Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#315
Expected Predictive Rating-12.6#335
Pace72.1#96
Improvement+3.1#26

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#294
First Shot-9.3#359
After Offensive Rebound+4.9#6
Layup/Dunks-2.8#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#327
Freethrows-4.4#357
Improvement+1.1#93

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#307
First Shot-4.4#319
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#175
Layups/Dunks-5.6#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#130
Freethrows-0.6#230
Improvement+2.0#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 1.0% 1.9% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 11.9% 19.0% 6.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 29.6% 14.1% 41.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Away) - 43.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 101 - 13
Quad 47 - 98 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 330   Buffalo L 82-83 66%     0 - 1 -13.9 -1.1 -12.7
  Nov 09, 2024 17   @ Arizona L 44-102 1%     0 - 2 -39.8 -22.1 -14.6
  Nov 12, 2024 204   @ Radford L 75-87 18%     0 - 3 -11.0 +1.5 -12.5
  Nov 15, 2024 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-71 79%     1 - 3 -15.1 -8.9 -6.2
  Nov 24, 2024 152   Boston College L 52-82 20%     1 - 4 -29.7 -17.6 -13.9
  Nov 25, 2024 135   High Point L 67-73 17%     1 - 5 -4.6 +0.0 -5.4
  Nov 26, 2024 200   Duquesne L 54-67 25%     1 - 6 -14.7 -17.9 +3.4
  Dec 02, 2024 222   William & Mary W 88-83 40%     2 - 6 -1.0 +2.7 -4.0
  Dec 07, 2024 136   George Washington L 70-78 25%     2 - 7 -9.6 -1.1 -8.9
  Dec 15, 2024 160   Northeastern L 71-75 30%     2 - 8 -7.2 -2.7 -4.4
  Dec 21, 2024 329   @ Louisiana Monroe L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 02, 2025 109   Arkansas St. L 70-79 18%    
  Jan 04, 2025 283   Southern Miss W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 09, 2025 291   @ Louisiana L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 11, 2025 202   @ South Alabama L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 16, 2025 173   Appalachian St. L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 18, 2025 234   Georgia Southern L 77-79 43%    
  Jan 22, 2025 115   James Madison L 70-79 21%    
  Jan 25, 2025 268   Coastal Carolina W 70-69 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 173   @ Appalachian St. L 63-74 16%    
  Feb 01, 2025 115   @ James Madison L 67-82 9%    
  Feb 05, 2025 139   Texas St. L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 13, 2025 263   @ Georgia St. L 73-79 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 234   @ Georgia Southern L 74-82 24%    
  Feb 20, 2025 190   Marshall L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 22, 2025 263   Georgia St. L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 25, 2025 190   @ Marshall L 71-81 18%    
  Feb 28, 2025 268   @ Coastal Carolina L 66-72 30%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.1 0.1 3.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.2 0.5 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.3 1.2 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.9 2.5 0.2 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.3 0.7 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.8 5.8 1.9 0.1 12.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 4.1 7.0 2.9 0.3 14.9 12th
13th 0.1 1.2 5.2 7.4 3.8 0.5 0.0 18.3 13th
14th 0.7 2.9 5.8 5.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 18.6 14th
Total 0.7 3.0 7.1 11.7 15.0 15.8 14.2 12.0 8.6 5.5 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 58.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 17.2% 17.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.4% 5.0% 5.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.8% 6.4% 6.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-7 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.8
10-8 3.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.2
9-9 5.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.5
8-10 8.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.6
7-11 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
6-12 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 15.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.8
4-14 15.0% 15.0
3-15 11.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.7
2-16 7.1% 7.1
1-17 3.0% 3.0
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%