Oregon
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#80
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#109
Pace69.3#192
Improvement-0.3#208

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#82
First Shot+0.6#161
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#31
Layup/Dunks-5.0#327
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#97
Freethrows+3.0#43
Improvement+2.2#25

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#82
First Shot+3.6#64
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#221
Layups/Dunks+2.1#105
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#100
Freethrows+2.0#73
Improvement-2.5#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 1.6% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 14.2% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.4% 14.1% 4.6%
Average Seed 9.2 8.9 9.4
.500 or above 20.2% 37.6% 16.2%
.500 or above in Conference 11.4% 23.9% 8.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.9% 6.4% 18.1%
First Four2.2% 3.6% 1.8%
First Round5.3% 12.2% 3.7%
Second Round2.3% 5.7% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 1.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 18.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 13
Quad 23 - 45 - 17
Quad 34 - 19 - 18
Quad 45 - 013 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 108 Hawaii W 60-59 72%     1 - 0 +2.3 -13.5 +15.6
  Fri, Nov 7 217 Rice W 67-63 89%     2 - 0 -2.4 -5.7 +3.5
  Wed, Nov 12 147 South Dakota St. W 83-69 82%     3 - 0 +11.7 +10.4 +1.2
  Mon, Nov 17 163 Oregon St. W 87-75 84%     4 - 0 +8.4 +14.1 -5.4
  Mon, Nov 24 20 Auburn L 73-84 22%     4 - 1 +4.4 +5.4 -1.0
  Tue, Nov 25 52 San Diego St. L 80-97 39%     4 - 2 -7.0 +11.2 -18.1
  Thu, Nov 27 45 Creighton L 66-76 35%     4 - 3 +1.3 -0.2 +1.1
  Tue, Dec 2 32 USC L 77-82 37%     4 - 4 0 - 1 +5.5 +9.0 -3.6
  Sat, Dec 6 31 @UCLA L 67-76 19%    
  Sat, Dec 13 168 UC Davis W 77-66 85%    
  Wed, Dec 17 270 Portland W 83-67 94%    
  Sun, Dec 21 4 Gonzaga L 70-84 9%    
  Sun, Dec 28 252 Nebraska Omaha W 84-69 92%    
  Fri, Jan 2 86 @Maryland L 74-76 44%    
  Mon, Jan 5 120 @Rutgers W 72-71 54%    
  Thu, Jan 8 25 Ohio St. L 73-77 35%    
  Tue, Jan 13 49 @Nebraska L 73-80 27%    
  Sun, Jan 18 1 Michigan L 69-85 8%    
  Tue, Jan 20 10 Michigan St. L 66-75 22%    
  Sun, Jan 25 57 @Washington L 72-77 32%    
  Wed, Jan 28 31 UCLA L 70-73 38%    
  Sun, Feb 1 27 Iowa L 69-73 36%    
  Sat, Feb 7 2 @Purdue L 65-83 5%    
  Mon, Feb 9 24 @Indiana L 69-79 18%    
  Sat, Feb 14 96 Penn St. W 79-74 67%    
  Tue, Feb 17 95 Minnesota W 71-66 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 32 @USC L 74-83 20%    
  Wed, Feb 25 36 Wisconsin L 75-78 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 60 @Northwestern L 71-76 33%    
  Tue, Mar 3 17 @Illinois L 71-84 13%    
  Sat, Mar 7 57 Washington W 75-74 53%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.3 8th
9th 0.3 1.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 2.8 0.8 0.1 5.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 3.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.8 0.6 8.7 12th
13th 0.2 2.9 5.4 1.6 0.1 10.2 13th
14th 0.1 2.1 5.4 3.3 0.3 11.2 14th
15th 0.1 1.3 5.5 4.4 0.7 0.0 11.9 15th
16th 0.1 1.1 4.5 4.9 1.3 0.1 11.9 16th
17th 0.2 1.2 4.1 4.6 1.5 0.1 11.7 17th
18th 0.3 1.5 2.9 2.8 1.1 0.1 8.7 18th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.2 8.0 11.5 14.4 14.9 14.1 11.6 7.9 5.6 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 0.0%
16-4 0.0%
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.3% 100.0% 1.9% 98.1% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 0.7% 95.5% 0.9% 94.6% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 95.4%
12-8 1.5% 81.4% 0.2% 81.2% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 81.4%
11-9 3.0% 60.5% 0.2% 60.3% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.2 60.4%
10-10 5.6% 27.8% 0.2% 27.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.1 4.0 27.6%
9-11 7.9% 7.1% 0.2% 7.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 7.4 7.0%
8-12 11.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5 0.7%
7-13 14.1% 14.1
6-14 14.9% 14.9
5-15 14.4% 14.4
4-16 11.5% 11.5
3-17 8.0% 8.0
2-18 4.2% 4.2
1-19 1.6% 1.6
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 6.5% 0.1% 6.4% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.9 0.1 93.5 6.4%