Mid-American
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
100 Akron 41.9%   14   14 - 5 9 - 0 22 - 7 16 - 2 +4.7      +2.7 101 +2.1 115 77.2 15 +4.7 96 +11.9 1
148 Kent St. 15.4%   11 - 8 4 - 5 17 - 12 10 - 8 +1.0      -3.1 253 +4.0 72 64.4 286 -0.4 173 -6.8 7
168 Ohio 12.1%   10 - 10 5 - 4 16 - 14 11 - 7 0.0      +0.3 177 -0.3 181 74.7 40 -2.4 209 -2.3 4
173 Miami (OH) 13.9%   14 - 5 8 - 1 20 - 9 14 - 4 -0.4      +0.6 163 -1.0 206 70.5 116 +4.1 106 +9.0 2
201 Toledo 8.6%   12 - 8 7 - 2 18 - 12 12 - 6 -2.0      +3.4 82 -5.4 328 72.5 78 +2.1 137 +4.2 3
225 Central Michigan 4.1%   6 - 11 4 - 5 11 - 16 9 - 9 -3.5      -3.3 262 -0.2 174 66.2 232 -6.0 262 -8.0 9
255 Ball St. 2.0%   7 - 11 4 - 5 12 - 16 8 - 10 -5.5      -0.6 191 -4.8 312 66.5 228 -7.7 291 -6.3 6
300 Eastern Michigan 0.9%   9 - 11 4 - 5 13 - 17 7 - 11 -7.7      -2.7 244 -5.0 317 70.2 127 -3.9 227 -5.4 5
306 Western Michigan 0.7%   6 - 14 4 - 5 9 - 21 7 - 11 -8.3      -4.3 291 -4.1 293 69.4 151 -9.7 319 -7.6 8
312 Bowling Green 0.4%   5 - 14 2 - 7 10 - 19 6 - 12 -8.6      -3.8 276 -4.8 310 71.2 99 -10.5 327 -11.5 11
338 Northern Illinois 0.0%   2 - 16 1 - 8 5 - 23 4 - 14 -11.6      -7.4 345 -4.3 299 72.5 80 -13.7 345 -14.5 12
342 Buffalo 0.0%   5 - 14 2 - 7 8 - 21 4 - 14 -11.8      -6.7 338 -5.1 320 75.4 37 -8.4 305 -10.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Akron 1.1 91.2 8.0 0.7 0.1
Kent St. 4.9 0.1 2.2 13.3 29.3 27.2 15.2 6.8 3.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
Ohio 4.2 0.4 7.0 24.6 35.2 19.3 7.8 3.4 1.5 0.6 0.2
Miami (OH) 2.1 17.8 62.8 15.5 3.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
Toledo 3.0 4.4 26.4 47.0 15.3 4.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
Central Michigan 6.1 0.0 0.5 3.4 12.2 21.0 24.3 18.4 11.4 6.3 2.2 0.4 0.1
Ball St. 6.6 0.0 0.2 2.1 7.4 16.1 23.9 23.0 14.7 8.0 3.7 0.8 0.1
Eastern Michigan 7.6 0.0 1.0 3.5 8.6 14.2 18.8 22.0 18.1 10.9 2.5 0.2
Western Michigan 7.9 0.0 0.5 2.8 6.4 11.0 16.3 22.6 21.3 13.8 4.7 0.6
Bowling Green 9.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 5.2 10.4 15.7 19.8 25.6 13.5 6.1
Northern Illinois 11.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.5 6.9 15.0 30.3 42.7
Buffalo 10.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.2 4.6 8.9 19.3 38.5 25.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 16 - 2 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.1 7.7 18.6 30.2 27.9 13.0
Kent St. 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.8 12.2 20.6 26.2 21.8 10.8 2.1
Ohio 11 - 7 0.1 0.3 1.7 6.0 13.6 22.0 25.8 19.6 9.2 1.8
Miami (OH) 14 - 4 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.2 12.3 20.4 25.9 21.5 11.3 3.1
Toledo 12 - 6 0.0 0.6 2.8 8.4 17.9 24.5 24.6 14.9 5.5 0.9
Central Michigan 9 - 9 0.2 1.4 6.4 15.2 23.4 25.6 17.4 8.0 2.2 0.3
Ball St. 8 - 10 0.3 2.5 9.6 19.4 26.7 23.1 13.3 4.1 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 7 - 11 2.1 9.6 20.1 25.0 22.5 13.5 5.4 1.7 0.2 0.0
Western Michigan 7 - 11 3.7 13.1 23.2 25.7 18.9 10.5 3.9 0.9 0.1 0.0
Bowling Green 6 - 12 0.6 4.4 12.9 21.4 24.6 19.7 11.0 4.2 1.2 0.1
Northern Illinois 4 - 14 3.4 14.3 24.6 26.8 19.1 8.8 2.4 0.4 0.0
Buffalo 4 - 14 7.4 21.0 29.7 22.8 12.6 5.0 1.3 0.2 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 91.2% 78.4 12.0 0.8 0.1
Kent St. 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0
Ohio 0.4% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
Miami (OH) 17.8% 7.2 9.9 0.7 0.1
Toledo 4.4% 1.2 2.5 0.7 0.1
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0
Eastern Michigan
Western Michigan
Bowling Green
Northern Illinois
Buffalo


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 41.9% 41.9% 0.0% 14   0.0 1.1 10.9 18.7 10.2 1.0 58.1 0.0%
Kent St. 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 2.8 6.5 4.8 0.7 84.6 0.0%
Ohio 12.1% 12.1% 0.0% 0.1 1.1 3.7 5.6 1.7 87.9 0.0%
Miami (OH) 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 0.1 0.8 3.7 6.1 3.1 0.2 86.1 0.0%
Toledo 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 1.9 4.5 1.8 91.4 0.0%
Central Michigan 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.6 95.9 0.0%
Ball St. 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.8 98.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1 0.8 99.1 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 41.9% 0.0% 41.9% 5.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 15.4% 0.1% 15.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 12.1% 0.5% 11.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 13.9% 0.0% 13.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 8.6% 0.3% 8.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 4.1% 1.7% 3.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 2.0% 1.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.7% 1.0 2.3 97.7
2nd Round 8.0% 0.1 92.0 8.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.3% 0.0 98.7 1.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0