Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
98 Arkansas St. 0.0%   23 - 10 13 - 5 23 - 10 13 - 5 +4.9      +2.2 112 +2.8 97 73.0 59 +3.8 112 +2.4 2
101 Troy 100.0%   14   21 - 10 13 - 5 21 - 10 13 - 5 +4.3      +0.5 160 +3.8 76 66.2 227 +3.1 120 +2.8 1
131 South Alabama 0.0%   19 - 11 13 - 5 19 - 11 13 - 5 +1.8      -0.1 179 +1.9 116 60.5 352 +0.7 154 +2.4 3
165 James Madison 0.0%   18 - 12 13 - 5 18 - 12 13 - 5 -0.3      +2.3 107 -2.6 254 63.5 303 +1.4 142 +2.3 4
167 Marshall 0.0%   18 - 13 12 - 6 18 - 13 12 - 6 -0.5      -0.3 189 -0.2 177 70.8 104 -1.0 176 +0.8 5
178 Appalachian St. 0.0%   15 - 14 10 - 8 15 - 14 10 - 8 -1.1      -4.3 288 +3.3 87 60.2 353 -2.1 193 -2.9 6
201 Texas St. 0.0%   14 - 16 9 - 9 14 - 16 9 - 9 -2.4      +1.5 131 -3.9 291 65.7 246 -3.1 219 -2.9 7
251 Georgia Southern 0.0%   16 - 16 8 - 10 16 - 16 8 - 10 -4.8      -2.3 232 -2.5 247 72.5 61 -3.7 229 -5.3 11
252 Georgia St. 0.0%   13 - 19 8 - 10 13 - 19 8 - 10 -4.9      +0.3 164 -5.2 321 71.6 79 -5.5 258 -4.6 9
278 Old Dominion 0.0%   13 - 20 8 - 10 13 - 20 8 - 10 -6.5      -4.1 282 -2.4 244 65.7 245 -5.8 263 -5.1 10
293 Southern Miss 0.0%   9 - 22 5 - 13 9 - 22 5 - 13 -7.6      -6.4 330 -1.2 209 74.9 33 -8.2 303 -9.1 12
305 Louisiana 0.0%   11 - 21 8 - 10 11 - 21 8 - 10 -8.4      -6.3 329 -2.0 231 66.0 234 -6.5 275 -4.2 8
317 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   8 - 22 3 - 15 8 - 22 3 - 15 -9.3      -3.7 272 -5.6 330 60.5 351 -10.5 325 -13.3 14
343 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   5 - 25 3 - 15 5 - 25 3 - 15 -12.3      -6.8 337 -5.4 323 68.8 151 -13.5 346 -12.3 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Arkansas St. 1.0 100.0
Troy 1.0 100.0
South Alabama 1.0 100.0
James Madison 1.0 100.0
Marshall 5.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 6.0 100.0
Texas St. 7.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 8.0 100.0
Georgia St. 8.0 100.0
Old Dominion 8.0 100.0
Southern Miss 12.0 100.0
Louisiana 8.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 13.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Arkansas St. 13 - 5 100.0
Troy 13 - 5 100.0
South Alabama 13 - 5 100.0
James Madison 13 - 5 100.0
Marshall 12 - 6 100.0
Appalachian St. 10 - 8 100.0
Texas St. 9 - 9 100.0
Georgia Southern 8 - 10 100.0
Georgia St. 8 - 10 100.0
Old Dominion 8 - 10 100.0
Southern Miss 5 - 13 100.0
Louisiana 8 - 10 100.0
Coastal Carolina 3 - 15 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Arkansas St. 100.0% 100.0
Troy 100.0% 100.0
South Alabama 100.0% 100.0
James Madison 100.0% 100.0
Marshall
Appalachian St.
Texas St.
Georgia Southern
Georgia St.
Old Dominion
Southern Miss
Louisiana
Coastal Carolina
Louisiana Monroe


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Troy 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   5.5 50.7 42.9 0.9
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 9.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 9.5% 0.1 90.5 9.5
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0