Towson
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#129
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#105
Pace60.9#358
Improvement+2.1#39

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#133
First Shot+2.3#116
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#241
Layup/Dunks+1.0#143
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#228
Freethrows-2.1#294
Improvement+4.5#1

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#128
First Shot-1.9#232
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#26
Layups/Dunks-2.5#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#115
Freethrows+0.4#156
Improvement-2.4#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.4% 22.5% 16.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.4 13.1
.500 or above 89.9% 96.8% 88.3%
.500 or above in Conference 89.7% 94.0% 88.8%
Conference Champion 24.2% 32.0% 22.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 0.5%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round17.4% 22.5% 16.2%
Second Round1.6% 2.6% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 18.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 22 - 5
Quad 36 - 58 - 9
Quad 412 - 219 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 319 Loyola Maryland W 67-56 86%     1 - 0 +1.9 -6.3 +9.1
  Sat, Nov 8 7 @Houston L 48-65 4%     1 - 1 +5.9 -8.7 +13.2
  Fri, Nov 14 231 Norfolk St. W 51-41 82%     2 - 1 +2.9 -13.0 +17.7
  Tue, Nov 18 169 @James Madison L 75-81 52%     2 - 2 -4.0 +10.8 -15.7
  Mon, Nov 24 110 Rhode Island W 62-55 44%     3 - 2 +10.9 +0.5 +11.4
  Tue, Nov 25 98 Liberty W 72-69 40%     4 - 2 +8.0 +7.6 +0.8
  Wed, Nov 26 102 UC San Diego L 73-87 41%     4 - 3 -9.2 +7.5 -17.9
  Wed, Dec 3 150 Cornell W 93-80 69%     5 - 3 +10.3 +16.6 -6.1
  Sun, Dec 7 63 @Central Florida L 69-78 19%    
  Tue, Dec 16 18 @Kansas L 59-76 6%    
  Mon, Dec 22 255 Sacred Heart W 79-68 84%    
  Mon, Dec 29 118 @William & Mary L 72-76 37%    
  Wed, Dec 31 212 @Hampton W 68-65 59%    
  Sat, Jan 3 205 Monmouth W 72-64 78%    
  Thu, Jan 8 136 Hofstra W 68-64 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 227 @Northeastern W 70-67 62%    
  Thu, Jan 15 180 College of Charleston W 72-65 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 256 Drexel W 71-60 84%    
  Thu, Jan 22 223 @Elon W 75-72 62%    
  Sat, Jan 24 323 @N.C. A&T W 74-65 78%    
  Thu, Jan 29 109 UNC Wilmington W 67-66 55%    
  Sat, Jan 31 212 Hampton W 71-62 78%    
  Sat, Feb 7 136 @Hofstra L 65-67 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 222 Stony Brook W 71-62 79%    
  Sat, Feb 14 205 @Monmouth W 69-67 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 256 @Drexel W 68-63 67%    
  Thu, Feb 26 223 Elon W 78-69 79%    
  Sat, Feb 28 224 Campbell W 75-66 79%    
  Tue, Mar 3 222 @Stony Brook W 68-65 61%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 2.9 5.9 7.2 4.7 2.3 0.5 24.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.3 7.1 5.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 20.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.0 6.2 3.9 1.0 0.1 15.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.5 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.8 2.4 0.3 0.0 6.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.0 0.3 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.7 0.0 3.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.7 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.8 4.7 7.3 10.6 13.0 14.5 14.5 12.4 9.5 5.1 2.3 0.5 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 99.1% 2.3    2.1 0.1
16-2 92.7% 4.7    4.0 0.7 0.0
15-3 76.2% 7.2    4.9 2.1 0.2 0.0
14-4 47.6% 5.9    2.7 2.5 0.7 0.1
13-5 20.3% 2.9    0.7 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 24.2% 24.2 15.0 6.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 53.2% 51.8% 1.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3.0%
17-1 2.3% 41.6% 41.6% 11.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3
16-2 5.1% 34.4% 34.4% 12.2 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 3.3
15-3 9.5% 32.6% 32.6% 12.5 0.1 1.4 1.3 0.3 6.4
14-4 12.4% 24.8% 24.8% 12.8 0.0 1.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 9.4
13-5 14.5% 21.1% 21.1% 13.0 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 11.4
12-6 14.5% 17.0% 17.0% 13.3 0.4 1.2 0.8 0.1 12.0
11-7 13.0% 10.3% 10.3% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 11.7
10-8 10.6% 7.6% 7.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 9.8
9-9 7.3% 4.8% 4.8% 14.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 7.0
8-10 4.7% 3.1% 3.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.5
7-11 2.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.8
6-12 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-13 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.3% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 17.4% 17.4% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.3 6.9 3.4 0.8 0.1 82.6 0.0%