Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
4 Arizona 100.0%   1   28 - 2 15 - 2 +25.5      +12.0 9 +13.5 3 74.4 37 +29.0 3 +25.6 1
6 Houston 100.0%   2   24 - 5 12 - 4 +22.2      +11.3 12 +10.9 7 60.9 352 +21.4 7 +21.2 2
10 Iowa St. 100.0%   3   24 - 6 11 - 6 +20.0      +9.1 25 +10.9 8 67.8 199 +19.9 12 +17.2 5
12 Texas Tech 100.0%   3   22 - 8 12 - 5 +18.9      +11.3 11 +7.6 25 66.7 230 +19.2 15 +19.3 3
20 Kansas 100.0%   4   21 - 9 11 - 6 +17.5      +6.6 54 +10.9 9 68.0 189 +18.6 18 +18.5 4
23 BYU 98.3%   7   20 - 10 8 - 9 +15.8      +11.2 14 +4.6 55 74.0 43 +15.7 29 +12.7 9
36 Cincinnati 40.6%   11   17 - 13 9 - 8 +13.9      +3.0 99 +10.9 10 69.4 151 +10.7 56 +14.1 7
45 TCU 89.5%   9   20 - 10 10 - 7 +12.3      +4.0 86 +8.3 19 68.7 174 +14.6 36 +15.3 6
47 Baylor 3.2%   14 - 14 5 - 11 +11.6      +9.0 28 +2.6 102 69.1 163 +10.4 57 +9.6 13
51 Central Florida 77.4%   10   20 - 9 9 - 8 +11.0      +8.8 29 +2.2 116 72.7 69 +14.6 34 +13.7 8
55 West Virginia 11.3%   17 - 13 8 - 9 +10.3      +1.9 119 +8.4 18 59.6 362 +9.9 60 +12.4 10
58 Arizona St. 3.8%   16 - 14 7 - 10 +9.7      +5.3 68 +4.5 60 71.5 101 +10.9 54 +10.2 12
64 Oklahoma St. 2.4%   18 - 12 6 - 11 +8.9      +6.6 51 +2.3 109 78.5 10 +11.5 50 +9.4 14
67 Colorado 0.9%   17 - 13 7 - 10 +8.9      +6.3 56 +2.6 103 70.8 112 +9.5 64 +10.2 11
98 Kansas St. 0.0%   12 - 18 3 - 14 +5.5      +2.1 115 +3.4 80 78.9 8 +5.6 93 +3.5 15
104 Utah 0.0%   10 - 20 2 - 15 +4.3      +3.9 87 +0.4 157 67.0 221 +2.6 123 +1.2 16


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 98 Kansas St. 68 45 TCU 77   
Sat, Feb 28 47 Baylor 87 51 Central Florida 86   
Sat, Feb 28 23 BYU 71 55 West Virginia 79   
Sat, Feb 28 10 Iowa St. 73 12 Texas Tech 82   
Sat, Feb 28 4 Arizona 84 20 Kansas 61   
Sat, Feb 28 58 Arizona St. 73 104 Utah 60   
Sat, Feb 28 67 Colorado 62 6 Houston 102   
Sat, Feb 28 36 Cincinnati 91 64 Oklahoma St. 68   
Mon, Mar 2 4 Arizona 73 10 Iowa St. 57   
Tue, Mar 3 45 TCU 73 12 Texas Tech 65   
Tue, Mar 3 64 Oklahoma St. 111 51 Central Florida 104   
Tue, Mar 3 58 Arizona St. 70 20 Kansas 60   
Tue, Mar 3 98 Kansas St. 65 55 West Virginia 63   
Tue, Mar 3 23 BYU 68 36 Cincinnati 90   
Tue, Mar 3 67 Colorado 92 104 Utah 78   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 4 47 Baylor 66 6 Houston 80 89%   
Fri, Mar 6 51 Central Florida 70 55 West Virginia 72 59%   
Sat, Mar 7 23 BYU 80 12 Texas Tech 81 51%   
Sat, Mar 7 36 Cincinnati 68 45 TCU 69 56%   
Sat, Mar 7 58 Arizona St. 68 10 Iowa St. 82 89%   
Sat, Mar 7 6 Houston 82 64 Oklahoma St. 71 83%   
Sat, Mar 7 47 Baylor 84 104 Utah 73 83%   
Sat, Mar 7 4 Arizona 87 67 Colorado 73 89%   
Sat, Mar 7 20 Kansas 84 98 Kansas St. 69 91%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Arizona 1.0 100.0
Houston 2.0 99.0 1.0
Texas Tech 2.9 13.7 86.3
Kansas 3.6 0.9 45.1 47.1 7.0
Iowa St. 3.6 0.8 43.9 45.5 9.8
TCU 5.9 0.4 9.2 90.4
Cincinnati 6.8 44.6 32.0 23.4
Central Florida 7.1 18.5 55.4 26.1
West Virginia 8.3 32.0 26.1 21.6 20.4
BYU 8.7 15.6 24.2 30.8 29.5
Arizona St. 11.0 2.5 5.4 83.3 8.8
Colorado 11.0 2.2 4.9 83.3 9.6
Oklahoma St. 12.8 13.3 3.0 77.2 6.5
Baylor 13.1 6.6 1.5 64.7 27.3
Kansas St. 15.0 100.0
Utah 15.8 15.0 85.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Arizona 16 - 2 29 - 2 9.9 90.1
Houston 14 - 4 26 - 5 2.0 22.2 75.8
Texas Tech 13 - 5 23 - 8 49.0 51.0
Kansas 12 - 6 22 - 9 7.8 92.2
Iowa St. 12 - 6 25 - 6 10.6 89.4
TCU 11 - 7 21 - 10 44.6 55.4
Cincinnati 9 - 9 17 - 14 55.4 44.6
Central Florida 9 - 9 20 - 10 58.1 41.9
West Virginia 9 - 9 18 - 13 41.9 58.1
BYU 8 - 10 20 - 11 51.0 49.0
Arizona St. 7 - 11 16 - 15 89.4 10.6
Colorado 7 - 11 17 - 14 90.1 9.9
Oklahoma St. 6 - 12 18 - 13 83.5 16.5
Baylor 6 - 12 15 - 15 14.8 77.0 8.2
Kansas St. 3 - 15 12 - 19 92.2 7.8
Utah 2 - 16 10 - 21 83.7 16.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Arizona 100.0% 100.0
Houston
Texas Tech
Kansas
Iowa St.
TCU
Cincinnati
Central Florida
West Virginia
BYU
Arizona St.
Colorado
Oklahoma St.
Baylor
Kansas St.
Utah


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Arizona 100.0% 46.3% 53.7% 1   93.8 6.2 0.0 100.0%
Houston 100.0% 25.9% 74.1% 2   13.6 53.8 24.5 7.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Iowa St. 100.0% 8.5% 91.5% 3   1.0 14.8 31.2 32.1 16.8 3.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Texas Tech 100.0% 9.6% 90.4% 3   0.8 14.0 32.5 31.3 17.6 3.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Kansas 100.0% 6.2% 93.8% 4   0.2 3.8 20.8 33.4 32.7 8.7 0.5 100.0%
BYU 98.3% 1.7% 96.5% 7   0.2 1.2 8.1 26.6 29.4 18.7 9.7 3.9 0.4 1.7 98.2%
Cincinnati 40.6% 0.7% 39.8% 11   0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 3.7 9.0 22.6 1.8 59.4 40.1%
TCU 89.5% 0.5% 89.0% 9   0.0 0.0 0.5 4.0 12.9 25.8 26.9 16.1 3.4 10.6 89.4%
Baylor 3.2% 0.2% 3.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 96.8 3.0%
Central Florida 77.4% 0.2% 77.2% 10   0.0 0.4 3.3 11.9 22.8 27.6 11.3 0.0 22.6 77.4%
West Virginia 11.3% 0.1% 11.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.8 8.5 0.6 88.7 11.2%
Arizona St. 3.8% 0.0% 3.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.9 0.5 0.0 96.2 3.7%
Oklahoma St. 2.4% 0.0% 2.4% 0.0 0.1 1.9 0.4 97.6 2.4%
Colorado 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 99.1 0.9%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 8.3 0.7 12.9 49.2 33.0 4.1 0.1 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 8.0 0.0 1.4 22.1 54.6 20.6 1.2 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 6.2 0.0 0.2 2.9 18.6 41.0 29.7 7.1 0.5 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.9% 3.6 0.1 1.9 11.5 31.2 36.9 15.9 2.4 0.1 0.0
Elite Eight 95.0% 1.9 5.0 28.5 42.5 20.5 3.4 0.2 0.0
Final Four 74.7% 1.0 25.3 53.2 19.7 1.7 0.1
Final Game 44.1% 0.5 55.9 40.6 3.5
Champion 22.5% 0.2 77.5 22.5

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Arizona 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.8% 86.4% 66.2% 46.3% 26.7% 14.8%
Houston 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.0% 75.8% 47.8% 23.0% 10.9% 4.5%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.1% 61.9% 27.4% 11.9% 4.4% 1.6%
Texas Tech 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.5% 57.9% 23.4% 9.0% 3.2% 1.1%
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.7% 46.8% 14.3% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4%
BYU 98.3% 0.4% 98.1% 62.3% 19.2% 6.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Cincinnati 40.6% 24.7% 30.1% 13.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
TCU 89.5% 3.4% 87.7% 37.6% 5.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Baylor 3.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Florida 77.4% 11.6% 70.7% 25.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
West Virginia 11.3% 9.1% 6.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arizona St. 3.8% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 2.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colorado 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%