Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.5 240
Results Rating -2.4 203
Consistency 0.16 247
Pace 69.2 158
Improvement -0.8 215

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 148 C- D+ B C+ B-
Defense D 315 D+ D+ D+ C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 118 D+ 54% 274 -0.2 194
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 273 C- 37% 201 -2.2 287
Three Pointers 44% 117 C- 33% 227 +0.9 152
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 77 D+ -2.3 261
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 223
Second Chance C- 28.2% 243 C- 0.99 245 D+ 0.28 252
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.9% 125
Other Turnovers B 6.0% 46
Turnovers B 14.9% 70
Freethrows C+ 0.32 126 C- 72% 218 C+ 0.23 136
Total Offense C +0.5 148

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 182 C- 11.4% 208
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 256 C+ 4.3% 131
Three Pointers D+ 80% 264 D- 1.7% 340
Total C 55% 187 C- 6.1% 238


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 10 C 58% 168 +4.7 331
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 281 C- 40% 250 -0.9 116
Three Pointers 36% 329 D- 38% 335 -0.6 155
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 344 D+ +2.0 266
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 281
Second Chance C 29.9% 169 D- 1.14 325 D+ 0.34 264
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 277
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 216
Turnovers D+ 15.2% 271
Freethrows C 0.31 199 F 77% 357 C- 0.24 256
Total Defense D -5.0 315

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 152 C- 9.2% 238
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 266 D- 1.1% 353
Three Pointers D+ 86% 250 B+ 2.0% 29
Total C 56% 188 C- 5.2% 199

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 228 16.5 43
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 307 0.18 213
Consistency 0.14 283 0.15 323
Improvement +2.9 56 -3.7 331

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 252 240 219
Results Rating Rank 216 206 159
Conference Record 11 - 7 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10% 14% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four3% 4% 0%
First Round9% 13% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 415 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 105 @George Mason L 46 - 70 14% -9  0% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -23 F D F B +4 B D B
 Sat, Nov 8 261 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86 - 76 66% +12  98% 1 - 1 C +1 C- -1 F+ A- D+ C+ +1 C+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 37 @Auburn L 62 - 93 4% -19  2% 1 - 2 D- -14 F -10 F+ D- C+ D+ -3 C F+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 285 @Bellarmine W 94 - 86 48% +8  84% 2 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +8 A+ F D+ D+ -4 C- D- F
 Wed, Nov 19 339 North Florida W 86 - 78 84% +1  41% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D -4 D A- D+ D+ -3 D- A+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 188 @Northern Kentucky L 83 - 93 29% -2  21% 3 - 3 D -9 B- +4 D- F+ A F -12 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 288 @Eastern Kentucky W 83 - 77 49% +8  91% 4 - 3 C+ +2 C -0 F D+ A+ B- +2 A F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 271 Presbyterian W 63 - 56 67% +4  76% 5 - 3 C- -2 F+ -9 F D- A+ A- +8 A D- C
 Sat, Dec 6 242 Elon L 52 - 73 62% -21  0% 5 - 4 F -29 F -22 F F B- F+ -10 F A B-
 Mon, Dec 15 362 @Gardner-Webb W 83 - 57 84% +11  89% 6 - 4 B +11 C +1 F+ A+ C- A +10 B+ A- B+
 Wed, Dec 17 91 @Wichita St. L 73 - 84 11% -7  0% 6 - 5 C- -2 B+ +8 C A- B+ F -10 F C D
 Wed, Dec 31 231 @Western Carolina W 79 - 74 36% +3  74% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +4 C- -1 C C- D+ B +5 B+ B- B+
 Sat, Jan 3 343 @The Citadel W 95 - 86 70% +8  94% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -1 A+ +20 A+ F C F -20 F F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 300 UNC Greensboro W 97 - 85 74% +11  92% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 A +14 D A+ A+ F -13 F+ F D
 Sat, Jan 10 178 @Mercer L 97 - 109 27% -7  3% 9 - 6 3 - 1 D -10 A +12 B- B+ B- F -21 F F C+
 Wed, Jan 14 286 Chattanooga L 67 - 76 71% +2  61% 9 - 7 3 - 2 F -19 F -13 D- F B+ D -6 F A C-
 Sat, Jan 17 185 @Furman W 74 - 70 29% -3  18% 10 - 7 4 - 2 B- +5 B+ +8 B C+ B- C- -2 A F C
 Wed, Jan 21 191 Samford W 88 - 78 52% +1  55% 11 - 7 5 - 2 B- +5 A+ +15 A+ C- B+ F+ -9 F+ D- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 178 Mercer W 80 - 77 49% +1  60% 12 - 7 6 - 2 C -1 C +0 C- A- B- C- -2 C A+ D
 Thu, Jan 29 286 @Chattanooga W 81 - 55 49% +13  88% 13 - 7 7 - 2 A +22 B +7 C C- A A+ +16 A+ B C
 Sun, Feb 1 141 East Tennessee St. L 72 - 86 40% -5  4% 13 - 8 7 - 3 F+ -16 C +1 C- B- A- F -18 B+ F F
 Wed, Feb 4 358 @VMI W 81 - 67 80% +12  93% 14 - 8 8 - 3 C +1 C -0 C+ F A C+ +1 D A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 231 Western Carolina W 77 - 66 59% +5  75% 15 - 8 9 - 3 C+ +4 D+ -3 B- F F+ A- +7 A D C-
 Wed, Feb 11 191 @Samford L 80 - 97 30% -13  1% 15 - 9 9 - 4 F+ -16 C +0 C- F+ A+ F -16 F F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 300 @UNC Greensboro L 89 - 99 53% -12  0% 15 - 10 9 - 5 F+ -15 B+ +8 C+ A C F -23 F B F
 Wed, Feb 18 358 VMI W 82 - 76 91% +3  60% 16 - 10 10 - 5 D- -13 D+ -4 B D C F+ -9 D+ D- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 185 Furman L 67 - 76 51% -4  24% 16 - 11 10 - 6 D- -14 D+ -4 C D- B+ F -11 F B D-
 Wed, Feb 25 141 @East Tennessee St. W 72 - 69 21% -0  41% 17 - 11 11 - 6 B- +7 C+ +2 F+ B- A+ B +5 D- B+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 343 The Citadel L 90 - 93 OT 85% -3  18% 17 - 12 11 - 7 F -19 C+ +2 C+ A D F -21 F F+ D-
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 7 -4 C +1 A+ D+ B- D -5 C- C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C- C- D+ 41% 29% 44% B- C- C- C- D+ B C+ C- C+ D C C- D- D+ 47% 17% 36% D- D+ C D- D+ D+ C F C-
1.09 54% 37% 33% -2 +1 0.99 28% 1.0 .28 15% .32 72% .23 1.16 58% 40% 38% +2 +1 1.08 30% 1.1 .34 15% .31 77% .25
Nov
3		 George Mason F B- F F F 19% 19% 62% D+ F C- F D F A F B B C+ B B- B+ 42% 25% 33% C+ B B F D B A- D+ B
0.71 63% 13% 23% -14 -1 0.71 26% 0.7 .18 25% .33 63% .20 1.08 60% 33% 31% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.4 .37 18% .30 75% .23
Nov
8		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C- D B F F 57% 13% 30% B+ F+ A C- A- D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A- A F B- 45% 24% 31% D+ C+ A+ F A F C- F D-
1.14 53% 43% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.1 .45 17% .48 83% .40 1.01 46% 29% 39% -5 0 0.91 18% 1.3 .23 11% .28 79% .22
Nov
11		 Auburn F C- C- F F 40% 20% 40% B- F+ D- D- D- C+ F A- F D+ B- F D D+ 35% 22% 44% A- C F B- F+ B- A+ A A+
0.87 55% 36% 23% -9 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .19 18% .17 80% .14 1.31 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.15 51% 1.0 .51 15% .30 67% .20
Nov
15		 Bellarmine B+ B- F A+ A+ 38% 4% 57% A A+ F F F D+ A+ B- A+ D+ D+ F A- C 57% 11% 31% D- C- F B- D- F F C- F
1.33 67% 0% 59% +23 +2 1.53 24% 0.2 .04 17% .50 76% .38 1.22 65% 67% 29% +5 +3 1.17 28% 1.1 .31 11% .42 81% .34
Nov
19		 North Florida D C- A+ F F+ 50% 4% 46% A D C- A+ A- D+ A+ F+ A- D+ C A+ F F+ 36% 12% 53% C- D- A+ F+ A+ D- A+ B- A+
1.18 58% 100% 25% -4 +3 1.00 36% 1.5 .56 14% .40 64% .25 1.07 57% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 12% 1.3 .15 15% .13 75% .10
Nov
26		 Northern Kentucky B- F F A D- 37% 26% 37% D- D- D+ F F+ A A+ B+ A+ F F+ A C- F+ 55% 22% 24% C- D- C- F F F F D- F
1.12 47% 25% 41% -4 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 15% .68 74% .51 1.25 68% 27% 33% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.4 .42 12% .52 76% .40
Nov
29		 Eastern Kentucky C C D+ D- F 29% 20% 51% C- F D+ D+ D+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B- B- A+ A- A+ 28% 20% 52% D A D F F D- C F D+
1.15 60% 40% 31% -2 -1 0.98 30% 0.9 .28 8% .49 75% .36 1.07 53% 17% 29% -10 -1 0.82 36% 1.4 .51 14% .26 81% .21
Dec
3		 Presbyterian F+ F C D- F 39% 10% 51% B- F B F D- A+ C+ B B- A- A+ A+ C- A+ 69% 11% 20% F A D- C- D- C B- A- B
1.00 35% 40% 31% -11 +1 0.82 35% 0.6 .22 8% .31 72% .22 0.89 39% 20% 33% -16 +3 0.78 37% 1.1 .39 19% .31 63% .20
Dec
6		 Elon F F F F F 32% 4% 64% A- F D- F F B- C F D F+ B- F F F 52% 9% 39% D F F A+ A B- B- F C
0.85 47% 0% 23% -15 +2 0.74 28% 0.7 .20 15% .29 60% .17 1.20 54% 75% 44% +7 +3 1.22 39% 0.5 .21 18% .28 79% .22
Dec
15		 Gardner-Webb C F+ B- C F+ 39% 20% 41% D+ F+ A+ B- A+ C- B+ F C+ A B F A+ B+ 48% 22% 30% C+ B+ A+ C- A- B+ D- F F
1.20 53% 40% 35% -1 0 1.00 49% 1.2 .57 16% .34 65% .22 0.82 50% 50% 14% -10 +1 0.83 13% 1.0 .13 23% .32 88% .28
Dec
17		 Wichita St. B+ D A+ F+ C- 37% 18% 45% A- C A+ C- A- B+ A+ B- A+ F F F+ C F 42% 24% 33% C F A- F C D F C- F
1.11 50% 56% 27% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.9 .37 14% .44 72% .32 1.27 68% 45% 33% +6 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 12% .62 69% .43
Dec
31		 Western Carolina C- F A+ B+ C- 32% 12% 56% B- C D+ B C- D+ A- D- B B B- A+ A+ A+ 61% 4% 35% F B+ F A+ B- B+ F B- F
1.11 44% 67% 39% +3 +1 1.10 24% 1.1 .26 17% .39 70% .27 1.04 52% 0% 22% -12 +4 0.86 43% 0.7 .30 20% .51 69% .35
Jan
3		 The Citadel A+ D+ D A+ A+ 38% 6% 56% B- A+ B F F C A- B+ A F C- A- F F 43% 14% 43% D- F F F F B- D+ F F
1.43 58% 33% 61% +22 +2 1.50 38% 0.5 .21 15% .35 75% .27 1.29 57% 29% 48% +7 +1 1.18 41% 1.7 .70 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
7		 UNC Greensboro A F A B F+ 39% 14% 46% B D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A- A- F F+ 44% 19% 37% F+ F+ D- F F D C+ B- C+
1.40 45% 50% 38% 0 +1 1.04 34% 1.8 .60 6% .40 73% .29 1.23 48% 30% 53% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.3 .42 13% .35 67% .23
Jan
10		 Mercer A F C A+ C+ 41% 8% 51% A- B- C A+ B+ B- A C A F F A+ F F 54% 10% 35% F F B- F F C+ F F F
1.27 38% 40% 50% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.2 .40 16% .34 77% .26 1.42 73% 20% 59% +19 +2 1.46 30% 1.7 .52 17% .49 87% .42
Jan
14		 Chattanooga F F F C F+ 35% 17% 48% C D- F F F B+ B+ F C+ D C F F F 38% 14% 48% F+ F A A+ A C- D- C+ D
0.97 47% 22% 35% -6 0 0.91 23% 0.3 .08 10% .40 64% .26 1.10 58% 57% 42% +8 +1 1.20 14% 0.8 .10 15% .32 74% .24
Jan
17		 Furman B+ B+ A D B 44% 16% 40% B B D+ A C+ B- C- A- C C- A+ F A+ B+ 23% 26% 51% A+ A F F F C C F D-
1.16 64% 50% 30% +2 +1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 13% .23 77% .18 1.10 45% 58% 25% -5 -2 0.89 37% 1.4 .51 19% .29 80% .23
Jan
21		 Samford A+ A A+ A+ A+ 55% 19% 26% A+ A+ F A+ C- B+ A+ C A+ F+ D- F B+ D- 41% 12% 47% F F+ D+ F D- D+ A+ F A-
1.34 69% 56% 50% +16 +1 1.36 14% 2.0 .29 11% .41 75% .31 1.19 67% 67% 29% +3 +1 1.12 27% 1.3 .33 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
24		 Mercer C D- D+ A+ C- 52% 21% 27% B- C- B A- A- B- C- B C C- C+ D- C+ C+ 43% 13% 44% F C A A+ A+ D D+ F F
1.15 48% 36% 50% +1 +1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .26 80% .20 1.10 57% 43% 33% -1 +1 1.04 25% 0.2 .06 14% .37 86% .32
Jan
29		 Chattanooga B D+ F+ B+ C- 48% 13% 39% B+ C A- F C- A C- F D A+ B B- A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% D A+ D A+ B C F+ A+ C
1.22 54% 29% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 9% .33 65% .22 0.83 53% 38% 21% -12 0 0.80 24% 0.7 .17 15% .34 58% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 East Tennessee St. C D- A+ F+ D 58% 8% 34% A C- F A+ B- A- C- A C+ F B+ A B- A 59% 14% 27% F B+ F F F F F F F
1.11 52% 75% 29% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 15% .29 81% .24 1.32 52% 29% 31% -6 +2 0.94 38% 1.7 .66 9% .47 93% .44
Feb
4		 VMI C A+ F A C+ 27% 22% 51% D C+ F F F A A+ C+ A+ C+ C C+ C- D- 42% 17% 40% C- D B+ A+ A+ F D D+ D
1.20 79% 27% 42% +10 -1 1.20 22% 0.5 .11 12% .40 75% .30 0.99 55% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 21% 0.4 .08 12% .32 74% .23
Feb
7		 Western Carolina D+ A- B- D+ C+ 49% 17% 34% B B- F C F F+ F A+ D A- A A+ A A+ 51% 7% 42% F A B- F D C- A+ A+ A+
1.12 69% 44% 33% +6 +1 1.17 15% 1.0 .15 19% .22 92% .20 0.96 43% 25% 26% -14 +3 0.80 32% 1.2 .39 16% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Samford C D B C C- 32% 30% 38% C- C- F A+ F+ A+ A- F B- F F F F F 35% 18% 47% D+ F C+ F F A- C- D D+
1.10 53% 44% 35% +1 -2 1.00 11% 1.8 .19 5% .35 67% .23 1.33 78% 56% 50% +21 0 1.45 23% 2.0 .45 18% .37 73% .27
Feb
14		 UNC Greensboro B+ A- A+ D- C 39% 18% 43% B- C+ A+ C A C A+ D A+ F C+ F F F 40% 22% 38% D+ F B+ C B F F F F
1.27 70% 56% 32% +6 0 1.16 43% 1.1 .49 14% .47 68% .32 1.41 55% 64% 53% +15 0 1.32 21% 1.0 .21 4% .57 76% .43
Feb
18		 VMI D+ A- A+ B- B- 31% 4% 64% A- B F+ B- D C A+ C- A+ F+ C+ C- B- D+ 47% 15% 38% D- D+ B- F D- C- F+ F F
1.19 71% 100% 38% +11 +2 1.27 30% 1.1 .33 16% .48 71% .35 1.10 52% 38% 30% -5 +1 0.94 23% 1.4 .31 16% .35 95% .33
Feb
21		 Furman D+ C+ A+ F D+ 48% 8% 44% A C D- D- D- B+ A F C F B- A+ F F 55% 11% 34% F F A C- B D- D+ F D-
1.05 58% 75% 23% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 11% .33 53% .18 1.19 58% 20% 56% +9 +2 1.26 22% 1.0 .22 16% .31 76% .24
Feb
25		 East Tennessee St. C+ C- F F+ F 39% 17% 44% C F+ D+ A+ B- A+ C B C+ B F C+ A+ D 55% 18% 27% D- D- C+ A+ B+ B F A+ C
1.08 57% 22% 29% -6 +1 0.91 26% 1.3 .34 9% .30 78% .23 1.04 79% 38% 17% +4 +1 1.14 26% 0.9 .22 18% .40 59% .24
Feb
28		 The Citadel C+ B F B+ C 45% 5% 50% B+ C+ B A+ A D F+ C- F+ F D- B- F F 47% 6% 47% F F C+ F F+ D- F F F
1.22 68% 0% 39% +6 +2 1.20 38% 1.3 .50 18% .21 69% .15 1.26 63% 33% 42% +7 +3 1.22 26% 1.3 .34 15% .45 75% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 10.1% 10.1% 15.6 0.3 3.1 6.7 89.9
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 15.6 89.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.1% 100.0% 15.6 3.0 30.9 66.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 17.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 41.9%
Lose Out 30.3%