Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#253
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#271
Pace68.8#167
Improvement+6.4#7

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#243
First Shot-2.2#240
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#220
Layup/Dunks-4.9#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#117
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#147
Freethrows+0.9#120
Improvement+3.0#36

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#251
First Shot-1.2#215
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#300
Layups/Dunks-1.3#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#82
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#170
Freethrows-1.7#294
Improvement+3.4#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 41.9% 52.0% 21.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% 1.1% 0.6%
First Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Home) - 67.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 113 - 15
Quad 48 - 711 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 15   @ Michigan St. L 57-81 2%     0 - 1 -4.6 -7.2 +3.4
  Nov 08, 2024 125   Temple L 74-103 24%     0 - 2 -26.9 -3.1 -22.3
  Nov 12, 2024 338   @ Northern Illinois L 66-79 64%     0 - 3 -22.1 -11.1 -10.8
  Nov 15, 2024 63   @ Rutgers L 81-98 7%     0 - 4 -5.6 +13.4 -18.9
  Nov 18, 2024 134   @ Wichita St. L 66-70 19%     0 - 5 +0.0 -5.0 +5.0
  Nov 21, 2024 219   Youngstown St. L 62-72 42%     0 - 6 -13.2 -13.2 +0.5
  Nov 22, 2024 270   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-72 43%     0 - 7 -8.6 -0.3 -8.5
  Nov 23, 2024 283   Presbyterian L 61-71 55%     0 - 8 -16.7 -10.2 -7.6
  Nov 30, 2024 147   @ Seton Hall W 63-51 20%     1 - 8 +15.5 +4.3 +13.1
  Dec 04, 2024 267   @ Lehigh L 63-90 43%     1 - 9 -30.5 -10.2 -20.5
  Dec 10, 2024 129   @ Princeton L 67-71 18%     1 - 10 +0.4 +0.3 -0.2
  Dec 21, 2024 326   Fairfield W 88-74 76%     2 - 10 +1.4 +7.3 -5.9
  Dec 30, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 58-87 1%     2 - 11 -3.3 -4.1 +0.2
  Jan 02, 2025 318   Stony Brook W 78-56 73%     3 - 11 1 - 0 +10.3 +9.7 +3.9
  Jan 04, 2025 232   @ Delaware L 64-84 36%     3 - 12 1 - 1 -21.6 -10.8 -11.5
  Jan 09, 2025 117   UNC Wilmington L 55-64 29%     3 - 13 1 - 2 -8.7 -14.6 +5.1
  Jan 11, 2025 131   College of Charleston W 84-73 33%     4 - 13 2 - 2 +10.2 +9.3 +0.8
  Jan 16, 2025 333   @ N.C. A&T W 72-63 62%     5 - 13 3 - 2 +0.6 -3.3 +4.2
  Jan 18, 2025 178   @ Campbell L 58-81 25%     5 - 14 3 - 3 -21.3 -9.7 -12.5
  Jan 23, 2025 175   @ Elon L 71-83 25%     5 - 15 3 - 4 -10.2 -4.3 -5.5
  Jan 25, 2025 208   @ William & Mary L 73-78 30%     5 - 16 3 - 5 -4.9 -11.0 +6.7
  Jan 30, 2025 195   Drexel W 104-97 2OT 45%     6 - 16 4 - 5 +2.9 +16.9 -14.9
  Feb 01, 2025 232   Delaware W 92-83 55%     7 - 16 5 - 5 +2.4 +13.0 -10.6
  Feb 06, 2025 287   Hampton W 72-68 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 160   Towson L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 13, 2025 318   @ Stony Brook W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 160   @ Towson L 62-70 21%    
  Feb 20, 2025 174   @ Hofstra L 62-69 24%    
  Feb 22, 2025 206   Northeastern L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 27, 2025 175   Elon L 69-71 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 195   @ Drexel L 64-70 27%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.3 2.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 2.2 0.1 4.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 6.0 1.1 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 1.2 7.7 3.5 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.4 6.8 9.3 0.6 17.1 8th
9th 0.1 3.9 11.6 3.2 0.0 18.8 9th
10th 0.1 2.4 10.4 6.6 0.3 19.8 10th
11th 0.6 4.6 5.0 0.7 0.0 11.0 11th
12th 1.2 1.9 0.2 3.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 2.0 9.0 20.1 27.0 22.9 12.7 5.0 1.2 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-6 1.2% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1
11-7 5.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 4.9
10-8 12.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 12.4
9-9 22.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 22.7
8-10 27.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 26.8
7-11 20.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 20.0
6-12 9.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.0
5-13 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%