Samford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#123
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#122
Pace75.7#22
Improvement-4.2#329

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#91
First Shot+0.4#160
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#28
Layup/Dunks-1.4#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#18
Freethrows-3.0#341
Improvement-3.6#327

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#202
First Shot-0.6#200
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#220
Layups/Dunks+0.0#168
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#188
Freethrows-1.6#289
Improvement-0.6#221
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 23 - 23 - 4
Quad 35 - 68 - 10
Quad 412 - 020 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 129   @ Cornell L 86-88 41%     0 - 1 +2.6 -2.0 +5.0
  Nov 15, 2024 121   @ North Alabama W 97-96 OT 39%     1 - 1 +6.1 +5.0 +0.9
  Nov 17, 2024 279   Texas Southern W 97-82 86%     2 - 1 +5.6 +16.9 -12.4
  Nov 19, 2024 8   @ Michigan St. L 75-83 4%     2 - 2 +14.2 +14.3 +0.0
  Nov 26, 2024 143   North Dakota St. W 103-98 OT 65%     3 - 2 +3.2 +17.9 -15.0
  Nov 27, 2024 115   Utah Valley W 84-76 57%     4 - 2 +8.5 +5.5 +2.2
  Nov 29, 2024 348   West Georgia W 86-65 94%     5 - 2 +5.5 +6.8 -1.1
  Dec 05, 2024 193   @ South Carolina St. W 88-81 55%     6 - 2 +8.1 +19.8 -11.5
  Dec 08, 2024 277   Austin Peay W 72-47 86%     7 - 2 +15.7 +0.4 +17.4
  Dec 18, 2024 12   @ Arizona L 64-96 5%     7 - 3 -11.3 -1.2 -9.4
  Dec 21, 2024 359   @ Alabama A&M W 97-90 92%     8 - 3 -6.2 +8.5 -15.5
  Jan 01, 2025 357   The Citadel W 86-56 96%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +12.4 +11.7 +3.0
  Jan 04, 2025 339   @ Western Carolina W 88-69 85%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +10.1 +8.2 +1.1
  Jan 09, 2025 298   VMI W 81-68 88%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +2.3 +1.5 +0.5
  Jan 11, 2025 158   UNC Greensboro W 76-69 68%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +4.5 +8.8 -3.7
  Jan 15, 2025 263   @ Mercer W 75-74 69%     13 - 3 5 - 0 -1.9 +0.2 -2.1
  Jan 18, 2025 153   East Tennessee St. L 60-65 68%     13 - 4 5 - 1 -7.4 -11.9 +4.5
  Jan 23, 2025 117   @ Chattanooga W 73-69 37%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +9.7 +2.5 +7.4
  Jan 25, 2025 128   Wofford W 77-61 62%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +15.2 +11.8 +5.7
  Jan 29, 2025 139   @ Furman L 70-72 43%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +2.0 -1.8 +3.8
  Feb 01, 2025 357   @ The Citadel W 83-58 90%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +12.9 +9.5 +4.8
  Feb 05, 2025 263   Mercer W 100-79 84%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +12.6 +14.7 -4.4
  Feb 08, 2025 153   @ East Tennessee St. L 59-66 47%     17 - 6 9 - 3 -3.9 -9.3 +5.1
  Feb 12, 2025 117   Chattanooga L 68-82 58%     17 - 7 9 - 4 -13.8 -8.3 -5.6
  Feb 15, 2025 128   @ Wofford W 76-68 41%     18 - 7 10 - 4 +12.7 +4.9 +8.0
  Feb 19, 2025 139   Furman L 72-80 64%     18 - 8 10 - 5 -9.5 -5.0 -4.3
  Feb 22, 2025 339   Western Carolina W 93-72 93%     19 - 8 11 - 5 +6.6 -1.2 +4.3
  Feb 27, 2025 298   @ VMI W 95-83 76%     20 - 8 12 - 5 +6.8 +16.0 -9.7
  Mar 01, 2025 158   @ UNC Greensboro L 100-108 47%     20 - 9 12 - 6 -5.0 +22.6 -27.1
  Mar 08, 2025 139   Furman L 78-95 54%     20 - 10 -15.8 +2.8 -18.2
Projected Record 20 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%