Ball St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#271
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#293
Pace66.4#222
Improvement+1.4#135

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#222
First Shot-0.1#171
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#285
Layup/Dunks-0.3#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#229
Freethrows+4.0#15
Improvement+1.3#125

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#299
First Shot-4.7#316
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#134
Layups/Dunks-1.9#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#214
Freethrows-3.7#359
Improvement+0.1#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 53 - 7
Quad 48 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 252   @ Georgia St. L 66-71 35%     0 - 1 -7.2 -8.6 +1.3
  Nov 13, 2024 74   @ Dayton L 69-77 7%     0 - 2 +2.2 -1.4 +3.7
  Nov 16, 2024 196   Indiana St. L 84-94 44%     0 - 3 -14.6 -4.5 -8.8
  Nov 20, 2024 337   Detroit Mercy L 59-70 78%     0 - 4 -25.3 -16.1 -9.7
  Nov 25, 2024 198   Eastern Kentucky W 63-61 34%     1 - 4 +0.1 -9.6 +9.8
  Nov 27, 2024 226   Richmond L 60-73 40%     1 - 5 -16.5 -6.6 -11.5
  Dec 08, 2024 233   @ SIU Edwardsville L 69-82 32%     1 - 6 -14.2 +2.2 -17.3
  Dec 14, 2024 340   @ Bellarmine W 86-82 62%     2 - 6 -5.3 +12.6 -17.5
  Dec 21, 2024 242   Evansville W 80-43 54%     3 - 6 +29.8 +13.9 +19.2
  Jan 04, 2025 133   @ Kent St. W 75-67 16%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +12.5 +1.3 +10.8
  Jan 07, 2025 160   Miami (OH) L 72-80 37%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -10.7 -1.7 -9.1
  Jan 11, 2025 283   Bowling Green W 91-69 64%     5 - 7 2 - 1 +12.1 +11.2 +0.0
  Jan 14, 2025 186   @ Ohio L 71-86 24%     5 - 8 2 - 2 -13.6 +1.0 -15.2
  Jan 18, 2025 248   Toledo L 75-93 55%     5 - 9 2 - 3 -25.5 +0.0 -27.2
  Jan 21, 2025 219   @ Central Michigan W 82-80 29%     6 - 9 3 - 3 +1.6 +6.0 -4.5
  Jan 25, 2025 347   @ Northern Illinois L 66-76 64%     6 - 10 3 - 4 -19.7 -7.0 -13.1
  Jan 28, 2025 296   Western Michigan L 71-74 66%     6 - 11 3 - 5 -13.5 -0.9 -12.9
  Feb 01, 2025 346   @ Buffalo W 89-76 63%     7 - 11 4 - 5 +3.4 +11.2 -8.1
  Feb 04, 2025 112   @ Akron L 73-81 13%     7 - 12 4 - 6 -1.7 +6.1 -8.3
  Feb 08, 2025 293   Southern Miss W 77-76 66%     8 - 12 -9.4 +1.6 -11.0
  Feb 11, 2025 274   Eastern Michigan W 86-84 OT 62%     9 - 12 5 - 6 -7.1 +4.3 -11.5
  Feb 15, 2025 347   Northern Illinois W 89-83 OT 81%     10 - 12 6 - 6 -9.2 +0.1 -10.1
  Feb 18, 2025 248   @ Toledo L 66-67 34%     10 - 13 6 - 7 -3.0 -4.0 +0.8
  Feb 22, 2025 346   Buffalo W 80-66 80%     11 - 13 7 - 7 -1.1 -1.3 -0.2
  Feb 25, 2025 112   Akron L 82-87 25%     11 - 14 7 - 8 -4.2 +6.3 -10.4
  Mar 01, 2025 283   @ Bowling Green L 52-61 43%     11 - 15 7 - 9 -13.4 -16.2 +2.0
  Mar 04, 2025 219   Central Michigan L 67-69 49%     11 - 16 7 - 10 -7.9 -5.0 -3.0
  Mar 07, 2025 160   @ Miami (OH) L 66-79 20%     11 - 17 7 - 11 -10.2 -8.4 -1.2
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%