Rice
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#191
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#220
Pace64.6#279
Improvement-1.8#262

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#169
First Shot-0.4#181
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#149
Layup/Dunks-4.4#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#210
Freethrows+2.5#45
Improvement+2.2#80

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#224
First Shot-3.6#290
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#50
Layups/Dunks+2.0#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#326
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#238
Freethrows-2.5#334
Improvement-4.0#340
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 n/a
.500 or above 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 31 - 82 - 14
Quad 412 - 414 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 257   Florida International W 77-70 73%     1 - 0 -0.9 -1.9 +0.5
  Nov 09, 2024 82   Florida St. L 65-73 21%     1 - 1 -1.3 -4.5 +3.3
  Nov 12, 2024 343   Louisiana Monroe W 66-50 89%     2 - 1 +1.0 -9.6 +11.5
  Nov 16, 2024 244   Northwestern St. W 77-75 OT 71%     3 - 1 -5.3 +0.6 -5.9
  Nov 19, 2024 305   @ Louisiana W 83-61 65%     4 - 1 +16.4 +16.7 +1.6
  Nov 22, 2024 285   @ Houston Christian W 61-58 61%     5 - 1 -1.4 -4.5 +3.5
  Nov 29, 2024 215   Hofstra L 63-68 OT 55%     5 - 2 -8.0 -9.9 +2.2
  Nov 30, 2024 98   Arkansas St. W 75-67 26%     6 - 2 +12.9 +5.9 +7.1
  Dec 01, 2024 255   Iona W 70-66 63%     7 - 2 -1.1 -1.4 +0.3
  Dec 08, 2024 201   @ Texas St. L 66-75 42%     7 - 3 -8.6 +0.8 -10.8
  Dec 16, 2024 327   Alcorn St. W 77-75 85%     8 - 3 -10.6 -3.1 -7.5
  Dec 22, 2024 358   Prairie View W 64-46 94%     9 - 3 -0.7 -8.5 +10.5
  Jan 01, 2025 250   @ Tulsa W 70-64 52%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +3.9 +2.7 +1.7
  Jan 04, 2025 243   Charlotte W 68-55 71%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +5.7 +4.8 +3.8
  Jan 08, 2025 79   @ North Texas L 59-81 14%     11 - 4 2 - 1 -12.0 +6.7 -23.8
  Jan 11, 2025 155   Temple L 70-73 53%     11 - 5 2 - 2 -5.5 -9.1 +3.7
  Jan 14, 2025 184   Texas San Antonio L 84-90 60%     11 - 6 2 - 3 -10.1 +6.7 -16.7
  Jan 19, 2025 107   @ Florida Atlantic L 73-75 22%     11 - 7 2 - 4 +4.6 +8.4 -4.0
  Jan 25, 2025 141   Tulane L 71-82 50%     11 - 8 2 - 5 -12.7 -2.8 -9.9
  Jan 28, 2025 189   @ South Florida L 64-69 39%     11 - 9 2 - 6 -3.8 -5.6 +1.8
  Feb 02, 2025 50   Memphis L 83-86 18%     11 - 10 2 - 7 +5.3 +12.9 -7.5
  Feb 05, 2025 163   @ East Carolina W 73-60 34%     12 - 10 3 - 7 +15.6 +1.0 +14.6
  Feb 08, 2025 243   @ Charlotte L 75-78 51%     12 - 11 3 - 8 -4.8 +10.5 -15.7
  Feb 11, 2025 79   North Texas L 61-67 28%     12 - 12 3 - 9 -1.5 +6.5 -9.3
  Feb 15, 2025 141   @ Tulane L 78-81 30%     12 - 13 3 - 10 +0.8 +12.2 -11.6
  Feb 19, 2025 108   UAB L 89-90 40%     12 - 14 3 - 11 +0.0 +16.9 -17.0
  Feb 22, 2025 250   Tulsa W 71-50 72%     13 - 14 4 - 11 +13.4 +6.3 +10.4
  Feb 26, 2025 50   @ Memphis L 72-84 8%     13 - 15 4 - 12 +1.8 +7.6 -5.9
  Mar 02, 2025 184   @ Texas San Antonio L 56-84 38%     13 - 16 4 - 13 -26.6 -15.2 -12.5
  Mar 06, 2025 126   Wichita St. L 59-63 47%     13 - 17 4 - 14 -4.7 -7.8 +2.7
  Mar 12, 2025 243   Charlotte W 72-69 61%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.7 0.1 0.1 99.8
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.8%
Lose Out 38.7%