Towson
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#150
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#129
Pace60.7#349
Improvement+3.6#40

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#173
First Shot-6.6#340
After Offensive Rebound+6.7#2
Layup/Dunks-3.1#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#242
Freethrows-2.6#322
Improvement+5.4#9

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#163
First Shot-1.1#218
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#62
Layups/Dunks-1.0#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#276
Freethrows+0.2#170
Improvement-1.8#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 37 - 68 - 9
Quad 413 - 221 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 26   @ St. Mary's L 69-76 7%     0 - 1 +10.6 +11.4 -1.3
  Nov 12, 2024 68   @ South Carolina L 54-80 17%     0 - 2 -15.3 -11.4 -4.3
  Nov 16, 2024 165   James Madison W 67-63 64%     1 - 2 +0.9 -4.3 +5.6
  Nov 20, 2024 177   @ Nicholls St. W 70-64 45%     2 - 2 +7.7 +4.8 +3.5
  Nov 24, 2024 333   @ Morgan St. W 64-60 80%     3 - 2 -4.3 -12.9 +8.7
  Nov 28, 2024 133   Kent St. L 54-65 45%     3 - 3 -9.3 -8.2 -2.9
  Nov 29, 2024 137   Kennesaw St. L 63-67 OT 47%     3 - 4 -2.6 -4.7 +1.9
  Nov 30, 2024 70   UC Irvine L 60-67 24%     3 - 5 +0.8 -2.2 +2.7
  Dec 07, 2024 303   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71-84 86%     3 - 6 -23.9 -14.4 -8.9
  Dec 14, 2024 122   Duquesne L 47-65 43%     3 - 7 -15.7 -10.1 -10.8
  Dec 17, 2024 146   @ Robert Morris L 67-68 38%     3 - 8 +2.7 +4.8 -2.3
  Dec 22, 2024 151   Bryant W 70-65 61%     4 - 8 +2.7 -2.6 +5.3
  Jan 02, 2025 111   @ UNC Wilmington W 65-61 OT 29%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +10.4 -3.6 +14.1
  Jan 04, 2025 148   @ College of Charleston L 69-77 38%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -4.4 +0.3 -4.9
  Jan 09, 2025 209   Northeastern W 80-73 72%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +1.6 +15.9 -13.4
  Jan 11, 2025 183   @ Drexel W 93-82 OT 47%     7 - 9 3 - 1 +12.4 +17.0 -5.2
  Jan 16, 2025 215   Hofstra W 65-60 73%     8 - 9 4 - 1 -0.8 +4.8 -4.7
  Jan 18, 2025 324   Stony Brook W 53-49 88%     9 - 9 5 - 1 -8.5 -18.0 +10.3
  Jan 23, 2025 328   N.C. A&T W 83-67 90%     10 - 9 6 - 1 +2.7 +8.4 -5.0
  Jan 27, 2025 209   @ Northeastern W 75-65 52%     11 - 9 7 - 1 +10.1 +7.8 +2.9
  Jan 30, 2025 228   @ Delaware W 76-66 56%     12 - 9 8 - 1 +9.1 +1.7 +7.7
  Feb 01, 2025 183   Drexel W 55-54 67%     13 - 9 9 - 1 -3.1 -2.3 -0.5
  Feb 06, 2025 324   @ Stony Brook W 66-59 76%     14 - 9 10 - 1 +0.0 -4.0 +4.9
  Feb 08, 2025 247   @ Monmouth W 73-67 60%     15 - 9 11 - 1 +4.0 +6.1 -1.5
  Feb 13, 2025 228   Delaware W 75-70 75%     16 - 9 12 - 1 -1.4 -1.8 +0.6
  Feb 15, 2025 247   Monmouth W 80-54 78%     17 - 9 13 - 1 +18.5 +7.9 +12.4
  Feb 20, 2025 206   @ Elon L 63-69 51%     17 - 10 13 - 2 -5.8 -10.1 +4.2
  Feb 22, 2025 220   @ Campbell W 76-67 54%     18 - 10 14 - 2 +8.5 +18.1 -8.0
  Feb 27, 2025 232   William & Mary W 88-73 76%     19 - 10 15 - 2 +8.3 +17.3 -7.7
  Mar 01, 2025 211   Hampton W 75-72 72%     20 - 10 16 - 2 -2.6 +8.6 -10.9
  Mar 09, 2025 183   Drexel W 82-76 57%     21 - 10 +4.7 +20.5 -15.0
  Mar 10, 2025 228   Delaware L 72-82 66%     21 - 11 -13.6 -5.1 -8.7
Projected Record 21 - 11 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%