Nebraska
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +18.5 15
Expected Predictive Rating +23.7 6
Pace 68.6 186
Improvement +2.0 104

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ #34 A C- A- D+ B
Defense A- #11 A- A B+ A A+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 245 71% 4 +3.7 61
2 Pt. Jumpers 11% 343 34% 304 -4.0 348
Three Pointers 52% 15 38% 32 +9.0 7
1st FG Attempt 1.19 11 +8.7 11
Second Chance 27.2% 277 1.09 92 0.29 211
Turnovers 13.2% 13
Freethrows 0.26 306 76% 62 0.20 257
Total Offense +8.4 34

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 22% 364 61% 271 +9.2 3
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 22 34% 57 -1.7 314
Three Pointers 51% 7 29% 22 -1.2 245
1st FG Attempt 0.90 27 +6.2 27
Second Chance 24.9% 24 0.83 8 0.21 6
Turnovers 20.3% 30
Freethrows 0.22 11 68% 16 0.15 8
Total Defense +10.1 11

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.0 55 -2.1 6
Shot Type Accuracy +7.3 13 -4.1 42
Possession Length 16.0 56 19.0 354
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 273 0.07 3
Improvement -0.9 #243 +3.0 #39

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 3% 4% 1%
Top 2 Seed 19% 21% 6%
Top 4 Seed 79% 82% 60%
Top 6 Seed 99% 99% 96%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 3.5 3.5 4.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 7% 8% 1%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round93% 94% 88%
Sweet Sixteen55% 56% 47%
Elite Eight23% 24% 18%
Final Four10% 11% 7%
Championship Game4% 4% 2%
National Champion1% 1% 1%

Next Game: Northwestern (Home) - 89.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 19 - 5
Quad 26 - 015 - 6
Quad 36 - 021 - 6
Quad 46 - 027 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 317 West Georgia W 86 - 53 99% +11  62% 1 - 0 A +20 C+ +3 D A+ B A+ +17 A+ B- C
 Sat, Nov 8 188 Florida International W 96 - 66 97% +21  97% 2 - 0 A+ +25 A- +10 A+ C C A +13 A C+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 348 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69 - 50 99% +15  95% 3 - 0 C+ +4 F+ -8 F D+ A+ A +13 A- A C+
 Sat, Nov 15 54 Oklahoma W 105 - 99 79% -3  31% 4 - 0 A- +16 A+ +29 A+ F A+ F -13 F+ C+ C
 Thu, Nov 20 49 New Mexico W 84 - 72 76% +11  99% 5 - 0 A+ +23 C+ +3 A+ F+ D A+ +19 A- A A
 Fri, Nov 21 101 Kansas St. W 86 - 85 89% +4  59% 6 - 0 B- +6 B +6 A+ D+ B C +0 B D+ C+
 Tue, Nov 25 130 Winthrop W 80 - 73 95% +2  63% 7 - 0 B- +6 B- +4 C D- A+ C+ +2 D B+ C+
 Sat, Nov 29 297 South Carolina Upstate W 72 - 63 99% +2  55% 8 - 0 C- -2 F+ -9 C- D D B+ +7 B- B+ D
 Sun, Dec 7 61 Creighton W 71 - 50 88% +14  94% 9 - 0 A+ +27 C+ +3 B D A- A+ +26 A+ A A-
 Wed, Dec 10 33 Wisconsin W 90 - 60 75% +14  79% 10 - 0 1 - 0 A+ +41 A+ +19 A+ A- B- A+ +23 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Dec 13 6 @Illinois W 83 - 80 28% +6  92% 11 - 0 2 - 0 A+ +27 A+ +25 A+ B+ B+ B- +3 B F+ C-
 Sun, Dec 21 288 North Dakota W 78 - 55 99% +3  48% 12 - 0 B+ +13 C- -1 D+ F A+ A+ +14 C+ A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 30 327 New Hampshire W 86 - 55 99% +10  83% 13 - 0 A +18 B+ +8 D+ A+ C+ A +10 B B+ A-
 Fri, Jan 2 10 Michigan St. W 58 - 56 57% +1  43% 14 - 0 3 - 0 A +19 C- -2 C B- A A+ +21 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Jan 5 39 @Ohio St. W 72 - 69 57% +5  88% 15 - 0 4 - 0 A +20 B- +4 B+ F+ C- A+ +16 B A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 10 29 @Indiana W 83 - 77 53% -1  44% 16 - 0 5 - 0 A+ +24 A+ +18 A+ C A B +6 B+ D- A+
 Tue, Jan 13 80 Oregon W 90 - 55 91% +14  84% 17 - 0 6 - 0 A+ +39 A+ +24 A+ A- A+ A+ +18 B A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 64 @Northwestern W 77 - 58 75% +7  87% 18 - 0 7 - 0 A+ +30 A+ +19 A+ B A+ A+ +15 B A A+
 Wed, Jan 21 46 Washington W 76 - 66 83% +10  90% 19 - 0 8 - 0 A +18 A +11 A+ F+ A- A- +8 B+ A D
 Sat, Jan 24 71 @Minnesota W 76 - 57 76% +4  68% 20 - 0 9 - 0 A+ +30 A +12 A+ F+ A+ A+ +20 B A+ A-
 Tue, Jan 27 1 @Michigan L 72 - 75 16% +4  91% 20 - 1 9 - 1 A+ +26 A- +10 A+ D- B+ A+ +16 A C- A+
 Sun, Feb 1 6 Illinois L 69 - 78 50% -2  35% 20 - 2 9 - 2 B +9 B +6 A+ C+ C C+ +2 B A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 122 @Rutgers W 80 - 68 88% +10  92% 21 - 2 10 - 2 A +18 B+ +9 B D- A+ A- +9 D A A+
 Tue, Feb 10 9 Purdue L 77 - 80 OT 53% -11  3% 21 - 3 10 - 3 A- +15 C+ +2 B+ D- C A+ +13 A+ A B-
 Sat, Feb 14 64 Northwestern W 79 - 66 89%
 Tue, Feb 17 25 @Iowa L 70 - 71 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 109 Penn St. W 85 - 67 95%
 Wed, Feb 25 104 Maryland W 82 - 65 95%
 Sat, Feb 28 47 @USC W 77 - 73 66%
 Tue, Mar 3 34 @UCLA W 72 - 71 55%
 Sun, Mar 8 25 Iowa W 74 - 68 70%
Totals 26 - 5 15 - 5 +18 B+ +8 A C- A- A- +10 A- A B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ A D B+ A- 36% 11% 52% B A D+ B- C- A- D B D+ A- D+ B A- B 22% 28% 51% A+ A- A- A A B+ A A- A
1.21 71% 34% 38% +7 +1 1.19 27% 1.1 .29 13% .26 76% .20 0.94 61% 34% 29% -4 -2 0.90 25% 0.8 .21 20% .22 68% .18
Nov
3		 West Georgia C+ A- D- F D- 40% 6% 54% B- D B+ A+ A+ B A- F B- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 14% 46% 40% A+ A+ B C- B- C B F C+
1.22 70% 33% 26% -2 +2 1.02 38% 1.3 .48 13% .41 64% .26 0.75 50% 23% 17% -18 -5 0.56 26% 1.1 .28 17% .22 85% .19
Nov
8		 Florida International A- B D- A+ A+ 37% 10% 53% B- A+ D- A+ C C F F F A A+ F B+ A+ 48% 17% 34% D+ A F+ A C+ A+ A+ C+ A+
1.25 64% 33% 52% +16 +1 1.36 28% 1.3 .38 20% .13 63% .08 0.86 36% 50% 30% -11 +1 0.83 39% 0.8 .32 26% .11 67% .07
Nov
11		 Maryland Eastern Shore F+ A+ F F F 38% 10% 52% B F D+ C- D+ A+ D+ A+ C A F A+ B B 12% 45% 43% A+ A- B A+ A C+ B D- B-
1.03 80% 0% 15% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.1 .32 10% .30 83% .25 0.75 83% 23% 29% -7 -5 0.78 26% 0.5 .13 24% .18 78% .14
Nov
15		 Oklahoma A+ A+ F A+ A+ 42% 9% 49% A A+ D+ F F A+ A+ B+ A+ F F F D- F 23% 16% 61% B+ F+ B+ F+ C+ C D+ F F
1.47 77% 20% 58% +24 +2 1.53 28% 0.5 .14 7% .42 79% .33 1.38 77% 56% 38% +11 -1 1.23 29% 1.4 .42 14% .34 90% .31
Nov
20		 New Mexico C+ A+ D- A A+ 26% 11% 63% B+ A+ F C F+ D A+ D- A A+ C F A A- 20% 14% 66% A A- A+ C+ A A A+ A+ A+
1.04 71% 33% 38% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.0 .15 22% .40 68% .27 0.89 58% 63% 28% -2 0 0.97 20% 1.0 .20 20% .17 64% .11
Nov
21		 Kansas St. B A+ A+ F A+ 38% 7% 55% A- A+ F+ A- D+ B B- F C- C F C- B+ C+ 18% 25% 57% A+ B A- F D+ C+ F F F
1.14 90% 75% 27% +9 +2 1.24 26% 1.4 .35 16% .32 60% .19 1.13 89% 38% 31% +3 -2 1.04 27% 1.4 .39 17% .35 86% .30
Nov
25		 Winthrop B- A- D C- C 25% 18% 57% D+ C D D D- A+ F A+ F C+ F C- D+ F 7% 29% 64% A+ D D- A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ A+
1.16 67% 36% 32% +1 -1 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 7% .16 90% .14 1.06 100% 38% 36% +5 -3 1.05 38% 0.7 .27 16% .22 62% .14
Nov
29		 South Carolina Upstate F+ A+ F D- C- 28% 18% 54% D C- D D+ D D C A- C+ B+ A B D+ C 15% 32% 53% A+ B- A C+ B+ D A+ A+ A+
1.00 79% 22% 30% -1 0 1.00 27% 1.0 .27 18% .31 78% .24 0.88 44% 32% 35% -3 -3 0.90 20% 0.9 .18 15% .13 38% .05
Dec
7		 Creighton C+ A+ F B- B 25% 25% 49% D+ B D C- D A- A+ D A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 11% 24% 64% A+ A+ A- A- A A- F+ A+ C
1.11 77% 23% 36% +3 -2 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 13% .36 65% .23 0.78 80% 18% 24% -12 -2 0.73 23% 0.9 .20 19% .33 59% .19
Dec
10		 Wisconsin A+ A+ F A A+ 38% 11% 51% A A+ B A A- B- C- A+ B A+ F A+ A+ A+ 25% 19% 57% A+ A+ B A+ A+ B+ A+ D- A+
1.29 81% 17% 39% +11 +1 1.25 28% 1.3 .34 14% .25 87% .22 0.86 77% 20% 23% -8 -1 0.85 27% 0.6 .17 16% .19 82% .15
Dec
13		 Illinois A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 27% 29% 45% C+ A+ B- A B+ B+ D+ A+ C+ B- F F+ A B- 26% 21% 53% A B C+ F F+ C- D A+ C
1.31 73% 38% 44% +11 -2 1.20 28% 1.1 .31 10% .14 88% .12 1.27 83% 50% 28% +4 -1 1.09 41% 1.5 .59 13% .36 70% .25
Dec
21		 North Dakota C- A+ F F D+ 44% 15% 41% C D+ D+ F F A+ F+ A+ C- A+ B+ A D C 25% 23% 53% A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F A+
1.17 75% 25% 27% +2 +1 1.07 31% 0.5 .17 9% .31 84% .26 0.83 46% 25% 36% -4 -1 0.91 16% 0.0 .00 18% .16 78% .13
Dec
30		 New Hampshire B+ A+ F F D+ 40% 19% 42% C D+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ C+ A+ A B- F A C 9% 29% 62% A+ B D- A+ B+ A- D- B D+
1.25 79% 22% 20% -3 0 0.96 43% 1.4 .59 15% .59 77% .46 0.80 50% 46% 25% -7 -3 0.82 30% 0.6 .18 23% .32 65% .21
Jan
2		 Michigan St. C- F F B+ C 18% 18% 65% C C C A- B- A C- D+ D+ A+ A A+ C- A 5% 36% 60% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C C+
0.90 33% 11% 36% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.9 .17 12% .23 69% .16 0.87 50% 27% 36% -3 -4 0.88 32% 0.8 .26 30% .35 75% .26
Jan
5		 Ohio St. B- A- A+ F+ B 35% 14% 51% A B+ D F F+ C- B- A B+ A+ B+ D D B 30% 26% 44% B- B A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.06 67% 57% 27% 0 +1 1.04 24% 0.8 .18 18% .30 82% .25 1.01 56% 50% 38% +5 -1 1.09 12% 0.5 .06 12% .22 62% .13
Jan
10		 Indiana A+ C A+ A+ A+ 29% 10% 61% A- A+ B- D+ C A F+ B D- B C- C+ C- B- 23% 19% 58% A+ B+ C F D- A+ C+ D C
1.24 53% 80% 42% +10 +1 1.24 30% 1.0 .30 12% .24 79% .19 1.15 64% 44% 36% +4 -1 1.08 31% 1.3 .41 21% .32 82% .26
Jan
13		 Oregon A+ A+ F A+ A+ 30% 11% 58% A- A+ C- A+ A- A+ F A- D- A+ D- B+ A B 33% 14% 52% C B A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A-
1.40 81% 17% 45% +15 +1 1.32 27% 1.4 .37 9% .19 82% .15 0.86 64% 33% 27% -4 0 0.95 21% 0.9 .18 25% .35 53% .19
Jan
17		 Northwestern A+ C D+ A+ A+ 34% 13% 53% B A+ F A+ B A+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ D- D+ C+ 28% 41% 30% A+ B C+ A+ A A+ A+ B+ A+
1.28 56% 33% 44% +7 +1 1.17 22% 1.7 .37 8% .27 80% .22 0.97 46% 47% 36% +1 -3 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 18% .20 70% .14
Jan
21		 Washington A A+ B- A A+ 27% 19% 54% B A+ F C+ F+ A- D- A- D+ A- F B+ A B- 28% 39% 33% A+ B+ A+ C A D A+ A+ A+
1.18 79% 40% 39% +10 -1 1.21 15% 1.0 .15 12% .21 75% .16 1.03 80% 33% 28% +1 -3 0.98 27% 1.1 .30 12% .18 60% .11
Jan
24		 Minnesota A B A+ C+ A 42% 9% 49% A+ A+ D+ F F+ A+ F A+ D+ A+ F B- A B 27% 13% 60% B- B A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+
1.17 64% 80% 35% +7 +2 1.19 25% 0.5 .13 12% .16 100% .16 0.88 77% 33% 28% -1 0 1.00 18% 0.4 .08 20% .23 50% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Michigan A- A+ C- A A+ 32% 16% 52% A A+ D+ F D- B+ F B- F A+ F A+ A+ A 38% 9% 53% B A B F C- A+ F+ F F
1.01 72% 33% 38% +7 0 1.16 21% 0.7 .15 15% .07 75% .05 1.05 76% 25% 25% -1 +1 1.02 36% 1.6 .56 27% .44 83% .36
Feb
1		 Illinois B F+ F+ A+ A+ 21% 21% 58% B A+ D- A+ C+ C F+ A+ D C+ F A+ A- B 29% 15% 56% B B A A+ A+ C- F C- F
1.09 45% 27% 45% +5 -1 1.09 17% 1.3 .23 13% .09 80% .07 1.23 86% 29% 30% +3 0 1.08 34% 0.9 .31 13% .47 81% .38
Feb
7		 Rutgers B+ C A+ C+ B- 41% 14% 45% B+ B F+ C D- A+ D- A+ C- A- F F A- F 15% 44% 40% A+ D A+ C A A+ A+ A+ A+
1.17 57% 50% 36% +3 +1 1.09 24% 1.0 .24 9% .19 92% .18 1.00 75% 52% 29% +6 -5 1.04 24% 1.1 .27 22% .23 58% .13
Feb
10		 Purdue C+ C- F A B 29% 15% 56% A- B+ D- D+ D- C A+ D+ A A+ F A- A A+ 11% 28% 61% A+ A+ D+ A+ A B- C- A+ B+
1.01 56% 25% 39% +2 0 1.05 15% 1.0 .15 18% .32 65% .21 1.05 86% 33% 28% -3 -3 0.89 40% 0.8 .33 14% .31 55% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.3 5.1 7.5 1st
2nd 0.5 8.8 21.7 6.3 37.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.3 16.0 5.6 25.9 3rd
4th 1.1 9.4 7.3 0.2 18.0 4th
5th 0.2 3.1 4.3 0.3 8.0 5th
6th 0.4 1.8 0.2 2.4 6th
7th 0.4 0.3 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.0 1.2 6.5 18.7 32.5 29.7 11.4 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 44.8% 5.1    0.9 3.0 1.2 0.1
16-4 7.6% 2.3    0.1 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.0
15-5 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 7.5% 7.5 1.0 3.5 2.3 0.7 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 11.4% 100.0% 13.8% 86.2% 2.3 1.7 5.0 4.1 0.7 100.0%
16-4 29.7% 100.0% 9.5% 90.5% 3.0 1.2 7.6 13.2 6.8 1.0 0.1 100.0%
15-5 32.5% 100.0% 8.0% 92.0% 3.6 0.3 3.0 11.7 12.1 4.5 0.8 0.0 100.0%
14-6 18.7% 100.0% 4.8% 95.2% 4.3 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.4 5.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 100.0%
13-7 6.5% 100.0% 3.1% 96.9% 5.2 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.3 1.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-8 1.2% 99.2% 1.7% 97.5% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.1%
11-9 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 8.1% 91.9% 3.5 0.0 100.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 100.0% 1.6 38.6 58.2 3.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.4% 100.0% 2.2 17.7 47.7 33.8 0.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.0% 100.0% 2.4 10.7 43.3 37.8 8.2