Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
6 Iowa St. 99.6%   2   8 - 0 0 - 0 26 - 5 13 - 5 +20.4      +10.4 11 +10.0 6 73.4 90 +23.2 8 0.0 1
7 Houston 99.2%   2   7 - 1 0 - 0 25 - 6 13 - 5 +19.9      +8.9 21 +10.9 3 59.9 362 +19.4 14 0.0 1
8 BYU 99.3%   3   7 - 1 0 - 0 25 - 6 13 - 5 +19.3      +11.5 5 +7.8 13 68.4 214 +21.6 10 0.0 1
9 Arizona 99.4%   2   7 - 0 0 - 0 25 - 6 13 - 5 +19.3      +10.1 14 +9.2 11 75.9 40 +28.8 1 0.0 1
18 Kansas 89.8%   5   6 - 3 0 - 0 20 - 11 11 - 7 +16.1      +6.5 49 +9.6 8 68.9 200 +15.8 27 0.0 1
28 Baylor 76.7%   6   6 - 1 0 - 0 19 - 11 9 - 9 +13.8      +10.4 12 +3.4 73 71.7 131 +18.0 19 0.0 1
30 Texas Tech 69.1%   6   6 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 13 10 - 8 +13.7      +8.1 28 +5.6 40 67.3 248 +14.6 30 0.0 1
47 Oklahoma St. 57.5%   10   8 - 0 0 - 0 20 - 11 8 - 10 +11.0      +6.4 50 +4.6 55 84.6 5 +17.4 20 0.0 1
48 TCU 45.1%   5 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +10.9      +4.0 81 +6.9 23 70.6 157 +8.9 72 0.0 1
63 Central Florida 34.4%   7 - 1 0 - 0 17 - 12 7 - 11 +8.8      +6.9 47 +2.0 114 75.5 44 +17.1 21 0.0 1
64 Colorado 35.1%   8 - 0 0 - 0 19 - 12 7 - 11 +8.8      +6.9 48 +1.9 117 70.1 170 +16.8 23 0.0 1
65 West Virginia 16.2%   7 - 2 0 - 0 17 - 14 7 - 11 +8.6      +2.1 118 +6.5 29 63.3 327 +5.5 103 0.0 1
68 Cincinnati 13.5%   6 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 16 7 - 11 +8.4      -0.9 192 +9.2 10 77.5 31 +2.4 143 0.0 1
71 Kansas St. 12.9%   5 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 16 6 - 12 +7.8      +5.8 58 +2.0 112 78.2 20 +7.2 82 0.0 1
82 Arizona St. 14.6%   6 - 2 0 - 0 15 - 16 6 - 12 +7.0      +5.5 62 +1.6 123 70.8 152 +13.1 44 0.0 1
117 Utah 1.0%   6 - 3 0 - 0 12 - 19 4 - 14 +3.2      +2.6 108 +0.6 149 70.9 144 +3.6 122 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 2 18 Kansas 56 5 Connecticut 61   
Tue, Dec 2 47 Oklahoma St. 93 133 Sam Houston St. 83   
Tue, Dec 2 69 California 79 117 Utah 72   
Tue, Dec 2 28 Baylor 110 274 Sacramento St. 88   
Wed, Dec 3 8 BYU 66 130 California Baptist 44   
Wed, Dec 3 364 Coppin St. 49 65 West Virginia 91   
Wed, Dec 3 333 Alcorn St. 68 6 Iowa St. 132   
Fri, Dec 5 56 Notre Dame 87 48 TCU 85   
Fri, Dec 5 68 Cincinnati 74 77 Xavier 79   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 6 6 Iowa St. 74 2 Purdue 78 68%   
Sat, Dec 6 9 Arizona 84 20 Auburn 77 75%   
Sat, Dec 6 53 Wake Forest 71 65 West Virginia 69 55%   
Sat, Dec 6 71 Kansas St. 76 76 Seton Hall 72 63%   
Sat, Dec 6 64 Colorado 74 74 Colorado St. 76 57%   
Sat, Dec 6 82 Arizona St. 77 41 Oklahoma 82 68%   
Sat, Dec 6 28 Baylor 81 75 Memphis 78 62%   
Sat, Dec 6 94 Grand Canyon 77 47 Oklahoma St. 83 71%   
Sat, Dec 6 130 California Baptist 70 117 Utah 74 66%   
Sat, Dec 6 100 Florida St. 64 7 Houston 79 91%   
Sun, Dec 7 29 LSU 76 30 Texas Tech 75 50%   
Sun, Dec 7 18 Kansas 77 37 Missouri 71 73%   
Sun, Dec 7 129 Towson 69 63 Central Florida 79 81%   
Sun, Dec 7 145 North Texas 63 48 TCU 70 75%   
Mon, Dec 8 71 Kansas St. 95 365 Mississippi Valley 62 99%   
Tue, Dec 9 8 BYU 76 33 Clemson 70 72%   
Tue, Dec 9 82 Arizona St. 83 263 Northern Arizona 67 92%   
Tue, Dec 9 305 Arkansas Little Rock 55 65 West Virginia 75 96%   
Wed, Dec 10 28 Baylor 83 231 Norfolk St. 63 96%   
Wed, Dec 10 7 Houston 81 312 Jackson St. 50 99%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Iowa St. 2.9 32.4 22.1 15.7 10.8 6.9 4.6 3.1 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Houston 3.1 28.1 22.3 16.8 11.8 7.8 5.0 3.1 2.2 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
BYU 3.3 26.5 20.3 16.1 12.3 8.7 5.9 3.9 2.4 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Arizona 3.5 24.2 18.9 16.2 12.9 9.3 6.4 4.3 2.9 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Kansas 5.5 8.4 10.1 12.1 12.5 13.0 10.9 8.8 7.0 5.5 3.6 2.9 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.2
Baylor 7.3 3.5 4.8 6.6 8.9 10.0 10.7 10.2 9.5 8.4 7.2 6.4 4.7 3.8 3.0 1.8 0.7
Texas Tech 7.2 2.9 4.7 7.0 8.8 10.7 11.5 10.9 9.9 8.6 7.2 5.7 4.8 3.3 2.1 1.3 0.6
Oklahoma St. 8.9 1.2 2.1 3.6 5.3 7.0 8.5 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.3 8.3 7.6 6.8 5.8 4.1 2.1
TCU 8.7 1.0 2.6 3.9 5.5 7.6 9.0 10.0 9.2 9.1 9.0 8.3 7.1 6.3 5.3 4.0 2.2
Central Florida 10.1 0.5 1.1 1.9 3.4 5.0 6.2 7.4 8.6 8.8 9.2 9.0 9.1 9.4 8.6 7.1 4.6
Colorado 9.9 0.4 1.1 1.7 3.5 5.2 6.4 8.4 8.9 9.6 9.9 9.6 9.2 8.9 6.9 6.3 3.9
West Virginia 10.2 0.3 0.7 1.8 2.9 4.4 5.9 8.0 8.8 8.7 10.2 9.8 9.6 9.4 8.1 7.4 4.0
Cincinnati 10.9 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.9 3.2 4.6 6.2 7.1 8.7 9.6 9.7 10.2 10.7 10.1 10.0 6.2
Kansas St. 11.2 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.8 4.0 5.4 6.5 7.3 9.0 9.8 10.4 11.3 11.5 11.0 7.8
Arizona St. 11.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.8 4.9 6.3 7.7 9.2 10.5 10.7 11.4 11.3 10.6 8.6
Utah 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.6 2.3 3.5 4.8 6.6 9.6 13.5 20.4 35.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Iowa St. 13 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.0 5.3 8.5 12.5 15.9 17.3 15.9 11.7 5.9 1.6
Houston 13 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.2 5.9 9.6 13.3 16.8 17.3 15.3 10.1 4.7 1.2
BYU 13 - 5 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.3 6.8 10.5 13.5 16.6 16.3 13.7 9.1 4.5 1.1
Arizona 13 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.5 4.6 7.7 11.2 13.8 16.7 15.8 12.4 8.2 3.9 0.9
Kansas 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.0 5.1 8.0 11.0 13.3 14.6 14.4 11.7 8.6 5.0 2.4 0.7 0.1
Baylor 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.3 7.1 10.1 12.4 13.7 14.0 12.1 9.8 6.3 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.0
Texas Tech 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.4 6.6 10.1 12.7 14.5 14.6 13.4 10.0 6.7 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Oklahoma St. 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 4.7 8.1 10.9 13.4 14.2 13.8 11.3 8.4 5.7 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
TCU 8 - 10 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.6 7.2 10.7 12.9 13.8 13.8 11.7 9.2 6.2 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
Central Florida 7 - 11 0.1 0.7 2.2 4.6 7.8 11.3 13.8 13.7 13.8 11.1 8.5 6.2 3.5 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Colorado 7 - 11 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.8 7.0 10.3 13.6 14.7 14.8 12.5 9.1 5.9 3.6 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
West Virginia 7 - 11 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.2 7.9 11.4 13.8 15.4 14.2 11.7 8.4 5.3 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 7 - 11 0.2 0.9 3.4 6.4 9.8 13.6 14.6 14.9 12.7 10.1 6.7 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Kansas St. 6 - 12 0.3 1.5 4.1 7.5 10.9 14.4 15.2 14.3 12.0 8.3 5.7 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Arizona St. 6 - 12 0.4 1.5 3.8 7.6 11.5 14.5 15.8 14.9 12.0 8.5 5.1 2.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Utah 4 - 14 2.9 9.0 15.1 18.5 18.0 14.5 9.7 6.2 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Iowa St. 32.4% 20.3 9.1 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Houston 28.1% 16.8 8.2 2.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
BYU 26.5% 15.9 7.8 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Arizona 24.2% 14.5 7.0 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Kansas 8.4% 4.1 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
Baylor 3.5% 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Texas Tech 2.9% 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Oklahoma St. 1.2% 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
TCU 1.0% 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Central Florida 0.5% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
Colorado 0.4% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
West Virginia 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas St. 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Arizona St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Utah 0.0% 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Iowa St. 99.6% 23.6% 76.0% 2   25.2 25.6 19.5 12.8 7.6 4.3 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 99.5%
Houston 99.2% 20.3% 79.0% 2   18.1 22.1 19.6 15.3 9.8 6.3 3.6 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.8 99.0%
BYU 99.3% 18.3% 81.0% 3   17.0 21.8 20.5 15.7 10.1 6.5 3.6 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.7 99.1%
Arizona 99.4% 19.0% 80.4% 2   22.1 26.2 20.1 13.1 7.9 4.9 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 99.3%
Kansas 89.8% 7.6% 82.2% 5   3.5 7.6 13.6 14.5 14.2 12.3 7.9 5.1 3.9 3.5 3.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 10.2 89.0%
Baylor 76.7% 3.4% 73.3% 6   1.1 2.7 5.5 7.9 10.3 11.1 11.0 8.8 7.4 5.6 5.1 0.3 0.0 23.3 75.9%
Texas Tech 69.1% 3.5% 65.5% 6   0.7 2.0 4.7 7.5 9.6 9.7 9.1 7.4 6.1 5.6 6.3 0.5 0.0 30.9 67.9%
Oklahoma St. 57.5% 1.1% 56.3% 10   0.1 0.4 1.4 2.6 4.2 6.5 7.8 8.6 9.5 8.8 7.3 0.2 42.5 57.0%
TCU 45.1% 1.1% 44.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.0 7.1 8.8 8.3 7.6 4.6 0.2 54.9 44.5%
Central Florida 34.4% 0.4% 34.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.7 3.8 5.1 6.7 7.2 6.4 0.3 65.6 34.2%
Colorado 35.1% 0.5% 34.6% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 3.5 5.0 6.4 8.1 7.7 0.4 64.9 34.8%
West Virginia 16.2% 0.4% 15.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.7 3.4 4.3 3.3 0.1 83.8 15.8%
Cincinnati 13.5% 0.3% 13.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.3 2.8 3.2 2.8 0.2 86.5 13.2%
Kansas St. 12.9% 0.3% 12.6% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.3 2.2 2.6 3.1 2.7 0.1 87.1 12.6%
Arizona St. 14.6% 0.2% 14.4% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.7 0.2 85.4 14.4%
Utah 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 99.0 1.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Iowa St. 99.6% 0.2% 99.5% 92.9% 66.3% 39.1% 21.4% 10.8% 5.3%
Houston 99.2% 0.5% 99.0% 90.5% 62.3% 35.3% 18.6% 9.4% 4.4%
BYU 99.3% 0.5% 99.1% 90.0% 60.0% 32.8% 16.6% 8.2% 3.7%
Arizona 99.4% 0.4% 99.2% 90.6% 61.4% 34.1% 17.3% 8.2% 3.7%
Kansas 89.8% 4.2% 88.0% 68.7% 35.6% 15.5% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
Baylor 76.7% 5.9% 73.9% 48.8% 19.7% 7.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Texas Tech 69.1% 7.5% 65.9% 44.0% 18.7% 6.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Oklahoma St. 57.5% 8.4% 53.1% 27.9% 8.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
TCU 45.1% 5.4% 42.3% 21.9% 6.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Central Florida 34.4% 7.3% 30.4% 13.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Colorado 35.1% 9.2% 30.1% 13.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
West Virginia 16.2% 3.7% 14.3% 6.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cincinnati 13.5% 3.3% 11.7% 5.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kansas St. 12.9% 3.2% 11.3% 5.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Arizona St. 14.6% 4.3% 12.2% 5.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah 1.0% 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 8.6 0.0 0.1 1.6 12.0 31.7 34.6 16.0 3.7 0.3 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 8.3 0.0 0.2 3.5 18.0 36.2 29.6 10.7 1.7 0.1
2nd Round 100.0% 6.2 0.0 0.7 5.3 19.4 33.7 27.7 11.1 1.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 99.7% 3.5 0.3 3.4 15.0 31.5 31.9 14.6 2.9 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 91.8% 1.8 8.2 31.4 38.0 18.7 3.4 0.3 0.0
Final Four 65.9% 0.9 34.1 46.4 17.4 2.0 0.1
Final Game 38.2% 0.4 61.8 35.0 3.2
Champion 18.7% 0.2 81.3 18.7