George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#124
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#139
Pace69.8#136
Improvement-0.7#218

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#162
First Shot+0.7#155
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#192
Layup/Dunks-1.4#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#112
Freethrows+2.1#71
Improvement-0.6#214

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#135
First Shot+3.6#73
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#328
Layups/Dunks-0.9#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#28
Freethrows+1.2#97
Improvement-0.1#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.7% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.5 12.6
.500 or above 97.6% 99.7% 96.2%
.500 or above in Conference 39.4% 57.5% 26.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.5% 3.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.3% 1.7% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Home) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 43 - 5
Quad 35 - 67 - 11
Quad 411 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 353   Mercyhurst W 76-59 94%     1 - 0 +1.4 +2.2 +0.5
  Nov 08, 2024 287   Hampton W 82-54 86%     2 - 0 +18.6 +1.7 +15.8
  Nov 12, 2024 333   N.C. A&T W 85-80 92%     3 - 0 -8.4 -1.0 -7.8
  Nov 18, 2024 344   NJIT W 84-64 93%     4 - 0 +5.7 +11.1 -4.6
  Nov 22, 2024 55   Kansas St. L 71-83 23%     4 - 1 -2.1 +0.7 -2.3
  Nov 23, 2024 301   Louisiana W 83-74 82%     5 - 1 +1.2 +3.0 -2.3
  Nov 25, 2024 135   Illinois St. W 72-64 52%     6 - 1 +9.5 +0.9 +9.1
  Nov 29, 2024 304   VMI W 77-64 88%     7 - 1 +2.5 +7.0 -3.2
  Dec 04, 2024 233   @ American L 71-81 OT 64%     7 - 2 -11.7 -11.5 +1.0
  Dec 07, 2024 275   @ Old Dominion W 78-70 72%     8 - 2 +4.2 +7.4 -2.9
  Dec 13, 2024 297   Army W 75-60 87%     9 - 2 +5.1 +3.5 +2.8
  Dec 18, 2024 281   Lafayette W 82-62 85%     10 - 2 +10.8 +11.1 +1.0
  Dec 31, 2024 220   @ Richmond L 61-66 61%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -5.8 -6.9 +0.9
  Jan 04, 2025 80   Dayton W 82-62 40%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +24.8 +12.0 +13.5
  Jan 08, 2025 121   @ Rhode Island W 75-67 40%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +12.8 +0.3 +12.0
  Jan 15, 2025 142   Duquesne L 65-73 63%     12 - 4 2 - 2 -9.3 -5.1 -4.4
  Jan 18, 2025 81   @ George Mason L 77-80 2OT 23%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +6.8 +0.9 +6.4
  Jan 22, 2025 152   @ Massachusetts L 61-74 46%     12 - 6 2 - 4 -9.8 -7.7 -2.3
  Jan 25, 2025 105   Saint Louis W 67-61 51%     13 - 6 3 - 4 +7.9 +0.9 +7.5
  Jan 29, 2025 220   Richmond W 75-66 77%     14 - 6 4 - 4 +3.3 +7.6 -3.5
  Feb 01, 2025 193   @ La Salle L 67-73 55%     14 - 7 4 - 5 -5.0 +5.3 -11.2
  Feb 05, 2025 81   George Mason L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 09, 2025 95   @ St. Bonaventure L 66-72 27%    
  Feb 12, 2025 38   Virginia Commonwealth L 67-74 26%    
  Feb 15, 2025 126   @ Davidson L 72-74 39%    
  Feb 19, 2025 86   Saint Joseph's L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 22, 2025 152   Massachusetts W 77-73 66%    
  Feb 26, 2025 128   @ Loyola Chicago L 70-72 40%    
  Mar 01, 2025 193   La Salle W 77-71 73%    
  Mar 05, 2025 191   @ Fordham W 76-75 52%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 2.2 0.1 4.4 4th
5th 0.9 4.6 1.3 6.7 5th
6th 0.0 4.9 3.8 0.2 8.9 6th
7th 1.8 9.0 1.1 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 7.1 5.2 0.1 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 2.2 10.1 0.9 0.0 13.2 9th
10th 0.2 6.0 5.2 0.1 11.5 10th
11th 0.0 1.7 7.7 0.9 10.2 11th
12th 0.3 4.7 3.3 0.0 8.3 12th
13th 0.1 1.6 4.0 0.5 6.3 13th
14th 0.3 1.5 0.8 2.6 14th
15th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 15th
Total 0.7 3.6 11.5 19.8 25.1 21.0 11.9 5.1 1.1 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 36.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.2% 18.2% 18.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 1.1% 4.5% 4.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 1.1
11-7 5.1% 5.5% 5.5% 12.1 0.2 0.0 4.8
10-8 11.9% 3.1% 3.1% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.5
9-9 21.0% 1.5% 1.5% 12.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 20.7
8-10 25.1% 0.8% 0.8% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 24.9
7-11 19.8% 0.4% 0.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 19.7
6-12 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 11.5
5-13 3.6% 3.6
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%