10 0.2 1.7 7.2 19.5 31.1 26.3 11.9 2.1
Youngstown St. 11 - 9 0.7 5.8 17.8 28.0 26.6 15.2 5.4 0.6
Northern Kentucky 9 - 11 0.9 5.6 16.1 26.9 26.3 16.3 6.2 1.6 0.2
Detroit Mercy 6 - 14 7.7 25.3 32.5 23.0 9.1 2.1 0.3 0.0
IU Indianapolis 6 - 14 15.5 30.8 28.5 16.2 7.1 1.7 0.1 0.1
Green Bay 2 - 18 14.7 32.6 30.6 16.0 5.1 1.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 15.4% 5.3 7.4 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 15.1% 5.6 6.8 2.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Cleveland St. 85.2% 69.9 12.2 2.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
Oakland 0.5% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Robert Morris 4.4% 1.1 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Youngstown St. 1.3% 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Northern Kentucky
Detroit Mercy
IU Indianapolis
Green Bay


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 24.0% 24.0% 0.0% 15   0.1 1.6 7.2 10.8 4.2 0.1 76.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 20.2% 20.2% 0.0% 0.7 4.2 9.5 5.5 0.3 79.8 0.0%
Cleveland St. 21.1% 21.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.8 4.1 9.8 5.9 0.5 78.9 0.0%
Oakland 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.5 4.5 91.5 0.0%
Robert Morris 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 2.9 5.3 1.3 90.0 0.0%
Wright St. 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.9 2.0 92.5 0.0%
Youngstown St. 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.0 94.0 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.0 97.6 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 24.0% 0.0% 24.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 20.2% 0.0% 20.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 21.1% 0.1% 21.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 8.5% 2.3% 7.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 10.0% 0.1% 10.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 7.5% 0.7% 7.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 6.0% 1.0% 5.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 2.4% 1.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.6% 1.0 2.4 97.6
2nd Round 4.2% 0.0 95.8 4.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0