Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
2 Michigan 100.0%   1   27 - 2 17 - 1 +27.0      +13.2 5 +13.8 2 77.4 15 +29.1 2 +30.7 1
5 Illinois 100.0%   2   23 - 7 14 - 5 +22.4      +15.1 1 +7.3 27 65.4 261 +20.0 11 +20.2 4
7 Purdue 100.0%   3   22 - 7 12 - 6 +20.5      +14.0 3 +6.6 33 63.9 304 +19.5 14 +18.1 6
9 Michigan St. 100.0%   2   24 - 5 14 - 4 +20.2      +8.7 30 +11.5 5 65.3 265 +21.9 5 +21.2 2
16 Nebraska 100.0%   3   25 - 5 14 - 5 +18.5      +7.0 47 +11.5 6 67.4 209 +21.4 8 +20.7 3
28 Wisconsin 98.0%   6   20 - 9 12 - 6 +15.2      +10.3 19 +4.9 48 72.3 80 +15.7 28 +18.1 5
29 Iowa 92.3%   8   20 - 9 10 - 8 +15.2      +8.7 31 +6.5 35 60.0 359 +14.6 35 +13.8 9
30 UCLA 94.7%   8   20 - 10 12 - 7 +14.8      +9.7 22 +5.0 47 63.3 319 +14.8 33 +16.3 7
32 Ohio St. 80.4%   11   18 - 11 10 - 8 +14.6      +9.8 21 +4.8 49 66.8 225 +13.9 40 +15.5 8
42 Indiana 32.3%   17 - 12 8 - 10 +12.8      +8.6 33 +4.2 65 66.5 239 +12.1 47 +12.0 10
52 Washington 1.0%   14 - 15 6 - 12 +10.7      +5.5 63 +5.3 44 67.9 194 +8.3 70 +8.5 13
57 Minnesota 0.5%   14 - 15 7 - 11 +9.9      +5.4 64 +4.5 59 59.5 363 +7.6 80 +10.1 11
63 USC 8.3%   17 - 11 7 - 11 +9.2      +3.3 95 +5.9 42 75.2 28 +12.4 46 +9.7 12
69 Northwestern 0.0%   13 - 16 5 - 13 +8.7      +4.8 71 +3.8 75 65.2 267 +7.4 84 +6.8 14
82 Oregon 0.0%   11 - 19 4 - 15 +6.9      +2.2 111 +4.7 50 65.8 256 +5.0 98 +4.7 16
107 Maryland 0.0%   11 - 18 4 - 14 +4.1      +1.8 122 +2.3 111 67.4 212 +5.4 96 +4.2 17
109 Rutgers 0.0%   12 - 17 5 - 13 +3.6      +1.9 118 +1.7 125 66.2 244 +4.8 101 +6.3 15
110 Penn St. 0.0%   12 - 17 3 - 15 +3.6      +4.6 74 -1.0 208 68.9 169 +4.4 107 +3.5 18


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 57 Minnesota 78 30 UCLA 73   
Sat, Feb 28 29 Iowa 69 110 Penn St. 71   
Sat, Feb 28 69 Northwestern 63 82 Oregon 62   
Sat, Feb 28 16 Nebraska 82 63 USC 67   
Sat, Feb 28 52 Washington 73 28 Wisconsin 90   
Sun, Mar 1 32 Ohio St. 82 7 Purdue 74   
Sun, Mar 1 42 Indiana 64 9 Michigan St. 77   
Sun, Mar 1 107 Maryland 65 109 Rutgers 69   
Tue, Mar 3 30 UCLA 72 16 Nebraska 52   
Tue, Mar 3 5 Illinois 80 82 Oregon 54   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 4 42 Indiana 73 57 Minnesota 68 71%   
Wed, Mar 4 63 USC 74 52 Washington 78 67%   
Wed, Mar 4 69 Northwestern 69 7 Purdue 78 80%   
Wed, Mar 4 107 Maryland 71 28 Wisconsin 85 90%   
Wed, Mar 4 32 Ohio St. 83 110 Penn St. 75 78%   
Thu, Mar 5 29 Iowa 70 2 Michigan 78 80%   
Thu, Mar 5 9 Michigan St. 80 109 Rutgers 60 96%   
Sat, Mar 7 7 Purdue 84 28 Wisconsin 76 78%   
Sat, Mar 7 42 Indiana 74 32 Ohio St. 79 68%   
Sat, Mar 7 57 Minnesota 70 69 Northwestern 66 66%   
Sat, Mar 7 63 USC 74 30 UCLA 77 60%   
Sat, Mar 7 82 Oregon 71 52 Washington 72 53%   
Sun, Mar 8 2 Michigan 80 9 Michigan St. 70 82%   
Sun, Mar 8 29 Iowa 65 16 Nebraska 71 73%   
Sun, Mar 8 110 Penn St. 74 109 Rutgers 77 62%   
Sun, Mar 8 5 Illinois 83 107 Maryland 68 92%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th
Michigan 1.0 100.0
Michigan St. 2.0 97.3 0.8 1.9
Illinois 2.3 76.9 17.8 5.3
Nebraska 2.7 59.9 15.0 25.1
Purdue 5.0 0.0 1.7 20.2 57.9 17.3 2.8
Wisconsin 5.6 0.0 0.5 6.5 28.8 60.3 4.0
UCLA 6.3 10.2 54.5 35.3
Ohio St. 7.8 2.6 22.3 69.6 5.5
Iowa 8.7 0.3 2.6 24.6 72.5
Indiana 10.0 3.3 13.0 69.3 12.6 1.8
Minnesota 11.1 25.1 48.1 23.1 3.6
USC 11.4 13.6 47.8 22.0 16.6
Washington 12.0 2.5 36.3 23.2 36.6 1.4 0.0
Rutgers 14.1 0.1 0.6 10.2 67.7 21.3 0.2
Northwestern 14.2 1.0 3.8 8.5 52.8 33.7 0.3
Oregon 15.7 9.2 23.5 55.1 11.5 0.8
Maryland 16.3 0.1 3.4 7.5 45.3 40.1 3.6
Penn St. 17.1 4.6 4.2 19.4 20.5 51.4

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Michigan 19 - 1 29 - 2 4.0 30.1 66.0
Michigan St. 15 - 5 25 - 6 2.7 80.2 17.1
Illinois 15 - 5 24 - 7 7.4 92.6
Nebraska 15 - 5 26 - 5 27.8 72.2
Purdue 14 - 6 24 - 7 4.8 32.2 63.0
Wisconsin 13 - 7 21 - 10 6.9 73.3 19.8
UCLA 13 - 7 21 - 10 40.2 59.8
Ohio St. 11 - 9 19 - 12 7.6 39.8 52.6
Iowa 10 - 10 20 - 11 57.8 36.2 6.1
Indiana 9 - 11 18 - 13 20.1 56.1 23.8
Minnesota 8 - 12 15 - 16 24.7 55.8 19.5
USC 8 - 12 18 - 12 40.7 45.2 14.1
Washington 7 - 13 15 - 16 16.1 47.7 36.2
Rutgers 6 - 14 13 - 18 37.2 60.7 2.1
Northwestern 6 - 14 14 - 17 52.6 40.2 7.2
Oregon 4 - 16 11 - 20 53.2 46.8
Maryland 4 - 16 11 - 20 84.8 14.4 0.8
Penn St. 4 - 16 13 - 18 48.5 42.5 8.9

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Michigan 100.0% 100.0
Michigan St.
Illinois
Nebraska
Purdue
Wisconsin
UCLA
Ohio St.
Iowa
Indiana
Minnesota
USC
Washington
Rutgers
Northwestern
Oregon
Maryland
Penn St.


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Michigan 100.0% 50.4% 49.6% 1   96.8 3.2 0.0 100.0%
Illinois 100.0% 17.2% 82.8% 2   6.6 48.4 32.0 11.8 1.2 0.1 100.0%
Purdue 100.0% 7.3% 92.8% 3   2.4 26.5 37.4 24.8 7.6 1.1 0.1 100.0%
Michigan St. 100.0% 13.1% 86.9% 2   7.6 47.7 32.2 11.0 1.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Nebraska 100.0% 7.8% 92.2% 3   2.6 23.8 34.9 27.3 9.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Wisconsin 98.0% 1.4% 96.7% 6   0.0 0.8 2.7 12.4 27.9 33.3 15.2 4.7 0.8 0.0 2.0 98.0%
Iowa 92.3% 0.8% 91.5% 8   0.0 0.1 0.2 2.4 9.8 17.5 20.8 19.4 16.8 5.3 0.0 7.7 92.3%
UCLA 94.7% 1.0% 93.7% 8   0.1 0.4 3.0 11.3 23.1 26.8 18.6 9.6 1.8 5.3 94.7%
Ohio St. 80.4% 0.7% 79.7% 11   0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.6 9.8 16.6 26.3 20.7 0.3 0.0 19.6 80.3%
Indiana 32.3% 0.3% 32.1% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.3 7.3 17.8 2.1 0.0 67.7 32.2%
Washington 1.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 99.0 0.9%
Minnesota 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.4%
USC 8.3% 0.0% 8.3% 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.1 0.9 0.0 91.7 8.3%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.1 0.0 1.0 16.7 57.4 23.5 1.4 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 8.8 0.1 2.5 26.6 57.3 13.2 0.3
2nd Round 100.0% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.4 24.2 38.4 25.4 5.9 0.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 100.0% 4.1 0.0 0.7 5.4 20.2 36.4 28.5 7.9 0.9 0.0
Elite Eight 97.8% 2.3 2.2 16.8 38.5 31.7 9.8 1.0 0.0
Final Four 83.5% 1.2 16.5 51.6 28.0 3.8 0.1
Final Game 56.2% 0.6 43.8 49.8 6.4
Champion 32.1% 0.3 67.9 32.1

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Michigan 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.9% 89.7% 72.5% 54.4% 36.0% 22.2%
Illinois 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.8% 75.5% 47.8% 22.5% 10.8% 4.7%
Purdue 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.0% 66.9% 33.2% 14.3% 5.9% 2.2%
Michigan St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.8% 68.3% 36.3% 14.6% 5.8% 2.0%
Nebraska 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.1% 58.6% 24.2% 8.7% 2.9% 0.8%
Wisconsin 98.0% 0.0% 98.0% 63.0% 20.1% 6.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Iowa 92.3% 5.2% 90.1% 51.1% 12.5% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
UCLA 94.7% 1.8% 94.0% 52.3% 11.9% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Ohio St. 80.4% 21.2% 71.9% 35.4% 8.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Indiana 32.3% 20.2% 23.1% 9.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
USC 8.3% 7.0% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%