Cornell
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#122
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#149
Pace75.4#36
Improvement+2.2#82

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#63
First Shot+8.7#15
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#350
Layup/Dunks+4.6#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#11
Freethrows-0.1#177
Improvement+1.7#91

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#246
First Shot-2.5#260
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#190
Layups/Dunks-3.0#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#190
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#149
Freethrows-0.7#242
Improvement+0.5#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.8% 24.5% 16.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.0 13.5
.500 or above 99.1% 100.0% 98.5%
.500 or above in Conference 99.1% 100.0% 98.5%
Conference Champion 15.1% 31.6% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round19.8% 24.5% 16.6%
Second Round1.7% 2.3% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 40.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 12 - 2
Quad 34 - 46 - 6
Quad 410 - 417 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 109   Samford W 88-86 53%     1 - 0 +3.4 +0.3 +2.9
  Nov 12, 2024 193   @ La Salle L 77-93 55%     1 - 1 -15.0 +0.2 -14.1
  Nov 16, 2024 281   Lafayette W 81-71 86%     2 - 1 +0.8 +7.1 -6.0
  Nov 21, 2024 194   Robert Morris L 76-86 73%     2 - 2 -14.1 -1.2 -12.5
  Nov 25, 2024 256   @ Iona W 84-68 70%     3 - 2 +13.0 +6.4 +5.4
  Nov 27, 2024 104   @ Syracuse L 72-82 33%     3 - 3 -3.1 -2.8 +0.4
  Dec 04, 2024 239   @ Colgate W 84-57 66%     4 - 3 +24.9 +13.2 +13.1
  Dec 08, 2024 297   @ Army W 103-84 76%     5 - 3 +14.0 +25.4 -11.8
  Dec 10, 2024 116   @ California W 88-80 38%     6 - 3 +13.3 +12.2 +0.8
  Dec 22, 2024 135   Illinois St. L 77-80 62%     6 - 4 -4.0 +4.7 -8.8
  Dec 30, 2024 246   Siena L 77-83 82%     6 - 5 -13.6 -2.9 -10.4
  Jan 11, 2025 237   @ Columbia W 94-83 66%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +9.0 +19.1 -9.8
  Jan 18, 2025 273   @ Penn W 86-76 72%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +6.2 +4.6 +1.1
  Jan 20, 2025 214   Brown L 82-83 77%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -6.4 +7.2 -13.6
  Jan 25, 2025 129   @ Princeton W 85-76 42%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +13.4 +14.4 -1.0
  Jan 31, 2025 257   Dartmouth W 76-64 83%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +4.0 +1.7 +2.5
  Feb 01, 2025 241   Harvard W 75-60 81%     11 - 6 5 - 1 +7.9 +8.1 +1.4
  Feb 08, 2025 69   Yale L 80-83 40%    
  Feb 14, 2025 241   @ Harvard W 80-76 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 257   @ Dartmouth W 85-80 67%    
  Feb 21, 2025 69   @ Yale L 77-85 21%    
  Feb 22, 2025 214   @ Brown W 80-77 58%    
  Feb 28, 2025 273   Penn W 86-75 86%    
  Mar 01, 2025 129   Princeton W 81-78 63%    
  Mar 08, 2025 237   Columbia W 91-82 82%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 5.0 7.4 1.7 15.1 1st
2nd 0.1 2.9 14.0 24.7 15.9 2.4 60.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 7.9 8.3 2.3 0.1 20.7 3rd
4th 0.3 1.6 1.3 0.1 3.2 4th
5th 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
Total 0.1 0.8 4.1 12.1 22.5 28.0 21.0 9.8 1.7 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 1.7    1.7
12-2 75.5% 7.4    3.9 3.6
11-3 23.7% 5.0    1.4 3.2 0.4
10-4 3.5% 1.0    0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0
9-5 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 15.1% 15.1 7.0 7.4 0.7 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 1.7% 39.4% 39.4% 11.8 0.2 0.5 0.0 1.0
12-2 9.8% 32.4% 32.4% 12.5 0.1 1.5 1.4 0.2 6.6
11-3 21.0% 24.7% 24.7% 13.0 1.0 3.1 1.0 0.0 15.8
10-4 28.0% 19.0% 19.0% 13.4 0.0 0.4 2.7 1.9 0.3 22.6
9-5 22.5% 17.2% 17.2% 13.8 0.1 1.3 2.0 0.5 0.0 18.6
8-6 12.1% 11.6% 11.6% 14.4 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 10.7
7-7 4.1% 4.4% 4.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.9
6-8 0.8% 0.8
5-9 0.1% 0.1
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 19.8% 19.8% 0.0% 13.3 0.2 3.5 8.6 5.8 1.6 0.0 80.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 11.8 23.9 73.1 3.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%