Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#122
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#181
Pace63.6#298
Improvement+5.6#14

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#170
First Shot-2.2#244
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#51
Layup/Dunks-2.3#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#32
Freethrows-2.9#333
Improvement+4.3#20

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#105
First Shot+2.1#108
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#172
Layups/Dunks+1.3#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#89
Freethrows-2.1#317
Improvement+1.3#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.7% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 24 - 54 - 8
Quad 36 - 510 - 13
Quad 43 - 613 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 97   Lipscomb L 72-77 50%     0 - 1 -2.7 -5.7 +3.3
  Nov 08, 2024 188   Princeton L 68-75 64%     0 - 2 -8.4 -7.1 -1.1
  Nov 15, 2024 116   @ DePaul L 58-84 36%     0 - 3 -20.1 -4.9 -18.7
  Nov 19, 2024 144   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-80 65%     0 - 4 -7.8 +1.5 -9.3
  Nov 24, 2024 135   South Dakota St. L 60-71 53%     0 - 5 -9.6 -9.4 -0.8
  Nov 25, 2024 211   Hampton L 59-64 69%     0 - 6 -7.9 -10.7 +2.5
  Nov 26, 2024 278   Old Dominion W 67-54 80%     1 - 6 +6.5 -9.0 +15.3
  Dec 03, 2024 287   St. Peter's L 59-62 87%     1 - 7 -13.0 -3.8 -9.8
  Dec 06, 2024 228   Delaware W 80-66 80%     2 - 7 +7.6 +5.9 +2.7
  Dec 11, 2024 223   Maine L 56-61 79%     2 - 8 -11.1 -10.0 -1.8
  Dec 14, 2024 150   Towson W 65-47 57%     3 - 8 +18.6 +11.4 +12.4
  Dec 21, 2024 70   UC Irvine W 70-54 39%     4 - 8 +21.1 +14.9 +8.8
  Dec 31, 2024 138   Rhode Island W 67-55 64%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +10.6 -1.1 +12.7
  Jan 04, 2025 140   @ Davidson L 71-77 44%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -2.2 +8.2 -11.2
  Jan 08, 2025 76   Saint Joseph's W 85-81 OT 41%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +8.7 +9.3 -0.9
  Jan 15, 2025 114   @ George Washington W 73-65 36%     7 - 9 3 - 1 +14.1 +6.5 +7.7
  Jan 18, 2025 110   St. Bonaventure W 75-57 55%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +18.9 +13.8 +7.3
  Jan 21, 2025 74   Dayton L 62-82 41%     8 - 10 4 - 2 -15.3 -6.0 -10.8
  Jan 26, 2025 238   @ Fordham L 63-65 64%     8 - 11 4 - 3 -3.4 -5.0 +1.4
  Jan 29, 2025 76   @ Saint Joseph's L 72-76 23%     8 - 12 4 - 4 +6.2 +5.6 +0.5
  Feb 01, 2025 190   Massachusetts L 53-62 74%     8 - 13 4 - 5 -13.3 -20.8 +7.6
  Feb 05, 2025 226   @ Richmond L 68-73 62%     8 - 14 4 - 6 -5.7 +6.4 -12.9
  Feb 08, 2025 109   Loyola Chicago W 69-56 55%     9 - 14 5 - 6 +14.0 +2.2 +12.6
  Feb 15, 2025 74   @ Dayton L 76-77 22%     9 - 15 5 - 7 +9.2 +11.3 -2.1
  Feb 19, 2025 238   Fordham W 73-64 81%     10 - 15 6 - 7 +2.1 -3.6 +5.7
  Feb 22, 2025 110   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-70 34%     10 - 16 6 - 8 -0.6 +3.2 -4.7
  Feb 26, 2025 225   @ La Salle W 67-62 61%     11 - 16 7 - 8 +4.3 -0.8 +5.5
  Mar 01, 2025 90   George Mason W 85-68 47%     12 - 16 8 - 8 +20.0 +20.5 +0.0
  Mar 04, 2025 35   Virginia Commonwealth L 62-71 21%     12 - 17 8 - 9 +1.8 -0.9 +2.0
  Mar 08, 2025 100   @ Saint Louis L 88-90 OT 32%     12 - 18 8 - 10 +5.1 +12.8 -7.5
  Mar 13, 2025 110   St. Bonaventure L 64-65 45%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.3 0.5 0.2 99.3
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.3 0.5 0.2 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 15.3 69.9 30.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.0%
Lose Out 55.8%