Le Moyne
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -8.1 303
Expected Predictive Rating -7.7 295
Pace 71.5 103
Improvement -1.3 250

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #276 C D+ D- B- B-
Defense D+ #300 C D+ D D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 135 58% 166 +1.1 137
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 272 37% 209 -1.9 276
Three Pointers 44% 127 33% 214 +0.8 152
1st FG Attempt 1.02 172 +0.0 172
Second Chance 25.3% 322 1.04 155 0.26 286
Turnovers 20.0% 337
Freethrows 0.34 89 71% 213 0.24 116
Total Offense -4.0 276

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 171 54% 81 +1.1 136
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 263 31% 9 +2.4 16
Three Pointers 43% 110 39% 343 -4.2 336
1st FG Attempt 1.03 202 -0.7 202
Second Chance 32.6% 268 1.07 253 0.35 266
Turnovers 14.9% 304
Freethrows 0.33 257 74% 289 0.24 272
Total Defense -4.2 300

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.7 95 +0.4 243
Shot Type Accuracy -0.7 196 +0.3 194
Possession Length 17.0 136 16.8 95
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 188 0.21 295
Improvement -4.6 #355 +3.2 #32

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 50% 64% 27%
.500 or above in Conference 99% 100% 98%
Conference Champion 0% 1% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Mercyhurst (Home) - 61.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 414 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 83 @Xavier L 69 - 74 6% -4  25% 0 - 1 C+ +5 C -0 A+ F F B +5 D+ A A-
 Sun, Nov 9 158 @Bowling Green L 60 - 83 15% -6  17% 0 - 2 F -20 F -12 D+ D+ F D- -8 D+ A F
 Thu, Nov 13 183 @Massachusetts L 80 - 94 18% -11  1% 0 - 3 D- -12 C- -2 D C- A F+ -10 F D+ C-
 Mon, Nov 17 335 Niagara W 74 - 68 72% +4  88% 1 - 3 D -8 D+ -4 B- F F+ D+ -4 D C+ D
 Sat, Nov 22 262 Fairfield L 83 - 97 52% -12  2% 1 - 4 F -23 C +1 D A+ F F -24 F F F
 Fri, Nov 28 319 @Lafayette W 76 - 63 45% +1  54% 2 - 4 B- +6 C +0 D A+ D- B+ +6 B C B
 Sat, Nov 29 208 Monmouth W 83 - 79 30% +1  58% 3 - 4 C +1 A- +10 A C+ D+ D- -9 A F F
 Sun, Nov 30 310 Ball St. L 85 - 96 53% -0  48% 3 - 5 F -20 A- +10 A+ F A- F -31 D F C
 Sat, Dec 6 361 @Binghamton W 78 - 63 70% +10  98% 4 - 5 C +1 C +1 B D+ F+ C+ +1 B C- D
 Tue, Dec 16 30 @Texas L 53 - 95 2% -18  0% 4 - 6 F -24 F -21 F C- D C -2 C+ F+ B
 Sat, Dec 20 134 @St. Bonaventure L 81 - 92 12% -2  25% 4 - 7 D+ -6 B+ +8 C- A B- F -15 D- F+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 129 @Boston College L 64 - 72 12% -2  15% 4 - 8 C- -3 D- -7 C D F B +4 D+ A C
 Fri, Jan 2 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 84 - 58 62% +9  72% 5 - 8 1 - 0 A- +15 B +6 A- B+ D A- +10 B+ A F+
 Sun, Jan 4 304 @Mercyhurst L 60 - 74 39% -8  8% 5 - 9 1 - 1 F -19 F -10 F C+ C- F+ -10 D+ F D
 Thu, Jan 8 334 New Haven W 73 - 47 72% +16  94% 6 - 9 2 - 1 B+ +12 B- +4 B C B+ A +11 A C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 294 Central Connecticut St. L 59 - 69 60% -6  6% 6 - 10 2 - 2 F -21 F -24 F D F B- +3 A C C
 Sat, Jan 17 353 @Chicago St. W 72 - 57 61% -0  27% 7 - 10 3 - 2 C+ +4 D- -8 D- C C- A +12 D+ A A-
 Mon, Jan 19 207 LIU Brooklyn W 83 - 77 41% +4  79% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C +0 B- +5 A+ F D+ D+ -5 B+ F F+
 Fri, Jan 23 331 Wagner W 69 - 67 71% -2  26% 9 - 10 5 - 2 D- -12 D -4 F A- C+ D- -7 F B C+
 Mon, Jan 26 329 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 87 - 74 49% +13  97% 10 - 10 6 - 2 B- +5 A +12 A+ F D D -7 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 29 207 @LIU Brooklyn L 61 - 83 21% -11  2% 10 - 11 6 - 3 F -22 F -17 F F D- C- -3 D B C-
 Sat, Jan 31 330 Stonehill L 54 - 65 71% -5  2% 10 - 12 6 - 4 F -25 F -23 F F F C -1 C+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 331 @Wagner L 78 - 79 49% -1  36% 10 - 13 6 - 5 D -9 C- -1 A- F F D- -8 F D- B-
 Sat, Feb 7 355 St. Francis (PA) W 86 - 84 81% -3  25% 11 - 13 7 - 5 F+ -15 D- -6 A+ F F F+ -9 D- F+ D-
 Thu, Feb 12 304 Mercyhurst W 71 - 68 62%
 Sat, Feb 14 353 Chicago St. W 80 - 71 79%
 Thu, Feb 19 294 @Central Connecticut St. L 73 - 76 36%
 Sat, Feb 21 330 @Stonehill L 67 - 68 49%
 Thu, Feb 26 329 Fairleigh Dickinson W 76 - 70 71%
 Sat, Feb 28 334 @New Haven W 68 - 67 50%
Totals 14 - 16 10 - 8 -8 D+ -4 C D+ D- D+ -4 C D+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C- C- C 40% 16% 44% B- C D C D+ D- B- C- B- D+ B- A F+ C 39% 18% 43% C- C D+ C- D+ D C- D+ D+
1.03 58% 37% 33% -1 +1 1.02 25% 1.0 .26 20% .34 71% .24 1.15 54% 31% 39% 0 0 1.03 33% 1.1 .35 15% .33 74% .25
Nov
6		 Xavier C A+ B A A+ 45% 14% 41% A- A+ F+ F F F D F F+ B A A+ F D+ 31% 25% 44% C D+ C A+ A A- D+ B- C-
1.01 73% 43% 40% +11 +1 1.27 19% 0.0 .00 26% .24 58% .14 1.08 50% 23% 52% +6 -1 1.12 26% 0.6 .16 16% .28 69% .19
Nov
9		 Bowling Green F D- A+ F+ D 35% 11% 54% C+ D+ B+ F D+ F D- A+ C+ D- A+ F F C- 57% 10% 33% F+ D+ C+ A+ A F B F D+
0.85 50% 60% 28% -5 +1 0.93 34% 0.7 .25 34% .26 92% .24 1.18 42% 67% 47% +1 +3 1.09 27% 0.4 .11 9% .26 94% .25
Nov
13		 Massachusetts C- C- F D+ D- 46% 9% 46% B+ D D- A C- A B F+ C F+ D D- F F 41% 20% 39% C- F F B D+ C- C+ F D
1.05 58% 20% 31% -4 +2 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 13% .42 64% .27 1.23 64% 45% 43% +9 0 1.20 39% 1.1 .42 18% .32 80% .26
Nov
17		 Niagara D+ C+ F A+ B 29% 22% 49% D B- F F F F+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ F F+ 29% 20% 51% A- D B+ D- C+ D D+ F D-
1.10 62% 30% 45% +8 -1 1.16 23% 0.3 .07 19% .41 91% .37 1.01 33% 20% 50% +2 -1 1.04 18% 1.0 .18 16% .25 79% .20
Nov
22		 Fairfield C D+ F B+ D 49% 11% 40% B- D A- A+ A+ F A+ F A+ F F C F F 47% 25% 28% C- F F D+ F F F F F
1.18 55% 0% 39% -3 +2 1.00 40% 1.6 .66 21% .54 67% .36 1.37 68% 38% 47% +10 0 1.23 41% 1.0 .41 10% .36 87% .31
Nov
28		 Lafayette C B+ D F D+ 41% 29% 29% D+ D B- A+ A+ D- B C B B+ C+ A+ D+ B 29% 20% 51% A- B B- D- C B C- F D
1.10 67% 33% 27% -1 -1 0.98 35% 1.5 .55 17% .33 74% .25 0.91 53% 0% 35% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.0 .23 19% .30 76% .23
Nov
29		 Monmouth A- A A+ B- A- 40% 9% 51% B A F+ A+ C+ D+ A+ B+ A+ D- B B- A+ A 38% 28% 34% C+ A F F F F F+ D F+
1.21 71% 50% 36% +8 +2 1.21 25% 1.3 .32 20% .51 79% .40 1.16 50% 33% 22% -10 -1 0.79 38% 1.7 .63 12% .36 77% .28
Nov
30		 Ball St. A- A+ F+ A+ A+ 25% 15% 60% C A+ D- F F A- A- A- A F C- A+ D- D 35% 16% 49% D+ D F F F C F C- F
1.26 75% 29% 48% +16 0 1.33 28% 0.7 .20 15% .35 85% .30 1.42 56% 13% 36% -3 0 0.96 51% 1.5 .74 16% .50 71% .35
Dec
6		 Binghamton C C- F A+ B- 64% 11% 26% A B D- C+ D+ F+ C D C- C+ A+ A+ D- A- 52% 8% 40% F B F+ B C- D C- C- C-
1.18 57% 0% 67% +8 +3 1.23 26% 1.1 .30 15% .32 67% .21 0.95 40% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 18% .39 76% .29
Dec
16		 Texas F F D F F 29% 38% 33% F F C- C- C- D B B- B+ C B- F B B 41% 6% 54% F C+ F B- F+ B B- C+ B-
0.72 40% 30% 12% -19 -3 0.58 22% 0.9 .20 18% .38 74% .28 1.29 59% 100% 31% +2 +2 1.09 49% 1.2 .57 18% .38 74% .28
Dec
20		 St. Bonaventure B+ C+ D D+ D+ 39% 12% 49% B C- C+ A+ A B- A+ C+ A+ F A A+ F D 40% 12% 49% F D- D+ F F+ F F C- F
1.19 60% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.5 .46 16% .42 79% .33 1.35 47% 20% 52% +7 +1 1.19 38% 1.2 .44 12% .58 77% .45
Dec
28		 Boston College D- C- F C- C- 44% 15% 42% B+ C C+ F D F B F+ C B B- A+ F D 33% 27% 40% B- D+ B A+ A C F C+ D-
0.88 54% 13% 30% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .19 21% .33 58% .19 0.99 53% 29% 43% +1 -1 1.02 26% 0.6 .17 15% .37 65% .24
Jan
2		 St. Francis (PA) B B- C A+ A 38% 17% 45% C- A- B- B B+ D F F F A- B A+ C B+ 24% 28% 48% B+ B+ C- A+ A F+ F A+ D+
1.25 67% 38% 52% +16 0 1.34 38% 1.3 .48 21% .26 57% .15 0.86 50% 21% 33% -7 -2 0.84 28% 0.5 .14 15% .35 55% .19
Jan
4		 Mercyhurst F D C+ F F 46% 16% 38% C F C C+ C+ C- F F F F+ A D- D- D+ 38% 32% 30% D+ D+ F D- F D F F F
0.94 52% 38% 16% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.1 .38 19% .27 57% .15 1.16 44% 47% 36% -2 -1 0.96 38% 1.2 .47 14% .35 84% .29
Jan
8		 New Haven B- A+ D F+ B 37% 14% 49% C B C C C B+ A+ F A A A- A+ B+ A+ 33% 19% 49% C- A C B+ C+ B- F A+ D+
1.19 88% 33% 29% +6 +1 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 13% .45 63% .28 0.77 50% 13% 29% -11 0 0.79 22% 0.8 .16 21% .39 47% .19
Jan
10		 Central Connecticut St. F F D- F F 51% 6% 43% A- F D- C+ D F C+ A B+ B- C+ F A+ A 24% 39% 37% A- A F A C C F D F
0.83 37% 33% 17% -22 +3 0.64 25% 1.0 .25 18% .28 88% .24 0.97 58% 47% 17% -6 -3 0.84 34% 0.8 .26 17% .44 81% .36
Jan
17		 Chicago St. D- C+ A+ F F+ 42% 6% 52% B D- F A+ C C- B+ C+ B+ A B+ A- F C 53% 20% 27% F D+ A+ D A A- A+ A+ A+
1.05 65% 100% 24% -1 +2 1.04 18% 2.2 .39 20% .40 77% .31 0.83 44% 30% 43% -5 +1 0.94 12% 1.0 .12 20% .16 56% .09
Jan
19		 LIU Brooklyn B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 20% 39% C- A+ F A+ F D+ A+ C+ A+ D+ C- A+ B- B+ 41% 32% 27% B+ B+ F+ F F F+ A A+ A+
1.17 59% 63% 56% +18 0 1.39 9% 2.0 .17 20% .54 71% .38 1.08 58% 26% 31% -5 -1 0.90 42% 1.2 .51 17% .20 50% .10
Jan
23		 Wagner D F+ F F F 45% 14% 40% C+ F A- B- A- C+ A+ D+ A+ D- D D+ F F 45% 16% 39% D- F D+ A B C+ B- A+ B+
1.13 47% 17% 29% -11 +1 0.83 38% 1.1 .44 13% .64 71% .45 1.10 60% 43% 41% +6 +1 1.16 33% 0.9 .30 20% .25 58% .14
Jan
26		 Fairleigh Dickinson A C A A+ A+ 44% 10% 46% A- A+ F C+ F D A+ A- A+ D B A A+ A+ 40% 13% 46% D- A+ F+ F F F F F F
1.31 61% 50% 63% +23 +2 1.51 14% 1.0 .14 18% .51 79% .40 1.11 52% 29% 8% -21 +1 0.62 37% 1.2 .46 8% .50 84% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 LIU Brooklyn F F+ D F F 53% 6% 41% A F F F F D- A+ F+ A- C- D A+ D- D+ 43% 16% 41% D- D A+ F B C- F F F
0.81 46% 33% 20% -15 +3 0.78 24% 0.6 .15 21% .45 63% .29 1.10 64% 25% 38% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 20% .43 77% .33
Jan
31		 Stonehill F F A F F 43% 19% 38% C+ F F F F F F+ F F+ C A+ F C+ B- 45% 13% 42% F+ C+ B+ A+ A+ F D- F F+
0.76 36% 45% 27% -12 +1 0.79 14% 0.5 .07 17% .22 62% .13 0.91 32% 71% 30% -10 +2 0.85 23% 0.4 .09 11% .28 78% .22
Feb
5		 Wagner C- A- A+ F A- 54% 15% 30% B A- F D+ F F C- B- C- D- F C D- F 43% 22% 35% C- F B+ F D- B- F F F
1.14 68% 86% 29% +10 +2 1.26 21% 1.0 .21 20% .37 75% .28 1.15 70% 40% 38% +8 0 1.17 27% 1.6 .42 20% .37 80% .29
Feb
7		 St. Francis (PA) D- A+ D+ A+ A+ 55% 7% 38% A A+ F F F F A+ D- A+ F+ A+ A F F+ 29% 29% 43% B D- D+ F F+ D- F A- F
1.12 87% 33% 44% +21 +3 1.50 23% 0.8 .18 27% .56 68% .38 1.09 38% 25% 54% +3 -2 1.05 29% 1.2 .34 16% .42 63% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 4.5 19.9 15.9 4.0 44.4 2nd
3rd 1.3 15.4 9.0 0.6 26.2 3rd
4th 0.1 5.7 7.7 0.2 13.7 4th
5th 1.0 6.6 0.7 8.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.5 2.1 0.0 4.7 6th
7th 0.5 1.5 0.1 2.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.8 5.1 15.8 28.3 29.1 16.6 4.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 5.4% 0.2    0.1 0.2
12-4 1.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 4.3% 4.3
12-4 16.6% 16.6
11-5 29.1% 29.1
10-6 28.3% 28.3
9-7 15.8% 15.8
8-8 5.1% 5.1
7-9 0.8% 0.8
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.3%
Lose Out 0.8%