Temple
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#119
Expected Predictive Rating+3.5#113
Pace69.4#165
Improvement-0.4#211

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#152
First Shot-1.0#200
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#96
Layup/Dunks-0.3#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#346
Freethrows+3.4#31
Improvement-3.8#360

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#113
First Shot+7.0#13
After Offensive Rebounds-4.9#364
Layups/Dunks+2.9#75
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#113
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#124
Freethrows+1.6#73
Improvement+3.3#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.9% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 12.5
.500 or above 77.4% 87.8% 70.5%
.500 or above in Conference 67.4% 73.0% 63.7%
Conference Champion 4.3% 5.6% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.8% 3.3%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round4.5% 5.9% 3.6%
Second Round0.8% 1.1% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Neutral) - 39.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 42 - 7
Quad 38 - 69 - 13
Quad 49 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 284   Sacred Heart W 81-70 87%     1 - 0 +1.2 -1.9 +2.5
  Nov 08, 2024 272   Monmouth W 103-74 79%     2 - 0 +23.0 +22.1 -0.6
  Nov 12, 2024 146   Drexel W 69-61 69%     3 - 0 +5.4 +1.9 +4.2
  Nov 15, 2024 152   @ Boston College L 69-72 48%     3 - 1 +0.3 +3.3 -3.3
  Nov 22, 2024 63   Florida St. L 69-78 28%     3 - 2 -0.2 -1.8 +2.1
  Nov 23, 2024 191   Massachusetts W 87-80 65%     4 - 2 +5.7 +9.7 -4.4
  Nov 30, 2024 164   @ La Salle L 75-83 50%     4 - 3 -5.4 -4.7 +0.2
  Dec 07, 2024 44   Villanova L 65-94 22%     4 - 4 -18.3 +1.0 -22.4
  Dec 15, 2024 151   @ Hofstra W 60-42 48%     5 - 4 +21.3 -3.6 +26.3
  Dec 18, 2024 122   Davidson W 62-61 62%     6 - 4 +0.5 -5.5 +6.1
  Dec 21, 2024 99   Rhode Island L 74-77 40%    
  Dec 29, 2024 330   Buffalo W 81-65 93%    
  Jan 03, 2025 110   Wichita St. W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 08, 2025 159   @ East Carolina L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 196   @ Rice W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 16, 2025 37   Memphis L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 19, 2025 203   Tulane W 76-68 75%    
  Jan 22, 2025 80   @ North Texas L 60-67 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 230   @ Texas San Antonio W 78-75 62%    
  Jan 29, 2025 193   Charlotte W 72-65 74%    
  Feb 01, 2025 159   East Carolina W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 06, 2025 180   @ South Florida W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 09, 2025 37   @ Memphis L 70-83 13%    
  Feb 12, 2025 252   Tulsa W 78-67 83%    
  Feb 16, 2025 85   Florida Atlantic L 78-79 47%    
  Feb 19, 2025 193   @ Charlotte W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 23, 2025 129   @ UAB L 76-78 42%    
  Feb 26, 2025 180   South Florida W 76-69 72%    
  Mar 04, 2025 252   @ Tulsa W 75-70 66%    
  Mar 09, 2025 80   North Texas L 63-64 45%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.6 2.4 0.6 0.1 9.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.5 5.3 2.6 0.5 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.0 2.8 0.4 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.2 3.1 6.4 2.8 0.4 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 6.0 3.4 0.3 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.7 3.9 0.5 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 3.0 4.1 0.8 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.5 1.3 0.1 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.5 0.1 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.5 0.2 3.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.7 9.0 12.2 14.4 14.9 13.1 10.7 7.3 4.2 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 90.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 67.2% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1
14-4 31.2% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 10.0% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 20.4% 14.3% 6.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.1%
16-2 0.6% 21.6% 20.3% 1.4% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.7%
15-3 2.0% 17.1% 16.7% 0.4% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.7 0.5%
14-4 4.2% 14.2% 14.2% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 3.6
13-5 7.3% 11.6% 11.6% 12.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.4
12-6 10.7% 8.7% 8.7% 12.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.8
11-7 13.1% 5.4% 5.4% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 12.4
10-8 14.9% 3.0% 3.0% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 14.5
9-9 14.4% 1.6% 1.6% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.1
8-10 12.2% 1.5% 1.5% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.0
7-11 9.0% 0.8% 0.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.9
6-12 5.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 5.6
5-13 3.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 3.3
4-14 1.6% 1.6
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 4.6% 4.5% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 95.4 0.0%