Chicago St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.8#350
Expected Predictive Rating-12.2#328
Pace71.0#142
Improvement-0.9#253

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#310
First Shot-5.3#316
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#165
Layup/Dunks-6.3#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.2#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.3#357
Freethrows+1.0#127
Improvement-0.4#213

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#352
First Shot-7.6#361
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#116
Layups/Dunks-0.8#205
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#345
Freethrows-2.8#321
Improvement-0.5#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 11.9% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.1 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.4% 6.7% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 52.1% 70.2% 51.6%
Conference Champion 5.0% 9.5% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 6.7% 12.8%
First Four5.4% 11.2% 5.2%
First Round2.5% 4.7% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois St. (Away) - 3.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 48 - 129 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 121 @DePaul L 62-92 6%     0 - 1 -24.0 -9.6 -13.2
  Thu, Nov 6 46 @Saint Louis L 86-108 2%     0 - 2 -7.9 +5.0 -8.9
  Tue, Nov 11 44 @Butler L 66-98 2%     0 - 3 -17.7 -3.8 -12.5
  Sat, Nov 15 204 Illinois-Chicago L 63-67 28%     0 - 4 -9.7 -5.4 -4.7
  Tue, Nov 18 95 @Minnesota L 54-66 4%     0 - 5 -3.9 -8.7 +3.4
  Thu, Nov 20 27 @Iowa L 54-93 1%     0 - 6 -21.9 -3.2 -24.4
  Tue, Nov 25 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-90 17%     0 - 7 -14.5 +3.4 -18.2
  Fri, Nov 28 178 @Youngstown St. L 64-87 11%     0 - 8 -21.4 -7.0 -14.2
  Sat, Dec 6 101 @Illinois St. L 64-84 3%    
  Sun, Dec 14 259 @Loyola Chicago L 69-78 20%    
  Tue, Dec 16 119 @Bowling Green L 65-83 5%    
  Sat, Dec 20 24 @Indiana L 61-90 0.3%   
  Fri, Jan 2 297 Wagner L 73-74 45%    
  Sun, Jan 4 230 LIU Brooklyn L 73-78 33%    
  Thu, Jan 8 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-77 51%    
  Sat, Jan 10 338 @Stonehill L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 321 Le Moyne W 80-79 52%    
  Mon, Jan 19 346 New Haven W 71-68 60%    
  Fri, Jan 23 356 @St. Francis (PA) L 76-77 46%    
  Sun, Jan 25 328 @Mercyhurst L 68-73 32%    
  Thu, Jan 29 356 St. Francis (PA) W 79-74 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 328 Mercyhurst W 71-70 53%    
  Thu, Feb 5 244 @Central Connecticut St. L 66-76 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 346 @New Haven L 68-71 38%    
  Thu, Feb 12 338 Stonehill W 72-70 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 321 @Le Moyne L 77-83 31%    
  Thu, Feb 19 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-75 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 244 Central Connecticut St. L 69-73 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 230 @LIU Brooklyn L 70-81 17%    
  Sat, Feb 28 297 @Wagner L 70-77 26%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 4.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.1 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 4.4 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 5.7 3.4 0.6 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.8 4.1 0.6 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 5.6 4.8 0.9 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.6 5.1 1.1 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.9 5.1 1.2 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.5 3.3 3.9 1.2 0.1 10.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.4 2.0 0.7 0.0 7.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.9 6.4 9.5 12.2 13.6 13.6 12.7 9.8 7.2 4.6 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 98.6% 0.5    0.4 0.0
14-2 85.8% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
13-3 57.8% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1
12-4 27.7% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
11-5 7.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 35.0% 35.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.5% 28.6% 28.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
14-2 1.2% 24.0% 24.0% 16.0 0.3 0.9
13-3 2.5% 18.7% 18.7% 16.0 0.5 2.0
12-4 4.6% 16.1% 16.1% 16.0 0.7 3.8
11-5 7.2% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.8 6.3
10-6 9.8% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 1.0 8.8
9-7 12.7% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.7 12.0
8-8 13.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.6 13.1
7-9 13.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.4 13.2
6-10 12.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.0
5-11 9.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.4
4-12 6.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.4
3-13 3.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.9
2-14 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.5 94.5 0.0%