Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.5 #198
Expected Predictive Rating -2.4 #209
Pace 66.4 #253
Improvement -0.9 #235

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #246 C D C C- C-
Defense #162 C+ C C C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #103 1.09 #258 +0.4 #159
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #90 0.75 #180 +1.6 #97
Three Pointers 33% #325 1.09 #86 -2.7 #280
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #200 -0.7 #200
Freethrows 16.3 #241 71% #233 11.7 #240
Second Chance 27.6% #269 0.94 #310 0.26 #302
Turnovers 16.6% #186
Total Offense -2.7 #246

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #75 1.11 #117 -1.3 #224
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #102 0.75 #155 -0.7 #234
Three Pointers 35% #329 0.98 #134 +3.6 #49
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #127 +1.7 #127
Freethrows 15.8 #100 74% #260 11.7 #129
Second Chance 29.4% #127 1.05 #187 0.31 #149
Turnovers 16.3% #194
Total Defense +0.1 #162

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.7% #236 0.1% #171
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.6% #186 -3.3% #118
Possession Length 18.4 #285 17.2 #162
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #199 0.21 #296
Improvement +0.7 #146 -1.7 #282

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 1.9% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 18.2% 28.1% 8.8%
.500 or above in Conference 37.5% 53.2% 22.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.3% 2.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.3% 1.9% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 48.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 75 - 14
Quad 49 - 414 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 273 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 74% +8  1 - 0 +13 -1 F A+ D- +15 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 91 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 14% -11  1 - 1 -3 -3 F D+ B+ -0 B B- F
 Fri, Nov 14 337 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 86% -3  1 - 2 -21 -8 F C- B+ -13 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 286 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 57% -1  2 - 2 +6 -3 C F F +9 A+ C+ B-
 Fri, Nov 21 139 Oakland W 97 - 91 47% +1  3 - 2 +4 +14 A+ F C- -10 F D+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 13 @Louisville L 46 - 87 2% -20  3 - 3 -20 -16 F D D -5 D B+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 49 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 7% +9  4 - 3 +22 +7 C A+ F +15 A+ A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 28 336 NJIT W 73 - 55 86% +3  5 - 3 +4 -1 A- D- F +6 A+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 59 @Butler L 68 - 84 9% -7  5 - 4 -3 +4 C+ C D+ -9 D F B-
 Wed, Dec 10 212 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 41% -12  5 - 5 -15 -4 C F A- -12 B+ F C-
 Fri, Dec 19 64 @Akron L 72 - 93 10% -15  5 - 6 0 - 1 -9 +0 F C A+ -9 B- D F
 Mon, Dec 22 154 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 28% -1  5 - 7 -3 -6 D- F C+ +4 C A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 30 176 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 56% +2  6 - 7 1 - 1 +2 +3 C- D+ A+ -1 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 196 Ohio L 67 - 68 61% +9  6 - 8 1 - 2 -6 -6 B- F C -1 D+ A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 296 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 58% +13  7 - 8 2 - 2 +17 +15 A+ A F +7 B A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 260 @Western Michigan L 62 - 79 50% -1  7 - 9 2 - 3 -19 -10 C F F -10 F D B+
 Tue, Jan 13 318 Northern Illinois W 77 - 59 83% +3  8 - 9 3 - 3 +5 -3 C- F A+ +8 B+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 129 @Bowling Green L 79 - 85 23% -6  8 - 10 3 - 4 -1 +14 A+ C- A+ -15 F D- C
 Sat, Jan 24 148 Kent St. L 78 - 79 49%
 Tue, Jan 27 322 @Central Michigan W 73 - 69 66%
 Sat, Jan 31 176 @Massachusetts L 72 - 76 34%
 Tue, Feb 3 64 Akron L 75 - 83 22%
 Sat, Feb 7 206 @Appalachian St. L 64 - 67 40%
 Wed, Feb 11 148 @Kent St. L 75 - 81 27%
 Sat, Feb 14 260 Western Michigan W 76 - 70 71%
 Tue, Feb 17 322 Central Michigan W 76 - 66 83%
 Sat, Feb 21 166 @Toledo L 73 - 78 32%
 Tue, Feb 24 89 Miami (OH) L 73 - 79 29%
 Tue, Mar 3 201 @Buffalo L 72 - 75 39%
 Fri, Mar 6 129 Bowling Green L 70 - 72 44%
Totals 13 - 17 8 - 10 -3 -3 C D C +0 C+ C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.4 3.1 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.2 4.2 5.5 1.1 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.1 3.5 8.5 2.3 0.1 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 2.2 9.7 4.6 0.3 16.9 7th
8th 1.2 8.5 7.4 0.8 17.9 8th
9th 0.4 5.3 7.7 1.3 0.0 14.8 9th
10th 0.1 2.2 5.1 1.5 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.6 2.6 1.1 0.1 4.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 13th
Total 0.2 1.6 5.8 12.7 20.1 22.2 18.4 11.5 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.4% 5.7% 5.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.8% 6.5% 6.5% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7
11-7 5.4% 4.1% 4.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.2
10-8 11.5% 3.7% 3.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.1
9-9 18.4% 1.8% 1.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 18.1
8-10 22.2% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 22.1
7-11 20.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 20.0
6-12 12.7% 12.7
5-13 5.8% 5.8
4-14 1.6% 1.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 14.4 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%