Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#309
Expected Predictive Rating-9.9#322
Pace60.5#350
Improvement-4.5#338

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#267
First Shot-2.6#248
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#252
Layup/Dunks-1.6#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#211
Freethrows-1.0#248
Improvement+0.2#179

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#316
First Shot-6.1#341
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#93
Layups/Dunks+5.2#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-8.6#364
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#92
Freethrows-4.9#363
Improvement-4.7#354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 66.3% 44.3% 74.6%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Alabama (Home) - 27.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 48 - 109 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 306   Western Michigan W 60-56 59%     1 - 0 -6.8 -11.7 +5.2
  Nov 09, 2024 150   @ East Carolina L 59-63 14%     1 - 1 -0.7 -0.9 -0.6
  Nov 13, 2024 91   @ North Carolina St. L 70-82 6%     1 - 2 -3.4 +1.4 -4.6
  Nov 17, 2024 130   Jacksonville St. L 53-71 23%     1 - 3 -18.7 -10.2 -12.2
  Nov 22, 2024 330   IU Indianapolis W 71-57 58%     2 - 3 +3.4 -0.2 +5.7
  Nov 23, 2024 360   @ Alabama A&M L 70-77 63%     2 - 4 -18.9 -6.4 -12.6
  Nov 30, 2024 346   South Carolina Upstate W 73-51 72%     3 - 4 +7.5 -4.4 +12.8
  Dec 04, 2024 178   @ Campbell W 58-57 17%     4 - 4 +2.7 -5.3 +8.1
  Dec 07, 2024 205   @ Winthrop L 89-96 20%     4 - 5 -6.7 +14.3 -20.9
  Dec 17, 2024 333   @ N.C. A&T W 73-68 50%     5 - 5 -3.4 -2.8 -0.5
  Dec 21, 2024 93   @ Arkansas St. L 67-97 7%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -21.6 +2.4 -25.5
  Jan 02, 2025 301   Louisiana L 68-71 57%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -13.3 -2.0 -11.6
  Jan 04, 2025 328   Louisiana Monroe W 70-51 67%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +6.0 -0.5 +8.5
  Jan 08, 2025 145   @ Appalachian St. L 51-74 13%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -19.4 -6.2 -18.1
  Jan 11, 2025 278   @ Georgia St. L 74-79 33%     6 - 9 1 - 4 -9.0 +1.8 -11.1
  Jan 16, 2025 254   Georgia Southern L 87-88 OT 47%     6 - 10 1 - 5 -8.8 +4.8 -13.6
  Jan 18, 2025 182   Marshall L 64-77 32%     6 - 11 1 - 6 -16.6 -5.0 -12.8
  Jan 23, 2025 254   @ Georgia Southern L 58-85 29%     6 - 12 1 - 7 -29.9 -16.1 -13.6
  Jan 25, 2025 275   @ Old Dominion L 52-74 32%     6 - 13 1 - 8 -25.8 -17.0 -11.0
  Jan 30, 2025 137   @ James Madison L 64-73 13%     6 - 14 1 - 9 -5.1 +4.1 -10.9
  Feb 01, 2025 182   @ Marshall L 62-67 18%     6 - 15 1 - 10 -3.6 -0.5 -3.9
  Feb 05, 2025 156   South Alabama L 60-67 27%    
  Feb 08, 2025 312   @ Bowling Green L 69-71 39%    
  Feb 13, 2025 145   Appalachian St. L 60-67 26%    
  Feb 15, 2025 137   James Madison L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 20, 2025 248   @ Southern Miss L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 111   @ Troy L 59-73 8%    
  Feb 26, 2025 278   Georgia St. W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 28, 2025 275   Old Dominion W 68-67 53%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 10th
11th 0.6 1.3 0.1 2.0 11th
12th 0.7 4.0 1.4 0.0 6.0 12th
13th 4.7 17.8 20.1 6.5 0.3 49.4 13th
14th 7.6 17.2 13.5 3.4 0.1 0.0 41.8 14th
Total 7.6 21.9 31.3 24.1 11.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.5% 0.5
6-12 3.5% 3.5
5-13 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
4-14 24.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 24.1
3-15 31.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 31.2
2-16 21.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.9
1-17 7.6% 7.6
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.4%