Temple
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +0.7 148
Expected Predictive Rating +1.6 137
Pace 64.7 288
Improvement -1.1 234

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #117 C C- A- A C
Defense C- #219 C C D+ C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 125 57% 206 +0.7 154
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 159 40% 123 +0.7 136
Three Pointers 38% 246 34% 186 -1.6 239
1st FG Attempt 1.01 183 -0.2 184
Second Chance 28.9% 226 0.97 266 0.28 248
Turnovers 13.6% 23
Freethrows 0.37 14 77% 39 0.29 8
Total Offense +2.0 117

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 87 59% 203 -2.6 267
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 149 40% 252 -0.7 249
Three Pointers 36% 313 33% 132 +2.9 67
1st FG Attempt 1.03 189 -0.4 189
Second Chance 29.4% 135 1.05 225 0.31 178
Turnovers 15.5% 266
Freethrows 0.30 183 72% 144 0.22 172
Total Defense -1.3 219

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.0 189 +0.2 199
Shot Type Accuracy -0.2 178 +0.2 189
Possession Length 18.6 316 17.4 205
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 202 0.14 85
Improvement -3.8 #337 +2.8 #44

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.9 13.2
.500 or above 94% 99% 88%
.500 or above in Conference 91% 98% 82%
Conference Champion 2% 3% 1%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round3% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: North Texas (Home) - 60.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 23 - 33 - 5
Quad 34 - 77 - 12
Quad 411 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 359 Delaware St. W 83 - 65 95% +9  100% 1 - 0 C -0 B+ +8 B+ D+ A+ D- -7 F A A-
 Tue, Nov 11 226 La Salle W 90 - 63 75% +16  90% 2 - 0 A +21 A+ +17 A- B+ A B +5 A C+ D-
 Sat, Nov 15 129 Boston College L 71 - 76 57% -5  5% 2 - 1 D+ -6 C +1 D- B A+ D -7 C+ D- F+
 Wed, Nov 19 117 Hofstra W 81 - 76 53% +1  54% 3 - 1 B- +5 B- +5 A F D+ C -0 D A+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 139 UC San Diego L 76 - 91 48% -9  8% 3 - 2 D- -14 B- +5 D+ B+ A+ F -19 F A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 221 Princeton W 79 - 75 64% -1  34% 4 - 2 C +1 B +6 A+ F D D+ -5 F B- D
 Wed, Nov 26 116 Rhode Island L 75 - 90 41% -7  14% 4 - 3 D- -12 C+ +3 C- D A+ F -15 F B- F
 Mon, Dec 1 32 @Villanova L 56 - 74 7% -5  8% 4 - 4 C -1 C +0 D+ D B+ D+ -5 B- B- C+
 Sat, Dec 6 136 Saint Joseph's L 69 - 70 47% -2  28% 4 - 5 C +1 B- +5 B D- D D+ -5 B- D- C+
 Sun, Dec 14 355 St. Francis (PA) W 95 - 67 94% +17  98% 5 - 5 B +11 A +11 A+ F A+ C -0 C D- D+
 Thu, Dec 18 111 @Davidson W 68 - 63 28% +6  95% 6 - 5 B+ +12 B- +5 C- F A+ B+ +8 A+ D+ F+
 Mon, Dec 22 221 Princeton W 65 - 61 74% +3  76% 7 - 5 C- -2 C- -2 C+ D C+ C +0 B- B- D
 Tue, Dec 30 168 @Charlotte W 76 - 73 43% +5  90% 8 - 5 1 - 0 B- +5 C+ +2 A- D- C B- +4 B+ C D
 Sat, Jan 3 350 Texas San Antonio W 76 - 57 93% +9  96% 9 - 5 2 - 0 C+ +3 D+ -3 F+ A C+ B+ +7 A C A
 Wed, Jan 7 252 East Carolina W 75 - 67 80% +9  99% 10 - 5 3 - 0 C -0 C+ +3 F+ A B- C- -2 F B C+
 Wed, Jan 14 86 @Memphis L 53 - 55 21% -4  19% 10 - 6 3 - 1 B- +7 F+ -9 F D+ C- A+ +17 A+ A D
 Sun, Jan 18 114 Florida Atlantic L 73 - 79 52% +2  66% 10 - 7 3 - 2 D+ -6 F -10 F+ C D B +5 A+ D D
 Wed, Jan 21 220 @Rice W 69 - 65 53% +0  57% 11 - 7 4 - 2 C+ +4 C+ +2 D B- A+ B- +3 C D+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 350 @Texas San Antonio W 70 - 64 83% +0  45% 12 - 7 5 - 2 C- -4 C- -2 D+ F+ B- C -1 C- D- C
 Wed, Jan 28 168 Charlotte L 76 - 80 OT 66% +2  64% 12 - 8 5 - 3 D+ -8 A +12 C- A- A F -20 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 31 62 South Florida W 79 - 78 32% +3  71% 13 - 8 6 - 3 B- +7 B- +4 D+ A+ B B- +3 C+ C- A+
 Sat, Feb 7 252 @East Carolina W 81 - 73 61% +5  78% 14 - 8 7 - 3 B- +6 A+ +14 C- C- A+ D- -7 D- C F
 Wed, Feb 11 174 @Tulane L 66 - 77 45% -6  5% 14 - 9 7 - 4 D -9 D- -6 F F+ A+ C- -3 D F A-
 Sun, Feb 15 144 North Texas W 67 - 64 60%
 Wed, Feb 18 118 UAB W 76 - 75 53%
 Sat, Feb 21 96 @Wichita St. L 67 - 75 24%
 Wed, Feb 25 114 @Florida Atlantic L 74 - 79 30%
 Sun, Mar 1 220 Rice W 76 - 69 74%
 Thu, Mar 5 174 Tulane W 75 - 70 66%
 Sun, Mar 8 70 @Tulsa L 72 - 82 16%
Totals 17 - 13 10 - 8 +1 C+ +2 C C- A- C- -1 C C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- C+ C C 41% 22% 38% C C C- D+ C- A- A- B+ A C- C C- C+ C 42% 21% 36% C- C C+ C- C D+ C C C
1.12 57% 40% 34% 0 0 1.01 29% 1.0 .28 14% .37 77% .29 1.10 59% 40% 33% 0 0 1.03 29% 1.1 .31 15% .30 72% .27
Nov
5		 Delaware St. B+ A+ C C+ A- 43% 16% 41% C B+ D+ C- D+ A+ B F C- D- F C F F 23% 46% 31% A+ F D+ A+ A A- B- F C-
1.25 81% 38% 35% +10 +1 1.24 29% 1.1 .32 9% .36 59% .22 0.98 73% 36% 47% +9 -4 1.10 28% 0.3 .07 24% .26 77% .20
Nov
11		 La Salle A+ D- A+ A+ A- 48% 13% 39% B+ A- A+ F+ B+ A C- B C B A B- A+ A 38% 36% 26% A A A+ F C+ D- F F F
1.35 48% 57% 50% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.9 .42 12% .24 71% .17 0.95 44% 35% 25% -10 -2 0.79 24% 1.2 .30 15% .42 79% .34
Nov
15		 Boston College C F D- F F 52% 19% 30% B+ D- A- C- B A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ F B B 40% 11% 49% F C+ D+ F+ D- F+ B- B B-
1.03 43% 30% 25% -13 +1 0.78 35% 0.9 .30 7% .42 74% .31 1.11 41% 83% 30% -5 +1 0.95 33% 1.2 .38 12% .26 63% .16
Nov
19		 Hofstra B- A+ D+ A+ A+ 33% 33% 35% D A F F F D+ A+ B+ A+ C F D C- D- 25% 30% 45% A- D A A+ A+ D A- F B
1.17 73% 33% 44% +9 -2 1.15 21% 0.7 .14 16% .53 77% .41 1.09 71% 41% 36% +6 -2 1.09 26% 0.8 .21 14% .22 85% .19
Nov
24		 UC San Diego B- B- F+ F D+ 38% 19% 43% C+ D+ D+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B A+ F F F F F 38% 18% 44% B F A+ A+ A+ F D A+ B+
1.11 60% 30% 26% -6 0 0.91 26% 1.5 .39 10% .42 73% .31 1.33 76% 70% 50% +23 0 1.49 7% 0.5 .04 7% .32 45% .14
Nov
25		 Princeton B A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 18% 45% C- A+ F D F D A+ D A+ D+ D+ F F+ F 24% 22% 55% A- F A+ F B- D B- B+ B
1.18 79% 57% 41% +16 0 1.34 8% 1.0 .08 16% .73 68% .50 1.12 58% 55% 39% +8 -1 1.16 14% 1.8 .24 15% .28 69% .19
Nov
26		 Rhode Island C+ B- D- C- C 39% 22% 39% C- C- F A+ D A+ A+ B+ A+ F F C F F 30% 19% 52% B+ F A+ F B- F C- A+ B
1.07 61% 30% 33% -1 0 1.00 18% 1.3 .24 16% .56 76% .43 1.29 81% 40% 43% +14 0 1.30 17% 1.6 .27 9% .36 61% .22
Dec
1		 Villanova C F+ C+ B+ C 37% 44% 20% F D+ F+ B- D B+ A+ B A+ D+ A- B F+ B 35% 13% 52% C- B- F A+ B- C+ C B+ C+
0.97 47% 39% 38% -3 -3 0.90 21% 1.0 .21 17% .38 72% .27 1.28 53% 33% 40% +2 +1 1.08 54% 0.6 .33 16% .31 67% .20
Dec
6		 Saint Joseph's B- B A+ D B 35% 22% 43% B- B A+ F D- D A+ B+ A+ D+ B+ F A- B+ 41% 9% 50% D B- F A- D- C+ F F F
1.09 63% 50% 30% +2 0 1.04 45% 0.5 .24 17% .46 75% .34 1.11 50% 50% 27% -7 +2 0.91 49% 0.8 .41 19% .41 86% .35
Dec
14		 St. Francis (PA) A C- A+ A+ A+ 48% 6% 46% A- A+ F A- F A+ F A+ F+ C C- A B C+ 46% 15% 38% F C C- F D- D+ C+ A+ B+
1.37 62% 67% 60% +21 +3 1.50 14% 1.3 .18 13% .23 86% .20 0.97 58% 25% 30% -4 +1 0.96 27% 1.2 .32 17% .23 54% .12
Dec
18		 Davidson B- B F B+ C 26% 36% 38% F+ C- F F+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 42% 22% 36% C- A+ F B D+ F+ C C C
1.10 64% 27% 38% -1 -3 0.95 15% 0.8 .12 10% .59 79% .47 1.02 43% 45% 22% -11 0 0.80 39% 0.9 .37 13% .28 67% .19
Dec
22		 Princeton C- F+ A+ C+ C 55% 19% 26% B C+ C+ F D C+ C- C+ C- C D+ A+ A+ A- 52% 9% 39% F B- C- A- B- D C- C- C-
1.09 50% 56% 33% -1 +1 1.02 30% 0.8 .24 13% .29 73% .21 1.02 58% 25% 22% -8 +3 0.91 27% 0.9 .24 15% .31 75% .24
Dec
30		 Charlotte C+ B- D A+ B+ 54% 19% 27% B+ A- F A+ D- C A F B B- C- A- A+ A 51% 15% 34% D B+ A- F C D F F F
1.12 62% 33% 46% +6 +1 1.17 18% 1.4 .25 15% .41 63% .26 1.08 63% 29% 25% -4 +2 0.98 28% 1.1 .31 16% .49 86% .42
Jan
3		 Texas San Antonio D+ F+ D F+ F 50% 6% 44% A F+ A C+ A C+ A+ F A B+ D+ A+ A+ A 42% 22% 36% C- A D B+ C A F F F
1.15 50% 33% 29% -8 +3 0.92 47% 1.2 .53 15% .41 65% .27 0.86 58% 10% 19% -14 0 0.73 33% 0.8 .25 23% .39 85% .33
Jan
7		 East Carolina C+ F F B+ F 41% 9% 50% A F+ C A+ A B- A+ A A+ C- C+ F F F 44% 40% 16% A F D+ A B C+ D- A+ B-
1.15 32% 25% 39% -8 +2 0.89 31% 1.5 .49 15% .47 81% .38 1.03 53% 53% 43% +6 -2 1.09 34% 0.8 .28 18% .40 57% .23
Jan
14		 Memphis F+ F A+ F F 43% 16% 41% B+ F B- F D+ C- B+ A A A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 50% 10% 40% F A+ A B- A D C+ A+ B+
0.82 32% 86% 11% -18 +1 0.68 35% 0.7 .24 22% .38 79% .30 0.85 36% 40% 25% -16 +2 0.74 28% 1.1 .31 17% .28 60% .17
Jan
18		 Florida Atlantic F D F F F+ 46% 17% 38% C+ F+ C- C C D A+ B+ A+ B D A+ A+ A+ 47% 20% 32% C- A+ A+ F D D D- B+ D+
0.93 50% 25% 28% -9 +1 0.85 26% 1.0 .26 19% .50 78% .39 1.00 64% 17% 16% -10 +1 0.83 24% 1.8 .44 15% .36 67% .24
Jan
21		 Rice C+ D- B- C+ C- 23% 48% 29% F D C A- B- A+ D+ A C+ B- A D F C- 37% 35% 29% C C B+ F D+ C A+ D A+
1.13 55% 39% 36% +1 -5 0.94 32% 1.2 .38 10% .31 82% .25 1.06 44% 41% 43% 0 -2 0.98 31% 1.2 .38 18% .14 71% .10
Jan
24		 Texas San Antonio C- A+ F C- C- 44% 28% 28% D- D+ C- F F+ B- A+ B+ A+ C F+ C A+ D+ 44% 32% 24% B+ C- F B- D- C A+ D- A-
1.12 74% 17% 33% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.8 .29 14% .41 77% .32 1.02 64% 38% 17% -4 -1 0.92 41% 0.8 .32 18% .15 75% .12
Jan
28		 Charlotte A A+ A+ F C 27% 24% 49% D C- B+ B- A- A A+ A+ A+ F F+ A+ F D- 39% 14% 48% C D- F D- F F F B F
1.31 73% 50% 25% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.2 .44 10% .56 93% .52 1.38 71% 17% 43% +8 +1 1.20 52% 1.1 .55 14% .56 68% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 South Florida B- A D- F D+ 28% 25% 47% D+ D+ B A+ A+ B D A+ C+ B- C F A C+ 45% 10% 45% C+ C+ A+ F C- A+ F F F
1.11 67% 31% 28% -3 -1 0.92 35% 1.5 .54 17% .29 82% .24 1.09 58% 50% 26% -4 +2 0.98 30% 1.6 .48 25% .58 87% .51
Feb
7		 East Carolina A+ D+ B+ B- C+ 29% 35% 37% F C- A+ F C- A+ A- A- A D- D+ C B+ D 55% 22% 22% F+ D- A- F C F F D F
1.27 53% 44% 37% +3 -2 1.02 43% 0.8 .33 6% .34 80% .27 1.15 59% 36% 27% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.3 .32 9% .47 74% .35
Feb
11		 Tulane D- F C F F 40% 16% 44% B- F D F F+ A+ A+ B A+ C- D+ F A D+ 49% 13% 38% F D D- F F A- F A+ F
0.97 45% 38% 23% -13 +1 0.78 29% 0.8 .21 12% .45 74% .33 1.13 63% 60% 27% +1 +2 1.08 27% 1.6 .43 19% .73 68% .49



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.2 2.3 1st
2nd 0.6 5.0 1.8 0.0 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 7.0 5.8 0.2 13.2 3rd
4th 2.9 12.3 1.1 16.3 4th
5th 0.4 11.0 4.9 16.2 5th
6th 2.9 11.6 0.4 15.0 6th
7th 0.4 9.1 4.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.0 2.3 6.6 0.2 9.1 8th
9th 0.2 3.6 0.9 4.7 9th
10th 0.5 1.3 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 0.3 0.1 0.4 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 1.1 7.6 19.9 30.0 25.3 12.5 3.4 0.3 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 85.2% 0.2    0.2 0.1
13-5 43.1% 1.5    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1
12-6 4.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.3% 3.7% 3.7% 11.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 3.4% 5.6% 5.6% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.2
12-6 12.5% 4.9% 4.9% 12.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 11.8
11-7 25.3% 4.1% 4.1% 13.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 24.3
10-8 30.0% 1.5% 1.5% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 29.5
9-9 19.9% 1.1% 1.1% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 19.7
8-10 7.6% 0.5% 0.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 7.6
7-11 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 1.1
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 13.0 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%