Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.9 212
Expected Predictive Rating -0.6 174
Pace 69.0 175
Improvement +1.7 116

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #144 C- D+ B C+ B-
Defense D+ #288 C- D+ D+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 123 53% 301 -0.9 214
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 288 37% 211 -2.2 287
Three Pointers 44% 121 34% 194 +1.4 129
1st FG Attempt 0.99 223 -1.7 223
Second Chance 28.0% 252 0.95 287 0.27 275
Turnovers 15.0% 67
Freethrows 0.32 126 72% 185 0.23 133
Total Offense +0.8 144

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 17 56% 133 -3.6 306
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 264 40% 251 +0.7 133
Three Pointers 36% 317 37% 305 +0.9 140
1st FG Attempt 1.06 240 -2.0 242
Second Chance 30.9% 199 1.15 325 0.35 290
Turnovers 15.7% 251
Freethrows 0.29 158 77% 357 0.23 221
Total Defense -3.7 288

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.8 74 +0.9 329
Shot Type Accuracy -2.4 259 +1.0 221
Possession Length 17.7 225 16.6 71
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 305 0.17 167
Improvement +3.7 #29 -2.0 #291

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13% 14% 11%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 15% 21% 7%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 0% 1%
First Round13% 14% 11%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Away) - 59.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 417 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 89 @George Mason L 46 - 70 14% -9  0% 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -21 F D F B +4 B D B
 Sat, Nov 8 268 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86 - 76 72% +12  98% 1 - 1 C +1 C- -1 D- B+ D+ C+ +1 C+ A F+
 Tue, Nov 11 28 @Auburn L 62 - 93 4% -19  2% 1 - 2 D- -13 F+ -9 D- D- C+ C- -3 C F+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 283 @Bellarmine W 94 - 86 54% +8  84% 2 - 2 C+ +4 A- +10 A+ F D+ D -6 C- F F
 Wed, Nov 19 345 North Florida W 86 - 78 87% +1  41% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D- -6 D- A- D+ C -2 D A D-
 Wed, Nov 26 201 @Northern Kentucky L 83 - 93 37% -2  21% 3 - 3 D -10 C+ +3 F+ F+ A F -12 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 267 @Eastern Kentucky W 83 - 77 50% +8  91% 4 - 3 C+ +3 C +1 F+ D A+ C+ +2 A F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 272 Presbyterian W 63 - 56 73% +4  76% 5 - 3 C- -2 F+ -10 F D- A+ A- +8 A D- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 215 Elon L 52 - 73 62% -21  0% 5 - 4 F -27 F -22 F F C+ D- -8 F+ A B-
 Mon, Dec 15 363 @Gardner-Webb W 83 - 57 88% +11  89% 6 - 4 B +10 C +1 F+ A+ D+ A- +10 B A- B
 Wed, Dec 17 96 @Wichita St. L 73 - 84 15% -7  0% 6 - 5 C- -3 B+ +7 C A- A- F+ -11 F C D
 Wed, Dec 31 263 @Western Carolina W 79 - 74 49% +3  74% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +2 C- -2 C D+ D+ B- +4 B+ C+ B
 Sat, Jan 3 347 @The Citadel W 95 - 86 73% +8  94% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -0 A+ +20 A+ F C- F -19 F F C+
 Wed, Jan 7 302 UNC Greensboro W 97 - 85 78% +11  92% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 A+ +15 D A+ A+ F -14 F F D
 Sat, Jan 10 171 @Mercer L 97 - 109 30% -7  3% 9 - 6 3 - 1 D -10 A +13 B- B+ B F -22 F F C+
 Wed, Jan 14 282 Chattanooga L 67 - 76 75% +2  61% 9 - 7 3 - 2 F -19 F -12 D- F A- D -7 F A- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 176 @Furman W 74 - 70 32% -3  18% 10 - 7 4 - 2 B- +6 B+ +8 B C+ B C -2 A F C-
 Wed, Jan 21 194 Samford W 88 - 78 59% +1  55% 11 - 7 5 - 2 C+ +5 A +14 A+ C- B D- -9 D- F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 171 Mercer W 80 - 77 53% +1  60% 12 - 7 6 - 2 C -1 C+ +2 C- A- B C- -3 C- A+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 282 @Chattanooga W 81 - 55 54% +13  88% 13 - 7 7 - 2 A +22 B+ +8 C D+ A A+ +15 A B- C-
 Sun, Feb 1 126 East Tennessee St. L 72 - 86 43% -5  4% 13 - 8 7 - 3 F+ -15 C +1 D+ B- A F -17 B F F
 Wed, Feb 4 360 @VMI W 81 - 67 82% +12  93% 14 - 8 8 - 3 C +1 C +0 C+ F A C+ +2 D- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 263 Western Carolina W 77 - 66 71% +5  75% 15 - 8 9 - 3 C+ +2 D+ -4 B- F F+ B+ +6 A D D+
 Wed, Feb 11 194 @Samford L 80 - 97 36% -13  1% 15 - 9 9 - 4 F+ -16 C -0 C- F+ A+ F -15 F F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 302 @UNC Greensboro W 79 - 77 59%
 Wed, Feb 18 360 VMI W 86 - 70 93%
 Sat, Feb 21 176 Furman W 74 - 73 55%
 Wed, Feb 25 126 @East Tennessee St. L 71 - 79 23%
 Sat, Feb 28 347 The Citadel W 79 - 67 88%
Totals 18 - 11 12 - 6 -3 C +1 C- D+ B D+ -4 C- D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D C- C D+ 41% 15% 44% B- C- D+ D+ D+ B C+ C C+ D+ C+ C- D C- 46% 18% 36% D C- C D- D+ D+ C+ F C-
1.10 53% 37% 34% -2 +1 0.99 28% 1.0 .27 15% .32 72% .23 1.14 56% 40% 37% +1 +1 1.06 31% 1.1 .35 16% .29 77% .25
Nov
3		 George Mason F B- F F F 19% 19% 62% C- F C- F D F A- F B- B C+ B B- B 42% 25% 33% C+ B B+ F D B A D B+
0.71 63% 13% 23% -14 -1 0.71 26% 0.7 .18 25% .33 63% .20 1.08 60% 33% 31% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.4 .37 18% .30 75% .23
Nov
8		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C- D B F F 57% 13% 30% B+ D- A C- B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A- A F B- 45% 24% 31% D C+ A+ F A F+ C- F D-
1.14 53% 43% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.1 .45 17% .48 83% .40 1.01 46% 29% 39% -5 0 0.91 18% 1.3 .23 11% .28 79% .22
Nov
11		 Auburn F+ C C- F F+ 40% 20% 40% B- D- D- D- D- C+ F A- F C- B- F D C- 35% 22% 44% A C F B- F+ B- A+ A A+
0.87 55% 36% 23% -8 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .19 18% .17 80% .14 1.31 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.15 51% 1.0 .51 15% .30 67% .20
Nov
15		 Bellarmine A- B- F A+ A+ 38% 4% 57% A A+ F F F D+ A+ B A+ D D+ F A- C 57% 11% 31% F+ C- F D+ F F F D+ F
1.33 67% 0% 59% +24 +2 1.53 24% 0.2 .04 17% .50 76% .38 1.22 65% 67% 29% +5 +3 1.17 28% 1.1 .31 11% .42 81% .34
Nov
19		 North Florida D- D+ A+ F F 50% 4% 46% A D- C- A+ A- D+ A+ F+ A- C C A F D 36% 12% 53% C- D A+ D- A D- A+ B A+
1.18 58% 100% 25% -4 +3 1.00 36% 1.5 .56 14% .40 64% .25 1.07 57% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 12% 1.3 .15 15% .13 75% .10
Nov
26		 Northern Kentucky C+ F F A D- 37% 26% 37% D F+ D+ F F+ A A+ B+ A+ F F+ A C- F+ 55% 22% 24% C- D- C F F F F D F
1.12 47% 25% 41% -3 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 15% .68 74% .51 1.25 68% 27% 33% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.4 .42 12% .52 76% .40
Nov
29		 Eastern Kentucky C C D+ D- F+ 29% 20% 51% C- F+ D+ D D A+ A+ C+ A+ C+ B- A+ B+ A+ 28% 20% 52% D+ A D+ F F D- C F D+
1.15 60% 40% 31% -1 -1 0.98 30% 0.9 .28 8% .49 75% .36 1.07 53% 17% 29% -9 -1 0.82 36% 1.4 .51 14% .26 81% .21
Dec
3		 Presbyterian F+ F C D F 39% 10% 51% B- F B F D- A+ C+ B C+ A- A+ A+ C- A+ 69% 11% 20% F A D- D D- C- B- B+ B
1.00 35% 40% 31% -11 +1 0.82 35% 0.6 .22 8% .31 72% .22 0.89 39% 20% 33% -15 +3 0.78 37% 1.1 .39 19% .31 63% .20
Dec
6		 Elon F F+ F F F 32% 4% 64% A- F D- F F C+ C F D D- B- F F F+ 52% 9% 39% D F+ F+ A+ A B- B- F C
0.85 47% 0% 23% -15 +2 0.74 28% 0.7 .20 15% .29 60% .17 1.20 54% 75% 44% +7 +3 1.22 39% 0.5 .21 18% .28 79% .22
Dec
15		 Gardner-Webb C F+ B- C F 39% 20% 41% C- F+ A+ B A+ D+ B+ F+ C+ A- B- F A+ B 48% 22% 30% C B A+ D+ A- B D- F F
1.20 53% 40% 35% -1 0 1.00 49% 1.2 .57 16% .34 65% .22 0.82 50% 50% 14% -10 +1 0.83 13% 1.0 .13 23% .32 88% .28
Dec
17		 Wichita St. B+ D- A+ F+ C- 37% 18% 45% B+ C A C A- A- A+ B- A+ F+ F F+ C F 42% 24% 33% B- F A- F+ C D F C- F
1.11 50% 56% 27% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.9 .37 14% .44 72% .32 1.27 68% 45% 33% +6 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 12% .62 69% .43
Dec
31		 Western Carolina C- F A+ B+ C- 32% 12% 56% B- C D B- D+ D+ B+ F+ C+ B- B- A+ A+ A+ 61% 4% 35% F B+ F A+ C+ B F C F
1.11 44% 67% 39% +3 +1 1.10 24% 1.1 .26 17% .39 70% .27 1.04 52% 0% 22% -12 +4 0.86 43% 0.7 .30 20% .51 69% .35
Jan
3		 The Citadel A+ D+ D- A+ A+ 38% 6% 56% B- A+ B F F C- A- B+ A- F C- A- F F 43% 14% 43% D- F F F F C+ D+ F F
1.43 58% 33% 61% +22 +2 1.50 38% 0.5 .21 15% .35 75% .27 1.29 57% 29% 48% +7 +1 1.18 41% 1.7 .70 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
7		 UNC Greensboro A+ F A+ B D- 39% 14% 46% B D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F B+ B+ F F 44% 19% 37% F+ F D- F F D C+ B- B-
1.40 45% 50% 38% 0 +1 1.04 34% 1.8 .60 6% .40 73% .29 1.23 48% 30% 53% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.3 .42 13% .35 67% .23
Jan
10		 Mercer A F C A+ C+ 41% 8% 51% B+ B- C A+ B+ B A B A F F A+ F F 54% 10% 35% F F B F F C+ F F F
1.27 38% 40% 50% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.2 .40 16% .34 77% .26 1.42 73% 20% 59% +20 +2 1.46 30% 1.7 .52 17% .49 87% .42
Jan
14		 Chattanooga F F F C+ D- 35% 17% 48% C D- F F F A- B+ F C D C F F F 38% 14% 48% D- F A- A+ A- D+ D C+ D+
0.97 47% 22% 35% -6 0 0.91 23% 0.3 .08 10% .40 64% .26 1.10 58% 57% 42% +8 +1 1.20 14% 0.8 .10 15% .32 74% .24
Jan
17		 Furman B+ B+ A D B 44% 16% 40% B+ B D A C+ B C- B+ C C A+ F A A- 23% 26% 51% A+ A F F F C- C- F D-
1.16 64% 50% 30% +2 +1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 13% .23 77% .18 1.10 45% 58% 25% -5 -2 0.89 37% 1.4 .51 19% .29 80% .23
Jan
21		 Samford A A A+ A+ A+ 55% 19% 26% A+ A+ F A+ C- B A+ C A+ D- D- F B+ D- 41% 12% 47% F D- D+ F F+ D+ A+ F B+
1.34 69% 56% 50% +16 +1 1.36 14% 2.0 .29 11% .41 75% .31 1.19 67% 67% 29% +4 +1 1.12 27% 1.3 .33 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
24		 Mercer C+ D- D+ A+ C- 52% 21% 27% B- C- B A A- B C A- C+ C- C+ D- C C 43% 13% 44% F C- A+ A+ A+ D+ D+ F F
1.15 48% 36% 50% +1 +1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .26 80% .20 1.10 57% 43% 33% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.2 .06 14% .37 86% .32
Jan
29		 Chattanooga B+ D+ F+ B+ C- 48% 13% 39% B+ C A- F D+ A D+ F D- A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% D+ A D- A+ B- C- D- A+ C+
1.22 54% 29% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 9% .33 65% .22 0.83 53% 38% 21% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.7 .17 15% .34 58% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 East Tennessee St. C D- A+ F+ D- 58% 8% 34% A D+ F A+ B- A C A B- F B+ A B- A 59% 14% 27% F B F F F F F F F
1.11 52% 75% 29% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 15% .29 81% .24 1.32 52% 29% 31% -6 +2 0.94 38% 1.7 .66 9% .47 93% .44
Feb
4		 VMI C A+ F A B- 27% 22% 51% D C+ F F F A A B- A C+ C B- C- D- 42% 17% 40% D+ D- B+ A+ A+ F D+ D D
1.20 79% 27% 42% +10 -1 1.20 22% 0.5 .11 12% .40 75% .30 0.99 55% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 21% 0.4 .08 12% .32 74% .23
Feb
7		 Western Carolina D+ A- B D+ C+ 49% 17% 34% B+ B- F C- F F+ F A+ F+ B+ A A+ A A+ 51% 7% 42% F A B- F D D+ A+ A A+
1.12 69% 44% 33% +6 +1 1.17 15% 1.0 .15 19% .22 92% .20 0.96 43% 25% 26% -14 +3 0.80 32% 1.2 .39 16% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Samford C D+ B- C C- 32% 30% 38% C- C- F A+ F+ A+ B+ F C+ F F F F F 35% 18% 47% D+ F C+ F F A- C- D- D+
1.10 53% 44% 35% +1 -2 1.00 11% 1.8 .19 5% .35 67% .23 1.33 78% 56% 50% +21 0 1.45 23% 2.0 .45 18% .37 73% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1.3 8.1 6.0 15.5 1st
2nd 0.1 7.3 32.6 22.9 1.0 63.9 2nd
3rd 1.0 9.8 5.0 15.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 2.1 4.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.3 3.6 19.2 38.9 31.1 7.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 86.1% 6.0    3.6 2.5
13-5 26.2% 8.1    1.9 5.0 1.2
12-6 3.4% 1.3    0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.5% 15.5 5.5 7.7 2.0 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 7.0% 19.5% 19.5% 14.1 0.1 0.9 0.3 5.6
13-5 31.1% 15.2% 15.2% 15.0 0.0 0.9 3.1 0.7 26.4
12-6 38.9% 12.5% 12.5% 15.3 0.4 2.7 1.8 34.0
11-7 19.2% 10.2% 10.2% 15.6 0.0 0.8 1.2 17.3
10-8 3.6% 4.5% 4.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.4
9-9 0.3% 0.3
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 15.1 86.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 14.1 10.3 65.4 24.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.5%