UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#152
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#165
Pace64.4#283
Improvement-3.1#306

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#120
First Shot+2.9#96
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#252
Layup/Dunks-2.1#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#118
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#33
Freethrows-1.4#272
Improvement-0.3#206

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#219
First Shot+1.5#124
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#347
Layups/Dunks+1.3#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#115
Freethrows+1.4#87
Improvement-2.8#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.7% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.3 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.2% 1.7% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 35 - 45 - 10
Quad 413 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 273   @ Portland W 94-53 65%     1 - 0 +37.5 +14.1 +22.1
  Nov 13, 2024 258   Fresno St. W 91-86 79%     2 - 0 -3.0 +3.0 -6.7
  Nov 17, 2024 156   @ San Jose St. W 64-59 40%     3 - 0 +8.0 +5.5 +3.6
  Nov 20, 2024 159   UTEP L 76-79 62%     3 - 1 -5.6 +6.1 -11.8
  Nov 26, 2024 295   Eastern Washington W 67-51 84%     4 - 1 +5.6 -3.6 +11.0
  Nov 29, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 81-48 99%     5 - 1 +2.0 +11.5 -2.8
  Dec 05, 2024 47   UC San Diego L 76-84 22%     5 - 2 0 - 1 +0.6 +10.6 -10.3
  Dec 07, 2024 236   @ UC Davis L 60-71 56%     5 - 3 0 - 2 -12.3 -5.4 -7.6
  Dec 14, 2024 334   Green Bay W 83-66 90%     6 - 3 +3.0 -2.2 +4.3
  Dec 18, 2024 157   @ Loyola Marymount L 58-60 40%     6 - 4 +1.0 -8.3 +9.2
  Dec 22, 2024 230   @ Missouri St. L 56-68 55%     6 - 5 -13.0 -2.6 -13.0
  Jan 02, 2025 221   @ Hawaii W 64-61 54%     7 - 5 1 - 2 +2.4 +2.3 +0.6
  Jan 09, 2025 245   Cal St. Bakersfield W 78-66 77%     8 - 5 2 - 2 +4.7 +4.0 +1.3
  Jan 11, 2025 194   @ Cal Poly W 75-72 48%     9 - 5 3 - 2 +4.0 +7.4 -3.2
  Jan 16, 2025 142   UC Riverside W 66-63 58%     10 - 5 4 - 2 +1.3 -2.5 +4.1
  Jan 18, 2025 236   UC Davis L 60-64 75%     10 - 6 4 - 3 -10.8 -0.9 -10.6
  Jan 23, 2025 47   @ UC San Diego L 63-77 11%     10 - 7 4 - 4 +0.1 -0.2 -0.1
  Jan 25, 2025 351   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 83-75 85%     11 - 7 5 - 4 -2.5 +9.9 -12.2
  Jan 30, 2025 113   Cal St. Northridge L 71-78 49%     11 - 8 5 - 5 -6.4 +1.2 -8.0
  Feb 01, 2025 294   Long Beach St. W 85-54 84%     12 - 8 6 - 5 +20.6 +10.1 +11.8
  Feb 06, 2025 245   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 81-75 58%     13 - 8 7 - 5 +4.2 +16.3 -11.3
  Feb 08, 2025 221   Hawaii W 76-72 73%     14 - 8 8 - 5 -2.1 -0.6 -1.6
  Feb 13, 2025 70   @ UC Irvine L 60-62 17%     14 - 9 8 - 6 +8.6 -0.6 +9.1
  Feb 15, 2025 142   @ UC Riverside L 69-81 37%     14 - 10 8 - 7 -8.2 +3.3 -12.7
  Feb 20, 2025 351   Cal St. Fullerton W 86-56 93%     15 - 10 9 - 7 +14.0 +15.4 +1.2
  Feb 22, 2025 294   @ Long Beach St. W 58-56 70%     16 - 10 10 - 7 -2.9 -11.0 +8.3
  Feb 27, 2025 194   Cal Poly W 96-77 68%     17 - 10 11 - 7 +14.4 +10.1 +2.4
  Mar 01, 2025 113   @ Cal St. Northridge L 77-103 29%     17 - 11 11 - 8 -19.9 +4.3 -23.3
  Mar 08, 2025 70   UC Irvine L 88-97 32%     17 - 12 11 - 9 -3.9 +16.6 -20.1
  Mar 12, 2025 245   Cal St. Bakersfield W 75-70 68%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 1.2% 1.2% 13.3 0.1 0.8 0.4 98.8
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 13.3 0.1 0.8 0.4 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 100.0% 13.3 5.8 62.5 31.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 23.0%
Lose Out 30.5%