Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.4 #240
Expected Predictive Rating -7.7 #291
Pace 71.2 #115
Improvement +0.6 #144

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #250 D+ D C+ C D-
Defense #225 C C- D D D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #289 1.10 #253 -3.3 #291
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #68 0.66 #312 +1.0 #117
Three Pointers 39% #226 1.07 #112 -0.2 #185
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #246 -2.4 #245
Freethrows 16.6 #227 74% #156 12.3 #205
Second Chance 24.9% #325 1.05 #165 0.26 #296
Turnovers 15.9% #148
Total Offense -2.8 #250

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #11 1.25 #298 -6.8 #358
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #193 0.70 #100 +0.7 #136
Three Pointers 34% #347 0.85 #19 +6.5 #7
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #165 +0.4 #164
Freethrows 19.5 #293 74% #240 14.4 #302
Second Chance 30.9% #199 1.10 #256 0.34 #239
Turnovers 14.5% #297
Total Defense -1.6 #225

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.1% #309 1.3% #289
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.9% #221 -2.2% #144
Possession Length 17.2 #157 15.0 #3
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #224 0.22 #319
Improvement -1.0 #236 +1.7 #80

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 2.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 0.4% 1.2% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 26.9% 52.3% 19.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
First Round0.7% 1.7% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Away) - 21.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 32 - 63 - 14
Quad 48 - 611 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 89 @Miami (OH) L 72 - 87 10% +3  0 - 1 -6 -3 B- C- F -2 C A+ C+
 Tue, Nov 11 291 Norfolk St. W 60 - 57 72% +1  1 - 1 -7 -6 F F B- -1 A+ F B+
 Sat, Nov 15 72 @George Washington L 73 - 96 8% -11  1 - 2 -12 -1 D- C F -10 C+ D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 81 @Xavier L 69 - 99 9% -20  1 - 3 -20 -3 F C C- -15 D F C
 Fri, Nov 21 360 Morgan St. W 88 - 56 90% +18  2 - 3 +13 +10 D+ F A+ +5 B+ C+ D-
 Sun, Nov 23 203 @Drexel L 71 - 75 32% -1  2 - 4 -4 +5 C D B -9 C- F D-
 Tue, Nov 25 33 @Villanova L 75 - 89 3% -6  2 - 5 +3 +14 B A A+ -12 D- D F
 Sun, Nov 30 138 @William & Mary L 75 - 88 20% -7  2 - 6 -9 -3 D F C- -4 D+ A+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 120 @Richmond L 77 - 86 17% -4  2 - 7 -3 +1 D- F A+ -4 A- F F
 Sat, Dec 13 86 @George Mason L 61 - 73 9% -10  2 - 8 -2 -9 F B F +7 A+ A C
 Wed, Dec 17 231 James Madison W 77 - 68 60% +6  3 - 8 1 - 0 +2 +2 D+ F A- +0 C A- C+
 Sat, Dec 20 252 Coastal Carolina L 74 - 76 64% -1  3 - 9 1 - 1 -10 -4 C C F -6 C A+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 100 @Maryland L 58 - 73 13% -18  3 - 10 -7 -9 F D+ D- +1 C A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 206 Appalachian St. L 73 - 81 56% -13  3 - 11 1 - 2 -14 +2 A F B -16 D F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 251 Georgia Southern L 86 - 93 63% -12  3 - 12 1 - 3 -15 -4 F D A+ -10 F D+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 252 @Coastal Carolina W 70 - 66 41% +7  4 - 12 2 - 3 +2 -1 C B F +3 B+ B- C
 Sat, Jan 10 231 @James Madison L 69 - 70 37% +9  4 - 13 2 - 4 -2 -6 F F B +4 D A A+
 Thu, Jan 15 251 @Georgia Southern L 84 - 87 41% +2  4 - 14 2 - 5 -5 +7 B+ D A -12 F C+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 206 @Appalachian St. W 75 - 73 33% +10  5 - 14 3 - 5 +2 +9 A+ D- D+ -7 B- D- F
 Wed, Jan 21 112 Troy L 77 - 83 2OT 32% +1  5 - 15 3 - 6 -6 -7 F F B+ +2 A+ C- D+
 Wed, Jan 28 145 @Arkansas St. L 77 - 85 21%
 Sat, Jan 31 263 @Texas St. L 71 - 73 43%
 Wed, Feb 4 361 Louisiana Monroe W 85 - 71 91%
 Sat, Feb 7 196 Ohio W 78 - 77 54%
 Wed, Feb 11 163 Marshall L 77 - 78 46%
 Sat, Feb 14 273 Georgia St. W 75 - 70 67%
 Mon, Feb 16 312 Louisiana W 71 - 63 77%
 Sat, Feb 21 244 @Southern Miss L 72 - 75 39%
 Tue, Feb 24 163 @Marshall L 74 - 81 26%
 Fri, Feb 27 273 @Georgia St. L 72 - 73 46%
Totals 10 - 20 8 - 10 -4 -3 D+ D C+ -2 C C- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 0.8 0.0 2.7 4th
5th 1.0 3.4 0.3 4.7 5th
6th 0.1 4.5 2.0 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 1.6 6.7 0.3 8.6 7th
8th 0.2 6.5 3.7 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 2.1 10.0 0.8 13.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 7.8 5.5 0.1 13.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 4.8 10.1 1.0 16.2 11th
12th 0.2 2.9 8.6 3.4 0.0 15.0 12th
13th 0.1 1.3 3.5 2.4 0.2 7.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.1 1.4 6.7 16.3 23.8 24.9 16.8 7.7 2.0 0.3 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.9% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.3% 17.3% 17.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 2.0% 9.3% 9.3% 15.7 0.1 0.1 1.8
10-8 7.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.4
9-9 16.8% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 16.6
8-10 24.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 24.7
7-11 23.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.8
6-12 16.3% 16.3
5-13 6.7% 6.7
4-14 1.4% 1.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.8 99.1 0.0%