Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.9#110
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#92
Pace70.1#169
Improvement+0.4#157

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#128
First Shot-1.3#214
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#44
Layup/Dunks+1.4#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#329
Freethrows+2.2#72
Improvement-0.5#229

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#93
First Shot+6.8#22
After Offensive Rebounds-4.3#350
Layups/Dunks+1.2#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#20
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement+0.9#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.7% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.5% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.1 10.9 11.3
.500 or above 86.7% 95.1% 83.7%
.500 or above in Conference 63.9% 71.6% 61.2%
Conference Champion 3.5% 5.8% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.8% 1.5%
First Four0.5% 1.1% 0.2%
First Round3.3% 5.1% 2.7%
Second Round0.7% 1.3% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 26.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 3
Quad 23 - 54 - 8
Quad 35 - 49 - 12
Quad 410 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 348 Stetson W 93-62 95%     1 - 0 +16.3 +8.0 +6.6
  Fri, Nov 7 91 Tulsa L 65-82 44%     1 - 1 -11.4 -2.1 -10.5
  Tue, Nov 11 338 Stonehill W 80-57 94%     2 - 1 +8.9 +1.2 +7.3
  Fri, Nov 14 324 Albany W 80-61 93%     3 - 1 +6.8 +5.9 +2.0
  Tue, Nov 18 73 @Yale W 86-77 26%     4 - 1 +19.7 +18.2 +1.9
  Mon, Nov 24 129 Towson L 55-62 56%     4 - 2 -4.6 -8.7 +3.2
  Tue, Nov 25 189 Vermont W 80-65 72%     5 - 2 +12.9 +10.2 +4.1
  Wed, Nov 26 157 Temple W 90-75 65%     6 - 2 +14.9 +13.3 +1.6
  Tue, Dec 2 225 Brown W 66-56 84%     7 - 2 +3.2 -1.9 +5.7
  Sat, Dec 6 72 @Providence L 77-84 26%    
  Tue, Dec 9 78 McNeese St. L 70-71 48%    
  Tue, Dec 16 353 Canisius W 78-58 97%    
  Wed, Dec 31 259 Loyola Chicago W 78-66 87%    
  Sat, Jan 3 66 @George Mason L 67-75 24%    
  Wed, Jan 7 229 La Salle W 76-65 84%    
  Sat, Jan 10 137 @Davidson L 71-72 47%    
  Wed, Jan 14 43 Virginia Commonwealth L 71-76 34%    
  Wed, Jan 21 104 @Richmond L 72-76 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 66 George Mason L 70-72 44%    
  Tue, Jan 27 67 @Dayton L 69-77 24%    
  Sun, Feb 1 135 @Duquesne L 77-78 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 104 Richmond W 75-73 58%    
  Tue, Feb 10 62 @George Washington L 76-84 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 211 Fordham W 74-64 81%    
  Tue, Feb 17 46 Saint Louis L 75-79 35%    
  Sat, Feb 21 229 @La Salle W 73-68 67%    
  Wed, Feb 25 111 @St. Bonaventure L 69-72 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 184 Saint Joseph's W 78-69 78%    
  Wed, Mar 4 135 Duquesne W 80-75 68%    
  Sat, Mar 7 211 @Fordham W 71-67 64%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.3 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.1 2.7 0.7 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.1 1.0 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.1 1.5 0.1 10.6 5th
6th 0.3 3.0 5.7 2.8 0.2 12.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 6.0 3.5 0.4 12.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.2 4.3 0.6 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.0 0.9 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.3 0.9 0.1 7.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.7 0.9 0.1 5.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 3.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.0 6.6 10.1 12.7 14.7 14.1 12.9 9.6 6.5 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 96.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 89.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 68.9% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 31.4% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 70.4% 35.2% 35.2% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 54.3%
16-2 0.6% 47.4% 22.9% 24.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 31.9%
15-3 1.8% 23.8% 13.8% 10.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.3 11.6%
14-4 3.6% 15.6% 12.2% 3.4% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 3.1 3.9%
13-5 6.5% 8.6% 7.9% 0.7% 11.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.9 0.7%
12-6 9.6% 6.3% 5.9% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 9.0 0.4%
11-7 12.9% 3.5% 3.5% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 12.5
10-8 14.1% 2.0% 2.0% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 13.8
9-9 14.7% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.5 0.0%
8-10 12.7% 0.6% 0.6% 12.1 0.1 0.0 12.6
7-11 10.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 10.0
6-12 6.6% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 6.6
5-13 4.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 1.8
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 3.6% 3.0% 0.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 96.4 0.6%