Washington
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#84
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#67
Pace71.8#98
Improvement+2.6#38

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#117
First Shot+0.6#161
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#98
Layup/Dunks+2.2#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#150
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#281
Freethrows+1.3#101
Improvement+3.7#8

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#59
First Shot+4.6#50
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#190
Layups/Dunks+4.1#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#44
Freethrows+1.1#111
Improvement-1.1#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 11.9% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.3% 11.6% 4.9%
Average Seed 9.3 9.3 9.6
.500 or above 49.5% 55.4% 25.9%
.500 or above in Conference 8.8% 9.7% 5.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 25.4% 23.8% 32.1%
First Four2.9% 3.1% 1.7%
First Round9.0% 10.2% 4.0%
Second Round3.8% 4.4% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Home) - 80.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 24 - 47 - 15
Quad 33 - 110 - 16
Quad 45 - 015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 185   UC Davis W 79-73 85%     1 - 0 +1.7 -4.0 +4.8
  Nov 09, 2024 52   @ Nevada L 53-63 27%     1 - 1 +3.0 -10.5 +12.9
  Nov 17, 2024 152   Umass Lowell W 74-69 81%     2 - 1 +2.3 -2.4 +4.7
  Nov 22, 2024 339   Alcorn St. W 77-60 96%     3 - 1 +2.7 +3.5 +0.6
  Nov 28, 2024 105   Colorado St. W 73-67 59%     4 - 1 +10.3 +4.0 +6.4
  Nov 29, 2024 74   Santa Clara W 76-69 47%     5 - 1 +14.5 +8.6 +6.2
  Dec 03, 2024 14   @ UCLA L 58-69 14%     5 - 2 0 - 1 +7.3 +2.6 +3.8
  Dec 07, 2024 76   USC L 61-85 59%     5 - 3 0 - 2 -19.7 -8.6 -11.4
  Dec 10, 2024 253   Eastern Washington W 87-69 91%     6 - 3 +9.9 +6.5 +3.2
  Dec 18, 2024 78   Washington St. W 89-73 60%     7 - 3 +20.1 +12.6 +6.4
  Dec 23, 2024 143   Seattle W 77-68 80%    
  Dec 29, 2024 352   NJIT W 79-57 98%    
  Jan 02, 2025 19   Maryland L 72-77 31%    
  Jan 05, 2025 18   Illinois L 73-78 31%    
  Jan 09, 2025 15   @ Michigan St. L 66-77 14%    
  Jan 12, 2025 20   @ Michigan L 69-80 17%    
  Jan 15, 2025 21   Purdue L 71-75 34%    
  Jan 21, 2025 23   @ Oregon L 68-78 17%    
  Jan 24, 2025 14   UCLA L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 114   @ Minnesota W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 05, 2025 53   Nebraska L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 08, 2025 61   Northwestern W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 12, 2025 38   @ Ohio St. L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 30   @ Penn St. L 72-81 21%    
  Feb 19, 2025 65   Rutgers W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 44   @ Iowa L 77-84 26%    
  Feb 25, 2025 36   @ Wisconsin L 71-79 22%    
  Mar 01, 2025 45   Indiana L 76-77 46%    
  Mar 05, 2025 76   @ USC L 71-75 37%    
  Mar 09, 2025 23   Oregon L 71-75 35%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.9 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.6 2.3 0.3 4.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 3.4 1.4 0.0 5.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.4 0.4 7.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.8 1.5 0.1 9.1 14th
15th 0.2 2.2 5.3 3.6 0.4 11.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.1 5.0 1.1 0.0 15.0 16th
17th 0.1 1.3 4.1 7.0 5.7 1.6 0.1 19.9 17th
18th 0.5 2.0 4.3 4.7 3.2 1.0 0.1 15.8 18th
Total 0.5 2.1 5.5 9.3 12.9 15.1 15.0 13.3 10.5 6.9 4.3 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 60.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 16.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 100.0% 6.1% 93.9% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.2% 100.0% 9.1% 90.9% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 0.6% 99.6% 5.0% 94.7% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-8 1.2% 95.8% 3.1% 92.6% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.6%
11-9 2.4% 86.8% 2.5% 84.3% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.3 86.5%
10-10 4.3% 68.0% 1.3% 66.7% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.4 67.6%
9-11 6.9% 34.4% 0.4% 34.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.1 4.5 34.1%
8-12 10.5% 8.9% 0.2% 8.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 9.6 8.7%
7-13 13.3% 1.4% 0.1% 1.3% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.1 1.3%
6-14 15.0% 15.0
5-15 15.1% 15.1
4-16 12.9% 12.9
3-17 9.3% 9.3
2-18 5.5% 5.5
1-19 2.1% 2.1
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 10.5% 0.3% 10.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 89.5 10.3%