IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.1	#228
Expected Predictive Rating	-3.2	#218

Pace	60.1	#365
Improvement	+4.3	#7

Offense
Total Offense	-4.1	#283

First Shot	-3.8	#289
After Offensive Rebound	-0.3	#202

Layup/Dunks	-1.0	#221
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.1	#241
3 Pt Jumpshots	+0.3	#170
Freethrows	-2.0	#305

Improvement	-0.8	#233

Defense
Total Defense	+0.0	#159

First Shot	+1.0	#135
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.0	#264

Layups/Dunks	+0.4	#160
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.2	#29
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.2	#238
Freethrows	-0.4	#206

Improvement	+5.0	#2

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.7%	4.3%	1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	14.7	14.8

.500 or above	46.6%	63.8%	36.7%
.500 or above in Conference	53.1%	70.4%	43.1%
Conference Champion	1.8%	3.5%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	1.4%	0.4%	1.9%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	2.7%	4.2%	1.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Away) - 36.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	4 - 7	4 - 8
Quad 4	10 - 7	14 - 15

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	323 @Central Michigan	L	66-82	60%	0 - 1			-22.8	-5.8	-18.2
Sun, Nov 9	348 NC Central	W	76-54	85%	1 - 1			+6.7	+4.8	+3.9
Tue, Nov 11	31 @Ohio St.	L	53-75	4%	1 - 2			-4.9	-5.7	-2.2
Sun, Nov 16	247 @Dartmouth	W	85-77	42%	2 - 2			+6.1	+9.5	-3.7
Fri, Nov 21	183 Charlotte	W	65-63	52%	3 - 2			-2.7	+3.7	-5.9
Mon, Nov 24	166 Elon	L	53-88	48%	3 - 3			-38.5	-17.7	-26.0
Wed, Nov 26	174 @Mercer	L	67-75	28%	3 - 4			-6.1	+3.1	-10.2
Sun, Nov 30	232 @UNC Asheville	L	55-67	39%	3 - 5			-13.4	-13.8	-0.6
Thu, Dec 11	271 @East Carolina	W	67-54	46%	4 - 5			+10.1	+0.4	+10.6
Sun, Dec 14	101 High Point	W	86-78 OT	19%	5 - 5			+13.3	+5.9	+6.8
Thu, Dec 18	230 Coastal Carolina	W	67-49	62%	6 - 5	1 - 0		+10.8	-1.1	+13.3
Sat, Dec 20	330 Georgia St.	L	63-70	80%	6 - 6	1 - 1		-20.1	-12.0	-8.4
Wed, Dec 31	217 @Old Dominion	L	65-69	37%
Sat, Jan 3	161 @Marshall	L	64-71	26%
Thu, Jan 8	330 @Georgia St.	W	67-64	61%
Sat, Jan 10	230 @Coastal Carolina	L	64-67	39%
Thu, Jan 15	198 James Madison	W	67-66	55%
Sat, Jan 17	217 Old Dominion	W	68-66	59%
Thu, Jan 22	314 Louisiana	W	64-56	76%
Sat, Jan 24	359 Louisiana Monroe	W	75-61	90%
Thu, Jan 29	207 @Southern Miss	L	65-69	36%
Sat, Jan 31	139 @Troy	L	61-70	22%
Wed, Feb 4	190 South Alabama	W	64-63	53%
Wed, Feb 11	213 @Georgia Southern	L	69-73	37%
Sat, Feb 14	198 @James Madison	L	64-69	33%
Thu, Feb 19	161 Marshall	L	67-68	46%
Sat, Feb 21	213 Georgia Southern	W	72-70	58%
Fri, Feb 27	255 @Texas St.	L	62-64	43%
Projected Record					14 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0			1.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.6	1.8	0.8	0.1	0.0				4.7	2nd
3rd											0.2	2.2	3.1	1.0	0.1	0.0					6.6	3rd
4th										0.0	1.7	4.4	1.7	0.2							8.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	4.8	2.8	0.3								8.6	5th
6th									0.2	3.8	5.1	0.7	0.0								9.8	6th
7th								0.0	1.6	6.1	1.9	0.0									9.8	7th
8th							0.0	0.6	5.1	4.4	0.3										10.3	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	3.3	5.9	1.0	0.0										10.4	9th
10th					0.0	0.1	1.8	5.7	2.6	0.1											10.3	10th
11th				0.0	0.1	1.2	3.9	3.1	0.4	0.0											8.7	11th
12th			0.0	0.1	0.9	2.8	2.5	0.5													6.8	12th
13th			0.1	0.6	1.3	1.2	0.4	0.0													3.7	13th
14th		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.5	14th

Total		0.0	0.2	0.9	2.4	5.4	8.9	13.3	15.8	16.2	13.9	10.5	6.8	3.5	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0				Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	96.6%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	75.3%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	40.8%	0.6		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	14.1%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.8%	1.8		0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																							0.0
16-2	0.1%		31.0%	31.0%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
15-3	0.5%		19.0%	19.0%		14.0														0.0	0.1	0.0		0.4
14-4	1.6%		20.2%	20.2%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.2
13-5	3.5%		16.4%	16.4%		14.5														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.0	2.9
12-6	6.8%		9.8%	9.8%		14.7														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	6.1
11-7	10.5%		4.5%	4.5%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	10.0
10-8	13.9%		2.5%	2.5%		15.2															0.1	0.2	0.1	13.6
9-9	16.2%		0.9%	0.9%		15.3															0.0	0.1	0.1	16.1
8-10	15.8%		0.5%	0.5%		15.7																0.0	0.1	15.7
7-11	13.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.3
6-12	8.9%																							8.9
5-13	5.4%																							5.4
4-14	2.4%																							2.4
3-15	0.9%																							0.9
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		2.7%	2.7%	0.0%	14.7													0.0	0.1	0.8	1.4	0.4	97.3		0.0%