Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#158
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#152
Pace79.6#10
Improvement-1.5#278

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#196
First Shot-1.5#217
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#151
Layup/Dunks-0.2#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#328
Freethrows+2.5#53
Improvement-0.4#217

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#144
First Shot+0.3#162
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#134
Layups/Dunks+8.4#10
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#18
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#341
Freethrows-5.5#364
Improvement-1.1#269
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.0% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.1 13.4
.500 or above 75.0% 76.4% 49.9%
.500 or above in Conference 61.2% 62.0% 46.7%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.2% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.7% 5.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.9% 4.0% 2.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 94.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 56 - 11
Quad 411 - 317 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 89   @ St. Bonaventure L 56-70 19%     0 - 1 -4.6 -15.1 +11.6
  Nov 06, 2024 332   @ Le Moyne W 97-75 75%     1 - 1 +14.8 +11.5 +1.1
  Nov 16, 2024 335   @ Sacramento St. W 79-69 76%     2 - 1 +2.6 +5.3 -2.6
  Nov 24, 2024 287   Utah Tech W 89-79 74%     3 - 1 +3.2 +10.1 -7.1
  Nov 25, 2024 318   Denver W 89-60 80%     4 - 1 +20.2 +8.5 +10.9
  Nov 27, 2024 215   @ Montana L 75-83 48%     4 - 2 -7.5 -5.6 -1.3
  Nov 30, 2024 141   @ Montana St. W 72-69 OT 35%     5 - 2 +6.9 -4.2 +10.9
  Dec 05, 2024 171   UC Riverside L 64-68 64%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -7.7 -11.7 +4.1
  Dec 07, 2024 265   @ Cal Poly W 102-91 60%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +8.4 +10.5 -4.0
  Dec 18, 2024 76   @ USC L 69-90 16%     6 - 4 -10.5 -0.1 -9.9
  Dec 21, 2024 360   Chicago St. W 84-67 95%    
  Jan 02, 2025 275   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 73-70 62%    
  Jan 04, 2025 185   UC Davis W 77-73 64%    
  Jan 09, 2025 60   UC Irvine L 72-78 28%    
  Jan 11, 2025 229   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 17, 2025 174   @ Hawaii L 73-75 42%    
  Jan 23, 2025 261   Long Beach St. W 78-70 78%    
  Jan 25, 2025 91   @ UC San Diego L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 30, 2025 138   @ UC Santa Barbara L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 229   Cal St. Bakersfield W 76-70 72%    
  Feb 06, 2025 275   Cal St. Fullerton W 76-67 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 261   @ Long Beach St. W 75-73 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 265   Cal Poly W 91-82 78%    
  Feb 20, 2025 60   @ UC Irvine L 69-81 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 185   @ UC Davis L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 27, 2025 91   UC San Diego L 73-76 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 138   UC Santa Barbara W 77-75 56%    
  Mar 06, 2025 171   @ UC Riverside L 75-77 41%    
  Mar 08, 2025 174   Hawaii W 76-72 63%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.8 5.2 2.9 0.7 0.1 15.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 6.3 5.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 16.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 6.5 4.9 1.4 0.1 15.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.9 4.7 1.2 0.1 13.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.6 3.9 0.9 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.4 3.2 0.7 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.3 4.3 7.3 10.5 13.1 14.8 14.2 12.3 9.0 5.8 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 81.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 51.6% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0
15-5 18.9% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 29.0% 29.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 33.2% 33.2% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.4% 19.8% 19.8% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-5 3.2% 18.4% 18.4% 12.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.6
14-6 5.8% 12.7% 12.7% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.1
13-7 9.0% 8.3% 8.3% 13.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 8.2
12-8 12.3% 4.8% 4.8% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.7
11-9 14.2% 2.4% 2.4% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 13.8
10-10 14.8% 1.8% 1.8% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.5
9-11 13.1% 1.0% 1.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.9
8-12 10.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4
7-13 7.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.3
6-14 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.3
5-15 2.3% 2.3
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 96.1 0.0%