Minnesota
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#86
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#73
Pace59.4#357
Improvement+2.7#80

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#103
First Shot+2.5#104
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#181
Layup/Dunks+3.7#58
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#245
Freethrows-0.4#195
Improvement+2.7#56

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#72
First Shot+1.5#127
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#19
Layups/Dunks-0.2#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#227
Freethrows+2.5#37
Improvement+0.0#194
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 n/a
.500 or above 4.4% 13.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 47 - 9
Quad 22 - 68 - 15
Quad 30 - 28 - 17
Quad 47 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 321   Oral Roberts W 80-57 95%     1 - 0 +10.7 +4.8 +7.6
  Nov 09, 2024 149   Nebraska Omaha W 68-64 80%     2 - 0 +2.0 -4.8 +7.0
  Nov 13, 2024 79   North Texas L 51-54 58%     2 - 1 +1.5 -6.1 +7.0
  Nov 16, 2024 75   Yale W 59-56 57%     3 - 1 +7.7 +4.2 +4.4
  Nov 19, 2024 171   Cleveland St. W 58-47 83%     4 - 1 +7.6 -10.1 +18.6
  Nov 25, 2024 219   Central Michigan W 68-65 88%     5 - 1 -2.9 -3.1 +0.4
  Nov 28, 2024 126   Wichita St. L 66-68 OT 67%     5 - 2 +0.0 -6.4 +6.5
  Nov 29, 2024 61   Wake Forest L 51-57 40%     5 - 3 +3.3 -7.5 +9.9
  Dec 01, 2024 289   Bethune-Cookman W 79-62 93%     6 - 3 +6.8 +10.0 -1.7
  Dec 04, 2024 8   Michigan St. L 72-90 17%     6 - 4 0 - 1 -1.3 +15.9 -18.8
  Dec 09, 2024 42   @ Indiana L 67-82 22%     6 - 5 0 - 2 -0.4 +3.7 -4.4
  Dec 21, 2024 314   Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-60 95%     7 - 5 +2.1 +0.3 +2.4
  Dec 29, 2024 333   Morgan St. W 90-68 96%     8 - 5 +8.2 +14.5 -4.7
  Jan 02, 2025 16   Purdue L 61-81 23%     8 - 6 0 - 3 -5.5 +3.7 -13.1
  Jan 06, 2025 37   Ohio St. L 88-89 2OT 35%     8 - 7 0 - 4 +9.5 +8.6 +1.1
  Jan 10, 2025 15   @ Wisconsin L 59-80 11%     8 - 8 0 - 5 -0.9 -1.5 -0.9
  Jan 13, 2025 11   @ Maryland L 71-77 10%     8 - 9 0 - 6 +15.0 +9.2 +5.9
  Jan 16, 2025 30   Michigan W 84-81 OT 32%     9 - 9 1 - 6 +14.5 +18.0 -3.5
  Jan 21, 2025 63   @ Iowa W 72-67 30%     10 - 9 2 - 6 +16.9 +4.6 +12.6
  Jan 25, 2025 34   Oregon W 77-69 34%     11 - 9 3 - 6 +18.8 +14.4 +5.0
  Jan 28, 2025 8   @ Michigan St. L 51-73 8%     11 - 10 3 - 7 +0.2 -1.2 -1.8
  Feb 01, 2025 104   Washington L 68-71 70%     11 - 11 3 - 8 -1.8 +0.0 -2.0
  Feb 04, 2025 58   @ Penn St. W 69-61 28%     12 - 11 4 - 8 +20.7 +10.5 +11.2
  Feb 08, 2025 17   Illinois L 74-95 24%     12 - 12 4 - 9 -6.9 +16.5 -26.2
  Feb 15, 2025 62   @ USC W 69-66 30%     13 - 12 5 - 9 +15.0 +6.2 +9.1
  Feb 18, 2025 24   @ UCLA W 64-61 14%     14 - 12 6 - 9 +21.3 +12.3 +9.6
  Feb 22, 2025 58   Penn St. L 60-69 48%     14 - 13 6 - 10 -1.8 -4.8 +2.3
  Feb 25, 2025 51   Northwestern L 63-75 44%     14 - 14 6 - 11 -3.9 -0.2 -4.6
  Mar 01, 2025 57   @ Nebraska W 67-65 28%     15 - 14 7 - 11 +14.8 +9.8 +5.3
  Mar 05, 2025 15   Wisconsin L 67-74 22%     15 - 15 7 - 12 +7.6 +6.0 +0.9
  Mar 09, 2025 65   @ Rutgers L 67-75 OT 32%     15 - 16 7 - 13 +3.4 -6.8 +10.7
  Mar 12, 2025 51   Northwestern L 62-66 34%    
Projected Record 15 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6% 8.1% 11.4 4.8 3.2
Lose Out 67.0%