Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#103
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#124
Pace63.5#300
Improvement-0.8#226

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#126
First Shot+3.3#90
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#271
Layup/Dunks+1.1#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#43
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
Freethrows-0.7#223
Improvement-3.6#328

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#102
First Shot+1.2#134
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#95
Layups/Dunks+2.9#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#352
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#216
Freethrows+2.3#46
Improvement+2.8#54
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 52 - 6
Quad 39 - 511 - 11
Quad 48 - 119 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 144   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 87-68 71%     1 - 0 +17.2 +16.0 +1.8
  Nov 10, 2024 70   UC Irvine L 60-80 46%     1 - 1 -14.9 -6.3 -8.8
  Nov 14, 2024 126   @ Wichita St. L 73-79 47%     1 - 2 -1.2 +4.7 -6.0
  Nov 19, 2024 341   Western Illinois W 82-56 95%     2 - 2 +11.1 +10.8 +3.4
  Nov 28, 2024 79   North Texas L 48-68 38%     2 - 3 -12.7 -15.3 +0.9
  Nov 29, 2024 110   St. Bonaventure L 56-68 51%     2 - 4 -8.3 -6.2 -3.5
  Dec 04, 2024 173   @ Illinois-Chicago W 83-56 58%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +29.1 +22.5 +10.3
  Dec 07, 2024 347   Northern Illinois W 101-57 95%     4 - 4 +28.8 +27.7 +3.2
  Dec 13, 2024 149   Nebraska Omaha W 78-58 72%     5 - 4 +18.0 +7.0 +12.4
  Dec 16, 2024 172   Montana W 104-76 76%     6 - 4 +24.6 +31.6 -5.8
  Dec 21, 2024 120   Washington St. L 68-76 56%     6 - 5 -5.4 -1.8 -4.1
  Dec 29, 2024 195   Southern Illinois W 78-67 79%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +6.4 +7.1 +0.0
  Jan 01, 2025 127   Belmont W 76-70 68%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +5.2 -2.1 +7.1
  Jan 04, 2025 208   @ Valparaiso L 73-80 65%     8 - 6 3 - 1 -6.9 +1.3 -8.3
  Jan 08, 2025 145   Murray St. L 68-71 71%     8 - 7 3 - 2 -4.8 +5.1 -10.3
  Jan 11, 2025 136   @ Illinois St. W 85-84 49%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +5.2 +18.2 -13.0
  Jan 14, 2025 242   Evansville W 73-56 85%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +9.8 -1.9 +11.4
  Jan 18, 2025 195   @ Southern Illinois L 49-73 62%     10 - 8 5 - 3 -23.1 -15.9 -11.0
  Jan 21, 2025 230   Missouri St. W 79-68 84%     11 - 8 6 - 3 +4.5 +16.1 -10.0
  Jan 25, 2025 196   @ Indiana St. W 74-56 62%     12 - 8 7 - 3 +18.9 +1.4 +18.0
  Jan 29, 2025 66   @ Drake L 52-66 25%     12 - 9 7 - 4 -3.0 -1.6 -5.1
  Feb 02, 2025 96   Bradley W 83-69 57%     13 - 9 8 - 4 +16.3 +13.5 +3.3
  Feb 05, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. W 66-61 69%     14 - 9 9 - 4 +4.0 -2.2 +6.5
  Feb 08, 2025 136   Illinois St. W 68-65 70%     15 - 9 10 - 4 +1.7 -4.4 +6.2
  Feb 11, 2025 196   Indiana St. W 88-73 79%     16 - 9 11 - 4 +10.4 +13.9 -2.9
  Feb 17, 2025 145   Murray St. W 74-67 62%     17 - 9 12 - 4 +7.9 +4.2 +3.9
  Feb 19, 2025 127   @ Belmont W 82-75 47%     18 - 9 13 - 4 +11.7 +9.8 +2.0
  Feb 23, 2025 66   Drake L 58-64 OT 44%     18 - 10 13 - 5 -0.5 -7.0 +6.0
  Feb 26, 2025 173   Illinois-Chicago W 74-52 76%     19 - 10 14 - 5 +18.6 +9.5 +12.1
  Mar 02, 2025 96   @ Bradley L 56-73 36%     19 - 11 14 - 6 -9.1 -6.2 -5.2
  Mar 07, 2025 208   Valparaiso L 63-64 74%     19 - 12 -3.6 -3.0 -0.8
Projected Record 19 - 12 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%