Washington
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#57
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#87
Pace68.8#203
Improvement-0.1#199

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#55
First Shot+2.2#117
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#26
Layup/Dunks-3.2#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#249
Freethrows+2.9#46
Improvement+2.0#37

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#77
First Shot+2.4#101
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#122
Layups/Dunks+3.9#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#268
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#247
Freethrows+1.4#105
Improvement-2.1#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 2.3% 5.2% 1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.3% 34.7% 15.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.1% 34.4% 15.3%
Average Seed 8.8 8.5 9.1
.500 or above 57.3% 76.1% 51.0%
.500 or above in Conference 24.7% 42.8% 18.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 2.2% 8.9%
First Four4.5% 5.6% 4.1%
First Round18.1% 31.9% 13.4%
Second Round9.1% 17.1% 6.4%
Sweet Sixteen2.3% 4.2% 1.7%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Final Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 25.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 24 - 47 - 15
Quad 35 - 111 - 16
Quad 45 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 358 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94-50 98%     1 - 0 +26.9 +10.1 +14.8
  Thu, Nov 6 291 Denver W 84-70 95%     2 - 0 +3.9 +1.0 +2.7
  Sun, Nov 9 28 @Baylor L 69-78 24%     2 - 1 +7.8 -0.2 +8.2
  Fri, Nov 14 158 @Washington St. W 81-69 74%     3 - 1 +14.8 +17.5 -1.3
  Tue, Nov 18 201 Southern W 99-93 2OT 91%     4 - 1 +0.5 +1.2 -2.1
  Thu, Nov 27 105 Nevada W 83-66 69%     5 - 1 +21.3 +10.4 +10.5
  Fri, Nov 28 64 Colorado L 68-81 52%     5 - 2 -4.2 -1.6 -2.9
  Wed, Dec 3 31 UCLA L 80-82 45%     5 - 3 0 - 1 +8.6 +18.2 -9.8
  Sat, Dec 6 32 @USC L 75-82 25%    
  Sat, Dec 13 320 Southern Utah W 86-64 98%    
  Fri, Dec 19 114 @Seattle W 73-70 61%    
  Mon, Dec 22 262 San Diego W 88-70 95%    
  Mon, Dec 29 117 Utah W 81-72 80%    
  Sun, Jan 4 24 @Indiana L 71-79 23%    
  Wed, Jan 7 2 @Purdue L 67-83 7%    
  Sun, Jan 11 25 Ohio St. L 75-77 42%    
  Wed, Jan 14 1 Michigan L 70-84 11%    
  Sat, Jan 17 10 Michigan St. L 68-75 28%    
  Wed, Jan 21 49 @Nebraska L 75-79 34%    
  Sun, Jan 25 80 Oregon W 77-72 68%    
  Thu, Jan 29 17 @Illinois L 73-84 17%    
  Sat, Jan 31 60 @Northwestern L 73-76 40%    
  Wed, Feb 4 27 Iowa L 70-72 44%    
  Sat, Feb 7 31 @UCLA L 68-75 26%    
  Wed, Feb 11 96 Penn St. W 80-73 74%    
  Sat, Feb 14 95 Minnesota W 73-66 74%    
  Sat, Feb 21 86 @Maryland W 76-75 51%    
  Tue, Feb 24 120 @Rutgers W 74-71 62%    
  Sat, Feb 28 36 Wisconsin L 77-78 48%    
  Wed, Mar 4 32 USC L 78-79 46%    
  Sat, Mar 7 80 @Oregon L 74-75 47%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.6 5th
6th 0.2 1.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.5 0.9 0.1 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.1 0.1 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.3 2.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 4.6 1.7 0.1 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 1.2 4.7 3.4 0.4 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.8 1.0 0.0 10.8 12th
13th 0.2 2.5 5.3 2.1 0.1 10.2 13th
14th 0.1 1.7 4.6 3.1 0.2 0.0 9.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.5 0.7 0.0 8.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.0 0.9 0.0 7.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.4 0.9 0.1 5.5 17th
18th 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 3.6 18th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.7 6.4 9.5 12.3 14.7 13.9 12.7 9.7 6.9 4.1 2.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 0.0%
16-4 26.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 9.5% 90.5% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.4% 100.0% 5.7% 94.3% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.9% 100.0% 3.5% 96.5% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 2.5% 96.8% 1.2% 95.6% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.8%
12-8 4.1% 90.0% 1.4% 88.6% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.4 89.8%
11-9 6.9% 76.0% 0.6% 75.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.6 1.6 0.6 1.7 75.8%
10-10 9.7% 48.7% 0.4% 48.4% 9.8 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.8 1.3 0.0 4.9 48.5%
9-11 12.7% 17.4% 0.1% 17.3% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 0.1 10.5 17.3%
8-12 13.9% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 13.5 3.4%
7-13 14.7% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 14.7 0.2%
6-14 12.3% 12.3
5-15 9.5% 9.5
4-16 6.4% 6.4
3-17 3.7% 3.7
2-18 1.4% 1.4
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 20.3% 0.3% 20.1% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.1 3.6 4.0 4.6 3.7 0.2 79.7 20.1%