Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#151
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#171
Pace61.7#342
Improvement+1.4#121

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#93
First Shot+1.0#142
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#70
Layup/Dunks+2.1#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#58
Freethrows-3.1#343
Improvement-0.1#186

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#239
First Shot-3.3#280
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#91
Layups/Dunks-0.6#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#296
Freethrows-1.7#291
Improvement+1.5#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.6% 14.2% 10.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 76.8% 87.3% 61.6%
.500 or above in Conference 97.0% 99.3% 93.7%
Conference Champion 11.3% 17.1% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round12.6% 14.2% 10.3%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chattanooga (Home) - 59.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 23 - 33 - 4
Quad 36 - 79 - 11
Quad 48 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 110   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 31%     0 - 1 -3.0 +8.1 -12.4
  Nov 13, 2024 283   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 69%     0 - 2 -7.2 -1.0 -6.6
  Nov 16, 2024 2   @ Duke L 35-86 2%     0 - 3 -25.5 -22.0 -8.0
  Nov 22, 2024 119   St. Thomas W 81-73 44%     1 - 3 +10.4 +8.4 +2.3
  Nov 23, 2024 133   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-76 37%     1 - 4 +2.1 +8.8 -6.8
  Nov 24, 2024 215   Portland St. L 74-79 65%     1 - 5 -8.0 +3.8 -12.0
  Dec 01, 2024 155   North Alabama W 74-54 60%     2 - 5 +18.1 +1.4 +17.4
  Dec 04, 2024 236   Gardner-Webb W 88-64 77%     3 - 5 +17.1 +16.8 +1.7
  Dec 07, 2024 175   @ Elon L 56-79 46%     3 - 6 -21.2 -12.9 -9.8
  Dec 16, 2024 131   @ College of Charleston L 67-77 37%     3 - 7 -5.8 -0.8 -5.6
  Dec 18, 2024 105   @ Saint Louis W 74-71 28%     4 - 7 +9.8 +12.6 -2.4
  Jan 01, 2025 159   UNC Greensboro L 66-68 61%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -4.1 -0.7 -3.6
  Jan 04, 2025 153   @ East Tennessee St. W 81-78 41%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +6.2 +13.0 -6.7
  Jan 08, 2025 350   Western Carolina W 77-69 92%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -7.3 +1.5 -8.5
  Jan 13, 2025 165   @ Furman W 81-62 43%     7 - 8 3 - 1 +21.6 +19.3 +4.8
  Jan 15, 2025 138   @ Chattanooga L 81-83 OT 38%     7 - 9 3 - 2 +1.8 +8.8 -7.0
  Jan 18, 2025 222   Mercer W 69-49 74%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +14.1 -0.3 +16.1
  Jan 22, 2025 358   The Citadel W 79-68 94%     9 - 9 5 - 2 -5.6 +8.8 -13.1
  Jan 25, 2025 109   @ Samford L 61-77 29%     9 - 10 5 - 3 -9.6 -1.5 -10.5
  Jan 29, 2025 304   VMI L 67-74 85%     9 - 11 5 - 4 -17.5 -4.9 -13.2
  Feb 01, 2025 159   @ UNC Greensboro W 74-62 42%     10 - 11 6 - 4 +14.9 +10.7 +5.5
  Feb 05, 2025 138   Chattanooga W 74-72 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 222   @ Mercer W 75-73 55%    
  Feb 12, 2025 358   @ The Citadel W 73-61 87%    
  Feb 15, 2025 109   Samford L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 19, 2025 304   @ VMI W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 22, 2025 153   East Tennessee St. W 71-68 62%    
  Feb 26, 2025 350   @ Western Carolina W 77-66 84%    
  Mar 01, 2025 165   Furman W 71-68 63%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1.0 6.4 3.9 11.3 1st
2nd 1.1 9.9 8.2 0.6 19.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 7.9 12.1 1.1 21.3 3rd
4th 0.1 4.3 13.8 2.6 20.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 8.7 4.2 0.0 14.7 5th
6th 1.0 5.0 3.3 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.9 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.5 7.7 16.6 27.0 25.6 15.7 4.5 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 87.2% 3.9    2.2 1.6 0.2
13-5 40.7% 6.4    1.0 2.8 2.2 0.4 0.0
12-6 3.8% 1.0    0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.3% 11.3 3.2 4.5 2.7 0.7 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 4.5% 26.2% 26.2% 12.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 3.3
13-5 15.7% 18.7% 18.7% 13.3 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.0 12.7
12-6 25.6% 13.2% 13.2% 13.9 0.0 0.9 1.9 0.6 22.2
11-7 27.0% 11.3% 11.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.6 0.0 23.9
10-8 16.6% 8.1% 8.1% 14.8 0.2 1.1 0.0 15.2
9-9 7.7% 7.5% 7.5% 15.5 0.3 0.3 7.1
8-10 2.5% 7.1% 7.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.3
7-11 0.5% 0.5
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.9 3.0 4.7 3.6 0.5 87.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 100.0% 12.6 1.7 43.6 46.2 8.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.4%