Preseason Rankings
Minnesota
Big Ten
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#87
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace59.5#358
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#98
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#87
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.7% 1.8% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 10.9% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.3% 10.8% 2.3%
Average Seed 8.5 8.5 9.4
.500 or above 33.6% 34.9% 10.5%
.500 or above in Conference 12.0% 12.5% 4.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 24.8% 23.8% 41.2%
First Four2.5% 2.6% 0.8%
First Round9.1% 9.5% 2.0%
Second Round4.3% 4.5% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Home) - 94.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 11
Quad 23 - 45 - 16
Quad 32 - 17 - 17
Quad 46 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 307   Gardner-Webb W 76-59 95%    
  Nov 08, 2025 326   Alcorn St. W 72-53 96%    
  Nov 12, 2025 37   @ Missouri L 64-74 18%    
  Nov 15, 2025 314   Green Bay W 77-59 95%    
  Nov 18, 2025 349   Chicago St. W 77-56 97%    
  Nov 22, 2025 75   San Francisco L 66-67 45%    
  Nov 27, 2025 95   Stanford W 65-64 53%    
  Dec 03, 2025 34   Indiana L 64-69 34%    
  Dec 10, 2025 2   @ Purdue L 56-76 4%    
  Dec 14, 2025 285   Texas Southern W 74-58 92%    
  Dec 21, 2025 203   Campbell W 70-58 84%    
  Dec 29, 2025 354   Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-56 97%    
  Jan 03, 2026 71   @ Northwestern L 61-66 34%    
  Jan 06, 2026 32   Iowa L 68-73 35%    
  Jan 09, 2026 29   USC L 65-70 34%    
  Jan 13, 2026 26   Wisconsin L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 17, 2026 15   @ Illinois L 65-79 11%    
  Jan 20, 2026 27   @ Ohio St. L 62-74 16%    
  Jan 24, 2026 60   Nebraska L 66-67 49%    
  Jan 28, 2026 26   @ Wisconsin L 61-73 16%    
  Feb 01, 2026 90   @ Penn St. L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 04, 2026 21   Michigan St. L 62-69 28%    
  Feb 08, 2026 40   Maryland L 65-69 38%    
  Feb 14, 2026 48   @ Washington L 64-72 24%    
  Feb 17, 2026 28   @ Oregon L 61-72 18%    
  Feb 21, 2026 81   Rutgers W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 24, 2026 6   @ Michigan L 61-77 9%    
  Feb 28, 2026 14   UCLA L 59-68 24%    
  Mar 04, 2026 34   @ Indiana L 61-72 20%    
  Mar 07, 2026 71   Northwestern W 64-63 53%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.0 0.0 4.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.3 11th
12th 0.3 2.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 6.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.9 1.6 0.1 7.7 13th
14th 0.1 1.5 4.1 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.9 14th
15th 0.1 1.6 4.4 3.9 0.8 0.1 10.9 15th
16th 0.2 1.7 4.9 4.7 1.5 0.1 13.0 16th
17th 0.4 2.7 5.3 4.7 1.6 0.2 14.9 17th
18th 1.7 4.1 5.4 3.6 1.2 0.1 16.2 18th
Total 1.7 4.5 8.3 10.7 12.5 12.5 11.9 10.5 8.7 6.6 4.7 3.1 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 84.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 27.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 5.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.0% 100.0% 16.3% 83.7% 2.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 23.1% 76.9% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.2% 100.0% 5.4% 94.6% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.6% 97.4% 2.7% 94.7% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.3%
13-7 1.1% 96.7% 1.1% 95.5% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.6%
12-8 2.0% 85.9% 0.8% 85.1% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 85.8%
11-9 3.1% 74.7% 0.5% 74.1% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.8 74.5%
10-10 4.7% 51.8% 0.3% 51.5% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.3 51.7%
9-11 6.6% 20.3% 0.1% 20.2% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 5.3 20.2%
8-12 8.7% 4.9% 0.1% 4.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 8.3 4.9%
7-13 10.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4 0.6%
6-14 11.9% 11.9
5-15 12.5% 12.5
4-16 12.5% 12.5
3-17 10.7% 10.7
2-18 8.3% 8.3
1-19 4.5% 4.5
0-20 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 10.5% 0.1% 10.3% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.3 1.5 0.1 89.5 10.3%