Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#283
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#214
Pace62.8#336
Improvement-1.9#297

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#185
First Shot+1.1#143
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#299
Layup/Dunks-1.8#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#180
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#134
Freethrows+1.4#101
Improvement+0.9#107

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#341
First Shot-4.3#321
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#296
Layups/Dunks-2.1#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#202
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#246
Freethrows-0.9#251
Improvement-2.8#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 3.0% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 9.9% 20.0% 6.5%
.500 or above in Conference 26.9% 44.3% 21.0%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 1.5% 4.8%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.7%
First Round1.5% 2.6% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 25.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 94 - 13
Quad 48 - 612 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 17 @Kansas L 51-94 1%     0 - 1 -22.6 -5.1 -21.2
  Fri, Nov 7 196 @Buffalo L 76-83 24%     0 - 2 -6.3 +7.5 -14.5
  Thu, Nov 13 135 @St. Thomas L 61-80 15%     0 - 3 -14.3 -10.3 -4.0
  Sat, Nov 15 96 @Minnesota L 65-72 OT 8%     0 - 4 +1.8 -4.4 +6.4
  Fri, Nov 21 76 Yale L 67-73 10%     0 - 5 +1.3 +2.0 -1.5
  Sat, Nov 22 164 Massachusetts W 79-75 28%     1 - 5 +3.6 +11.1 -7.3
  Mon, Nov 24 165 Iona W 80-75 28%     2 - 5 +4.6 +9.4 -4.6
  Thu, Dec 4 185 Robert Morris L 78-80 43%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -6.7 +5.3 -12.1
  Sun, Dec 7 153 @Wright St. L 58-86 17%     2 - 7 0 - 2 -24.6 -10.6 -15.0
  Thu, Dec 11 354 @IU Indianapolis W 85-75 66%     3 - 7 1 - 2 -0.7 +1.9 -3.0
  Wed, Dec 17 150 UC Santa Barbara W 67-64 34%     4 - 7 +0.7 +6.1 -4.7
  Tue, Dec 23 225 @Campbell L 79-102 29%     4 - 8 -24.0 +9.6 -34.9
  Thu, Jan 1 199 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-80 25%    
  Mon, Jan 5 210 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-76 48%    
  Fri, Jan 9 354 IU Indianapolis W 88-78 83%    
  Sun, Jan 11 208 Northern Kentucky L 73-74 48%    
  Thu, Jan 15 334 @Cleveland St. W 77-76 53%    
  Sun, Jan 18 137 Oakland L 77-82 31%    
  Thu, Jan 22 163 @Youngstown St. L 66-75 20%    
  Sat, Jan 24 185 @Robert Morris L 66-74 23%    
  Fri, Jan 30 334 Cleveland St. W 80-73 74%    
  Sun, Feb 1 153 Wright St. L 69-73 36%    
  Wed, Feb 4 208 @Northern Kentucky L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 296 Detroit Mercy W 74-70 63%    
  Thu, Feb 12 199 Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-77 45%    
  Sun, Feb 15 210 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-78 28%    
  Fri, Feb 20 137 @Oakland L 74-85 15%    
  Sun, Feb 22 296 @Detroit Mercy L 71-73 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 163 Youngstown St. L 69-72 39%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.4 1.0 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.3 6.7 3.1 0.3 0.0 15.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.9 8.3 4.0 0.4 0.0 22.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.2 7.7 6.8 2.8 0.4 0.0 23.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 3.3 2.1 0.6 0.1 10.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.9 4.7 8.1 12.3 15.4 15.9 14.4 11.1 7.7 4.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 91.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 50.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 17.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 20.0% 20.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.3% 14.6% 14.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-6 1.0% 9.6% 9.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-7 2.2% 7.3% 7.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.0
12-8 4.5% 6.4% 6.4% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 4.2
11-9 7.7% 3.8% 3.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 7.4
10-10 11.1% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.8
9-11 14.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 14.1
8-12 15.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 15.7
7-13 15.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 15.3
6-14 12.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.2
5-15 8.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.1
4-16 4.7% 4.7
3-17 1.9% 1.9
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%