Mid-American
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
112 Akron 39.8%   13   23 - 6 17 - 1 24 - 6 17 - 1 +3.6      +3.3 92 +0.3 169 76.9 18 +5.6 90 +11.3 1
133 Kent St. 26.4%   19 - 10 11 - 7 20 - 10 11 - 7 +1.7      +0.2 166 +1.5 124 65.0 269 +1.6 140 -1.9 3
160 Miami (OH) 16.6%   21 - 8 14 - 4 22 - 8 14 - 4 0.0      +0.2 167 -0.2 176 71.6 81 +2.4 134 +2.6 2
186 Ohio 10.3%   15 - 15 10 - 8 16 - 15 10 - 8 -1.4      +0.1 171 -1.5 218 74.4 43 -3.1 218 -2.5 4
219 Central Michigan 0.0%   10 - 17 7 - 11 10 - 17 7 - 11 -3.1      -1.5 214 -1.7 223 67.2 205 -6.4 272 -8.4 10
248 Toledo 3.2%   16 - 14 10 - 8 16 - 15 10 - 8 -4.7      +3.1 95 -7.8 354 70.6 108 -1.3 179 -2.9 5
271 Ball St. 0.0%   11 - 17 7 - 11 11 - 17 7 - 11 -6.1      -1.9 222 -4.2 299 66.4 222 -7.8 293 -8.0 9
274 Eastern Michigan 1.6%   15 - 15 9 - 9 15 - 16 9 - 9 -6.4      -1.4 213 -4.9 314 68.7 159 -3.5 226 -4.1 6
283 Bowling Green 1.2%   12 - 17 8 - 10 12 - 18 8 - 10 -7.1      -5.4 315 -1.7 222 70.6 111 -7.5 288 -6.8 8
296 Western Michigan 0.9%   11 - 19 9 - 9 11 - 20 9 - 9 -7.7      -3.7 263 -4.1 297 69.1 143 -7.2 284 -4.6 7
346 Buffalo 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 14 7 - 22 4 - 14 -12.4      -7.7 342 -4.7 309 74.5 42 -10.2 322 -11.3 11
347 Northern Illinois 0.0%   3 - 25 2 - 16 3 - 25 2 - 16 -12.5      -8.3 350 -4.2 298 71.1 94 -16.2 355 -16.7 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Akron 1.0 100.0
Kent St. 3.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 2.0 100.0
Ohio 4.0 100.0
Central Michigan 9.0 100.0
Toledo 4.0 100.0
Ball St. 9.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 6.0 100.0
Bowling Green 8.0 100.0
Western Michigan 6.0 100.0
Buffalo 11.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 17 - 1 100.0
Kent St. 11 - 7 100.0
Miami (OH) 14 - 4 100.0
Ohio 10 - 8 100.0
Central Michigan 7 - 11 100.0
Toledo 10 - 8 100.0
Ball St. 7 - 11 100.0
Eastern Michigan 9 - 9 100.0
Bowling Green 8 - 10 100.0
Western Michigan 9 - 9 100.0
Buffalo 4 - 14 100.0
Northern Illinois 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 100.0% 100.0
Kent St.
Miami (OH)
Ohio
Central Michigan
Toledo
Ball St.
Eastern Michigan
Bowling Green
Western Michigan
Buffalo
Northern Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 39.8% 39.8% 0.0% 13   0.0 7.2 23.7 8.8 0.1 60.2 0.0%
Kent St. 26.4% 26.4% 0.0% 0.6 8.9 15.8 1.1 73.6 0.0%
Miami (OH) 16.6% 16.6% 0.0% 0.1 3.3 11.7 1.4 0.0 83.4 0.0%
Ohio 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 0.3 7.7 2.2 89.8 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Toledo 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.1 2.0 1.1 96.8 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.1 1.4 98.4 0.0%
Bowling Green 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 1.2 98.8 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9 99.1 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 39.8% 0.0% 39.8% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 26.4% 0.0% 26.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 16.6% 0.0% 16.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 10.3% 0.2% 10.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 3.2% 0.2% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 1.6% 0.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 1.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 98.2% 1.0 1.8 98.2
2nd Round 6.0% 0.1 94.0 6.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0