Chicago St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.2#359
Expected Predictive Rating-15.1#353
Pace70.7#114
Improvement+3.8#43

Offense
Total Offense-11.0#362
First Shot-8.9#359
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#297
Layup/Dunks-4.6#332
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#185
Freethrows-3.2#348
Improvement+1.4#108

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#268
First Shot-0.8#205
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#336
Layups/Dunks-2.4#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#45
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#126
Freethrows-1.8#300
Improvement+2.4#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.8% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.6% 23.1% 6.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 34.1% 23.4% 47.7%
First Four2.2% 2.8% 1.5%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercyhurst (Home) - 56.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 30 - 50 - 13
Quad 46 - 126 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 128   @ Loyola Chicago L 72-79 5%     0 - 1 -2.6 -1.2 -1.0
  Nov 09, 2024 219   Youngstown St. L 60-80 21%     0 - 2 -25.7 -15.6 -9.3
  Nov 12, 2024 30   @ Texas L 58-105 1%     0 - 3 -30.4 -12.3 -13.6
  Nov 16, 2024 72   @ San Francisco L 37-82 2%     0 - 4 -34.9 -31.9 -1.2
  Nov 19, 2024 231   Eastern Kentucky L 66-86 23%     0 - 5 -26.4 -17.7 -7.2
  Nov 22, 2024 210   @ Indiana St. L 61-97 10%     0 - 6 -36.1 -15.7 -19.0
  Nov 25, 2024 204   Radford L 48-63 13%     0 - 7 -17.1 -22.4 +3.5
  Nov 26, 2024 195   Drexel L 71-83 12%     0 - 8 -13.6 +4.7 -19.2
  Nov 30, 2024 17   @ Wisconsin L 53-74 1%     0 - 9 -2.0 -9.8 +6.6
  Dec 02, 2024 119   @ St. Thomas L 76-98 5%     0 - 10 -17.1 -6.9 -7.6
  Dec 08, 2024 105   @ Saint Louis L 62-85 4%     0 - 11 -16.2 -4.2 -13.0
  Dec 15, 2024 222   @ Mercer L 63-75 11%     0 - 12 -12.9 -9.1 -3.8
  Dec 19, 2024 74   @ Grand Canyon L 51-74 2%     0 - 13 -13.0 -19.1 +7.9
  Dec 21, 2024 127   @ Cal St. Northridge L 57-81 5%     0 - 14 -19.4 -18.6 +1.7
  Dec 29, 2024 13   @ Illinois L 64-117 1%     0 - 15 -33.3 -6.2 -21.3
  Jan 03, 2025 335   @ Wagner W 64-52 30%     1 - 15 1 - 0 +3.2 -0.3 +5.5
  Jan 05, 2025 327   @ LIU Brooklyn L 39-53 27%     1 - 16 1 - 1 -21.7 -28.1 +4.4
  Jan 12, 2025 321   Stonehill L 52-68 42%     1 - 17 1 - 2 -28.2 -20.9 -9.1
  Jan 18, 2025 355   Le Moyne W 88-72 57%     2 - 17 2 - 2 +0.1 +2.7 -3.2
  Jan 20, 2025 322   Fairleigh Dickinson L 48-58 43%     2 - 18 2 - 3 -22.4 -28.6 +5.7
  Jan 24, 2025 321   @ Stonehill L 73-75 25%     2 - 19 2 - 4 -9.2 +0.7 -10.1
  Jan 26, 2025 209   @ Central Connecticut St. L 64-81 10%     2 - 20 2 - 5 -17.0 -4.7 -12.4
  Feb 01, 2025 327   LIU Brooklyn W 73-67 OT 44%     3 - 20 3 - 5 -6.7 -3.2 -3.6
  Feb 06, 2025 353   Mercyhurst W 66-65 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 336   St. Francis (PA) L 69-70 51%    
  Feb 13, 2025 322   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 68-75 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 355   @ Le Moyne L 71-74 36%    
  Feb 20, 2025 209   Central Connecticut St. L 60-69 20%    
  Feb 22, 2025 335   Wagner L 61-62 50%    
  Feb 27, 2025 353   @ Mercyhurst L 63-67 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 336   @ St. Francis (PA) L 67-72 30%    
Projected Record 6 - 25 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.4 2.2 0.2 4.7 3rd
4th 1.7 5.8 0.6 8.1 4th
5th 0.4 8.3 2.3 10.9 5th
6th 0.1 6.1 8.9 0.3 15.3 6th
7th 0.0 3.2 13.7 2.0 0.0 18.9 7th
8th 0.1 3.1 12.8 6.6 0.1 22.7 8th
9th 2.8 8.6 5.7 0.3 17.3 9th
Total 2.9 11.7 21.7 27.0 21.0 10.9 3.7 1.0 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 25.0% 0.0    0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 1.0% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.1 0.9
9-7 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.1 3.6
8-8 10.9% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.5 10.4
7-9 21.0% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.7 20.3
6-10 27.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.6 26.5
5-11 21.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 21.5
4-12 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.7
3-13 2.9% 2.9
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 16.0 2.2 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.9%