Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#216
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#182
Pace66.6#258
Improvement-1.6#285

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#252
First Shot-1.9#226
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#254
Layup/Dunks+0.9#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#294
Freethrows+0.0#180
Improvement-0.5#208

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#181
First Shot+0.4#155
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#263
Layups/Dunks-2.6#278
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#32
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement-1.2#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.8% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 23.7% 33.8% 13.6%
.500 or above in Conference 36.2% 48.9% 23.6%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 2.7% 9.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.3% 1.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Home) - 49.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 75 - 13
Quad 48 - 413 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 330 Georgia St. W 71-49 82%     1 - 0 +8.9 -4.8 +14.1
  Mon, Nov 10 84 @Pittsburgh L 66-78 11%     1 - 1 -2.4 -2.6 +0.1
  Fri, Nov 14 354 IU Indianapolis L 83-90 89%     1 - 2 -23.7 -8.6 -14.3
  Tue, Nov 18 296 @Detroit Mercy W 72-62 53%     2 - 2 +5.8 -2.9 +8.7
  Fri, Nov 21 137 Oakland W 97-91 41%     3 - 2 +4.7 +14.1 -9.7
  Mon, Nov 24 13 @Louisville L 46-87 2%     3 - 3 -20.1 -16.6 -5.3
  Wed, Nov 26 67 @Cincinnati W 64-56 9%     4 - 3 +19.2 +6.5 +13.3
  Fri, Nov 28 353 NJIT W 73-55 88%     5 - 3 +1.7 -0.5 +3.2
  Tue, Dec 2 50 @Butler L 68-84 7%     5 - 4 -2.7 +5.2 -8.8
  Wed, Dec 10 199 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65-80 34%     5 - 5 -14.4 -5.0 -10.3
  Fri, Dec 19 59 @Akron L 72-93 8%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -9.1 -1.2 -7.6
  Mon, Dec 22 153 @Wright St. L 64-70 25%     5 - 7 -2.6 -4.5 +1.7
  Tue, Dec 30 164 Massachusetts L 72-73 50%    
  Sat, Jan 3 189 Ohio W 74-73 55%    
  Tue, Jan 6 306 @Ball St. W 68-66 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 280 @Western Michigan L 72-73 49%    
  Tue, Jan 13 328 Northern Illinois W 77-68 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 117 @Bowling Green L 64-74 19%    
  Sat, Jan 24 124 Kent St. L 75-78 40%    
  Tue, Jan 27 323 @Central Michigan W 72-69 62%    
  Sat, Jan 31 164 @Massachusetts L 70-76 29%    
  Tue, Feb 3 59 Akron L 76-85 19%    
  Wed, Feb 11 124 @Kent St. L 72-81 21%    
  Sat, Feb 14 280 Western Michigan W 76-70 70%    
  Tue, Feb 17 323 Central Michigan W 75-66 80%    
  Sat, Feb 21 170 @Toledo L 72-78 30%    
  Tue, Feb 24 106 Miami (OH) L 73-78 33%    
  Tue, Mar 3 196 @Buffalo L 70-74 35%    
  Fri, Mar 6 117 Bowling Green L 67-71 37%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.8 1.2 0.1 6.1 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 4.4 1.9 0.1 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.5 3.3 0.3 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.9 4.9 0.8 0.0 13.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 6.0 5.8 1.2 0.0 14.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 5.2 6.3 1.7 0.1 14.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.3 1.7 0.1 0.0 11.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.2 1.5 0.1 8.6 11th
12th 0.2 1.5 2.3 1.1 0.1 5.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.7 9.6 13.2 15.6 15.5 13.7 10.5 6.2 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 52.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 31.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 12.5% 12.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.6% 11.2% 11.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.6% 8.5% 8.5% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4
12-6 3.4% 4.6% 4.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.2
11-7 6.2% 3.3% 3.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.0
10-8 10.5% 3.2% 3.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.2
9-9 13.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 13.5
8-10 15.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 15.3
7-11 15.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.6
6-12 13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.2
5-13 9.6% 9.6
4-14 5.7% 5.7
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 98.7 0.0%