Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#121
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#97
Pace74.7#39
Improvement-6.9#359

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#167
First Shot+3.3#86
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#327
Layup/Dunks+1.9#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#280
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#205
Freethrows+4.0#12
Improvement-3.7#342

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#122
First Shot+1.7#115
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#182
Layups/Dunks-2.7#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#221
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#25
Freethrows+0.5#138
Improvement-3.2#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.2% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.1 12.4
.500 or above 99.5% 100.0% 98.9%
.500 or above in Conference 41.0% 55.9% 24.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.3% 4.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.7% 2.2% 1.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 52.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 43 - 5
Quad 37 - 610 - 11
Quad 49 - 119 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 326   Fairfield W 96-58 91%     1 - 0 +25.4 +7.8 +14.7
  Nov 08, 2024 319   Holy Cross W 91-77 90%     2 - 0 +2.2 +6.3 -4.8
  Nov 20, 2024 281   Lafayette W 86-72 86%     3 - 0 +4.8 +7.4 -3.0
  Nov 24, 2024 131   College of Charleston W 91-53 62%     4 - 0 +37.2 +11.4 +23.5
  Nov 27, 2024 323   Detroit Mercy W 81-75 87%     5 - 0 -4.0 +6.1 -10.0
  Nov 28, 2024 200   Texas Arlington W 83-78 66%     6 - 0 +3.2 +3.6 -0.6
  Dec 02, 2024 69   Yale W 84-78 38%     7 - 0 +11.4 +6.9 +4.1
  Dec 07, 2024 66   Providence W 69-63 38%     8 - 0 +11.6 +0.4 +11.4
  Dec 10, 2024 214   @ Brown L 80-84 2OT 61%     8 - 1 -4.4 -9.2 +5.5
  Dec 15, 2024 209   Central Connecticut St. W 77-69 76%     9 - 1 +3.0 +4.3 -1.4
  Dec 21, 2024 125   Temple W 85-79 51%     10 - 1 +8.1 +6.5 +1.2
  Dec 31, 2024 142   @ Duquesne L 55-67 45%     10 - 2 0 - 1 -8.3 -9.0 -0.4
  Jan 04, 2025 81   George Mason W 62-59 40%     11 - 2 1 - 1 +7.8 +0.0 +8.0
  Jan 08, 2025 124   George Washington L 67-75 60%     11 - 3 1 - 2 -8.4 -10.0 +2.2
  Jan 11, 2025 220   @ Richmond W 67-64 OT 62%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +2.2 -7.2 +9.3
  Jan 15, 2025 128   @ Loyola Chicago L 77-81 42%     12 - 4 2 - 3 +0.4 +10.3 -10.0
  Jan 18, 2025 126   Davidson W 92-90 60%     13 - 4 3 - 3 +1.6 +17.9 -16.2
  Jan 21, 2025 38   Virginia Commonwealth L 57-81 25%     13 - 5 3 - 4 -14.6 -15.3 +3.0
  Jan 25, 2025 193   @ La Salle L 64-70 55%     13 - 6 3 - 5 -5.0 -7.9 +2.9
  Jan 29, 2025 152   Massachusetts W 88-82 66%     14 - 6 4 - 5 +4.2 +8.7 -5.0
  Feb 05, 2025 191   @ Fordham W 78-77 53%    
  Feb 08, 2025 81   @ George Mason L 64-71 23%    
  Feb 12, 2025 95   St. Bonaventure L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 193   La Salle W 80-74 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 105   @ Saint Louis L 73-78 31%    
  Feb 26, 2025 80   Dayton L 73-76 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 152   @ Massachusetts L 77-78 45%    
  Mar 05, 2025 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 71-78 25%    
  Mar 08, 2025 191   Fordham W 80-74 73%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.8 0.8 0.1 2.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.4 2.3 0.1 4.8 4th
5th 1.0 5.0 0.9 0.0 7.0 5th
6th 0.1 5.0 3.7 0.1 8.8 6th
7th 1.8 9.4 0.9 12.1 7th
8th 0.1 7.1 5.5 0.1 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 2.1 9.6 1.0 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 0.3 6.6 4.9 0.1 11.9 10th
11th 0.0 1.8 7.6 0.8 10.3 11th
12th 0.1 4.2 3.3 0.1 7.7 12th
13th 0.0 1.3 3.5 0.5 5.4 13th
14th 0.3 1.4 0.8 0.0 2.5 14th
15th 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 15th
Total 0.6 3.2 10.7 20.3 24.4 22.0 12.3 5.1 1.3 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 5.6% 0.0    0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 1.3% 6.2% 6.2% 11.8 0.0 0.1 1.2
11-7 5.1% 6.4% 6.4% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 4.8
10-8 12.3% 3.6% 3.6% 12.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 11.9
9-9 22.0% 2.0% 2.0% 12.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 21.6
8-10 24.4% 1.1% 1.1% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 24.1
7-11 20.3% 0.4% 0.4% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 20.2
6-12 10.7% 0.5% 0.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
5-13 3.2% 3.2
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 12.2 0.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%