Central Florida
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#63
Expected Predictive Rating+17.1#21
Pace75.5#44
Improvement+0.4#159

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#47
First Shot+4.5#60
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#54
Layup/Dunks+5.7#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#190
Freethrows+0.3#167
Improvement-0.5#227

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#114
First Shot-1.0#205
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#34
Layups/Dunks+4.1#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#262
Freethrows-4.6#355
Improvement+0.9#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 5.1% 5.9% 1.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.4% 37.3% 22.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 34.2% 37.0% 21.8%
Average Seed 8.7 8.6 9.2
.500 or above 79.5% 83.9% 60.4%
.500 or above in Conference 32.0% 34.2% 22.7%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 8.0% 12.6%
First Four7.3% 7.6% 6.0%
First Round30.4% 33.0% 18.8%
Second Round13.6% 15.1% 7.0%
Sweet Sixteen2.9% 3.3% 1.3%
Elite Eight0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Home) - 81.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 25 - 38 - 12
Quad 35 - 113 - 13
Quad 45 - 017 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 136 Hofstra W 82-78 83%     1 - 0 +2.7 +7.7 -5.1
  Sat, Nov 8 12 Vanderbilt L 93-105 26%     1 - 1 +3.7 +19.8 -15.5
  Tue, Nov 11 345 Florida A&M W 97-60 97%     2 - 1 +22.6 +12.0 +8.4
  Fri, Nov 14 38 @Texas A&M W 86-74 28%     3 - 1 +27.1 +13.9 +12.4
  Mon, Nov 17 141 Oakland W 87-83 83%     4 - 1 +2.5 +6.1 -3.7
  Thu, Nov 20 92 Pittsburgh W 77-67 63%     5 - 1 +15.4 +15.2 +1.3
  Tue, Nov 25 154 Quinnipiac W 102-91 86%     6 - 1 +8.1 +17.8 -10.9
  Sat, Nov 29 337 VMI W 82-57 97%     7 - 1 +11.0 +4.1 +7.6
  Sun, Dec 7 129 Towson W 78-69 81%    
  Wed, Dec 17 191 Mercer W 91-77 90%    
  Sat, Dec 20 177 Florida Gulf Coast W 90-77 89%    
  Sat, Jan 3 18 Kansas L 75-79 35%    
  Tue, Jan 6 47 @Oklahoma St. L 86-91 32%    
  Sun, Jan 11 68 Cincinnati W 80-77 63%    
  Wed, Jan 14 71 @Kansas St. L 85-87 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 9 Arizona L 80-87 25%    
  Tue, Jan 20 6 @Iowa St. L 74-89 9%    
  Sat, Jan 24 64 @Colorado L 81-84 40%    
  Tue, Jan 27 82 Arizona St. W 85-80 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 30 Texas Tech L 78-80 43%    
  Wed, Feb 4 7 @Houston L 65-79 10%    
  Sun, Feb 8 68 @Cincinnati L 77-80 41%    
  Sat, Feb 14 65 West Virginia W 75-72 62%    
  Tue, Feb 17 48 TCU W 79-78 53%    
  Sat, Feb 21 117 @Utah W 83-80 59%    
  Tue, Feb 24 8 @BYU L 74-87 11%    
  Sat, Feb 28 28 Baylor L 83-85 43%    
  Tue, Mar 3 47 Oklahoma St. W 89-88 52%    
  Fri, Mar 6 65 @West Virginia L 72-75 40%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 2.5 0.8 0.1 5.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.0 1.7 0.1 6.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.5 2.8 0.4 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.2 3.3 4.2 0.9 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.7 5.2 1.8 0.1 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.7 3.5 0.2 9.2 10th
11th 0.2 3.2 4.7 0.9 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 1.7 5.3 2.0 0.1 9.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 4.5 3.7 0.3 0.0 9.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.9 0.9 0.0 8.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.1 1.0 0.1 7.1 15th
16th 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.6 0.6 0.1 4.6 16th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.2 4.6 7.8 11.3 13.8 13.7 13.8 11.1 8.5 6.2 3.5 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 72.7% 0.1    0.1
15-3 60.9% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 22.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 31.8% 68.2% 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.8% 100.0% 4.1% 95.9% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.7% 99.6% 2.9% 96.7% 5.8 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 3.5% 98.2% 3.2% 94.9% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 98.1%
11-7 6.2% 93.9% 0.9% 93.0% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.4 93.8%
10-8 8.5% 87.4% 0.6% 86.8% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.5 1.8 0.4 1.1 87.3%
9-9 11.1% 71.7% 0.2% 71.5% 9.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.0 1.6 0.0 3.1 71.7%
8-10 13.8% 36.7% 0.3% 36.5% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.8 0.1 8.7 36.6%
7-11 13.7% 12.1% 0.1% 12.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.1 12.1 12.0%
6-12 13.8% 2.4% 0.0% 2.4% 11.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 13.5 2.4%
5-13 11.3% 11.3
4-14 7.8% 7.8
3-15 4.6% 4.6
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 34.4% 0.4% 34.0% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.7 3.8 5.1 6.7 7.2 6.4 0.3 65.6 34.2%