Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
54 Akron 50.5%   12   6 - 2 0 - 0 23 - 5 15 - 3 +9.6      +9.4 18 +0.2 164 76.4 38 +7.0 84 0.0 1
119 Bowling Green 12.5%   5 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 9 12 - 6 +3.2      -0.2 169 +3.3 79 71.0 143 +3.6 123 0.0 1
122 Kent St. 12.3%   7 - 1 0 - 0 20 - 8 12 - 6 +3.0      +4.3 76 -1.3 212 77.1 35 +6.6 89 0.0 1
127 Miami (OH) 11.1%   5 - 0 0 - 0 19 - 7 11 - 6 +2.6      +2.1 117 +0.5 156 74.0 76 +4.8 108 0.0 1
173 Toledo 3.4%   4 - 3 0 - 0 14 - 13 9 - 8 -1.1      +2.6 109 -3.7 297 70.0 173 -0.1 177 0.0 1
175 Massachusetts 3.4%   5 - 3 0 - 0 16 - 13 9 - 9 -1.2      -2.4 236 +1.2 129 77.9 27 -3.1 212 0.0 1
194 Ohio 2.4%   2 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 16 9 - 9 -2.4      -0.3 175 -2.0 236 74.5 62 -6.6 271 0.0 1
203 Eastern Michigan 2.1%   5 - 4 0 - 0 14 - 15 8 - 10 -2.6      -2.3 230 -0.3 172 66.3 266 +3.0 135 0.0 1
215 Buffalo 1.8%   7 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 12 8 - 10 -3.3      +0.2 155 -3.5 289 67.5 233 +11.1 58 0.0 1
267 Western Michigan 0.5%   4 - 4 0 - 0 11 - 17 6 - 12 -5.9      -2.6 239 -3.3 279 69.8 177 -4.5 235 0.0 1
309 Central Michigan 0.2%   2 - 5 0 - 0 8 - 20 6 - 12 -8.2      -3.7 269 -4.5 323 67.4 244 -9.6 306 0.0 1
316 Ball St. 0.2%   2 - 6 0 - 0 8 - 20 5 - 13 -8.5      -5.2 312 -3.3 278 64.4 310 -11.9 324 0.0 1
330 Northern Illinois 0.1%   2 - 5 0 - 0 7 - 20 5 - 13 -9.7      -3.7 268 -6.0 348 70.7 154 -6.9 273 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 2 44 Butler 84 203 Eastern Michigan 68   
Tue, Dec 2 309 Central Michigan 72 259 Loyola Chicago 83   
Tue, Dec 2 246 Lindenwood 99 330 Northern Illinois 64   
Wed, Dec 3 182 Austin Peay 84 122 Kent St. 96   
Wed, Dec 3 316 Ball St. 52 279 Evansville 64   
Wed, Dec 3 193 Harvard 71 175 Massachusetts 78   
Wed, Dec 3 326 Maine 57 194 Ohio 79   
Wed, Dec 3 54 Akron 97 304 Bucknell 77   
Wed, Dec 3 317 Southern Indiana 74 267 Western Michigan 88   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 6 119 Bowling Green 72 90 Utah Valley 71 52%   
Sat, Dec 6 141 Oakland 87 173 Toledo 82 70%   
Sat, Dec 6 170 Marshall 79 194 Ohio 81 56%   
Sat, Dec 6 54 Akron 87 172 Tulane 80 77%   
Sat, Dec 6 215 Buffalo 69 111 St. Bonaventure 73 65%   
Sat, Dec 6 206 SIU Edwardsville 72 267 Western Michigan 66 72%   
Sat, Dec 6 175 Massachusetts 84 314 Umass Lowell 74 83%   
Sat, Dec 6 326 Maine 61 127 Miami (OH) 76 91%   
Sat, Dec 6 124 Bradley 81 330 Northern Illinois 66 92%   
Sun, Dec 7 309 Central Michigan 65 46 Saint Louis 87 97%   
Tue, Dec 9 215 Buffalo 74 272 Maryland Baltimore Co. 75 51%   
Tue, Dec 9 316 Ball St. 66 147 South Dakota St. 72 72%   
Wed, Dec 10 132 Boston College 72 175 Massachusetts 71 51%   
Wed, Dec 10 203 Eastern Michigan 75 236 Purdue Fort Wayne 76 54%   
Wed, Dec 10 127 Miami (OH) 79 210 UNC Asheville 77 60%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Akron 1.4 74.8 16.2 5.1 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bowling Green 3.7 13.9 24.2 18.1 13.4 10.0 7.0 5.0 3.5 2.3 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
Kent St. 3.7 13.8 23.1 19.2 14.1 10.1 7.5 5.1 3.2 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
Miami (OH) 4.5 7.5 17.2 17.8 15.3 12.2 9.3 7.0 5.4 3.7 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.3
Toledo 6.2 1.7 7.1 10.3 12.6 12.4 13.1 11.5 9.9 8.0 5.9 4.0 2.5 1.1
Massachusetts 5.9 2.4 9.0 12.0 12.7 12.9 11.6 10.1 9.3 7.3 5.6 3.8 2.3 1.1
Ohio 6.4 1.9 6.5 9.9 11.6 12.4 11.8 11.0 10.4 8.1 6.9 4.8 3.3 1.5
Eastern Michigan 7.2 1.1 4.1 6.5 8.5 10.2 11.3 12.0 11.9 11.1 9.1 7.0 4.8 2.3
Buffalo 7.2 1.1 3.7 6.3 9.0 9.9 11.6 11.9 12.1 10.6 8.9 7.3 5.1 2.7
Western Michigan 9.2 0.2 0.9 1.8 3.2 4.5 7.0 8.3 10.4 12.0 13.9 14.4 13.6 9.7
Central Michigan 9.9 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 3.1 4.8 6.3 9.0 11.1 13.4 15.7 16.8 16.5
Ball St. 10.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.7 4.6 5.8 8.0 11.0 13.1 16.4 18.3 17.2
Northern Illinois 10.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.1 3.2 4.9 6.7 9.0 11.7 16.1 19.4 24.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 15 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 4.2 7.9 13.8 19.8 22.8 19.1 9.2
Bowling Green 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.1 5.1 7.8 11.4 13.4 14.8 13.8 12.1 8.3 5.0 1.9 0.5
Kent St. 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.9 5.2 8.2 11.3 14.4 15.1 14.6 12.3 8.0 4.2 1.5 0.2
Miami (OH) 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.7 5.1 8.0 10.4 14.1 14.6 14.6 11.9 9.0 4.8 2.0 0.5
Toledo 9 - 9 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.4 7.5 10.4 13.8 14.8 14.2 12.6 9.2 5.6 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.0
Massachusetts 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.2 6.8 9.6 11.8 14.3 14.4 12.6 9.8 6.7 3.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
Ohio 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.8 5.4 8.1 11.0 13.4 14.2 13.4 11.5 8.2 5.5 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Eastern Michigan 8 - 10 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 4.5 7.6 10.9 13.9 14.5 14.2 11.7 8.6 5.9 3.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0
Buffalo 8 - 10 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.9 7.6 10.5 13.6 15.3 14.0 11.5 8.5 5.6 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Western Michigan 6 - 12 0.3 1.5 4.0 7.8 11.6 14.5 15.6 14.0 11.6 8.5 5.3 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Central Michigan 6 - 12 0.6 2.7 6.5 11.0 14.7 15.8 14.8 12.6 9.2 5.9 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Ball St. 5 - 13 0.7 3.2 7.0 11.8 15.1 16.3 14.6 12.1 8.5 5.4 2.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 5 - 13 1.3 5.2 9.6 14.1 16.2 15.9 13.2 9.9 6.5 4.2 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 74.8% 61.4 11.5 1.7 0.2 0.0
Bowling Green 13.9% 7.8 4.9 1.0 0.2 0.0
Kent St. 13.8% 7.5 5.0 1.2 0.1 0.0
Miami (OH) 7.5% 3.6 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0
Toledo 1.7% 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Massachusetts 2.4% 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Ohio 1.9% 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Eastern Michigan 1.1% 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
Buffalo 1.1% 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Western Michigan 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Central Michigan 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ball St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 50.5% 50.0% 0.5% 12   0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.6 15.6 23.0 5.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 49.5 1.1%
Bowling Green 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2 5.4 3.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 87.5 0.0%
Kent St. 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 87.7 0.0%
Miami (OH) 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.3 3.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 88.9 0.0%
Toledo 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 96.6 0.0%
Massachusetts 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.2 96.6 0.0%
Ohio 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.5 97.6 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.0 97.9 0.0%
Buffalo 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 98.2 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.5 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%
Ball St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 50.5% 0.4% 50.4% 15.1% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 12.5% 0.0% 12.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 12.3% 0.0% 12.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 11.1% 0.0% 11.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 3.4% 0.0% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 3.4% 0.0% 3.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 2.4% 0.3% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 2.1% 0.0% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 1.8% 0.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.4 0.6
1st Round 99.7% 1.0 0.3 99.2 0.5
2nd Round 20.5% 0.2 79.5 20.5 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 5.5% 0.1 94.5 5.5
Elite Eight 1.3% 0.0 98.8 1.3
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0