Rice
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#196
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#124
Pace65.3#271
Improvement-3.4#344

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#221
First Shot-1.3#208
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#210
Layup/Dunks-5.5#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#201
Freethrows+3.4#32
Improvement-0.8#252

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#162
First Shot-2.1#243
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#44
Layups/Dunks+2.1#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#234
Freethrows-1.6#295
Improvement-2.6#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.1 13.6
.500 or above 66.0% 69.1% 42.3%
.500 or above in Conference 32.1% 33.3% 22.8%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 13.1% 12.3% 18.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Home) - 88.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 75 - 12
Quad 412 - 217 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 248   Florida International W 77-70 72%     1 - 0 -0.8 -3.1 +1.8
  Nov 09, 2024 63   Florida St. L 65-73 17%     1 - 1 +0.8 -3.6 +4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 329   Louisiana Monroe W 66-50 85%     2 - 1 +3.1 -7.4 +11.4
  Nov 16, 2024 292   Northwestern St. W 77-75 OT 79%     3 - 1 -7.9 -1.1 -6.8
  Nov 19, 2024 291   @ Louisiana W 83-61 59%     4 - 1 +18.1 +14.8 +5.2
  Nov 22, 2024 349   @ Houston Christian W 61-58 77%     5 - 1 -6.2 -9.0 +3.2
  Nov 29, 2024 151   Hofstra L 63-68 OT 43%     5 - 2 -4.7 -10.0 +5.5
  Nov 30, 2024 109   Arkansas St. W 75-67 30%     6 - 2 +11.8 +6.5 +5.4
  Dec 01, 2024 258   Iona W 70-66 64%     7 - 2 -1.3 -2.3 +1.1
  Dec 08, 2024 139   @ Texas St. L 66-75 29%     7 - 3 -4.9 +4.7 -11.0
  Dec 16, 2024 342   Alcorn St. W 77-75 88%     8 - 3 -12.4 -5.1 -7.3
  Dec 22, 2024 337   Prairie View W 84-71 88%    
  Jan 01, 2025 252   @ Tulsa W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 193   Charlotte W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 08, 2025 80   @ North Texas L 55-67 14%    
  Jan 11, 2025 119   Temple L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 14, 2025 230   Texas San Antonio W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 19, 2025 85   @ Florida Atlantic L 71-82 16%    
  Jan 25, 2025 203   Tulane W 71-68 63%    
  Jan 28, 2025 180   @ South Florida L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 02, 2025 37   Memphis L 69-80 16%    
  Feb 05, 2025 159   @ East Carolina L 64-68 35%    
  Feb 08, 2025 193   @ Charlotte L 65-68 38%    
  Feb 11, 2025 80   North Texas L 58-64 31%    
  Feb 15, 2025 203   @ Tulane L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 19, 2025 129   UAB L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 22, 2025 252   Tulsa W 73-67 72%    
  Feb 26, 2025 37   @ Memphis L 66-83 6%    
  Mar 02, 2025 230   @ Texas San Antonio L 74-75 47%    
  Mar 06, 2025 110   Wichita St. L 70-72 42%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.6 0.8 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 3.6 1.4 0.1 7.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 4.9 2.1 0.2 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.3 3.6 0.4 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.6 5.2 1.0 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.2 3.2 6.0 1.7 0.1 11.2 9th
10th 0.1 2.2 5.8 2.7 0.1 11.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 5.0 3.7 0.3 10.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.7 3.2 0.7 0.0 9.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.6 2.0 0.6 0.0 7.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.0 7.3 11.2 13.9 14.8 14.5 12.3 8.7 5.8 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 72.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 34.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 17.1% 17.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 15.0% 15.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.5% 3.0% 3.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.4% 6.9% 6.9% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
12-6 3.1% 4.4% 4.4% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.9
11-7 5.8% 1.5% 1.5% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.7
10-8 8.7% 1.6% 1.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.6
9-9 12.3% 0.8% 0.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2
8-10 14.5% 0.7% 0.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4
7-11 14.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.8
6-12 13.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9
5-13 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 11.1
4-14 7.3% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 7.3
3-15 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
2-16 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.2 0.0%