Princeton
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#188
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#133
Pace67.2#208
Improvement-4.3#332

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#208
First Shot+0.5#154
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#279
Layup/Dunks+0.3#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#48
Freethrows-2.0#293
Improvement-4.3#341

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#180
First Shot-1.0#215
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#110
Layups/Dunks-0.7#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#249
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#202
Freethrows+0.2#171
Improvement+0.0#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 41.7% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.8 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round7.9% 41.7% 0.0%
Second Round0.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 21 - 32 - 4
Quad 35 - 57 - 9
Quad 410 - 217 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 255   Iona W 81-80 73%     1 - 0 -6.8 +7.4 -14.3
  Nov 08, 2024 122   Duquesne W 75-68 36%     2 - 0 +9.3 +2.2 +6.9
  Nov 10, 2024 209   @ Northeastern W 79-76 44%     3 - 0 +3.1 +5.9 -2.9
  Nov 15, 2024 109   Loyola Chicago L 68-73 41%     3 - 1 -4.0 -4.4 +0.4
  Nov 17, 2024 192   @ Merrimack W 68-57 40%     4 - 1 +12.1 +12.0 +2.2
  Nov 21, 2024 229   Wright St. L 62-80 59%     4 - 2 -21.7 -13.0 -9.6
  Nov 22, 2024 201   Texas St. L 80-83 54%     4 - 3 -5.4 +8.1 -13.7
  Nov 24, 2024 273   Portland W 94-67 68%     5 - 3 +20.7 +10.1 +9.1
  Dec 03, 2024 76   @ Saint Joseph's W 77-69 14%     6 - 3 +18.2 +8.3 +9.8
  Dec 07, 2024 139   @ Furman L 63-69 30%     6 - 4 -2.0 -4.9 +2.5
  Dec 10, 2024 247   Monmouth W 71-67 72%     7 - 4 -3.5 -1.7 -1.5
  Dec 21, 2024 65   Rutgers W 83-82 17%     8 - 4 +9.6 +8.5 +1.1
  Dec 30, 2024 112   Akron W 76-75 41%     9 - 4 +1.8 -2.3 +4.0
  Jan 11, 2025 241   @ Harvard W 68-64 51%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +2.3 +3.2 -0.4
  Jan 18, 2025 180   @ Dartmouth W 81-80 38%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +2.6 +10.2 -7.6
  Jan 20, 2025 291   Columbia W 71-67 80%     12 - 4 3 - 0 -6.2 -7.3 +1.2
  Jan 25, 2025 129   Cornell L 76-85 48%     12 - 5 3 - 1 -9.9 -0.7 -9.2
  Jan 31, 2025 75   Yale L 70-77 28%     12 - 6 3 - 2 -2.3 +3.1 -5.9
  Feb 01, 2025 205   Brown W 69-49 64%     13 - 6 4 - 2 +14.8 +1.0 +15.6
  Feb 07, 2025 281   @ Penn W 61-59 60%     14 - 6 5 - 2 -2.0 -11.0 +9.2
  Feb 14, 2025 205   @ Brown L 56-70 43%     14 - 7 5 - 3 -13.7 -13.1 -1.2
  Feb 15, 2025 75   @ Yale L 57-84 14%     14 - 8 5 - 4 -16.8 -8.8 -9.7
  Feb 21, 2025 241   Harvard W 76-71 71%     15 - 8 6 - 4 -2.2 +13.0 -14.3
  Feb 22, 2025 180   Dartmouth L 61-76 60%     15 - 9 6 - 5 -18.9 -12.3 -6.1
  Feb 28, 2025 291   @ Columbia W 73-68 63%     16 - 9 7 - 5 +0.3 -7.1 +7.3
  Mar 02, 2025 129   @ Cornell L 70-102 28%     16 - 10 7 - 6 -27.4 -4.4 -23.0
  Mar 08, 2025 281   Penn W 95-71 78%     17 - 10 8 - 6 +14.5 +17.3 -2.3
  Mar 15, 2025 75   Yale L 69-78 20%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 7.9% 7.9% 13.8 0.1 2.1 5.2 0.5 92.1
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 13.8 0.1 2.1 5.2 0.5 92.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.9% 100.0% 13.8 1.5 27.1 65.2 6.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 11.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 81.0%