UMKC
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#339
Expected Predictive Rating-14.1#347
Pace70.5#162
Improvement+1.2#96

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#348
First Shot-5.9#324
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#257
Layup/Dunks+1.2#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#340
Freethrows-2.6#316
Improvement-0.4#218

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#309
First Shot-2.6#264
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#273
Layups/Dunks-5.5#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#194
Freethrows+2.0#70
Improvement+1.6#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.5% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 0.8% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 13.1% 18.6% 11.8%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 39.0% 31.8% 40.8%
First Four1.0% 1.5% 0.8%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Away) - 19.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 45 - 116 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 142 @Southern Illinois L 78-101 8%     0 - 1 -18.7 +0.7 -17.6
  Tue, Nov 11 174 Iona L 91-105 25%     0 - 2 -18.2 -1.7 -13.8
  Sat, Nov 15 50 @Texas L 55-71 2%     0 - 3 -2.3 -7.5 +3.4
  Wed, Nov 19 48 @TCU L 45-81 2%     0 - 4 -22.1 -20.1 -1.5
  Mon, Nov 24 246 @Lindenwood L 67-80 19%     0 - 5 -14.7 -9.5 -4.2
  Sat, Nov 29 192 @Weber St. L 61-82 14%     0 - 6 -20.2 -11.1 -9.6
  Wed, Dec 3 167 Idaho St. L 59-68 25%     0 - 7 -12.9 -5.8 -8.5
  Sat, Dec 6 251 @Eastern Washington L 72-81 19%    
  Wed, Dec 10 192 Weber St. L 72-78 28%    
  Tue, Dec 16 41 @Oklahoma L 63-89 1%    
  Thu, Dec 18 47 @Oklahoma St. L 68-93 1%    
  Sun, Dec 21 182 Austin Peay L 68-75 27%    
  Wed, Dec 31 291 @Denver L 72-79 26%    
  Sat, Jan 3 252 @Nebraska Omaha L 71-80 20%    
  Thu, Jan 8 149 North Dakota St. L 66-75 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 340 North Dakota W 74-71 60%    
  Thu, Jan 15 276 @South Dakota L 75-83 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 147 @South Dakota St. L 64-79 9%    
  Sat, Jan 24 252 Nebraska Omaha L 74-77 39%    
  Wed, Jan 28 291 Denver L 75-76 46%    
  Sun, Feb 1 166 @St. Thomas L 66-79 12%    
  Wed, Feb 4 276 South Dakota L 78-80 43%    
  Thu, Feb 12 311 @Oral Roberts L 74-80 31%    
  Sat, Feb 14 166 St. Thomas L 69-76 26%    
  Thu, Feb 19 340 @North Dakota L 71-74 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 149 @North Dakota St. L 63-78 10%    
  Thu, Feb 26 147 South Dakota St. L 67-76 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 311 Oral Roberts W 77-76 51%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.0 2.6 0.4 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 6.0 4.1 0.7 0.0 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.7 5.3 1.0 0.0 17.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.9 9.7 5.5 0.9 0.0 23.6 8th
9th 1.3 5.0 8.5 8.0 3.6 0.5 0.0 26.8 9th
Total 1.3 5.1 9.9 14.4 16.9 15.8 13.6 10.0 6.3 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 81.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 48.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 13.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.1% 27.3% 27.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.3% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 0.8% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.1 0.7
10-6 1.9% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.1 1.8
9-7 3.5% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 3.5
8-8 6.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.2 6.1
7-9 10.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.8
6-10 13.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.4
5-11 15.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 15.7
4-12 16.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.9
3-13 14.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.4
2-14 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.9
1-15 5.1% 5.1
0-16 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%