Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#275
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#261
Pace66.1#240
Improvement+5.4#13

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#270
First Shot-7.9#355
After Offensive Rebound+4.3#12
Layup/Dunks-3.8#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#318
Freethrows-2.2#306
Improvement+2.2#68

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#256
First Shot-2.9#269
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#170
Layups/Dunks-3.6#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#179
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#119
Freethrows-1.2#267
Improvement+3.2#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 2.6% 5.3% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 59.8% 79.9% 44.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Home) - 42.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 83 - 10
Quad 49 - 912 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 342   Buffalo L 82-83 78%     0 - 1 -15.3 -1.0 -14.2
  Nov 09, 2024 10   @ Arizona L 44-102 2%     0 - 2 -37.7 -21.8 -12.9
  Nov 12, 2024 204   @ Radford L 75-87 26%     0 - 3 -11.6 +0.2 -11.9
  Nov 15, 2024 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-71 88%     1 - 3 -17.2 -8.9 -8.2
  Nov 24, 2024 176   Boston College L 52-82 30%     1 - 4 -30.8 -19.8 -12.6
  Nov 25, 2024 107   High Point L 67-73 17%     1 - 5 -2.0 -0.5 -2.2
  Nov 26, 2024 142   Duquesne L 54-67 24%     1 - 6 -11.8 -16.9 +5.2
  Dec 02, 2024 208   William & Mary W 88-83 44%     2 - 6 +0.1 +4.5 -4.7
  Dec 07, 2024 124   George Washington L 70-78 28%     2 - 7 -8.4 +0.8 -9.5
  Dec 15, 2024 206   Northeastern L 71-75 44%     2 - 8 -8.7 -4.6 -4.0
  Dec 21, 2024 328   @ Louisiana Monroe W 80-75 OT 56%     3 - 8 1 - 0 -3.0 +2.1 -5.3
  Jan 02, 2025 93   Arkansas St. L 59-78 18%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -15.6 -9.1 -7.3
  Jan 04, 2025 248   Southern Miss W 74-71 55%     4 - 9 2 - 1 -4.6 +1.4 -6.0
  Jan 09, 2025 301   @ Louisiana W 71-60 46%     5 - 9 3 - 1 +5.7 +3.3 +3.4
  Jan 11, 2025 156   @ South Alabama W 71-63 OT 19%     6 - 9 4 - 1 +11.0 +3.2 +8.0
  Jan 16, 2025 145   Appalachian St. L 43-62 31%     6 - 10 4 - 2 -20.3 -17.5 -7.3
  Jan 18, 2025 254   Georgia Southern L 63-67 56%     6 - 11 4 - 3 -11.8 -4.1 -8.3
  Jan 22, 2025 137   James Madison L 60-74 31%     6 - 12 4 - 4 -15.1 -6.8 -10.0
  Jan 25, 2025 309   Coastal Carolina W 74-52 68%     7 - 12 5 - 4 +11.0 +2.5 +10.7
  Jan 29, 2025 145   @ Appalachian St. W 78-77 17%     8 - 12 6 - 4 +4.6 +13.9 -9.2
  Feb 01, 2025 137   @ James Madison L 54-68 17%     8 - 13 6 - 5 -10.1 -10.5 -1.4
  Feb 05, 2025 184   Texas St. L 70-73 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 300   @ Eastern Michigan L 72-73 44%    
  Feb 13, 2025 278   @ Georgia St. L 73-75 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 254   @ Georgia Southern L 71-74 35%    
  Feb 20, 2025 182   Marshall L 70-73 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 278   Georgia St. W 76-73 62%    
  Feb 25, 2025 182   @ Marshall L 68-76 22%    
  Feb 28, 2025 309   @ Coastal Carolina L 67-68 47%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 1.2 0.1 2.2 3rd
4th 0.8 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.3 4.7 3.9 0.2 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 4.4 10.2 1.7 0.0 16.4 6th
7th 0.0 3.7 14.4 4.2 0.1 22.3 7th
8th 0.7 10.7 7.0 0.2 18.6 8th
9th 0.0 3.8 8.1 0.7 12.6 9th
10th 0.5 5.5 1.8 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 2.0 2.1 0.1 4.2 11th
12th 0.9 0.3 1.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 3.4 12.4 24.4 26.8 20.0 9.6 2.9 0.4 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 7.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.4% 4.9% 4.9% 15.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 2.9% 1.7% 1.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 2.9
11-7 9.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 9.5
10-8 20.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 19.9
9-9 26.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 26.7
8-10 24.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 24.4
7-11 12.4% 12.4
6-12 3.4% 3.4
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%