Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#274
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#226
Pace68.7#159
Improvement+5.6#12

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#213
First Shot-1.7#230
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#166
Layup/Dunks-3.6#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#212
Freethrows+0.9#123
Improvement+5.0#14

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#314
First Shot-4.9#323
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#191
Layups/Dunks+0.3#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#287
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#303
Freethrows-0.8#245
Improvement+0.6#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 6.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 n/a
.500 or above 26.4% 100.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.8% 3.0% 0.0%
First Round1.1% 4.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 33 - 93 - 11
Quad 412 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 201   @ Texas St. L 44-64 26%     0 - 1 -19.6 -27.3 +5.8
  Nov 14, 2024 318   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-71 51%     1 - 1 -3.7 -9.1 +5.4
  Nov 16, 2024 171   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 21%     1 - 2 -5.9 -3.1 -3.2
  Nov 21, 2024 185   @ Oakland W 68-64 23%     2 - 2 +5.4 +2.9 +3.0
  Nov 25, 2024 285   @ Houston Christian W 74-73 43%     3 - 2 -3.4 +4.1 -7.5
  Nov 26, 2024 246   Northern Arizona W 72-68 43%     4 - 2 -0.6 -2.6 +2.1
  Nov 30, 2024 337   Detroit Mercy L 89-98 OT 78%     4 - 3 -23.3 +0.4 -22.6
  Dec 03, 2024 109   @ Loyola Chicago L 54-76 12%     4 - 4 -15.5 -8.4 -9.6
  Dec 15, 2024 164   Purdue Fort Wayne L 94-121 37%     4 - 5 -30.0 +2.1 -27.3
  Dec 21, 2024 229   Wright St. W 86-82 50%     5 - 5 -2.4 +7.6 -10.0
  Dec 28, 2024 140   @ Davidson L 64-86 17%     5 - 6 -18.2 -6.9 -11.7
  Jan 04, 2025 347   Northern Illinois W 75-71 80%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -11.2 -5.2 -6.2
  Jan 07, 2025 248   @ Toledo L 87-90 34%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -5.0 +1.0 -5.8
  Jan 11, 2025 112   Akron L 81-105 25%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -23.2 +0.4 -21.5
  Jan 14, 2025 219   @ Central Michigan L 63-82 28%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -19.4 -8.1 -11.9
  Jan 18, 2025 283   @ Bowling Green W 68-62 42%     7 - 9 2 - 3 +1.6 -3.1 +4.9
  Jan 21, 2025 186   Ohio W 94-87 41%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +2.9 +10.7 -8.4
  Jan 25, 2025 346   Buffalo W 90-77 80%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -2.1 +9.8 -12.1
  Jan 28, 2025 160   @ Miami (OH) L 80-89 19%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -6.2 +6.8 -12.8
  Feb 01, 2025 296   @ Western Michigan L 54-61 45%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -12.0 -16.0 +3.3
  Feb 04, 2025 133   Kent St. L 49-70 30%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -22.0 -23.4 +1.3
  Feb 08, 2025 278   Old Dominion W 76-70 61%     10 - 12 -3.3 +6.0 -8.8
  Feb 11, 2025 271   @ Ball St. L 84-86 OT 38%     10 - 13 4 - 7 -5.4 +5.8 -11.1
  Feb 15, 2025 248   Toledo W 80-73 54%     11 - 13 5 - 7 -0.5 +3.3 -3.3
  Feb 18, 2025 160   Miami (OH) W 76-66 36%     12 - 13 6 - 7 +7.3 +6.5 +1.4
  Feb 22, 2025 347   @ Northern Illinois W 79-76 63%     13 - 13 7 - 7 -6.7 +10.7 -17.1
  Feb 25, 2025 283   Bowling Green L 60-65 63%     13 - 14 7 - 8 -14.9 -12.4 -2.7
  Feb 28, 2025 219   Central Michigan W 84-73 48%     14 - 14 8 - 8 +5.1 +12.3 -6.6
  Mar 04, 2025 186   @ Ohio W 83-79 23%     15 - 14 9 - 8 +5.4 +7.9 -2.7
  Mar 07, 2025 133   @ Kent St. L 70-76 16%     15 - 15 9 - 9 -1.5 +5.5 -7.5
  Mar 13, 2025 160   Miami (OH) L 73-79 27%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.1 1.4 98.4
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 1.4 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 100.0% 15.9 8.9 91.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 19.1%
Lose Out 73.6%