Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#328
Expected Predictive Rating-12.9#339
Pace68.1#186
Improvement+2.2#81

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#340
First Shot-5.7#327
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#256
Layup/Dunks-3.7#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#300
Freethrows-2.7#327
Improvement+1.7#89

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#282
First Shot-3.8#292
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#179
Layups/Dunks-1.0#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#340
Freethrows+1.6#70
Improvement+0.6#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 57.4% 36.8% 64.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Away) - 25.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 32 - 83 - 12
Quad 43 - 136 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 71   @ LSU L 60-95 4%     0 - 1 -24.7 -9.6 -13.4
  Nov 08, 2024 141   @ Tulane L 64-80 10%     0 - 2 -12.3 -9.3 -2.3
  Nov 12, 2024 192   @ Rice L 50-66 14%     0 - 3 -15.0 -19.4 +3.4
  Nov 18, 2024 228   SE Louisiana L 67-70 34%     0 - 4 -9.2 -7.6 -1.6
  Nov 22, 2024 293   @ Northwestern St. W 65-63 29%     1 - 4 -2.6 -3.8 +1.3
  Nov 23, 2024 155   North Alabama L 62-74 15%     1 - 5 -11.4 -6.6 -5.9
  Nov 29, 2024 270   Stephen F. Austin L 60-68 43%     1 - 6 -16.6 -4.0 -13.7
  Dec 02, 2024 200   Texas Arlington L 70-84 28%     1 - 7 -18.3 -9.8 -8.0
  Dec 11, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 89-73 84%     2 - 7 -5.3 -5.8 -1.1
  Dec 14, 2024 200   @ Texas Arlington L 68-77 15%     2 - 8 -8.3 -5.6 -2.8
  Dec 17, 2024 290   Houston Christian L 68-74 46%     2 - 9 -15.6 -10.6 -4.9
  Dec 21, 2024 275   Old Dominion L 75-80 OT 44%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -13.8 -4.3 -9.4
  Jan 02, 2025 254   @ Georgia Southern L 82-90 23%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -10.9 +9.9 -20.9
  Jan 04, 2025 309   @ Coastal Carolina L 51-70 33%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -25.1 -20.3 -6.7
  Jan 09, 2025 248   @ Southern Miss L 67-84 23%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -19.7 -12.6 -5.2
  Jan 11, 2025 301   @ Louisiana L 68-71 31%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -8.3 -2.3 -6.2
  Jan 15, 2025 111   Troy L 58-77 15%     2 - 15 0 - 6 -18.2 -7.6 -12.5
  Jan 18, 2025 301   Louisiana L 60-65 49%     2 - 16 0 - 7 -15.3 -12.7 -2.9
  Jan 25, 2025 145   Appalachian St. L 58-66 19%     2 - 17 0 - 8 -9.3 -8.2 -1.8
  Jan 27, 2025 156   South Alabama W 77-66 21%     3 - 17 1 - 8 +9.1 +7.5 +1.8
  Jan 30, 2025 156   @ South Alabama W 62-58 11%     4 - 17 2 - 8 +7.0 +0.8 +6.7
  Feb 01, 2025 111   @ Troy L 50-87 7%     4 - 18 2 - 9 -31.2 -13.8 -21.2
  Feb 05, 2025 278   @ Georgia St. L 71-77 25%    
  Feb 13, 2025 184   Texas St. L 68-75 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 248   Southern Miss L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 19, 2025 184   @ Texas St. L 66-78 13%    
  Feb 22, 2025 93   @ Arkansas St. L 62-81 4%    
  Feb 25, 2025 137   James Madison L 65-74 20%    
  Feb 28, 2025 93   Arkansas St. L 65-79 10%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.8 10th
11th 0.6 1.3 0.0 1.9 11th
12th 0.8 4.6 0.9 0.0 6.3 12th
13th 6.4 22.1 22.4 6.7 0.2 57.8 13th
14th 14.6 14.2 4.0 0.2 33.0 14th
Total 21.0 36.2 27.2 12.1 3.0 0.5 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.5% 0.5
6-12 3.0% 3.0
5-13 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.1
4-14 27.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 27.2
3-15 36.2% 36.2
2-16 21.0% 21.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 14.1%