IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Minnesota
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+5.1	#95
Expected Predictive Rating	+2.9	#136

Pace	60.0	#361
Improvement	+2.7	#27

Offense
Total Offense	+2.7	#103

First Shot	+1.3	#142
After Offensive Rebound	+1.4	#98

Layup/Dunks	+4.2	#51
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.9	#277
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.2	#280
Freethrows	+2.2	#74

Improvement	+2.5	#14

Defense
Total Defense	+2.4	#98

First Shot	+1.8	#117
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.6	#146

Layups/Dunks	+2.1	#100
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.2	#221
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.8	#246
Freethrows	+1.7	#90

Improvement	+0.1	#171

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.4%	11.3%	2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	2.4%	11.2%	2.1%
Average Seed	9.7	9.5	9.8

.500 or above	17.5%	42.3%	16.7%
.500 or above in Conference	9.8%	27.6%	9.3%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	13.7%	2.0%	14.1%

First Four	0.9%	3.4%	0.8%
First Round	1.9%	9.5%	1.6%
Second Round	0.7%	3.7%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	1.0%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 5	2 - 11
Quad 2	3 - 5	5 - 17
Quad 3	1 - 2	7 - 18
Quad 4	7 - 0	13 - 18

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	360 Gardner-Webb	W	87-60	97%	1 - 0			+9.6	+3.6	+5.2
Sat, Nov 8	333 Alcorn St.	W	95-50	95%	2 - 0			+31.5	+16.3	+15.2
Wed, Nov 12	37 @Missouri	L	60-83	16%	2 - 1			-7.2	+1.1	-11.4
Sat, Nov 15	264 Green Bay	W	72-65 OT	90%	3 - 1			-1.8	-8.2	+6.3
Tue, Nov 18	350 Chicago St.	W	66-54	96%	4 - 1			-2.8	-7.3	+5.9
Sat, Nov 22	99 San Francisco	L	65-77	51%	4 - 2			-7.0	+1.6	-9.9
Thu, Nov 27	84 Stanford	L	68-72	44%	4 - 3			+2.6	+5.0	-2.7
Fri, Nov 28	55 Santa Clara	L	75-86	33%	4 - 4			-1.4	+10.0	-12.0
Wed, Dec 3	24 Indiana	W	73-64	27%	5 - 4	1 - 0		+20.6	+10.3	+10.8
Wed, Dec 10	2 @Purdue	L	59-79	3%
Sun, Dec 14	296 Texas Southern	W	78-62	93%
Sun, Dec 21	224 Campbell	W	76-64	87%
Mon, Dec 29	362 Fairleigh Dickinson	W	82-59	98%
Sat, Jan 3	60 @Northwestern	L	65-72	25%
Tue, Jan 6	27 Iowa	L	63-69	29%
Fri, Jan 9	32 USC	L	70-75	31%
Tue, Jan 13	36 Wisconsin	L	69-74	33%
Sat, Jan 17	17 @Illinois	L	64-79	9%
Tue, Jan 20	25 @Ohio St.	L	64-76	13%
Sat, Jan 24	49 Nebraska	L	69-72	40%
Wed, Jan 28	36 @Wisconsin	L	66-77	16%
Sun, Feb 1	96 @Penn St.	L	69-72	39%
Wed, Feb 4	10 Michigan St.	L	60-71	16%
Sun, Feb 8	86 Maryland	W	70-68	58%
Sat, Feb 14	57 @Washington	L	66-73	26%
Tue, Feb 17	80 @Oregon	L	66-71	33%
Sat, Feb 21	120 Rutgers	W	69-64	68%
Tue, Feb 24	1 @Michigan	L	59-83	2%
Sat, Feb 28	31 UCLA	L	63-68	32%
Wed, Mar 4	24 @Indiana	L	62-74	14%
Sat, Mar 7	60 Northwestern	L	68-69	46%
Projected Record					13 - 18	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st																	0.0						0.0	1st
2nd															0.0	0.0							0.1	2nd
3rd														0.0	0.1	0.0							0.1	3rd
4th												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.3	4th
5th											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0								0.8	5th
6th										0.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1									1.4	6th
7th										0.0	0.7	1.0	0.3	0.0									2.1	7th
8th									0.0	0.5	1.6	0.7	0.1										2.9	8th
9th									0.3	1.8	1.5	0.3	0.0										3.8	9th
10th								0.1	1.6	2.7	0.7	0.0											5.2	10th
11th							0.0	1.0	3.8	2.2	0.2	0.0											7.2	11th
12th						0.0	0.7	3.8	3.9	0.6													9.2	12th
13th						0.3	3.1	5.6	1.6	0.1													10.6	13th
14th					0.2	2.2	6.3	3.6	0.3														12.5	14th
15th				0.0	1.4	5.8	5.2	0.9	0.0														13.3	15th
16th			0.0	0.9	4.6	5.5	1.4	0.1															12.6	16th
17th		0.0	0.8	3.6	4.7	1.9	0.2																11.2	17th
18th		0.7	2.4	2.5	1.1	0.1																	6.8	18th

Total		0.7	3.2	7.1	11.9	15.8	16.9	15.1	11.5	8.0	4.8	2.7	1.5	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0							Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	100.0%	0.0			0.0
15-5	0.0%
14-6	0.0%
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0			0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	0.0%														0.0
15-5	0.1%												0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	0.2%		92.7%		92.7%	8.4							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		92.7%
13-7	0.5%		83.6%		83.6%	9.1								0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1						0.1		83.6%
12-8	1.5%		49.9%	0.2%	49.7%	9.7								0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2						0.8		49.8%
11-9	2.7%		24.4%	0.5%	24.0%	10.2								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.0					2.0		24.1%
10-10	4.8%		5.6%	0.3%	5.3%	10.7									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1					4.6		5.3%
9-11	8.0%		0.6%		0.6%	10.7											0.0	0.0	0.0					7.9		0.6%
8-12	11.5%																							11.5
7-13	15.1%																							15.1
6-14	16.9%																							16.9
5-15	15.8%																							15.8
4-16	11.9%																							11.9
3-17	7.1%																							7.1
2-18	3.2%																							3.2
1-19	0.7%																							0.7
0-20

Total	100%		2.4%	0.0%	2.4%	9.7							0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.7	0.1					97.6		2.4%