Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#222
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#209
Pace65.4#253
Improvement+2.0#109

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#236
First Shot-3.3#273
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#127
Layup/Dunks-2.4#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#200
Freethrows-2.3#311
Improvement+5.3#10

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#199
First Shot-0.7#205
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#208
Layups/Dunks+1.6#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#337
Freethrows+1.8#66
Improvement-3.3#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 84 - 12
Quad 411 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 82   @ Florida St. L 62-74 12%     0 - 1 -2.5 -10.2 +8.7
  Nov 08, 2024 16   @ Purdue L 50-72 3%     0 - 2 -2.0 -10.1 +5.3
  Nov 14, 2024 177   Nicholls St. L 59-61 52%     0 - 3 -5.8 -13.8 +7.9
  Nov 19, 2024 45   Cincinnati L 60-76 13%     0 - 4 -7.2 -1.4 -7.1
  Nov 27, 2024 148   @ College of Charleston L 64-79 25%     0 - 5 -11.4 -4.6 -7.2
  Nov 30, 2024 340   Bellarmine W 86-70 86%     1 - 5 +1.2 +4.1 -2.5
  Dec 03, 2024 112   @ Akron L 73-86 18%     1 - 6 -6.7 +4.8 -12.0
  Dec 07, 2024 318   @ IU Indianapolis W 66-64 63%     2 - 6 1 - 0 -4.7 -8.1 +3.6
  Dec 15, 2024 182   Norfolk St. W 71-62 52%     3 - 6 +5.0 -1.5 +7.0
  Dec 18, 2024 337   Detroit Mercy W 73-60 85%     4 - 6 2 - 0 -1.3 -1.6 +0.9
  Dec 21, 2024 193   South Carolina St. W 58-47 54%     5 - 6 +6.6 -8.5 +16.4
  Dec 29, 2024 146   @ Robert Morris L 93-97 3OT 25%     5 - 7 2 - 1 -0.3 -2.5 +3.3
  Jan 01, 2025 164   Purdue Fort Wayne W 69-68 OT 49%     6 - 7 3 - 1 -2.0 -5.2 +3.2
  Jan 04, 2025 334   Green Bay W 78-60 84%     7 - 7 4 - 1 +4.0 +6.9 -0.6
  Jan 08, 2025 200   @ Youngstown St. L 61-72 34%     7 - 8 4 - 2 -10.2 -6.4 -4.4
  Jan 11, 2025 185   Oakland L 53-68 53%     7 - 9 4 - 3 -19.1 -10.6 -12.0
  Jan 15, 2025 171   @ Cleveland St. L 58-76 30%     7 - 10 4 - 4 -15.9 -6.3 -11.2
  Jan 18, 2025 229   Wright St. L 70-78 62%     7 - 11 4 - 5 -14.4 -9.6 -4.9
  Jan 24, 2025 144   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 59-79 44%     7 - 12 4 - 6 -21.8 -11.3 -11.6
  Jan 30, 2025 337   @ Detroit Mercy L 57-68 70%     7 - 13 4 - 7 -19.8 -16.4 -3.7
  Feb 01, 2025 185   @ Oakland W 84-75 32%     8 - 13 5 - 7 +10.4 +10.7 -0.3
  Feb 05, 2025 171   Cleveland St. W 85-75 50%     9 - 13 6 - 7 +6.6 +15.8 -8.8
  Feb 08, 2025 146   Robert Morris L 76-81 44%     9 - 14 6 - 8 -6.8 +4.1 -11.0
  Feb 14, 2025 334   @ Green Bay W 73-60 69%     10 - 14 7 - 8 +4.5 -8.4 +12.4
  Feb 16, 2025 144   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-92 25%     10 - 15 7 - 9 -18.3 +10.7 -32.6
  Feb 21, 2025 229   @ Wright St. W 80-76 41%     11 - 15 8 - 9 +3.1 +6.6 -3.4
  Feb 23, 2025 318   IU Indianapolis W 71-67 80%     12 - 15 9 - 9 -8.2 -7.0 -0.8
  Feb 27, 2025 164   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 79-74 29%     13 - 15 10 - 9 +7.5 +2.1 +5.1
  Mar 01, 2025 200   Youngstown St. W 88-79 55%     14 - 15 11 - 9 +4.3 +14.9 -10.6
  Mar 04, 2025 337   Detroit Mercy W 99-75 85%     15 - 15 +9.7 +16.0 -7.5
  Mar 06, 2025 171   @ Cleveland St. L 63-68 30%     15 - 16 -2.9 -1.0 -2.3
Projected Record 15 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%