La Salle
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#193
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#150
Pace73.2#59
Improvement-4.1#329

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#221
First Shot-1.2#217
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#221
Layup/Dunks-0.5#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#257
Freethrows+1.0#112
Improvement-2.2#301

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#163
First Shot+1.2#138
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#278
Layups/Dunks-4.7#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#53
Freethrows+2.8#29
Improvement-1.9#284
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 12.7 13.6
.500 or above 23.8% 54.0% 21.7%
.500 or above in Conference 13.0% 38.0% 11.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.0% 2.1% 8.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 6.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 52 - 9
Quad 37 - 68 - 15
Quad 46 - 214 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 233   American W 65-52 69%     1 - 0 +6.4 -0.4 +9.1
  Nov 09, 2024 281   Lafayette W 81-60 77%     2 - 0 +11.8 +4.4 +7.2
  Nov 12, 2024 122   Cornell W 93-77 45%     3 - 0 +15.8 +9.9 +4.7
  Nov 16, 2024 195   @ Drexel W 71-68 41%     4 - 0 +3.9 +0.8 +3.1
  Nov 21, 2024 65   UC San Diego L 67-72 18%     4 - 1 +3.2 -3.0 +6.3
  Nov 22, 2024 123   Illinois-Chicago L 83-96 36%     4 - 2 -10.9 +3.1 -13.0
  Nov 23, 2024 334   Stetson W 92-77 82%     5 - 2 +3.8 +7.4 -4.3
  Nov 30, 2024 125   Temple W 83-75 46%     6 - 2 +7.6 -1.1 +7.8
  Dec 03, 2024 206   @ Northeastern L 68-82 43%     6 - 3 -13.8 -11.1 -1.2
  Dec 07, 2024 86   Saint Joseph's L 68-82 22%     6 - 4 0 - 1 -7.3 +0.4 -7.8
  Dec 14, 2024 36   @ North Carolina L 67-93 7%     6 - 5 -10.8 -4.5 -4.1
  Dec 18, 2024 322   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-72 84%     7 - 5 -7.4 -1.0 -6.4
  Dec 31, 2024 80   @ Dayton L 70-84 15%     7 - 6 0 - 2 -4.2 -7.4 +4.6
  Jan 08, 2025 128   Loyola Chicago L 68-79 46%     7 - 7 0 - 3 -11.6 +0.1 -12.3
  Jan 11, 2025 95   @ St. Bonaventure W 83-82 OT 19%     8 - 7 1 - 3 +8.8 +14.1 -5.3
  Jan 15, 2025 126   Davidson W 79-76 46%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +2.6 +3.3 -0.7
  Jan 19, 2025 152   @ Massachusetts L 60-82 32%     9 - 8 2 - 4 -18.8 -17.3 +1.3
  Jan 22, 2025 105   @ Saint Louis L 52-64 21%     9 - 9 2 - 5 -5.2 -17.0 +11.9
  Jan 25, 2025 121   Rhode Island W 70-64 45%     10 - 9 3 - 5 +5.8 -2.7 +8.5
  Jan 29, 2025 191   Fordham L 72-88 59%     10 - 10 3 - 6 -19.9 -3.9 -15.7
  Feb 01, 2025 124   George Washington W 73-67 45%     11 - 10 4 - 6 +5.6 +11.0 -4.5
  Feb 04, 2025 38   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-80 6%    
  Feb 09, 2025 152   Massachusetts W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 12, 2025 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 68-79 15%    
  Feb 15, 2025 121   @ Rhode Island L 74-80 26%    
  Feb 19, 2025 220   Richmond W 72-68 68%    
  Feb 26, 2025 142   Duquesne L 69-70 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 124   @ George Washington L 71-77 27%    
  Mar 05, 2025 81   @ George Mason L 61-72 14%    
  Mar 08, 2025 86   Saint Joseph's L 71-77 31%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.3 1.3 0.2 1.8 5th
6th 0.0 2.3 1.0 0.0 3.2 6th
7th 1.3 4.0 0.2 5.5 7th
8th 0.1 5.0 2.2 7.3 8th
9th 2.3 7.9 0.5 10.7 9th
10th 0.2 7.1 4.6 0.0 11.9 10th
11th 0.0 2.9 10.5 1.0 14.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 9.6 6.0 0.1 16.3 12th
13th 0.2 5.6 9.7 1.1 16.6 13th
14th 1.5 5.7 1.8 0.0 9.0 14th
15th 1.2 1.0 0.1 2.2 15th
Total 2.9 12.9 24.4 27.1 19.8 9.3 3.0 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 14.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.6% 1.6% 1.6% 13.0 0.0 0.6
10-8 3.0% 1.3% 1.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 3.0
9-9 9.3% 0.5% 0.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 9.2
8-10 19.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.7
7-11 27.1% 27.1
6-12 24.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 24.4
5-13 12.9% 12.9
4-14 2.9% 2.9
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.0%