Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#210
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#205
Pace79.7#7
Improvement+0.9#147

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#178
First Shot+2.8#96
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#322
Layup/Dunks+1.3#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#356
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#22
Freethrows-1.1#258
Improvement-2.3#302

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#257
First Shot-4.6#317
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#51
Layups/Dunks-4.4#328
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#121
Freethrows-1.6#288
Improvement+3.2#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.0% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 7.0% 9.8% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 17.0% 23.5% 5.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.3% 3.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Valparaiso (Home) - 64.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 33 - 74 - 14
Quad 49 - 413 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 106   Florida Atlantic L 64-97 26%     0 - 1 -28.8 -19.3 -4.4
  Nov 12, 2024 266   SIU Edwardsville L 72-77 71%     0 - 2 -13.4 -3.4 -10.0
  Nov 16, 2024 255   @ Ball St. W 94-84 52%     1 - 2 +7.0 +5.5 +0.2
  Nov 22, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 97-61 90%     2 - 2 +19.3 +16.0 +1.9
  Nov 25, 2024 324   @ Southern Indiana L 77-87 68%     2 - 3 -17.5 -6.2 -10.3
  Nov 29, 2024 93   Arkansas St. L 81-86 21%     2 - 4 +0.9 +7.3 -6.1
  Nov 30, 2024 256   Iona W 83-80 61%     3 - 4 -2.5 +6.9 -9.5
  Dec 01, 2024 247   Tarleton St. W 87-71 60%     4 - 4 +10.9 +16.6 -5.6
  Dec 07, 2024 223   @ Missouri St. W 80-77 44%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +2.1 +8.8 -6.7
  Dec 18, 2024 171   Murray St. W 84-74 51%     6 - 4 2 - 0 +7.3 +8.5 -1.3
  Dec 29, 2024 25   @ Ohio St. L 83-103 4%     6 - 5 -2.9 +9.4 -10.0
  Jan 01, 2025 94   Bradley L 89-90 OT 29%     6 - 6 2 - 1 +2.3 +5.1 -2.7
  Jan 04, 2025 230   @ Evansville W 66-62 46%     7 - 6 3 - 1 +2.5 -3.5 +6.1
  Jan 08, 2025 226   @ Valparaiso L 95-98 OT 44%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -4.0 +4.4 -7.9
  Jan 11, 2025 140   Belmont L 79-84 45%     7 - 8 3 - 3 -6.2 -4.4 -1.4
  Jan 15, 2025 94   @ Bradley L 65-118 16%     7 - 9 3 - 4 -44.7 -9.6 -29.9
  Jan 18, 2025 73   Drake L 53-71 23%     7 - 10 3 - 5 -12.9 -12.3 -2.4
  Jan 21, 2025 135   @ Illinois St. L 81-85 26%     7 - 11 3 - 6 +0.0 +2.2 -1.9
  Jan 25, 2025 108   Northern Iowa L 56-74 35%     7 - 12 3 - 7 -16.5 -15.3 -1.8
  Jan 29, 2025 223   Missouri St. W 72-67 63%     8 - 12 4 - 7 -0.9 +2.6 -3.1
  Feb 01, 2025 123   @ Illinois-Chicago W 88-83 25%     9 - 12 5 - 7 +9.6 +8.9 +0.3
  Feb 05, 2025 226   Valparaiso W 83-80 65%    
  Feb 08, 2025 73   @ Drake L 63-76 10%    
  Feb 11, 2025 108   @ Northern Iowa L 73-82 19%    
  Feb 15, 2025 135   Illinois St. L 78-80 46%    
  Feb 19, 2025 230   Evansville W 77-73 66%    
  Feb 22, 2025 140   @ Belmont L 85-91 27%    
  Feb 25, 2025 171   @ Murray St. L 74-79 31%    
  Mar 02, 2025 183   Southern Illinois W 80-79 56%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.3 1.9 4th
5th 0.4 3.3 1.7 0.1 5.5 5th
6th 0.2 5.0 6.2 0.7 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 2.9 10.8 2.3 0.0 16.0 7th
8th 0.7 11.1 6.7 0.2 18.8 8th
9th 0.3 7.2 10.5 0.9 18.9 9th
10th 0.3 4.9 11.4 2.8 0.0 19.4 10th
11th 1.1 4.0 1.5 0.0 6.7 11th
12th 0.2 0.1 0.2 12th
Total 1.6 9.2 20.8 27.5 23.8 12.4 3.8 0.8 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 1.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.8% 3.6% 3.6% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-9 3.8% 3.5% 3.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.6
10-10 12.4% 1.5% 1.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.2
9-11 23.8% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.1 0.2 23.6
8-12 27.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 27.4
7-13 20.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 20.8
6-14 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.2
5-15 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%