IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	-3.3	#214
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.5	#271

Pace	64.5	#293
Improvement	+4.9	#15

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#237	C-	D+	C-	C	C
Defense	#199	C	C	D-	C-	D+

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	32%	#328	1.07	#282	-5.2	#337
2 Pt. Jumpers	17%	#240	0.77	#158	-1.2	#236
Three Pointers	51%	#21	0.99	#215	+4.3	#46
1st FG Attempt			0.98	#236	-2.0	#237
Freethrows	17.0	#208	73%	#181	12.4	#201
Second Chance	25.1%	#320	1.10	#114	0.28	#270
Turnovers					17.4%	#244
Total Offense					-2.5	#237

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	42%	#84	1.19	#231	-2.9	#276
2 Pt. Jumpers	19%	#217	0.86	#318	-0.4	#210
Three Pointers	39%	#247	0.86	#24	+4.2	#38
1st FG Attempt			1.00	#150	+0.9	#150
Freethrows	17.8	#211	75%	#269	13.3	#229
Second Chance	27.0%	#59	1.16	#319	0.31	#171
Turnovers					14.1%	#315
Total Defense					-0.9	#199

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	-0.1%	#201	0.9%	#251
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	-3.8%	#236	-2.6%	#138
Possession Length	19.4	#344	16.8	#97
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.05	#365	0.18	#214
Improvement	+4.7	#7	+0.2	#176

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.4%	5.4%	2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	1.0%	1.4%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	49.0%	58.8%	26.7%
Conference Champion	2.4%	3.1%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	15.6%	8.0%	32.6%

First Four	3.2%	3.7%	2.0%
First Round	3.5%	4.3%	1.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 69.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 10	3 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 5	10 - 19

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Sat, Nov 8	64 @Akron	L	69 - 104	9%	-20	0 - 1		-23	-8	D+	F	D	-12	D	B-	F
Tue, Nov 11	319 Bucknell	W	73 - 63	82%	+12	1 - 1		-3	-2	D-	D	D+	-0	D	A+	B
Sat, Nov 15	19 @Kansas	L	57 - 76	2%	-6	1 - 2		+1	-6	D-	C+	F	+7	A-	A+	A+
Tue, Nov 18	227 @Iona	L	69 - 89	40%	-18	1 - 3		-21	-9	F	F	C-	-10	F	D	D
Thu, Nov 20	259 Northeastern	W	70 - 57	68%	+10	2 - 3		+5	-6	F	A+	F	+11	A+	C+	B
Mon, Nov 24	119 Bradley	L	64 - 88	28%	-8	2 - 4		-21	-7	C	A-	F	-14	F	A+	D+
Tue, Nov 25	140 Temple	L	75 - 79	33%	+1	2 - 5		-3	+5	A+	D-	C	-8	F	A+	B+
Wed, Nov 26	204 Vermont	L	74 - 79	48%	-7	2 - 6		-8	+5	B	C+	A+	-14	D	F	D
Sun, Nov 30	159 Saint Joseph's	L	58 - 60	37%	-1	2 - 7		-2	-5	C+	C	F	+3	A+	F	A+
Wed, Dec 3	202 @Monmouth	L	58 - 63	36%	-3	2 - 8		-5	-10	C	F	F	+5	B-	A+	F
Sat, Dec 6	268 @Loyola Chicago	L	68 - 73	49%	+1	2 - 9		-8	-1	F	D-	A	-7	D+	F	F
Wed, Dec 10	208 Merrimack	L	56 - 59	60%	-2	2 - 10		-9	-7	F	B-	C+	-3	B-	A+	F
Mon, Dec 22	140 @Temple	L	61 - 65	23%	-3	2 - 11		+0	-0	D-	D	C	-0	C	B-	C
Tue, Dec 30	204 Vermont	W	75 - 69 OT	59%	+4	3 - 11		+0	+1	B+	F	F	-0	A+	F	C
Mon, Jan 5	182 Penn	W	78 - 76	54%	-1	4 - 11	1 - 0	-2	+6	A+	F	C	-8	A	F	A-
Sat, Jan 10	83 Yale	W	76 - 60	24%	+2	5 - 11	2 - 0	+20	+7	A	C	F	+14	A+	B	D+
Sat, Jan 17	168 @Harvard	L	80 - 87 OT	30%	+7	5 - 12	2 - 1	-5	+11	F	A+	A+	-16	D+	B-	F
Mon, Jan 19	221 @Dartmouth	L	69 - 71	39%	+3	5 - 13	2 - 2	-3	+7	B-	D-	A+	-10	C	C	F
Sat, Jan 24	264 Brown	W	68 - 63	69%
Fri, Jan 30	187 @Cornell	L	80 - 85	33%
Sat, Jan 31	180 @Columbia	L	70 - 75	32%
Sat, Feb 7	182 @Penn	L	71 - 76	32%
Fri, Feb 13	187 Cornell	W	83 - 82	55%
Sat, Feb 14	180 Columbia	W	73 - 72	53%
Fri, Feb 20	264 @Brown	L	65 - 66	47%
Fri, Feb 27	168 Harvard	W	68 - 67	52%
Sat, Feb 28	221 Dartmouth	W	75 - 72	62%
Sat, Mar 7	83 @Yale	L	66 - 80	10%
Totals						9 - 19	6 - 8	-3	-2	C-	D+	C-	-1	C	C	D-

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0	Total
1st									0.1	0.7	1.1	0.5	0.1			2.4	1st
2nd								1.0	6.0	5.8	1.8	0.2				14.7	2nd
3rd							0.2	7.5	8.1	1.2	0.1					17.1	3rd
4th						0.0	4.7	9.9	1.8	0.1						16.4	4th
5th					0.0	1.7	11.3	3.2	0.1							16.3	5th
6th					0.8	8.3	5.3	0.1								14.4	6th
7th				0.4	4.6	6.2	0.4									11.6	7th
8th			0.6	2.6	3.4	0.6										7.1	8th

Total			0.6	3.0	8.8	16.8	21.9	21.6	16.0	7.7	2.9	0.7	0.1				Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total	Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2	100.0%	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-3	69.3%	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.0
10-4	37.1%	1.1	0.3	0.7	0.1	0.0
9-5	8.6%	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.2	0.1
8-6	0.6%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	2.4%	2.4	0.7	1.1	0.4	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2	0.1%																	0.0	0.0			0.0
11-3	0.7%	18.6%	18.6%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.6
10-4	2.9%	18.5%	18.5%		15.5															0.3	0.3	2.3
9-5	7.7%	12.2%	12.2%		16.0															0.0	0.9	6.8
8-6	16.0%	9.6%	9.6%		16.0															0.0	1.5	14.5
7-7	21.6%	5.0%	5.0%		16.0																1.1	20.5
6-8	21.9%	1.0%	1.0%		16.0																0.2	21.7
5-9	16.8%																					16.8
4-10	8.8%																					8.8
3-11	3.0%																					3.0
2-12	0.6%																					0.6
1-13
0-14

Total	100%	4.4%	4.4%	0.0%	15.9																	95.6	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%