Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#260
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#230
Pace73.4#92
Improvement-0.1#203

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#324
First Shot-3.7#282
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#294
Layup/Dunks-7.8#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#33
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#105
Freethrows-1.9#281
Improvement-0.1#181

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#168
First Shot-0.2#175
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#180
Layups/Dunks+4.7#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#71
Freethrows-4.0#348
Improvement-0.1#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 4.6% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.1
.500 or above 32.6% 54.6% 29.8%
.500 or above in Conference 49.0% 60.1% 47.6%
Conference Champion 3.0% 5.1% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 1.5% 4.4%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round2.3% 4.5% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Away) - 11.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 63 - 9
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 267 @Western Michigan L 71-76 40%     0 - 1 -7.9 -8.8 +1.3
  Tue, Nov 11 107 Winthrop W 72-66 26%     1 - 1 +7.3 -4.0 +11.1
  Fri, Nov 14 238 @Jacksonville St. L 67-74 35%     1 - 2 -8.5 -0.1 -8.7
  Fri, Nov 21 361 @Western Illinois W 84-64 72%     2 - 2 +8.5 +0.6 +6.9
  Sat, Nov 22 340 North Dakota W 75-58 70%     3 - 2 +5.9 -6.3 +11.2
  Sun, Nov 23 101 @Illinois St. L 42-94 11%     3 - 3 -44.2 -29.8 -11.2
  Sun, Nov 30 266 Alabama A&M W 67-60 63%     4 - 3 -1.8 -6.8 +5.1
  Wed, Dec 3 278 @South Carolina Upstate L 78-85 OT 42%     4 - 4 -10.4 -5.0 -4.5
  Sat, Dec 6 107 @Winthrop L 71-84 11%    
  Sat, Dec 13 94 @Grand Canyon L 64-78 11%    
  Thu, Dec 18 283 @Appalachian St. L 65-67 42%    
  Sat, Dec 20 220 @Old Dominion L 71-76 32%    
  Mon, Dec 22 184 @Saint Joseph's L 69-76 26%    
  Thu, Jan 1 226 Georgia Southern W 77-76 55%    
  Sat, Jan 3 334 Georgia St. W 75-67 77%    
  Thu, Jan 8 220 Old Dominion W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 283 Appalachian St. W 68-64 65%    
  Wed, Jan 14 170 @Marshall L 71-79 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 226 @Georgia Southern L 74-79 34%    
  Thu, Jan 22 232 Texas St. W 70-68 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 219 Southern Miss W 74-73 54%    
  Thu, Jan 29 165 @South Alabama L 66-74 24%    
  Sat, Jan 31 357 @Louisiana Monroe W 77-71 69%    
  Wed, Feb 4 155 Arkansas St. L 76-79 41%    
  Thu, Feb 12 318 @Louisiana W 67-66 50%    
  Wed, Feb 18 169 James Madison L 72-74 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 170 Marshall L 74-76 44%    
  Tue, Feb 24 334 @Georgia St. W 72-70 57%    
  Fri, Feb 27 169 @James Madison L 69-77 25%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 2.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.7 4.6 0.9 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.0 2.2 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.6 3.9 0.4 9.8 8th
9th 0.6 3.4 4.9 1.1 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.3 2.6 5.3 1.9 0.1 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.3 2.6 0.3 9.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.2 2.2 0.4 7.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 1.2 2.0 1.3 0.4 5.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.2 4.4 6.8 10.2 12.7 13.6 13.2 12.1 9.2 6.8 4.3 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 93.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 90.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 77.0% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 45.2% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 16.8% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 27.6% 27.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 31.6% 31.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 23.0% 23.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 2.3% 18.5% 18.5% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.9
13-5 4.3% 11.7% 11.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.8
12-6 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 6.3
11-7 9.2% 3.4% 3.4% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 8.9
10-8 12.1% 1.5% 1.5% 15.5 0.1 0.1 11.9
9-9 13.2% 0.5% 0.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 13.2
8-10 13.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 13.6
7-11 12.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.7
6-12 10.2% 10.2
5-13 6.8% 6.8
4-14 4.4% 4.4
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.7 97.6 0.0%