Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.6 #122
Expected Predictive Rating +1.6 #135
Pace 66.2 #260
Improvement -1.9 #264

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #184 C+ C F C+ B
Defense #87 C+ C A+ C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #126 1.23 #101 +2.7 #93
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #299 0.91 #28 -1.0 #226
Three Pointers 44% #115 0.94 #271 +0.1 #177
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #125 +1.8 #125
Freethrows 18.4 #132 73% #178 13.5 #130
Second Chance 34.2% #82 0.93 #320 0.32 #178
Turnovers 20.0% #347
Total Offense -0.7 #184

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #136 1.09 #96 +0.2 #165
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #278 0.60 #13 +2.5 #24
Three Pointers 42% #143 1.06 #241 -1.6 #253
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #143 +1.1 #143
Freethrows 19.9 #310 67% #17 13.4 #235
Second Chance 31.2% #211 1.04 #171 0.32 #196
Turnovers 20.7% #16
Total Defense +3.3 #87

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.7% #70 1.1% #271
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.8% #148 -3.3% #124
Possession Length 17.7 #212 17.8 #254
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 #39 0.16 #123
Improvement -2.9 #327 +1.0 #116

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.4% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 11.8 12.3
.500 or above 77.2% 88.5% 68.1%
.500 or above in Conference 34.0% 49.1% 22.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 0.9% 3.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Home) - 44.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 3
Quad 23 - 64 - 8
Quad 35 - 59 - 13
Quad 48 - 218 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 332 Stetson W 93 - 62 93% +17  1 - 0 +17 +8 C+ A+ F +8 B- B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 70 Tulsa L 65 - 82 30% -9  1 - 1 -9 -3 C- B- F -7 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 339 Stonehill W 80 - 57 93% +12  2 - 1 +9 +3 C+ C- F +5 A+ D A+
 Fri, Nov 14 305 Albany W 80 - 61 90% +6  3 - 1 +8 +7 D- A C +2 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 83 @Yale W 86 - 77 23% +0  4 - 1 +19 +19 A+ C+ D+ +1 A+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 157 Towson L 55 - 62 59% -2  4 - 2 -7 -7 F A+ F -1 D+ A+ B+
 Tue, Nov 25 204 Vermont W 80 - 65 70% +7  5 - 2 +12 +12 B- A+ F +2 B+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 140 Temple W 90 - 75 55% +7  6 - 2 +16 +17 A+ D+ A+ -1 B- B- B+
 Tue, Dec 2 264 Brown W 66 - 56 85% +4  7 - 2 +1 -3 F B- F +5 A+ C- B-
 Sat, Dec 6 65 @Providence L 71 - 90 20% -5  7 - 3 -8 -0 A+ F F -8 F C A+
 Tue, Dec 9 87 McNeese St. L 64 - 66 45% -2  7 - 4 +2 -7 A F F +8 B A+ A
 Tue, Dec 16 344 Canisius W 62 - 45 94% +3  8 - 4 +2 -9 F F F +13 A- A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 259 Northeastern W 85 - 77 84% +6  9 - 4 -0 +13 A A+ B- -12 F A- B+
 Wed, Dec 31 268 Loyola Chicago L 57 - 61 86% -7  9 - 5 0 - 1 -13 -17 F C- F +4 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 86 @George Mason L 50 - 61 24% -4  9 - 6 0 - 2 -1 -12 D+ F F +10 C+ A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 7 197 La Salle L 72 - 79 78% -2  9 - 7 0 - 3 -13 +3 A- C+ F -16 F F B
 Sat, Jan 10 137 @Davidson W 70 - 45 42% +14  10 - 7 1 - 3 +30 +12 A+ F C +22 A+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 55 Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 84 32% -8  10 - 8 1 - 4 -2 +7 A+ F D -9 C D F
 Wed, Jan 21 120 @Richmond W 69 - 68 38% -2  11 - 8 2 - 4 +7 -0 D C F +7 C B A
 Sat, Jan 24 86 George Mason L 68 - 69 44%
 Tue, Jan 27 73 @Dayton L 64 - 72 22%
 Sun, Feb 1 118 @Duquesne L 73 - 76 39%
 Sat, Feb 7 120 Richmond W 73 - 70 60%
 Tue, Feb 10 72 @George Washington L 72 - 80 22%
 Sat, Feb 14 193 Fordham W 70 - 62 77%
 Tue, Feb 17 28 Saint Louis L 70 - 79 20%
 Sat, Feb 21 197 @La Salle W 69 - 67 57%
 Wed, Feb 25 136 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 72 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 159 Saint Joseph's W 71 - 65 70%
 Wed, Mar 4 118 Duquesne W 76 - 73 60%
 Sat, Mar 7 193 @Fordham W 67 - 65 57%
Totals 17 - 14 8 - 10 +3 -1 C+ C F +3 C+ C A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 2.0 0.7 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 4.0 2.0 0.1 7.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.9 4.0 0.4 11.4 6th
7th 0.5 5.8 7.1 1.2 0.0 14.6 7th
8th 0.1 3.3 8.3 2.2 0.1 14.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 7.8 4.5 0.3 13.8 9th
10th 0.3 5.1 6.2 0.8 0.0 12.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 2.2 5.8 1.5 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 3.8 1.9 0.1 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.5 0.1 3.9 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.1 7.8 14.2 19.4 20.5 16.7 10.4 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 1.5% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.3% 7.5% 7.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.5% 5.2% 5.2% 11.3 0.1 0.0 1.5
11-7 5.0% 4.3% 4.3% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.8
10-8 10.4% 2.5% 2.5% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.2
9-9 16.7% 1.2% 1.2% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 16.5
8-10 20.5% 0.6% 0.6% 12.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 20.4
7-11 19.4% 0.5% 0.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.3
6-12 14.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 7.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 7.8
4-14 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 3.1
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 12.0 99.0 0.0%