Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#196
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#214
Pace78.6#9
Improvement+3.4#51

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#129
First Shot+4.1#75
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#315
Layup/Dunks+1.9#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#356
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.2#17
Freethrows-0.9#246
Improvement+1.6#107

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#277
First Shot-5.3#332
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#53
Layups/Dunks-4.7#330
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#129
Freethrows-1.8#299
Improvement+1.8#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 60 - 8
Quad 33 - 73 - 15
Quad 49 - 312 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 107   Florida Atlantic L 64-97 29%     0 - 1 -29.2 -18.9 -5.2
  Nov 12, 2024 233   SIU Edwardsville L 72-77 68%     0 - 2 -11.7 -2.8 -8.8
  Nov 16, 2024 271   @ Ball St. W 94-84 56%     1 - 2 +6.6 +6.3 -0.9
  Nov 22, 2024 361   Chicago St. W 97-61 94%     2 - 2 +16.3 +12.3 +2.7
  Nov 25, 2024 338   @ Southern Indiana L 77-87 75%     2 - 3 -18.9 -7.0 -10.9
  Nov 29, 2024 98   Arkansas St. L 81-86 26%     2 - 4 -0.1 +6.6 -6.4
  Nov 30, 2024 255   Iona W 83-80 62%     3 - 4 -2.1 +7.1 -9.3
  Dec 01, 2024 275   Tarleton St. W 87-71 67%     4 - 4 +9.6 +16.8 -7.1
  Dec 07, 2024 230   @ Missouri St. W 80-77 46%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +2.0 +10.0 -7.9
  Dec 18, 2024 145   Murray St. W 84-74 50%     6 - 4 2 - 0 +8.2 +10.4 -2.3
  Dec 29, 2024 37   @ Ohio St. L 83-103 6%     6 - 5 -3.9 +7.8 -9.5
  Jan 01, 2025 96   Bradley L 89-90 OT 34%     6 - 6 2 - 1 +1.3 +3.7 -2.2
  Jan 04, 2025 242   @ Evansville W 66-62 49%     7 - 6 3 - 1 +2.3 -3.4 +5.8
  Jan 08, 2025 208   @ Valparaiso L 95-98 OT 42%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -2.9 +5.7 -8.0
  Jan 11, 2025 127   Belmont L 79-84 46%     7 - 8 3 - 3 -5.8 -2.7 -2.6
  Jan 15, 2025 96   @ Bradley L 65-118 18%     7 - 9 3 - 4 -45.1 -10.8 -29.2
  Jan 18, 2025 66   Drake L 53-71 24%     7 - 10 3 - 5 -12.5 -11.6 -2.6
  Jan 21, 2025 136   @ Illinois St. L 81-85 28%     7 - 11 3 - 6 +0.2 +2.6 -2.2
  Jan 25, 2025 103   Northern Iowa L 56-74 38%     7 - 12 3 - 7 -16.7 -14.1 -3.2
  Jan 29, 2025 230   Missouri St. W 72-67 67%     8 - 12 4 - 7 -1.5 +3.5 -4.6
  Feb 01, 2025 173   @ Illinois-Chicago W 88-83 35%     9 - 12 5 - 7 +7.1 +9.3 -2.6
  Feb 05, 2025 208   Valparaiso W 80-62 63%     10 - 12 6 - 7 +12.6 +6.7 +6.6
  Feb 08, 2025 66   @ Drake L 81-85 OT 12%     10 - 13 6 - 8 +7.0 +10.1 -2.9
  Feb 11, 2025 103   @ Northern Iowa L 73-88 21%     10 - 14 6 - 9 -8.2 +6.9 -15.7
  Feb 15, 2025 136   Illinois St. W 85-76 48%     11 - 14 7 - 9 +7.7 +10.7 -2.8
  Feb 19, 2025 242   Evansville L 74-79 70%     11 - 15 7 - 10 -12.2 +1.8 -14.1
  Feb 22, 2025 127   @ Belmont L 75-77 26%     11 - 16 7 - 11 +2.7 -1.7 +4.5
  Feb 25, 2025 145   @ Murray St. L 75-85 30%     11 - 17 7 - 12 -6.3 +6.3 -12.8
  Mar 02, 2025 195   Southern Illinois W 95-77 60%     12 - 17 8 - 12 +13.4 +13.4 -1.1
  Mar 06, 2025 195   Southern Illinois L 85-86 50%     12 - 18 -2.8 +7.8 -10.6
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%