TCU
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +12.3 45
Results Rating +14.6 36
Consistency 0.15 192
Pace 68.7 174
Improvement +1.2 144

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 86 C+ B B- B- B-
Defense A- 19 B- B A- B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 53 C+ 60% 111 +3.8 53
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 218 C- 36% 237 -0.9 232
Three Pointers 38% 249 C+ 35% 145 -1.3 228
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.5 108 C+ +0.9 133
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 125
Second Chance B 35.7% 39 B- 1.09 99 B 0.39 44
Opponents' Steals B- 8.5% 94
Other Turnovers B- 6.6% 90
Turnovers B- 15.1% 79
Freethrows B 0.34 57 C- 71% 231 B- 0.24 89
Total Offense B- +4.0 86

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 58% 49 B- 9.4% 93
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 55 B- 3.6% 80
Three Pointers B+ 91% 26 C 0.8% 175
Total B+ 64% 41 C+ 5.1% 120


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 182 B 53% 55 -2.1 104
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 159 C 39% 204 +0.3 218
Three Pointers 40% 200 C+ 33% 115 -1.0 138
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 151 B- -2.7 73
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 82
Second Chance B+ 24.9% 23 C 1.04 199 B 0.26 47
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.0% 32
Other Turnovers B+ 8.8% 30
Turnovers A- 20.8% 15
Freethrows B 0.25 35 B+ 69% 33 B+ 0.18 31
Total Defense A- +8.3 19

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F 62% 359 A- 17.6% 22
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 35% 325 C 5.2% 135
Three Pointers F+ 91% 352 A- 2.2% 19
Total F+ 66% 349 A- 8.8% 19

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.0 50 18.8 347
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 15 0.12 34
Consistency 0.11 112 0.12 197
Improvement +1.5 114 -0.4 204

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 49 44 38
Results Rating Rank 44 36 28
Conference Record 10 - 8 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 6 6 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None 9 7
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 4% 7% 1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 89% 94% 84%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 89% 94% 84%
Average Seed 8.5 8.2 9.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four3% 1% 6%
First Round88% 93% 81%
Second Round38% 42% 32%
Sweet Sixteen5% 7% 4%
Elite Eight2% 2% 1%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Cincinnati (Home) - 55.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 26 - 8
Quad 26 - 212 - 10
Quad 32 - 114 - 10
Quad 47 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 197 New Orleans L 74 - 78 94% -12  3% 0 - 1 D -9 F -10 F B+ B- C+ +1 D F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 355 St. Francis (PA) W 104 - 63 99% +23  98% 1 - 1 A +23 B+ +8 B A+ D+ A +11 C+ A B-
 Mon, Nov 10 246 Lamar W 78 - 65 96% +2  50% 2 - 1 B- +5 B+ +7 B A+ D- C -1 D+ B- D-
 Fri, Nov 14 2 Michigan L 63 - 67 14% +2  69% 2 - 2 A +20 C +0 B D- B A+ +20 A+ B A+
 Wed, Nov 19 360 UMKC W 81 - 45 99% +22  99% 3 - 2 A- +15 D+ -2 F+ A- D+ A+ +17 A+ B- A+
 Thu, Nov 27 3 Florida W 84 - 80 11% -2  19% 4 - 2 A+ +30 A+ +15 B+ A+ A+ A+ +14 A+ F A+
 Fri, Nov 28 28 Wisconsin W 74 - 63 39% +11  98% 5 - 2 A+ +26 C- -1 A- F+ D+ A+ +26 A+ A+ A+
 Fri, Dec 5 85 Notre Dame L 85 - 87 OT 79% +2  56% 5 - 3 C +2 B- +5 A- B A D+ -3 F A+ B
 Sun, Dec 7 134 @North Texas W 65 - 55 77% +2  66% 6 - 3 B+ +15 C- -1 D A+ F+ A+ +16 B+ A A-
 Mon, Dec 15 265 Incarnate Word W 69 - 65 96% -4  20% 7 - 3 C- -5 D- -7 F A A- B- +2 D- B+ B+
 Thu, Dec 18 318 Oral Roberts W 72 - 53 98% +15  95% 8 - 3 B- +6 C+ +3 D+ A+ B- B+ +6 D- A+ A
 Sun, Dec 21 315 Florida A&M W 80 - 56 98% +5  52% 9 - 3 B+ +11 B +7 C- B+ C+ B+ +6 D+ A+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 345 Jackson St. W 115 - 64 99% +24  99% 10 - 3 A+ +35 A+ +25 A+ D A A- +7 C+ D- A-
 Sat, Jan 3 47 Baylor W 69 - 63 64% +7  93% 11 - 3 1 - 0 B+ +15 C +1 D+ B- C A+ +14 A+ A B+
 Tue, Jan 6 20 @Kansas L 100 - 104 OT 22% +4  71% 11 - 4 1 - 1 A- +16 A+ +18 A+ A+ D- C -1 C- C+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 4 Arizona L 73 - 86 17% -12  0% 11 - 5 1 - 2 B +9 B- +5 B- A- B B +5 B B C-
 Wed, Jan 14 23 @BYU L 70 - 76 27% +0  53% 11 - 6 1 - 3 B+ +13 C +1 C C A- A+ +12 A+ D C-
 Sat, Jan 17 104 @Utah L 79 - 82 69% -6  0% 11 - 7 1 - 4 C+ +4 B +7 A- D- B+ C- -3 D D+ B+
 Tue, Jan 20 64 Oklahoma St. W 68 - 65 73% -1  32% 12 - 7 2 - 4 B +9 D -5 B- C D- A+ +14 A C- A+
 Sat, Jan 24 47 @Baylor W 97 - 90 41% +4  63% 13 - 7 3 - 4 A +22 A +14 A- C- B+ B+ +6 D- B- A+
 Wed, Jan 28 6 Houston L 70 - 79 25% -7  1% 13 - 8 3 - 5 B +10 B- +4 A+ D- A+ B+ +6 D+ A+ A-
 Sun, Feb 1 67 @Colorado L 61 - 87 52% -13  6% 13 - 9 3 - 6 D- -14 D- -7 F D B- F+ -9 D F D+
 Sat, Feb 7 98 Kansas St. W 84 - 82 82% -8  0% 14 - 9 4 - 6 C+ +5 B+ +9 B+ A+ C+ D+ -4 D D+ C
 Tue, Feb 10 10 Iowa St. W 62 - 55 32% -1  25% 15 - 9 5 - 6 A+ +24 D+ -2 D A C+ A+ +27 A+ A- A+
 Sat, Feb 14 64 @Oklahoma St. W 95 - 92 OT 51% +5  97% 16 - 9 6 - 6 A- +15 A+ +16 B B- A+ C -1 F+ A D-
 Tue, Feb 17 51 @Central Florida L 71 - 82 43% -11  0% 16 - 10 6 - 7 C+ +3 C- -2 D- B C B +5 C A+ B
 Sat, Feb 21 55 West Virginia W 60 - 54 69% +0  44% 17 - 10 7 - 7 B+ +13 C +1 D B+ C- A+ +13 B+ A- A+
 Tue, Feb 24 58 Arizona St. W 90 - 78 70% +5  78% 18 - 10 8 - 7 A +19 A +12 D+ A+ A+ B+ +6 B+ F B
 Sat, Feb 28 98 @Kansas St. W 77 - 68 64% +3  76% 19 - 10 9 - 7 A- +18 B- +4 C- C+ A+ A+ +13 D+ A+ A+
 Tue, Mar 3 12 @Texas Tech W 73 - 65 18% +1  54% 20 - 10 10 - 7 A+ +30 A +14 B- A+ D A+ +17 B+ A A+
 Sat, Mar 7 36 Cincinnati W 69 - 68 55%
Totals 21 - 10 11 - 7 +12 B- +4 A+ C+ B- A- +8 C+ C- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C+ C- C+ C+ 43% 34% 38% B- C+ B B- B B- B C- B- A- B C C+ B- 39% 21% 40% C B- B+ C B A- B B+ B+
1.14 60% 36% 35% +1 +1 1.05 36% 1.1 .39 15% .34 71% .24 0.97 53% 39% 33% -3 0 0.96 25% 1.0 .26 21% .25 69% .24
Nov
3		 New Orleans F C F F F 44% 12% 44% B F D+ A+ B+ B- B C B C+ C- B- F D- 40% 30% 30% B- D F D+ F A+ B- D C
0.98 56% 29% 12% -17 +1 0.72 31% 1.4 .44 13% .40 73% .29 1.04 58% 36% 43% +3 -1 1.06 43% 1.1 .46 25% .34 79% .27
Nov
6		 St. Francis (PA) B+ A- A+ B B 35% 9% 56% C+ B A+ C+ A+ D+ A A+ A+ A B+ A D B- 46% 21% 33% D- C+ A+ D+ A B- A+ F A+
1.34 74% 60% 39% +11 +1 1.27 47% 1.2 .56 19% .45 86% .38 0.81 50% 25% 37% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.0 .13 21% .10 83% .08
Nov
10		 Lamar B+ C C+ A B- 44% 18% 38% B- B A A+ A+ D- A D B+ C B- C- F F+ 24% 49% 27% A+ D+ B C+ B- D- C+ B- C+
1.21 60% 38% 41% +5 +1 1.13 42% 1.3 .55 20% .47 67% .31 1.01 50% 40% 43% +3 -5 0.98 30% 0.9 .27 14% .22 67% .14
Nov
14		 Michigan C C F+ B- B 33% 28% 39% B- B C+ F D- B B D- B- A+ A- A+ A A+ 55% 14% 32% C A+ F A+ B A+ D- F+ F
0.90 50% 27% 33% -6 -1 0.87 26% 0.6 .15 16% .26 67% .17 0.96 54% 17% 29% -8 +2 0.91 54% 0.9 .50 32% .42 80% .33
Nov
19		 UMKC D+ F F A+ F+ 41% 20% 39% C- F+ B B+ A- D+ C- A+ B A+ A+ A+ A A+ 28% 11% 61% F A+ C B+ B- A+ F B- F+
1.14 43% 20% 45% -3 0 0.96 41% 1.2 .49 18% .26 87% .22 0.63 23% 0% 25% -22 +1 0.59 27% 0.8 .20 25% .36 63% .23
Nov
27		 Florida A+ A+ B- F A 37% 35% 29% D+ B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ C- F+ A+ A+ 43% 4% 53% D+ A+ A+ F F A+ F F F
1.10 74% 39% 20% 0 -2 0.98 28% 1.3 .34 12% .49 73% .36 1.05 65% 50% 20% -8 +2 0.91 33% 1.9 .63 25% .47 81% .38
Nov
28		 Wisconsin C- D D- A+ A- 47% 27% 25% B- A- C F F+ D+ C F D+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 20% 51% A A+ A+ B- A+ A+ C+ F D
1.00 50% 33% 57% +4 0 1.09 23% 0.5 .11 18% .26 63% .16 0.85 40% 50% 23% -11 -1 0.78 22% 1.1 .24 23% .32 89% .28
Dec
5		 Notre Dame B- A+ F A- A- 37% 18% 46% B A- F A+ B A B+ F C+ D+ F F F F 27% 29% 45% A- F A A+ A+ B C- A+ A
1.14 71% 20% 38% +5 0 1.12 15% 2.0 .30 11% .34 65% .22 1.16 73% 50% 48% +17 -2 1.32 26% 0.6 .16 19% .33 45% .15
Dec
7		 North Texas C- C+ A F D 40% 30% 30% D+ D B+ A+ A+ F+ A F B- A+ B- A+ A+ A 59% 14% 27% F B+ A+ F A A- C+ C C+
0.97 59% 46% 15% -6 -1 0.88 38% 1.2 .47 25% .44 64% .28 0.82 54% 17% 17% -13 +2 0.82 14% 1.8 .24 21% .32 71% .23
Dec
15		 Incarnate Word D- A- F F F 44% 24% 31% D+ F D+ A+ A A- A C- A- B- C+ A+ F D- 43% 18% 39% F+ D- A C- B+ B+ A+ A+ A+
1.08 70% 27% 14% -7 0 0.89 29% 1.7 .48 12% .45 72% .32 1.01 52% 22% 47% +2 +1 1.08 23% 1.0 .23 19% .17 56% .10
Dec
18		 Oral Roberts C+ C F+ F D 62% 13% 24% B+ D+ A+ C A+ B- A D+ B+ B+ B- A F D- 41% 16% 43% C- D- C- A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+
1.20 57% 33% 27% -4 +3 1.00 47% 1.1 .53 13% .40 67% .27 0.88 50% 29% 42% 0 +1 1.05 28% 0.2 .06 23% .17 63% .11
Dec
21		 Florida A&M B B+ F B- C- 36% 16% 48% C C- A C- B+ C+ A- A+ A+ B+ A F C+ D- 32% 34% 34% A D+ A+ A+ A+ F C+ A+ A
1.23 67% 13% 38% +2 0 1.06 42% 0.9 .39 17% .41 86% .35 0.86 47% 56% 31% +1 -2 1.00 13% 0.5 .06 15% .27 47% .13
Dec
29		 Jackson St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 15% 43% C+ A+ D D+ D A F A+ F A- A+ D- D- C 30% 32% 38% B C+ C F D- A- C+ A+ B
1.56 88% 56% 50% +26 +1 1.56 33% 1.0 .33 11% .18 100% .18 0.87 27% 44% 37% -6 -2 0.86 26% 1.3 .34 23% .26 67% .18
Jan
3		 Baylor C F D+ A- D- 41% 22% 37% A+ D+ A+ F B- C A+ F A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 39% F A+ B A A B+ C- D D+
1.07 40% 36% 39% -5 0 0.92 48% 0.7 .33 17% .43 65% .28 0.98 45% 50% 22% -11 +1 0.83 35% 0.9 .32 17% .34 78% .26
Jan
6		 Kansas A+ C A+ A+ A+ 27% 24% 48% C- A+ A A+ A+ D- A+ D- A C B D- F C- 42% 25% 33% C C- A F C+ C+ F B- F
1.16 53% 47% 43% +7 -1 1.15 36% 1.3 .44 19% .34 63% .21 1.21 57% 43% 44% +6 0 1.13 25% 1.4 .36 15% .55 75% .41
Jan
10		 Arizona B- D+ A- F C 45% 18% 37% A+ B- C A+ A- B A+ C+ A+ B A F F B+ 56% 23% 21% F B A+ F B C- A+ C+ A+
0.98 48% 44% 26% -8 +1 0.88 22% 1.4 .31 16% .39 71% .27 1.16 53% 54% 42% +3 +1 1.11 29% 1.2 .35 13% .23 73% .17
Jan
14		 BYU C A+ F C- C+ 20% 33% 46% D+ C D+ B C A- B+ D B A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 25% 37% 38% A+ A+ F C+ D C- F D F
1.00 82% 22% 32% -2 -3 0.93 23% 1.2 .28 13% .30 67% .20 1.09 54% 26% 15% -16 -3 0.63 44% 1.1 .50 13% .48 79% .38
Jan
17		 Utah B A+ D- F B+ 61% 18% 22% A- A- C F D- B+ A+ C- A C- D- D D- D- 36% 18% 46% C+ D F B D+ B+ F A+ C-
1.15 71% 33% 27% +5 +2 1.16 28% 0.7 .19 12% .36 68% .25 1.20 67% 44% 39% +8 0 1.18 40% 0.9 .34 19% .40 59% .23
Jan
20		 Oklahoma St. D A- F F C+ 51% 14% 35% B+ B- A- F C D- D- F F A+ A+ A+ F A+ 66% 11% 23% F+ A C+ D C- A+ A+ A+ A+
1.00 65% 29% 28% -1 +2 1.04 36% 0.8 .31 21% .22 50% .11 0.95 46% 17% 42% -8 +3 0.92 32% 1.1 .34 21% .18 50% .09
Jan
24		 Baylor A A+ B+ A+ A+ 8% 66% 26% F A- F A+ C- B+ A+ A A+ B+ F F D+ F 11% 43% 47% A+ D- C- B+ B- A+ F C+ F
1.22 100% 45% 46% +13 -8 1.12 19% 1.3 .26 14% .63 81% .51 1.14 100% 60% 36% +15 -5 1.23 40% 1.0 .40 23% .59 72% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Houston B- A- A- F+ A+ 52% 25% 23% B+ A+ D F D- A+ A+ D A- B+ B F F+ D 26% 32% 43% B- D+ A+ A+ A+ A- F F F
1.00 64% 42% 27% +2 0 1.06 22% 0.7 .16 17% .43 64% .28 1.13 58% 53% 40% +9 -2 1.15 21% 0.5 .10 16% .41 92% .37
Feb
1		 Colorado D- F+ D+ F F 34% 28% 38% D+ F B+ F D B- C A+ B F+ D B F F+ 40% 26% 34% B+ D D+ F F D+ A+ A+ A+
0.92 47% 36% 26% -9 -1 0.82 33% 0.6 .20 15% .30 82% .25 1.32 67% 36% 50% +11 -1 1.23 34% 1.5 .53 12% .22 46% .10
Feb
7		 Kansas St. B+ C- A+ C B 47% 12% 42% A- B+ A+ C- A+ C+ A+ F A+ D+ F C- F F 27% 29% 44% A+ D A- F D+ C A+ A+ A+
1.18 55% 60% 33% +1 +2 1.07 50% 1.1 .56 18% .62 61% .38 1.15 80% 38% 42% +11 -2 1.20 26% 1.5 .39 17% .13 63% .08
Feb
10		 Iowa St. D+ F C+ D+ F+ 48% 17% 35% A D B A A C+ A+ D- A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ 45% 10% 45% F+ A+ A+ F+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+
0.91 41% 38% 31% -10 +1 0.85 31% 1.3 .41 22% .43 65% .28 0.80 68% 0% 18% -10 +2 0.86 26% 1.2 .31 25% .16 25% .04
Feb
14		 Oklahoma St. A+ D- F A+ B- 51% 9% 40% A B B+ D+ B- A+ A+ A- A+ C C F F F+ 51% 9% 40% D+ F+ A- A A D- C+ B+ B-
1.25 48% 0% 48% 0 +2 1.07 34% 1.1 .37 11% .40 78% .31 1.21 59% 60% 43% +8 +2 1.23 26% 0.8 .21 12% .34 70% .24
Feb
17		 Central Florida C- F A+ F F+ 37% 24% 39% C D- A- D+ B C A+ F A B B- D- F C 43% 21% 36% C- C A+ A A+ B D F F
1.00 42% 67% 20% -7 0 0.86 33% 1.0 .33 17% .46 63% .29 1.15 57% 45% 42% +5 0 1.13 26% 1.0 .26 17% .34 90% .30
Feb
21		 West Virginia C F F A+ D 38% 26% 36% C- D A+ F B+ C- A+ F+ A+ A+ C C A+ A- 41% 12% 46% D+ B+ B- A A- A+ B+ F C+
1.00 33% 20% 43% -9 -1 0.82 50% 0.7 .34 20% .56 67% .37 0.90 59% 40% 26% -5 +1 0.95 31% 0.9 .28 27% .27 75% .20
Feb
24		 Arizona St. A D+ F+ D D 43% 19% 38% B D+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ B+ F A+ A 54% 10% 36% F B+ A- F F B C- B- C
1.20 52% 30% 30% -6 +1 0.91 40% 1.2 .49 9% .59 70% .41 1.04 52% 80% 22% -6 +2 0.96 26% 2.0 .52 17% .37 74% .27
Feb
28		 Kansas St. B- B+ C F D+ 41% 15% 44% B C- C- A C+ A+ A- C- B+ A+ F A+ C D+ 38% 17% 44% C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.07 64% 38% 21% -7 +1 0.91 30% 1.4 .41 11% .36 70% .25 0.94 80% 22% 35% +6 0 1.15 17% 0.8 .13 25% .17 44% .07
Mar
3		 Texas Tech A B F C+ C+ 34% 28% 38% B B- A+ A+ A+ D C+ C- C+ A+ F A B A- 23% 19% 57% B- B+ A+ D+ A A+ A+ C- A
1.14 63% 23% 33% -3 -1 0.94 47% 1.4 .65 19% .29 67% .19 1.02 82% 33% 33% +4 -1 1.09 23% 1.1 .27 23% .16 75% .12



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.4 0.4 4th
5th 9.2 9.2 5th
6th 44.6 45.8 90.4 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 44.6 55.4 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 55.4% 93.7% 0.6% 93.1% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.4 9.9 17.1 14.6 5.8 0.7 3.5 93.7%
10-8 44.6% 84.2% 0.3% 83.8% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.9 8.8 12.3 10.3 2.6 7.1 84.1%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 89.5% 0.5% 89.0% 8.5 10.6 89.4%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 5.8 1.4 2.9 24.3 60.0 10.0 1.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.6% 100.0% 6.5 9.2 41.0 40.1 9.2 0.3 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.5% 97.8% 7.3 0.1 1.7 18.5 37.5 29.6 9.0 1.3 0.1
Lose Out 18.0% 77.2% 9.4 0.2 1.8 12.4 26.0 27.7 9.1