Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#317
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#245
Pace68.8#186
Improvement-1.6#285

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#293
First Shot-3.0#265
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#261
Layup/Dunks-4.4#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#267
Freethrows+0.7#139
Improvement+2.0#46

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#315
First Shot-4.7#326
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#168
Layups/Dunks+0.8#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#288
Freethrows-0.3#209
Improvement-3.6#356
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 8.2% 15.9% 5.0%
.500 or above in Conference 17.7% 23.3% 15.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 21.6% 16.7% 23.6%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Home) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 49 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 139   @ Texas St. L 44-64 12%     0 - 1 -15.9 -23.3 +5.6
  Nov 14, 2024 354   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-71 54%     1 - 1 -6.8 -6.1 -0.7
  Nov 16, 2024 224   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 21%     1 - 2 -8.2 -4.9 -3.8
  Nov 21, 2024 206   @ Oakland W 68-64 18%     2 - 2 +4.9 +3.3 +2.2
  Nov 25, 2024 349   @ Houston Christian W 74-73 51%     3 - 2 -8.2 -0.4 -7.7
  Nov 26, 2024 285   Northern Arizona W 72-68 42%     4 - 2 -2.8 -4.9 +2.2
  Nov 30, 2024 323   Detroit Mercy L 89-98 OT 63%     4 - 3 -21.1 +0.0 -20.1
  Dec 03, 2024 106   @ Loyola Chicago L 54-76 8%     4 - 4 -14.7 -7.4 -9.9
  Dec 15, 2024 144   Purdue Fort Wayne L 94-121 27%     4 - 5 -29.5 -0.1 -24.6
  Dec 21, 2024 154   Wright St. L 73-79 29%    
  Dec 28, 2024 122   @ Davidson L 65-79 9%    
  Jan 04, 2025 346   Northern Illinois W 75-69 72%    
  Jan 07, 2025 211   @ Toledo L 74-83 19%    
  Jan 11, 2025 163   Akron L 74-79 31%    
  Jan 14, 2025 225   @ Central Michigan L 68-76 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 267   @ Bowling Green L 72-78 29%    
  Jan 21, 2025 149   Ohio L 73-79 29%    
  Jan 25, 2025 330   Buffalo W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 28, 2025 209   @ Miami (OH) L 67-77 20%    
  Feb 01, 2025 296   @ Western Michigan L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 04, 2025 113   Kent St. L 62-71 20%    
  Feb 11, 2025 288   @ Ball St. L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 15, 2025 211   Toledo L 77-80 38%    
  Feb 18, 2025 209   Miami (OH) L 70-74 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 346   @ Northern Illinois W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 25, 2025 267   Bowling Green L 75-76 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 225   Central Michigan L 71-73 41%    
  Mar 04, 2025 149   @ Ohio L 70-82 14%    
  Mar 07, 2025 113   @ Kent St. L 59-74 9%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.3 1.1 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.5 2.0 0.1 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.6 3.3 0.4 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.4 4.9 0.7 0.0 14.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.3 7.1 5.7 1.1 0.0 17.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 3.7 6.3 4.4 1.1 0.0 16.5 11th
12th 0.3 1.7 3.8 4.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 13.0 12th
Total 0.3 1.7 4.7 8.5 12.3 14.8 15.5 13.6 10.9 7.8 5.0 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 73.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 53.8% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 25.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 5.9% 5.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 16.0% 16.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 8.4% 8.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.3% 5.0% 5.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.7% 4.9% 4.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.6
10-8 5.0% 2.8% 2.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 4.9
9-9 7.8% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.7
8-10 10.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.7
7-11 13.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.6
6-12 15.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.5
5-13 14.8% 14.8
4-14 12.3% 12.3
3-15 8.5% 8.5
2-16 4.7% 4.7
1-17 1.7% 1.7
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%