Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +1.6 135
Results Rating +1.2 142
Consistency 0.17 294
Pace 66.0 251
Improvement -3.8 315

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 213 C C- D B B-
Defense B- 85 C+ C A- D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 143 C 59% 150 +1.1 136
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 277 C+ 40% 104 -1.4 259
Three Pointers 44% 114 D+ 32% 271 +0.3 166
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 92 C -0.7 195
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 170
Second Chance C+ 32.2% 118 D 0.92 324 C- 0.30 209
Opponents' Steals F+ 12.1% 355
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 170
Turnovers D 19.2% 327
Freethrows B+ 0.36 28 C 73% 182 B 0.26 41
Total Offense C- -1.6 213

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 38% 325 D+ 12.3% 258
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 206 C+ 4.1% 124
Three Pointers C 84% 181 A- 0.1% 9
Total D+ 51% 291 C 5.6% 187


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 124 B- 54% 71 -0.5 160
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 268 B+ 34% 34 -1.8 41
Three Pointers 41% 155 D+ 36% 281 +1.6 264
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 264 C+ -1.2 130
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.01 150
Second Chance C- 30.8% 212 C+ 1.01 139 C 0.31 187
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.4% 20
Other Turnovers B+ 8.7% 35
Turnovers A- 21.0% 13
Freethrows D 0.35 319 B 70% 66 D 0.25 294
Total Defense B- +3.2 85

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 134 B+ 15.9% 39
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 148 C+ 5.9% 104
Three Pointers C- 85% 202 D 0.2% 332
Total C 56% 195 B 7.6% 44

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 207 17.8 260
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 38 0.15 100
Consistency 0.14 300 0.12 198
Improvement -3.8 336 +0.0 194

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 156 138 122
Results Rating Rank 178 143 123
Conference Record 6 - 12 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 10 10 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.2
.500 or above 79% 100% 52%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Duquesne (Home) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b2 - 22 - 2
Quad 22 - 64 - 7
Quad 35 - 59 - 13
Quad 47 - 317 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 320 Stetson W 93 - 62 90% +17  97% 1 - 0 A +18 B- +5 B- A+ F A+ +12 B+ A- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 65 Tulsa L 65 - 82 24% -9  5% 1 - 1 D+ -8 D -5 C- B F D+ -4 C+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 335 Stonehill W 80 - 57 93% +12  88% 2 - 1 B +8 C +2 C+ C- F+ B+ +6 B+ D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 321 Albany W 80 - 61 91% +6  64% 3 - 1 B- +6 C+ +2 F+ A C+ B +5 A+ F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 88 @Yale W 86 - 77 23% +0  42% 4 - 1 A +18 A+ +16 A+ B D+ B- +2 A F A
 Mon, Nov 24 167 Towson L 55 - 62 58% -2  34% 4 - 2 D+ -8 F -10 F A+ F C+ +1 C- B+ B+
 Tue, Nov 25 234 Vermont W 80 - 65 71% +7  83% 5 - 2 B +11 A- +10 B A- F B- +2 B- F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 166 Temple W 90 - 75 58% +7  81% 6 - 2 B+ +14 A +13 A+ D+ A+ C+ +2 C+ B- B
 Tue, Dec 2 282 Brown W 66 - 56 85% +4  80% 7 - 2 C +0 D -6 F+ B D A- +7 A+ C C+
 Sat, Dec 6 61 @Providence L 71 - 90 16% -5  18% 7 - 3 D+ -7 D+ -3 A+ F F D+ -4 F C A+
 Tue, Dec 9 83 McNeese St. L 64 - 66 41% -2  6% 7 - 4 C+ +2 D- -7 B D F A +9 C+ A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 16 338 Canisius W 62 - 45 93% +3  45% 8 - 4 C+ +2 F -12 F+ F F A+ +15 A- A- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 296 Northeastern W 85 - 77 88% +6  89% 9 - 4 C- -3 B+ +9 B+ A+ C- F -11 F B+ B+
 Wed, Dec 31 279 Loyola Chicago L 57 - 61 85% -7  11% 9 - 5 0 - 1 D- -14 F -18 F C- F B +5 F F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 105 @George Mason L 50 - 61 29% -4  7% 9 - 6 0 - 2 C- -4 F -16 D+ F F A +11 C+ A D+
 Wed, Jan 7 210 La Salle L 72 - 79 76% -2  38% 9 - 7 0 - 3 D- -13 C+ +3 B C+ F F -16 F F B
 Sat, Jan 10 111 @Davidson W 70 - 45 31% +14  99% 10 - 7 1 - 3 A+ +32 A- +10 A+ F B- A+ +26 A+ A+ A
 Wed, Jan 14 49 Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 84 26% -8  0% 10 - 8 1 - 4 C -1 B- +5 A+ F D D -6 C- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 136 @Richmond W 69 - 68 39% -2  13% 11 - 8 2 - 4 B- +6 D+ -3 D C F A +9 D+ B A
 Sat, Jan 24 105 George Mason W 74 - 65 51% +5  93% 12 - 8 3 - 4 B +10 A +12 C+ C+ A+ C +0 B F+ C-
 Tue, Jan 27 75 @Dayton W 81 - 76 OT 19% -3  30% 13 - 8 4 - 4 A- +16 B+ +8 B- D B- A- +8 F A A+
 Sun, Feb 1 120 @Duquesne L 61 - 76 34% -8  3% 13 - 9 4 - 5 D -9 D- -7 C- D+ D D+ -4 D- D+ A-
 Sat, Feb 7 136 Richmond W 82 - 77 62% -0  49% 14 - 9 5 - 5 C+ +4 B+ +8 D+ A+ C+ D+ -4 D+ A A-
 Tue, Feb 10 78 @George Washington L 70 - 75 20% -7  0% 14 - 10 5 - 6 B- +6 C- -1 C- C- D+ B+ +6 D+ A- A
 Sat, Feb 14 159 Fordham L 66 - 70 OT 67% +6  85% 14 - 11 5 - 7 D+ -7 D- -7 D+ D C- C -0 C+ D+ C+
 Tue, Feb 17 24 Saint Louis W 81 - 76 15% +4  91% 15 - 11 6 - 7 A- +18 B +7 A+ F+ D- A +11 A+ A A+
 Sat, Feb 21 210 @La Salle L 46 - 59 55% -8  10% 15 - 12 6 - 8 D- -13 F -21 F C B+ B+ +6 A+ C- A
 Thu, Feb 26 138 @St. Bonaventure L 76 - 94 40% -9  0% 15 - 13 6 - 9 D- -14 C -0 C C D+ F -14 F F D
 Sat, Feb 28 116 Saint Joseph's L 55 - 61 56% -3  25% 15 - 14 6 - 10 D+ -6 F -17 F F D- A +11 A- A+ B-
 Wed, Mar 4 120 Duquesne W 73 - 71 56%
 Sat, Mar 7 159 @Fordham L 64 - 65 45%
Totals 16 - 15 7 - 11 +2 C- -2 F C B- B- +3 D+ C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C C+ D+ C 40% 29% 44% B- C C+ D C- D B+ C B B- B- B+ D+ C+ 41% 18% 41% D+ C+ C- C+ C A- D B D
1.06 59% 40% 32% -1 +1 1.02 32% 0.9 .30 19% .36 73% .26 1.04 54% 34% 36% -1 +1 1.01 31% 1.0 .31 21% .35 70% .25
Nov
3		 Stetson B- A+ A F B- 40% 16% 44% C+ B- A+ A- A+ F A+ A- A+ A+ A D B A- 38% 15% 48% D- B+ D+ A+ A- A+ F A+ D
1.26 80% 50% 27% +6 +1 1.16 48% 1.3 .65 19% .40 79% .32 0.84 44% 43% 30% -7 +1 0.90 28% 0.6 .18 27% .41 55% .22
Nov
7		 Tulsa D C+ F D D+ 43% 19% 38% C+ C- B+ C- B F A+ A- A+ D+ C+ A+ F C 47% 16% 38% B- C+ F F F A+ F A+ D
1.00 61% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.1 .36 25% .39 79% .30 1.26 57% 14% 47% +3 +1 1.11 45% 1.6 .72 21% .47 63% .29
Nov
11		 Stonehill C B+ A+ F C 55% 14% 31% A- C+ C+ F+ C- F+ A A+ A+ B+ A A+ B+ A- 28% 14% 58% C+ B+ D- C- D+ A+ F D+ F
1.12 64% 57% 19% -1 +2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 15% .37 82% .30 0.80 42% 17% 28% -13 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .29 29% .42 71% .30
Nov
14		 Albany C+ D D F F 51% 12% 37% B+ F+ A- B- A C+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ F A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% C- A+ F F F A- D- B D+
1.21 52% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.92 43% 1.3 .54 14% .49 89% .44 0.92 41% 57% 14% -18 +1 0.67 44% 1.2 .54 24% .28 64% .18
Nov
18		 Yale A+ F A+ A+ A 46% 14% 40% B+ A+ A D- B D+ A+ B A+ B- B C- A- A+ 52% 15% 33% F+ A F D- F A F F F
1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27 1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36
Nov
24		 Towson F C A+ F F 34% 17% 49% C+ F C+ A+ A+ F A F B C+ F B D- D- 23% 52% 25% A+ C- C+ A B+ B+ F C F
0.90 57% 71% 5% -16 0 0.71 29% 1.7 .50 24% .35 63% .22 1.01 70% 35% 36% +2 -5 0.95 34% 0.6 .22 20% .39 68% .26
Nov
25		 Vermont A- A- F D+ C+ 52% 5% 43% A+ B A+ F A- F A+ D- A+ B- C- F A- B 29% 9% 62% D+ B- D F F A+ F B F
1.25 68% 0% 33% +3 +3 1.14 48% 0.8 .39 17% .72 68% .49 1.02 62% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.4 .39 22% .46 70% .32
Nov
26		 Temple A A+ C A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% C- A+ F A+ D+ A+ B+ F C C+ D+ A C+ C+ 39% 22% 39% C C+ A+ F B- B F C- F
1.29 81% 40% 43% +14 0 1.30 17% 1.6 .27 9% .36 61% .22 1.07 61% 30% 33% -1 0 1.00 18% 1.3 .24 16% .56 76% .43
Dec
2		 Brown D C+ F+ F F 44% 20% 36% C+ F+ B- B B D A C- A- A- A+ A+ B- A+ 52% 27% 21% B- A+ F A+ C C+ F+ F+ F
1.00 60% 33% 19% -8 +1 0.87 34% 1.1 .37 20% .42 73% .30 0.85 40% 15% 30% -17 0 0.69 43% 0.7 .30 21% .33 76% .25
Dec
6		 Providence D+ D F A+ A+ 32% 14% 54% B A+ C- F F F C- F F D+ F F F F 32% 13% 55% C+ F C+ D+ C A+ C B C+
1.02 50% 29% 52% +11 0 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 24% .26 50% .13 1.29 80% 50% 50% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.3 .42 21% .35 74% .26
Dec
9		 McNeese St. D- A- A+ D- B- 42% 11% 47% B+ B F A+ D F A+ A+ A+ A A D+ D B- 51% 14% 35% F+ C+ B- A+ A+ B+ D+ A+ C+
0.94 67% 50% 29% +2 +1 1.08 17% 1.8 .30 31% .57 85% .48 0.96 48% 43% 35% -4 +2 0.98 31% 0.5 .15 16% .33 63% .21
Dec
16		 Canisius F D- F D F 37% 8% 56% B+ F+ A F F F D- A+ C- A+ A+ B- C A- 43% 29% 29% C A- C A+ A- A+ D C D
0.98 53% 25% 31% -5 +2 0.94 40% 0.5 .19 21% .26 85% .22 0.71 33% 33% 33% -12 -1 0.76 26% 0.6 .14 30% .32 71% .23
Dec
22		 Northeastern B+ C A+ C A- 36% 24% 40% D- B+ A+ C- A+ C- D D D- F B- A+ F F 49% 2% 49% F F F+ A+ B+ B+ F F F
1.31 61% 83% 35% +13 -1 1.26 47% 1.0 .47 17% .30 69% .20 1.19 55% 0% 50% +9 +3 1.27 32% 0.7 .21 20% .48 76% .37
Dec
31		 Loyola Chicago F F C F F 38% 21% 40% C F B+ F C- F B- F+ C B B- F F F 44% 8% 49% D F F B F+ A+ A- F C
0.87 44% 40% 21% -13 0 0.77 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 71% .22 0.93 53% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 46% 0.8 .38 37% .24 90% .22
Jan
3		 George Mason F A- F D D+ 26% 19% 55% C D+ D- F F F D- F F A B A+ F C 38% 24% 38% B- C+ A+ F A D+ F A+ C-
0.80 67% 22% 31% -4 -1 0.94 20% 0.4 .08 21% .18 33% .06 0.98 56% 10% 50% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.5 .20 14% .49 58% .28
Jan
7		 La Salle C+ B F A B 24% 11% 64% C B A+ F C+ F A+ C- A F D- B F F 56% 9% 35% F F D+ F F B F A- F
1.12 64% 0% 41% +4 0 1.11 44% 0.8 .36 25% .37 67% .25 1.23 63% 33% 50% +11 +3 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 20% .65 67% .43
Jan
10		 Davidson A- A+ A+ B- A+ 42% 20% 38% B A+ F C F B- F B F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 38% F A+ A+ A+ A+ A F B- F
1.16 79% 67% 35% +15 0 1.33 14% 1.0 .14 17% .20 70% .14 0.75 57% 0% 13% -16 +2 0.75 13% 0.8 .10 22% .40 63% .25
Jan
14		 Virginia Commonwealth B- A- A+ C+ A+ 39% 14% 47% C+ A+ D+ F F D A+ F A D C- A+ D- C 42% 4% 54% D- C- A+ F D+ F F+ A+ C-
1.11 63% 71% 35% +7 +1 1.18 27% 0.5 .13 19% .44 63% .28 1.25 60% 0% 38% +3 +2 1.13 26% 1.6 .42 7% .45 64% .29
Jan
21		 Richmond D+ C C- F F+ 48% 17% 35% A D A F C F A+ A- A+ A C C- D- D+ 31% 21% 48% D D+ B+ C+ B A C- A+ A-
1.00 59% 38% 19% -8 +1 0.89 39% 0.9 .33 22% .48 77% .37 0.99 60% 40% 39% +5 -1 1.10 20% 1.0 .20 19% .34 58% .20
Jan
24		 George Mason A A- F D- C 48% 14% 39% A C+ D A+ C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C A F A- B+ 44% 22% 34% C- B C- F F+ C- F F+ F
1.24 67% 17% 29% -1 +2 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 7% .52 76% .40 1.09 50% 56% 29% -3 0 0.98 32% 1.2 .39 15% .47 79% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Dayton B+ F B A+ B- 43% 26% 30% C+ B- C+ F D B- A+ A A+ A- F+ B F F 44% 18% 38% B- F C+ A+ A A+ F C F
1.08 40% 42% 50% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .21 20% .60 78% .47 1.01 71% 29% 47% +11 +1 1.26 27% 0.9 .23 31% .64 76% .48
Feb
1		 Duquesne D- B- F B- C 29% 22% 49% C- C- C- D D+ D C F F D+ B+ A+ F D 41% 2% 56% D- D- F+ C+ D+ A- F F F
0.94 62% 20% 36% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.9 .24 20% .35 50% .17 1.17 53% 0% 43% +5 +3 1.17 36% 1.0 .36 22% .43 91% .39
Feb
7		 Richmond B+ D+ F D+ D 43% 19% 38% A- D+ B+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ F F D- 21% 30% 49% B+ D+ B- A+ A A- A- F B-
1.21 56% 25% 31% -5 +1 0.93 35% 1.5 .52 16% .74 81% .60 1.13 45% 50% 42% +7 -2 1.11 23% 0.7 .16 18% .27 87% .23
Feb
10		 George Washington C- A+ C F+ C 27% 29% 44% F C- B F C- D+ B- F C- B+ F A+ C+ D 43% 9% 48% C+ D+ F A+ A- A F+ B D
1.03 77% 36% 29% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.8 .27 19% .31 59% .18 1.11 79% 25% 33% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.7 .31 22% .38 70% .27
Feb
14		 Fordham D- F B+ C C- 24% 28% 48% D D+ F+ B D C- A+ D- A+ C A+ F+ C- B- 44% 13% 44% F+ C+ A F D+ C+ F A+ F
0.95 42% 43% 33% -3 -2 0.92 18% 1.1 .21 17% .46 62% .28 1.01 43% 50% 33% -6 +1 0.94 26% 1.4 .37 19% .41 61% .25
Feb
17		 Saint Louis B F A+ A+ A+ 36% 12% 52% B+ A+ C- F F+ D- A+ A+ A+ A A+ F D A+ 54% 4% 42% D A+ B+ A- A A+ F D+ F
1.09 33% 67% 46% +4 +1 1.12 24% 0.4 .11 19% .45 85% .38 1.02 46% 50% 40% -2 +3 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 24% .46 77% .35
Feb
21		 La Salle F C+ F F F 37% 28% 35% D- F C C+ C B+ A+ F A- B+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 41% 27% 32% C+ A+ F A- C- A F B+ F
0.75 59% 0% 6% -25 -1 0.50 29% 1.2 .33 15% .38 60% .23 0.96 35% 9% 38% -15 -1 0.71 44% 0.8 .34 23% .65 68% .44
Feb
26		 St. Bonaventure C F C- A+ C- 47% 16% 37% B C D+ A C D+ C A+ B F F+ F F+ F 38% 22% 40% D+ F C F F D F D+ F
1.09 46% 38% 47% +2 +1 1.08 25% 1.3 .31 19% .28 88% .25 1.35 68% 55% 40% +11 0 1.24 36% 1.7 .61 14% .38 78% .30
Feb
28		 Saint Joseph's F F A+ F F 34% 8% 58% A F C F F D- A+ C+ A+ A C F A+ A+ 50% 4% 46% F A- A- A+ A+ B- D A+ C+
0.78 41% 50% 21% -16 +1 0.72 31% 0.3 .08 19% .37 71% .26 0.87 59% 50% 16% -11 +3 0.85 26% 0.5 .14 19% .31 61% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 2.7 2.7 7th
8th 0.3 11.0 11.3 8th
9th 10.7 11.8 22.5 9th
10th 25.1 38.4 63.5 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 25.1 49.4 25.6 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 25.6% 0.3% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.1 25.5
7-11 49.4% 0.5% 0.5% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 49.1
6-12 25.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 25.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 13.1 99.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%
Lose Out 11.6%