Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#300
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#227
Pace70.2#127
Improvement+0.9#150

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#244
First Shot-2.8#256
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#185
Layup/Dunks-3.9#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#223
Freethrows+0.6#138
Improvement+2.5#51

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#317
First Shot-5.0#325
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#202
Layups/Dunks+0.2#162
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#303
Freethrows-0.8#246
Improvement-1.7#275
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.2% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 8.5% 18.6% 4.4%
.500 or above in Conference 20.8% 39.6% 13.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.4% 2.7%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 29.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 102 - 12
Quad 411 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 184   @ Texas St. L 44-64 20%     0 - 1 -18.8 -26.4 +5.7
  Nov 14, 2024 330   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-71 52%     1 - 1 -5.1 -7.8 +2.6
  Nov 16, 2024 157   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 16%     1 - 2 -5.0 -3.0 -2.5
  Nov 21, 2024 188   @ Oakland W 68-64 20%     2 - 2 +5.1 +2.9 +2.8
  Nov 25, 2024 290   @ Houston Christian W 74-73 38%     3 - 2 -3.6 +2.3 -5.8
  Nov 26, 2024 250   Northern Arizona W 72-68 40%     4 - 2 -1.3 -2.7 +1.5
  Nov 30, 2024 323   Detroit Mercy L 89-98 OT 68%     4 - 3 -21.4 +2.1 -22.5
  Dec 03, 2024 128   @ Loyola Chicago L 54-76 13%     4 - 4 -17.6 -9.1 -11.1
  Dec 15, 2024 149   Purdue Fort Wayne L 94-121 28%     4 - 5 -28.6 +0.8 -24.6
  Dec 21, 2024 196   Wright St. W 86-82 36%     5 - 5 -0.1 +9.7 -9.8
  Dec 28, 2024 126   @ Davidson L 64-86 13%     5 - 6 -17.4 -7.6 -10.2
  Jan 04, 2025 338   Northern Illinois W 75-71 73%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -10.1 -5.1 -5.1
  Jan 07, 2025 201   @ Toledo L 87-90 22%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -2.5 +3.3 -5.5
  Jan 11, 2025 100   Akron L 81-105 17%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -21.8 +2.2 -22.0
  Jan 14, 2025 225   @ Central Michigan L 63-82 26%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -20.0 -6.8 -13.8
  Jan 18, 2025 312   @ Bowling Green W 68-62 44%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -0.1 -6.4 +6.4
  Jan 21, 2025 168   Ohio W 94-87 31%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +4.5 +11.9 -8.0
  Jan 25, 2025 342   Buffalo W 90-77 73%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -1.3 +9.5 -11.0
  Jan 28, 2025 173   @ Miami (OH) L 80-89 18%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -6.9 +5.8 -12.5
  Feb 01, 2025 306   @ Western Michigan L 54-61 43%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -12.9 -16.1 +2.6
  Feb 04, 2025 148   Kent St. L 66-72 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 275   Old Dominion W 73-72 56%    
  Feb 11, 2025 255   @ Ball St. L 73-78 31%    
  Feb 15, 2025 201   Toledo L 80-83 40%    
  Feb 18, 2025 173   Miami (OH) L 74-79 35%    
  Feb 22, 2025 338   @ Northern Illinois W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 25, 2025 312   Bowling Green W 78-75 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 225   Central Michigan L 71-73 45%    
  Mar 04, 2025 168   @ Ohio L 73-83 16%    
  Mar 07, 2025 148   @ Kent St. L 63-74 14%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.6 0.2 1.0 3rd
4th 0.5 2.0 1.0 0.1 3.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.0 2.7 0.1 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.7 7.1 6.0 0.5 14.2 6th
7th 0.4 6.3 10.3 1.8 0.0 18.8 7th
8th 0.2 5.2 12.4 4.1 0.2 22.0 8th
9th 0.0 2.4 10.4 5.1 0.3 18.1 9th
10th 0.8 5.6 4.0 0.5 10.9 10th
11th 1.0 1.3 0.2 2.5 11th
12th 0.2 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 2.1 9.6 20.1 25.0 22.5 13.5 5.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.2% 8.3% 8.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 1.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.6
10-8 5.4% 1.8% 1.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 5.3
9-9 13.5% 2.2% 2.2% 15.8 0.1 0.2 13.2
8-10 22.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.3 22.2
7-11 25.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 24.8
6-12 20.1% 20.1
5-13 9.6% 9.6
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.8 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%