Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#195
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#199
Pace69.1#141
Improvement+1.2#149

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#195
First Shot-1.6#226
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#115
Layup/Dunks+2.5#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#261
Freethrows+0.1#165
Improvement+2.8#53

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#212
First Shot-0.1#185
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#291
Layups/Dunks-3.5#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#62
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement-1.6#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 70 - 8
Quad 36 - 96 - 17
Quad 46 - 212 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 148   College of Charleston L 80-90 40%     0 - 1 -9.1 +0.1 -8.2
  Nov 14, 2024 91   @ Oklahoma St. L 78-85 17%     0 - 2 +1.4 +7.5 -5.9
  Nov 18, 2024 143   North Dakota St. W 69-44 50%     1 - 2 +23.2 -4.4 +29.4
  Nov 22, 2024 3   @ Florida L 68-93 1%     1 - 3 +1.2 +4.4 -2.5
  Nov 25, 2024 119   Louisiana Tech L 79-85 OT 33%     1 - 4 -3.2 -6.1 +3.9
  Nov 26, 2024 198   Eastern Kentucky L 72-77 50%     1 - 5 -6.9 -5.9 -0.9
  Dec 03, 2024 96   Bradley L 60-83 34%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -20.7 -10.6 -10.7
  Dec 07, 2024 338   Southern Indiana W 73-70 88%     2 - 6 -11.4 -1.1 -10.0
  Dec 14, 2024 277   @ Austin Peay W 65-60 57%     3 - 6 +1.2 -3.3 +5.1
  Dec 21, 2024 88   High Point L 81-94 32%     3 - 7 -9.9 +2.7 -12.3
  Dec 29, 2024 103   @ Northern Iowa L 67-78 21%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -4.2 +1.7 -6.6
  Jan 01, 2025 242   Evansville L 53-68 70%     3 - 9 0 - 3 -22.2 -18.0 -4.9
  Jan 05, 2025 136   @ Illinois St. L 54-85 28%     3 - 10 0 - 4 -26.8 -18.5 -9.0
  Jan 08, 2025 127   @ Belmont L 86-90 26%     3 - 11 0 - 5 +0.7 +12.8 -12.1
  Jan 11, 2025 230   Missouri St. W 88-78 OT 67%     4 - 11 1 - 5 +3.5 +7.6 -4.7
  Jan 15, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. W 73-51 47%     5 - 11 2 - 5 +21.0 +6.8 +15.8
  Jan 18, 2025 103   Northern Iowa W 73-49 38%     6 - 11 3 - 5 +25.3 +12.7 +16.4
  Jan 22, 2025 145   Murray St. L 64-74 50%     6 - 12 3 - 6 -11.8 -3.8 -8.7
  Jan 25, 2025 173   @ Illinois-Chicago W 89-85 35%     7 - 12 4 - 6 +6.1 +14.3 -8.3
  Jan 28, 2025 208   @ Valparaiso W 79-75 42%     8 - 12 5 - 6 +4.1 +5.9 -1.8
  Feb 01, 2025 66   Drake L 65-75 24%     8 - 13 5 - 7 -4.5 +4.7 -10.6
  Feb 05, 2025 242   @ Evansville W 68-59 49%     9 - 13 6 - 7 +7.3 +4.6 +3.7
  Feb 08, 2025 173   Illinois-Chicago W 79-67 56%     10 - 13 7 - 7 +8.6 +3.7 +4.8
  Feb 12, 2025 96   @ Bradley L 64-78 18%     10 - 14 7 - 8 -6.1 +2.8 -10.7
  Feb 15, 2025 127   Belmont L 68-73 46%     10 - 15 7 - 9 -5.8 -2.7 -3.5
  Feb 19, 2025 145   Murray St. L 60-62 50%     10 - 16 7 - 10 -3.8 -7.2 +3.2
  Feb 22, 2025 208   Valparaiso L 79-83 63%     10 - 17 7 - 11 -9.4 -0.3 -9.0
  Feb 25, 2025 136   Illinois St. W 88-79 48%     11 - 17 8 - 11 +7.7 +12.0 -4.3
  Mar 02, 2025 196   @ Indiana St. L 77-95 40%     11 - 18 8 - 12 -17.1 -2.9 -13.0
  Mar 06, 2025 196   Indiana St. W 86-85 50%     12 - 18 -0.9 +6.6 -7.5
  Mar 07, 2025 66   Drake L 53-70 17%     12 - 19 -8.8 -5.0 -7.1
Projected Record 12 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%