Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#205
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#211
Pace67.8#224
Improvement+0.5#142

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#206
First Shot-3.1#263
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#88
Layup/Dunks-3.9#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#306
Freethrows+2.2#75
Improvement+0.6#136

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#209
First Shot-4.1#310
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#35
Layups/Dunks-3.2#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#251
Freethrows+0.2#167
Improvement-0.1#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.6% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.5
.500 or above 46.5% 63.4% 41.0%
.500 or above in Conference 40.8% 50.0% 37.8%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.2% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 5.2% 8.3%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round3.1% 4.6% 2.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Away) - 24.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 74 - 11
Quad 411 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 229 @La Salle L 60-73 44%     0 - 1 -14.0 -9.0 -5.8
  Thu, Nov 13 76 @Seton Hall L 58-70 11%     0 - 2 -1.5 -5.3 +3.2
  Tue, Nov 18 61 @Syracuse L 73-78 9%     0 - 3 +7.1 +6.7 +0.5
  Sun, Nov 23 183 Robert Morris W 71-70 OT 58%     1 - 3 -3.7 -3.0 -0.6
  Fri, Nov 28 316 Ball St. W 80-73 71%     2 - 3 -1.5 +8.2 -9.3
  Sat, Nov 29 321 Le Moyne L 79-83 73%     2 - 4 -13.2 -0.3 -13.0
  Sun, Nov 30 331 @Lafayette W 88-74 66%     3 - 4 +7.1 +12.1 -5.1
  Wed, Dec 3 247 Princeton W 63-58 69%     4 - 4 -2.7 -8.9 +6.4
  Sat, Dec 6 134 @Georgia Tech L 68-75 24%    
  Sun, Dec 14 294 @Fairfield W 74-72 56%    
  Wed, Dec 17 154 Quinnipiac W 76-75 50%    
  Sun, Dec 21 299 Lehigh W 75-67 77%    
  Wed, Dec 31 224 Campbell W 77-73 65%    
  Sat, Jan 3 129 @Towson L 64-72 22%    
  Thu, Jan 8 118 William & Mary L 78-81 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 136 @Hofstra L 66-73 25%    
  Thu, Jan 15 256 Drexel W 72-66 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 227 Northeastern W 74-70 65%    
  Thu, Jan 22 212 @Hampton L 69-72 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 224 @Campbell L 74-76 43%    
  Thu, Jan 29 323 N.C. A&T W 78-68 80%    
  Sat, Jan 31 136 Hofstra L 69-70 46%    
  Thu, Feb 5 222 @Stony Brook L 70-72 43%    
  Thu, Feb 12 256 @Drexel L 68-69 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 129 Towson L 67-69 42%    
  Thu, Feb 19 109 @UNC Wilmington L 65-75 19%    
  Sat, Feb 21 180 @College of Charleston L 71-75 36%    
  Thu, Feb 26 222 Stony Brook W 73-69 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 223 Elon W 80-76 63%    
  Tue, Mar 3 227 @Northeastern L 71-73 44%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.9 0.7 0.1 5.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 4.4 1.8 0.2 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.1 4.0 0.5 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.0 5.1 1.2 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.4 2.9 5.5 2.1 0.1 11.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.1 2.7 0.2 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 9.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.0 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.3 3.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.7 5.9 8.8 12.0 14.0 14.4 13.5 10.6 8.0 4.6 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 81.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 79.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 52.6% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 31.3% 31.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 16.5% 16.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.2% 15.9% 15.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 2.4% 14.1% 14.1% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.1
12-6 4.6% 12.1% 12.1% 13.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.0
11-7 8.0% 7.4% 7.4% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 7.4
10-8 10.6% 5.4% 5.4% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 10.1
9-9 13.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.1
8-10 14.4% 1.5% 1.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.2
7-11 14.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.8
6-12 12.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.9
5-13 8.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.8
4-14 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.9
3-15 2.7% 2.7
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 14.4 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.5 96.8 0.0%