Towson
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#213
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#264
Pace58.7#361
Improvement-4.1#353

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#257
First Shot-9.4#360
After Offensive Rebound+6.3#2
Layup/Dunks-3.9#313
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#245
Freethrows-2.8#326
Improvement-1.0#267

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#149
First Shot-0.2#178
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#109
Layups/Dunks-1.3#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#203
Freethrows-0.6#232
Improvement-3.1#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.8% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 25.4% 34.6% 14.3%
.500 or above in Conference 61.7% 66.2% 56.3%
Conference Champion 5.0% 6.0% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 2.5% 4.3%
First Four0.8% 0.6% 1.0%
First Round4.6% 5.6% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Home) - 54.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 74 - 12
Quad 410 - 614 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 43   @ St. Mary's L 69-76 7%     0 - 1 +6.8 +8.1 -1.8
  Nov 12, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 54-80 10%     0 - 2 -14.7 -12.6 -2.5
  Nov 16, 2024 115   James Madison W 67-63 39%     1 - 2 +4.2 -1.6 +6.1
  Nov 20, 2024 241   @ Nicholls St. W 70-64 46%     2 - 2 +4.5 +4.0 +1.1
  Nov 24, 2024 348   @ Morgan St. W 64-60 74%     3 - 2 -5.2 -12.6 +7.6
  Nov 28, 2024 113   Kent St. L 54-65 28%     3 - 3 -7.6 -5.2 -4.2
  Nov 29, 2024 162   Kennesaw St. L 63-67 OT 41%     3 - 4 -4.3 -7.7 +3.2
  Nov 30, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 60-67 14%     3 - 5 +2.2 -1.5 +3.3
  Dec 07, 2024 249   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71-84 70%     3 - 6 -20.9 -11.5 -8.7
  Dec 14, 2024 200   Duquesne L 47-65 47%     3 - 7 -19.7 -10.8 -14.0
  Dec 17, 2024 259   @ Robert Morris L 67-68 49%     3 - 8 -3.3 +3.6 -7.0
  Dec 22, 2024 178   Bryant W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 02, 2025 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 62-69 26%    
  Jan 04, 2025 121   @ College of Charleston L 63-71 23%    
  Jan 09, 2025 160   Northeastern W 64-63 53%    
  Jan 11, 2025 146   @ Drexel L 58-64 29%    
  Jan 16, 2025 151   Hofstra W 61-60 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 307   Stony Brook W 69-60 79%    
  Jan 23, 2025 321   N.C. A&T W 75-65 81%    
  Jan 27, 2025 160   @ Northeastern L 61-66 31%    
  Jan 30, 2025 219   @ Delaware L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 01, 2025 146   Drexel W 62-61 50%    
  Feb 06, 2025 307   @ Stony Brook W 66-63 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 272   @ Monmouth W 65-64 52%    
  Feb 13, 2025 219   Delaware W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 272   Monmouth W 68-62 72%    
  Feb 20, 2025 179   @ Elon L 61-66 34%    
  Feb 22, 2025 295   @ Campbell W 63-61 56%    
  Feb 27, 2025 222   William & Mary W 74-70 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 266   Hampton W 65-59 71%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.8 1.8 0.1 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 4.6 2.4 0.2 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.9 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.9 5.1 1.0 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.7 2.0 0.1 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.8 3.3 0.3 0.0 9.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.1 0.6 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.9 1.2 0.0 7.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.6 0.1 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.5 0.3 4.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.4 6.9 10.5 12.8 14.4 14.5 12.1 9.4 6.3 3.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 94.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 82.1% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 55.6% 1.7    0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 20.6% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 22.0% 22.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 27.6% 27.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.3% 20.3% 20.3% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
14-4 3.1% 17.7% 17.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.6
13-5 6.3% 13.2% 13.2% 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 5.4
12-6 9.4% 10.6% 10.6% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 8.4
11-7 12.1% 6.4% 6.4% 15.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 11.4
10-8 14.5% 4.3% 4.3% 15.6 0.3 0.4 13.9
9-9 14.4% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 14.0
8-10 12.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 12.6
7-11 10.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.4
6-12 6.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.9
5-13 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
4-14 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.1 1.4 95.1 0.0%