Nebraska
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#48
Expected Predictive Rating+12.4#44
Pace70.0#132
Improvement+0.1#180

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#73
First Shot+6.4#37
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#307
Layup/Dunks+2.8#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#151
Freethrows+3.2#27
Improvement+1.1#122

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#39
First Shot+5.9#31
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#138
Layups/Dunks+13.4#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#348
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#350
Freethrows+1.5#78
Improvement-1.0#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.9% 4.2% 1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 54.6% 64.7% 42.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 54.3% 64.4% 41.9%
Average Seed 9.1 8.9 9.4
.500 or above 96.4% 99.3% 92.8%
.500 or above in Conference 23.2% 33.3% 10.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 0.8% 8.1%
First Four12.3% 12.0% 12.6%
First Round48.1% 58.5% 35.3%
Second Round20.4% 25.9% 13.6%
Sweet Sixteen4.6% 5.6% 3.4%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.7% 1.2%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington (Away) - 55.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 10
Quad 23 - 210 - 12
Quad 33 - 113 - 13
Quad 46 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 264   UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-67 95%     1 - 0 +11.7 +2.2 +7.8
  Nov 09, 2024 279   Bethune-Cookman W 63-58 96%     2 - 0 -4.0 -13.8 +9.6
  Nov 13, 2024 322   Fairleigh Dickinson W 86-60 97%     3 - 0 +13.6 +4.8 +8.0
  Nov 17, 2024 31   St. Mary's L 74-77 37%     3 - 1 +11.1 +14.8 -3.9
  Nov 22, 2024 28   @ Creighton W 74-63 27%     4 - 1 +27.8 +8.5 +19.1
  Nov 27, 2024 262   South Dakota W 96-79 95%     5 - 1 +8.8 +6.2 +1.3
  Dec 01, 2024 245   North Florida W 103-72 94%     6 - 1 +23.4 +11.8 +8.8
  Dec 07, 2024 15   @ Michigan St. L 52-89 20%     6 - 2 0 - 1 -17.6 -11.0 -6.2
  Dec 13, 2024 53   Indiana W 85-68 61%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +24.6 +16.9 +8.0
  Dec 22, 2024 171   Murray St. W 66-49 84%     8 - 2 +16.7 -3.2 +21.1
  Dec 23, 2024 180   @ Hawaii W 69-55 80%     9 - 2 +15.6 +6.1 +11.2
  Dec 25, 2024 76   Oregon St. W 78-66 62%     10 - 2 +19.5 +14.2 +6.5
  Dec 30, 2024 224   Southern W 77-43 93%     11 - 2 +28.1 +8.7 +21.1
  Jan 04, 2025 29   UCLA W 66-58 45%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +19.8 -0.9 +20.6
  Jan 07, 2025 60   @ Iowa L 87-97 OT 45%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +1.9 +4.7 -1.5
  Jan 12, 2025 9   @ Purdue L 68-104 18%     12 - 4 2 - 3 -15.6 +3.1 -18.4
  Jan 16, 2025 63   Rutgers L 82-85 66%     12 - 5 2 - 4 +3.4 +20.2 -17.1
  Jan 19, 2025 16   @ Maryland L 66-69 21%     12 - 6 2 - 5 +16.2 +5.2 +10.8
  Jan 22, 2025 54   USC L 73-78 62%     12 - 7 2 - 6 +2.5 +4.9 -2.6
  Jan 26, 2025 17   @ Wisconsin L 55-83 21%     12 - 8 2 - 7 -9.0 -11.1 +2.3
  Jan 30, 2025 13   Illinois W 80-74 OT 34%     13 - 8 3 - 7 +20.7 +5.2 +14.9
  Feb 02, 2025 45   @ Oregon W 77-71 37%     14 - 8 4 - 7 +20.1 +12.3 +7.8
  Feb 05, 2025 89   @ Washington W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 09, 2025 25   Ohio St. L 71-73 46%    
  Feb 13, 2025 16   Maryland L 72-76 39%    
  Feb 16, 2025 56   @ Northwestern L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 19, 2025 50   @ Penn St. L 75-77 40%    
  Feb 24, 2025 18   Michigan L 74-77 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 92   Minnesota W 71-64 76%    
  Mar 04, 2025 25   @ Ohio St. L 68-75 25%    
  Mar 09, 2025 60   Iowa W 83-79 66%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 2.8 0.3 4.5 7th
8th 0.8 5.1 2.0 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.2 4.6 5.8 0.4 10.9 9th
10th 2.4 9.2 2.1 0.0 13.6 10th
11th 0.3 7.0 5.6 0.3 13.1 11th
12th 2.2 9.0 1.3 0.0 12.5 12th
13th 0.1 6.0 4.4 0.1 10.6 13th
14th 0.0 1.2 6.3 0.9 8.4 14th
15th 0.1 3.9 2.7 0.1 6.7 15th
16th 0.8 3.4 0.5 4.8 16th
17th 0.1 1.8 1.1 0.0 3.0 17th
18th 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.0 18th
Total 0.5 3.2 9.8 17.9 24.0 21.4 14.9 6.5 1.7 0.3 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.3% 100.0% 4.0% 96.0% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-8 1.7% 100.0% 3.6% 96.4% 6.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
11-9 6.5% 98.6% 1.6% 97.1% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.6%
10-10 14.9% 96.2% 1.3% 94.9% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 4.9 4.8 1.6 0.2 0.6 96.1%
9-11 21.4% 80.8% 1.0% 79.9% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 5.1 6.6 2.6 4.1 80.6%
8-12 24.0% 50.3% 0.3% 49.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.6 6.6 0.3 11.9 50.1%
7-13 17.9% 14.3% 14.3% 11.0 0.0 0.2 2.1 0.3 15.4 14.3%
6-14 9.8% 0.7% 0.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.7%
5-15 3.2% 3.2
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 54.6% 0.7% 53.9% 9.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 5.4 10.0 12.1 12.0 11.5 0.7 45.4 54.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%