Le Moyne
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -8.1 298
Results Rating -8.3 299
Consistency 0.17 253
Pace 72.3 77
Improvement -1.1 220

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 310 C D D- C+ B-
Defense D+ 258 C C- D C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 140 C+ 59% 137 +1.3 128
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 225 C 38% 195 -1.4 258
Three Pointers 43% 138 C- 33% 242 +0.3 170
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.5 104 C -0.5 185
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 168
Second Chance D- 24.1% 335 C- 0.98 263 D 0.24 332
Opponents' Steals D- 11.6% 339
Other Turnovers D 8.4% 313
Turnovers D- 20.0% 340
Freethrows B- 0.33 103 C- 71% 230 C+ 0.23 127
Total Offense D -5.4 310

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 190 C 11.3% 199
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 202 C- 5.9% 250
Three Pointers B 89% 65 C- 1.2% 266
Total C+ 57% 142 C- 6.0% 231


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 181 B- 55% 103 -1.1 129
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 256 A+ 28% 2 -2.8 10
Three Pointers 43% 103 D 37% 314 +3.3 318
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 229 C+ -0.9 147
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 155
Second Chance C- 30.9% 216 C- 1.08 261 C- 0.33 239
Turnovers from Steals D 7.7% 309
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 285
Turnovers D 14.2% 323
Freethrows C- 0.32 237 D+ 74% 277 C- 0.24 258
Total Defense D+ -2.6 258

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 236 C- 9.9% 212
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 126 B- 6.5% 78
Three Pointers D+ 87% 277 D+ 0.5% 269
Total D 61% 305 C- 5.2% 202

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 119 16.8 94
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 170 0.20 290
Consistency 0.14 317 0.14 303
Improvement -5.6 355 +4.5 19

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 306 297 283
Results Rating Rank 318 299 250
Conference Record 10 - 6 10 - 6 10 - 6
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11% 17% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 11% 17% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four10% 16% 0%
First Round5% 8% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 414 - 1015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 86 @Xavier L 69 - 74 6% -4  25% 0 - 1 C+ +5 D+ -2 A+ F F A- +7 C- A A-
 Sun, Nov 9 165 @Bowling Green L 60 - 83 16% -6  17% 0 - 2 F -21 F -13 D D+ F D- -8 D+ A F
 Thu, Nov 13 193 @Massachusetts L 80 - 94 20% -11  1% 0 - 3 D- -13 D+ -3 D+ C- A- F+ -9 F D C
 Mon, Nov 17 333 Niagara W 74 - 68 74% +4  88% 1 - 3 D -9 D -5 B- F F D+ -3 C- C+ D-
 Sat, Nov 22 264 Fairfield L 83 - 97 53% -12  2% 1 - 4 F -23 C+ +2 D+ A+ F F -24 F F+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 324 @Lafayette W 76 - 63 48% +1  54% 2 - 4 B- +5 C- -1 D A+ D- A- +7 B+ C B
 Sat, Nov 29 179 Monmouth W 83 - 79 26% +1  58% 3 - 4 C+ +3 A- +10 A C D+ D- -7 A+ F F
 Sun, Nov 30 292 Ball St. L 85 - 96 48% -0  48% 3 - 5 F -18 A +13 A+ F A- F -31 D F C
 Sat, Dec 6 357 @Binghamton W 78 - 63 68% +10  98% 4 - 5 C+ +2 C +0 B D+ F+ B- +3 A- D+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 27 @Texas L 53 - 95 2% -18  0% 4 - 6 F -24 F -21 F C- D- C -1 B- F B+
 Sat, Dec 20 138 @St. Bonaventure L 81 - 92 13% -2  25% 4 - 7 D+ -7 B +7 D+ A C+ F -14 D- F+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 137 @Boston College L 64 - 72 13% -2  15% 4 - 8 C- -4 F+ -8 D+ D+ F B +5 D+ A+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 84 - 58 65% +9  72% 5 - 8 1 - 0 B+ +14 B- +5 A- B+ D- A +10 A- A F+
 Sun, Jan 4 291 @Mercyhurst L 60 - 74 36% -8  8% 5 - 9 1 - 1 F -18 F -11 F C+ D+ F+ -9 C- F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 325 New Haven W 73 - 47 70% +16  94% 6 - 9 2 - 1 B+ +12 B- +5 B C+ B+ A+ +12 A B- B+
 Sat, Jan 10 306 Central Connecticut St. L 59 - 69 63% -6  6% 6 - 10 2 - 2 F -22 F -24 F D F B- +3 A C C
 Sat, Jan 17 351 @Chicago St. W 72 - 57 60% -0  27% 7 - 10 3 - 2 C+ +4 D- -7 D C D+ A+ +12 D+ A+ A
 Mon, Jan 19 218 LIU Brooklyn W 83 - 77 43% +4  79% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C -0 B- +5 A+ F D+ D -5 A- F F+
 Fri, Jan 23 317 Wagner W 69 - 67 67% -2  26% 9 - 10 5 - 2 D -11 D+ -2 F A- C+ D- -8 F B- C+
 Mon, Jan 26 336 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 87 - 74 54% +13  97% 10 - 10 6 - 2 C+ +4 A +11 A+ F D- D- -7 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 29 218 @LIU Brooklyn L 61 - 83 23% -11  2% 10 - 11 6 - 3 F -22 F -17 F F D- D+ -3 D B- C-
 Sat, Jan 31 335 Stonehill L 54 - 65 74% -5  2% 10 - 12 6 - 4 F -26 F -24 F F F C- -2 C+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 317 @Wagner L 78 - 79 45% -1  36% 10 - 13 6 - 5 D+ -8 C +1 A F+ F F+ -9 F F+ B-
 Sat, Feb 7 355 St. Francis (PA) W 86 - 84 82% -3  25% 11 - 13 7 - 5 F+ -16 D- -7 A+ F F F+ -9 D F+ D-
 Thu, Feb 12 291 Mercyhurst W 58 - 57 59% +1  53% 12 - 13 8 - 5 D -9 F -21 D+ F F A +11 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 351 Chicago St. W 81 - 63 79% +6  83% 13 - 13 9 - 5 C +1 C- -1 B+ F B+ B- +3 B+ D+ D-
 Thu, Feb 19 306 @Central Connecticut St. L 77 - 78 40% -8  0% 13 - 14 9 - 6 D+ -7 D+ -3 A- F F D+ -3 F+ A F
 Sat, Feb 21 335 @Stonehill L 68 - 77 53% -5  20% 13 - 15 9 - 7 F+ -18 D- -6 D D F F -11 D C- F
 Thu, Feb 26 336 Fairleigh Dickinson W 76 - 59 75% +4  72% 14 - 15 10 - 7 C+ +2 C -0 B+ F+ C- B +4 A- C- D+
 Sat, Feb 28 325 @New Haven L 59 - 66 48% +1  51% 14 - 16 10 - 8 D- -15 F -15 F F C+ C+ +1 C+ A+ D
 Wed, Mar 4 335 Stonehill W 71 - 64 74%
Totals 15 - 16 10 - 8 -8 D -5 C+ C B- D+ -3 C- C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C+ C C- C 40% 34% 43% B- C D- C- D D- B- C- C+ D+ B- A+ D C+ 39% 18% 43% C- C C- C- C- D C- D+ C-
1.01 59% 38% 33% 0 +1 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 20% .33 71% .23 1.12 55% 28% 37% -1 0 1.01 31% 1.1 .33 14% .32 74% .24
Nov
6		 Xavier D+ A+ B A A+ 45% 14% 41% A- A+ D- F F F D F F+ A- A A+ F C- 31% 25% 44% C C- C+ A+ A A- D+ B+ C
1.01 73% 43% 40% +11 +1 1.27 19% 0.0 .00 26% .24 58% .14 1.08 50% 23% 52% +6 -1 1.12 26% 0.6 .16 16% .28 69% .19
Nov
9		 Bowling Green F D- A+ F+ D 35% 11% 54% B- D B+ F D+ F F+ A+ C D- A+ F F C- 57% 10% 33% F+ D+ C A+ A F B+ F D+
0.85 50% 60% 28% -5 +1 0.93 34% 0.7 .25 34% .26 92% .24 1.18 42% 67% 47% +1 +3 1.09 27% 0.4 .11 9% .26 94% .25
Nov
13		 Massachusetts D+ C- F D D- 46% 9% 46% A- D+ D- A C- A- B F C- F+ D D- F F 41% 20% 39% C- F F B D C C+ F D
1.05 58% 20% 31% -4 +2 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 13% .42 64% .27 1.23 64% 45% 43% +9 0 1.20 39% 1.1 .42 18% .32 80% .26
Nov
17		 Niagara D C+ F A+ B 29% 22% 49% D+ B- F F F F A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ F D 29% 20% 51% A- C- B D- C+ D- C- F+ D+
1.10 62% 30% 45% +8 -1 1.16 23% 0.3 .07 19% .41 91% .37 1.01 33% 20% 50% +1 -1 1.04 18% 1.0 .18 16% .25 79% .20
Nov
22		 Fairfield C+ D+ F B+ D 49% 11% 40% B- D+ A A+ A+ F A+ F+ A+ F F C F F 47% 25% 28% C- F F D+ F+ F F F F
1.18 55% 0% 39% -3 +2 1.00 40% 1.6 .66 21% .54 67% .36 1.37 68% 38% 47% +10 0 1.23 41% 1.0 .41 10% .36 87% .31
Nov
28		 Lafayette C- B+ D F D 41% 29% 29% D+ D B A+ A+ D- B+ C- B A- B- A+ C- B+ 29% 20% 51% A- B+ C+ D C B C- F D
1.10 67% 33% 27% -1 -1 0.98 35% 1.5 .55 17% .33 74% .25 0.91 53% 0% 35% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.0 .23 19% .30 76% .23
Nov
29		 Monmouth A- A A+ B- A- 40% 9% 51% B A D- A+ C D+ A+ A- A+ D- B B A+ A+ 38% 28% 34% C+ A+ F+ F F F F+ D+ F
1.21 71% 50% 36% +8 +2 1.21 25% 1.3 .32 20% .51 79% .40 1.16 50% 33% 22% -10 -1 0.79 38% 1.7 .63 12% .36 77% .28
Nov
30		 Ball St. A A+ F A+ A+ 25% 15% 60% C A+ D F F A- A- A- A F C- A+ D D 35% 16% 49% C- D F F F C F C- F
1.26 75% 29% 48% +16 0 1.33 28% 0.7 .20 15% .35 85% .30 1.42 56% 13% 36% -3 0 0.96 51% 1.5 .74 16% .50 71% .35
Dec
6		 Binghamton C C- F A+ B- 64% 11% 26% A B D- B D+ F+ C D- C- B- A+ A+ D- A+ 52% 8% 40% F A- F B+ D+ D D+ C- D
1.18 57% 0% 67% +8 +3 1.23 26% 1.1 .30 15% .32 67% .21 0.95 40% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 18% .39 76% .29
Dec
16		 Texas F F D- F F 29% 38% 33% F F C- D+ C- D- B+ C+ B+ C B- F B B+ 41% 6% 54% F B- F C+ F B+ C+ B- B-
0.72 40% 30% 12% -19 -3 0.58 22% 0.9 .20 18% .38 74% .28 1.29 59% 100% 31% +1 +2 1.09 49% 1.2 .57 18% .38 74% .28
Dec
20		 St. Bonaventure B C+ D D D 39% 12% 49% B D+ B- A+ A C+ A+ B- A+ F A A+ F D 40% 12% 49% F D- D+ F F+ F F C- F
1.19 60% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.5 .46 16% .42 79% .33 1.35 47% 20% 52% +7 +1 1.19 38% 1.2 .44 12% .58 77% .45
Dec
28		 Boston College F+ C- F D+ D 44% 15% 42% B+ D+ C+ F D+ F B F C B B A F D+ 33% 27% 40% B- D+ B+ A+ A+ C F C F+
0.88 54% 13% 30% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .19 21% .33 58% .19 0.99 53% 29% 43% +1 -1 1.02 26% 0.6 .17 15% .37 65% .24
Jan
2		 St. Francis (PA) B- B- C A+ A 38% 17% 45% C- A- B B B+ D- F F F A B+ A+ C B+ 24% 28% 48% A- A- C- A+ A F+ F A+ C-
1.25 67% 38% 52% +15 0 1.34 38% 1.3 .48 21% .26 57% .15 0.86 50% 21% 33% -7 -2 0.84 28% 0.5 .14 15% .35 55% .19
Jan
4		 Mercyhurst F D C+ F F 46% 16% 38% C+ F C+ C+ C+ D+ F F F F+ A D- D- C- 38% 32% 30% D C- F F+ F D+ F F F
0.94 52% 38% 16% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.1 .38 19% .27 57% .15 1.16 44% 47% 36% -2 -1 0.96 38% 1.2 .47 14% .35 84% .29
Jan
8		 New Haven B- A+ D- F+ B+ 37% 14% 49% C+ B C+ C C+ B+ A+ F A A+ A- A+ B+ A 33% 19% 49% C- A C- A B- B+ F A+ C
1.19 88% 33% 29% +6 +1 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 13% .45 63% .28 0.77 50% 13% 29% -11 0 0.79 22% 0.8 .16 21% .39 47% .19
Jan
10		 Central Connecticut St. F F D- F F 51% 6% 43% A- F D- C- D F C+ A B B- C F A+ A 24% 39% 37% A- A F A C C F D+ F
0.83 37% 33% 17% -22 +3 0.64 25% 1.0 .25 18% .28 88% .24 0.97 58% 47% 17% -6 -3 0.84 34% 0.8 .26 17% .44 81% .36
Jan
17		 Chicago St. D- C+ A+ F F+ 42% 6% 52% B D F A+ C D+ A- C+ A- A+ A- A- F C 53% 20% 27% F D+ A+ D+ A+ A A A+ A+
1.05 65% 100% 24% -1 +2 1.04 18% 2.2 .39 20% .40 77% .31 0.83 44% 30% 43% -5 +1 0.94 12% 1.0 .12 20% .16 56% .09
Jan
19		 LIU Brooklyn B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 20% 39% C- A+ F A+ F D+ A+ C+ A+ D C A+ B- A- 41% 32% 27% B+ A- F F F F+ A A+ A+
1.17 59% 63% 56% +18 0 1.39 9% 2.0 .17 20% .54 71% .38 1.08 58% 26% 31% -5 -1 0.90 42% 1.2 .51 17% .20 50% .10
Jan
23		 Wagner D+ F+ F F+ F 45% 14% 40% C+ F A- B- A- C+ A+ C- A+ D- D D F F 45% 16% 39% F F C- A- B- C+ B- A+ A-
1.13 47% 17% 29% -11 +1 0.83 38% 1.1 .44 13% .64 71% .45 1.10 60% 43% 41% +6 +1 1.16 33% 0.9 .30 20% .25 58% .14
Jan
26		 Fairleigh Dickinson A C A A+ A+ 44% 10% 46% A- A+ F C F D- A+ A- A+ D- B A A+ A+ 40% 13% 46% F+ A+ D- F F F F F F
1.31 61% 50% 63% +23 +2 1.51 14% 1.0 .14 18% .51 79% .40 1.11 52% 29% 8% -21 +1 0.62 37% 1.2 .46 8% .50 84% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 LIU Brooklyn F F D F F 53% 6% 41% A F F F F D- A+ F+ A- D+ D A+ D- D+ 43% 16% 41% D- D A+ F B- C- F F F
0.81 46% 33% 20% -15 +3 0.78 24% 0.6 .15 21% .45 63% .29 1.10 64% 25% 38% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 20% .43 77% .33
Jan
31		 Stonehill F F A F F 43% 19% 38% C+ F F F F F F+ F F C- A+ F B- B- 45% 13% 42% F+ C+ B+ A+ A+ F D- F F
0.76 36% 45% 27% -12 +1 0.79 14% 0.5 .07 17% .22 62% .13 0.91 32% 71% 30% -10 +2 0.85 23% 0.4 .09 11% .28 78% .22
Feb
5		 Wagner C A A+ F A 54% 15% 30% B- A F D+ F+ F C B- C+ F+ F C- D F 43% 22% 35% D F B+ F F+ B- F F F
1.14 68% 86% 29% +10 +2 1.26 21% 1.0 .21 20% .37 75% .28 1.15 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 27% 1.6 .42 20% .37 80% .29
Feb
7		 St. Francis (PA) D- A+ D A+ A+ 55% 7% 38% A A+ F F F F A+ D A+ F+ A+ A F F+ 29% 29% 43% B+ D D+ F F+ D- F A- F
1.12 87% 33% 44% +21 +3 1.50 23% 0.8 .18 27% .56 68% .38 1.09 38% 25% 54% +3 -2 1.05 29% 1.2 .34 16% .42 63% .26
Feb
12		 Mercyhurst F A D+ F D+ 51% 19% 30% C+ D+ F+ F F F D+ F F A A- A A+ A+ 23% 33% 44% B- A+ A D+ B+ F B F C+
0.84 71% 33% 14% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.4 .11 26% .35 56% .20 0.83 46% 32% 20% -14 -3 0.68 19% 1.1 .21 9% .17 82% .14
Feb
14		 Chicago St. C- A+ F A+ A- 35% 10% 55% C B+ F B+ F B+ B- D- C B- D- A+ A+ A- 31% 36% 34% C+ B+ B+ F D+ D- A A+ A+
1.18 76% 0% 44% +11 +1 1.27 14% 1.3 .17 16% .36 71% .26 0.91 61% 19% 25% -10 -2 0.76 23% 1.3 .30 13% .17 60% .10
Feb
19		 Central Connecticut St. D+ D- B+ A+ A 42% 21% 37% D A- F F F F B- D C+ D+ F F C+ F 21% 32% 48% B F+ A+ A- A F A+ F A+
1.09 50% 45% 53% +8 0 1.19 19% 0.7 .13 17% .29 76% .22 1.10 77% 55% 33% +9 -3 1.14 17% 0.8 .14 13% .02 100% .02
Feb
21		 Stonehill D- F+ A+ F D 33% 18% 49% C D D D+ D F A+ D+ A+ F D- B+ B+ D 43% 19% 39% C- D C- C C- F F D+ F
0.97 47% 56% 28% -5 0 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 20% .43 67% .28 1.09 61% 30% 29% -3 +1 0.96 29% 0.9 .26 9% .37 71% .26
Feb
26		 Fairleigh Dickinson C A+ B- F+ B+ 45% 14% 41% B B+ F+ F F+ C- D B- D+ B A+ A+ F A 40% 22% 38% C A- C D C- D+ F D F
1.19 86% 43% 30% +11 +1 1.27 20% 0.8 .16 16% .30 75% .22 0.92 39% 0% 41% -12 0 0.78 32% 1.0 .32 17% .41 73% .30
Feb
28		 New Haven F D+ B- F F 35% 24% 41% D F F F F C+ B- A+ B+ C+ D- A+ B+ B- 39% 15% 46% D- C+ A+ A+ A+ D F F F
0.87 56% 42% 19% -9 -1 0.82 11% 0.5 .06 15% .29 88% .26 0.97 67% 0% 29% -6 +1 0.91 9% 0.7 .06 16% .49 79% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.0 10.9 89.1
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 16.0 89.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.9% 100.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 44.1%
Lose Out 35.5%