Oakland
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#141
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#138
Pace74.8#57
Improvement-1.0#263

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#67
First Shot+5.5#44
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#205
Layup/Dunks+3.6#66
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#196
Freethrows+1.1#126
Improvement-0.4#219

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#288
First Shot-3.2#288
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#206
Layups/Dunks-0.8#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#342
Freethrows+2.4#56
Improvement-0.6#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.0% 27.7% 21.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.2
.500 or above 79.9% 85.5% 66.8%
.500 or above in Conference 95.0% 95.8% 93.3%
Conference Champion 39.9% 42.7% 33.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 1.3%
First Round25.7% 27.6% 21.4%
Second Round1.7% 1.9% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Home) - 70.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 35 - 45 - 11
Quad 413 - 319 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 1 @Michigan L 78-121 1%     0 - 1 -13.9 +13.4 -23.1
  Fri, Nov 7 2 @Purdue L 77-87 2%     0 - 2 +15.2 +13.3 +1.8
  Wed, Nov 12 7 @Houston L 45-78 3%     0 - 3 -10.1 -9.5 -4.9
  Mon, Nov 17 63 @Central Florida L 83-87 17%     0 - 4 +7.8 +10.7 -2.7
  Fri, Nov 21 203 @Eastern Michigan L 91-97 54%     0 - 5 -5.6 +14.2 -19.4
  Mon, Nov 24 195 Lamar W 83-68 64%     1 - 5 +12.6 +11.1 +1.4
  Tue, Nov 25 197 @Montana W 95-87 53%     2 - 5 +8.6 +12.0 -4.2
  Wed, Dec 3 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 101-92 80%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +1.5 +13.2 -12.4
  Sat, Dec 6 173 Toledo W 87-81 70%    
  Sat, Dec 13 87 @Northern Iowa L 69-76 24%    
  Wed, Dec 17 181 @Northern Kentucky W 81-80 49%    
  Sat, Dec 20 10 Michigan St. L 68-86 5%    
  Mon, Dec 29 160 @Wright St. L 78-79 45%    
  Thu, Jan 1 178 @Youngstown St. L 80-81 49%    
  Sun, Jan 4 183 Robert Morris W 82-76 71%    
  Fri, Jan 9 308 Cleveland St. W 94-81 87%    
  Sun, Jan 11 160 Wright St. W 81-76 66%    
  Thu, Jan 15 221 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 85-83 57%    
  Sun, Jan 18 264 @Green Bay W 81-77 65%    
  Wed, Jan 21 354 IU Indianapolis W 106-88 94%    
  Sat, Jan 24 313 @Detroit Mercy W 85-78 73%    
  Wed, Jan 28 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 87-84 60%    
  Sun, Feb 1 181 Northern Kentucky W 84-78 70%    
  Wed, Feb 4 308 @Cleveland St. W 91-84 73%    
  Thu, Feb 12 178 Youngstown St. W 84-78 70%    
  Sun, Feb 15 183 @Robert Morris W 79-78 51%    
  Fri, Feb 20 264 Green Bay W 84-74 82%    
  Sun, Feb 22 221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88-80 76%    
  Wed, Feb 25 354 @IU Indianapolis W 103-91 85%    
  Sat, Feb 28 313 Detroit Mercy W 88-75 87%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.0 7.5 10.6 9.2 5.9 2.3 0.7 39.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.6 7.3 6.1 2.6 0.6 0.1 21.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.7 3.8 1.1 0.1 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.3 3.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.0 0.2 3.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.2 2.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.7 4.2 7.0 10.1 12.4 14.5 14.7 13.3 9.9 5.9 2.3 0.7 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
19-1 100.0% 2.3    2.3 0.0
18-2 98.9% 5.9    5.8 0.1
17-3 93.6% 9.2    8.3 0.9 0.0
16-4 79.8% 10.6    7.6 2.8 0.3 0.0
15-5 51.1% 7.5    3.6 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-6 21.0% 3.0    0.7 1.3 0.7 0.3
13-7 4.8% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 39.9% 39.9 29.0 8.4 2.0 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.7% 61.6% 61.6% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
19-1 2.3% 48.9% 48.9% 12.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2
18-2 5.9% 45.9% 45.9% 12.9 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.6 0.0 3.2
17-3 9.9% 40.2% 40.2% 13.3 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.4 0.2 5.9
16-4 13.3% 35.0% 35.0% 13.7 0.3 1.6 2.1 0.6 0.0 8.7
15-5 14.7% 30.5% 30.5% 13.9 0.1 1.2 2.3 0.8 0.0 10.2
14-6 14.5% 24.7% 24.7% 14.2 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.4 0.1 10.9
13-7 12.4% 18.0% 18.0% 14.6 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.2 10.2
12-8 10.1% 13.8% 13.8% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 8.7
11-9 7.0% 13.0% 13.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 6.1
10-10 4.2% 7.6% 7.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.9
9-11 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 2.6
8-12 1.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 1.3
7-13 0.6% 0.6
6-14 0.3% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 26.0% 26.0% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.3 2.5 7.2 9.0 5.5 1.5 74.0 0.0%